Newspoll: 50-50

Newspoll finds Scott Morrison’s commanding personal ratings improving still further, without doing anything to improve a seemingly precarious position on voting intention.

As brought to you by The Australian, Newspoll maintains its sedentary ways in its latest poll, which repeats the previous result three weeks ago in recording a dead head on two-party preferred. Labor is up a point on the primary vote to 37%, while the Coalition on 42%, the Greens on 10% and One Nation on 3% are all unchanged. Despite a seemingly difficult week for Scott Morrison, he gains one on approval to 64% and drops one on disapproval to 32% and widens his lead as preferred prime minister from 57-29 to 61-26, as Anthony Albanese drops three on approval to 38% and rises two on disapproval to 45%. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1504.

There was also a poll on Friday from Roy Morgan, which sometimes publishes its regular federal voting intention polling and sometimes doesn’t. In this case Labor was credited with a bare lead of 50.5-49.5, from primary votes of Coalition 40%, Labor 34.5%, the Greens 13% and One Nation 3.5%. The poll was conducted over the previous two weekends online and by phone from a sample of 2824.

Between Newspoll, Roy Morgan and Essential Research, there are now three pollsters who rate the situation as steady of with Labor fractionally ahead. This is reflected in the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, now updated with the above results on both the voting intention and leadership rating trends, which has Labor edging ahead to a 50.2-49.8 lead.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,113 comments on “Newspoll: 50-50”

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  2. At 2am local time, the US House of Reps passes the $1.9T Biden COVID recovery plan.. it looks like the Senate will follow suit via the ‘Budget Reconciliation’ technique , but the $15 hourly rate may or may not get chopped..

  3. poroti @ #2948 Saturday, February 27th, 2021 – 6:01 pm

    Months to prepare and Ghunt, Scotty and crew ………………………..

    Hazzard weighs intervention in ‘disappointing’ federal vaccine rollout

    NSW Health Minister Brad Hazzard said on Saturday that the federal government should be given time to improve its vaccine program in aged care, but would not rule out intervening in the scheme or in the mass vaccination of the population through general practitioners.

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/hazzard-weighs-intervention-in-disappointing-federal-vaccine-rollout-20210226-p5765z.html

    That’s a decent whack on Hunt.

    It’s only taken a week for the Govts incompetence to shatter confidence in the vaccine rollout.

  5. citizen @ #2950 Saturday, February 27th, 2021 – 6:18 pm

    poroti @ #2942 Saturday, February 27th, 2021 – 6:01 pm
    Months to prepare and Ghunt, Scotty and crew ………………………..

    Organising the vaccine roll out would take valuable time away from important work like making chook pens, showing off your body in the surf, having innumerable press conferences to say the same thing over and over…

    People got sick of Tony Abbott doing the same thing eventually.

  10. sprocket_ @ #2958 Saturday, February 27th, 2021 – 6:19 pm

    At 2am local time, the US House of Reps passes the $1.9T Biden COVID recovery plan.. it looks like the Senate will follow suit via the ‘Budget Reconciliation’ technique , but the $15 hourly rate may or may not get chopped..

    Next up, the legit game changer – the ‘For the People’ act.

    https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/hr1-whats-inside-the-for-the-people-act-1116668/

  12. WRT the Cabinet Rapist allegation, I expected Morrison to come out today with either “no comment” or “steps taken”. I did not expect a disdainful “day at the beach”. Is he hiding behind his family again while dancing to “I’m just your trusty dad, man”? (To the tune of “I’ve Been Everywhere, Man.”)

  15. ScoMo looks like he is weighing in at 125kg

    Why has he porked up when he is having the time of his life, his career is downhill from here

  16. William Bowe @ #2951 Saturday, February 27th, 2021 – 6:18 pm

    Player One, I believe the comedic potential of calling people gibbons has been more than fully explored.

    Damn! I’ll have to find another term for Labor people that promote the fossil-fuel friendly policies of Fitzgibbon. And that one was both descriptive and amusing.

    I will henceforth use the term fossil-fuel “Elevators”, named in honour of the Otis group.

  21. Bushfire

    It surprises me that Morrison who is so vain he employs a personal photographer would bare that body at a beach.
    But I always say the beach is a great leveller when one hides as little or as much as one likes.
    Maybe instead of body shaming him we should congratulate him for being so unselfconscious.

  23. Rex Douglas @ #2960 Saturday, February 27th, 2021 – 6:28 pm

    sprocket_ @ #2958 Saturday, February 27th, 2021 – 6:19 pm

    At 2am local time, the US House of Reps passes the $1.9T Biden COVID recovery plan.. it looks like the Senate will follow suit via the ‘Budget Reconciliation’ technique , but the $15 hourly rate may or may not get chopped..

    Next up, the legit game changer – the ‘For the People’ act.

    https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/hr1-whats-inside-the-for-the-people-act-1116668/

    Not wanting to be ageist (and isn’t everything these days some ‘-ist’ or another?) but at 80 in the shade, how does Nancy Pelosi do it!?! 2am!?! I hope she had time for a nanna nap earlier in the day! If it was me I’d be asleep in the chair! 😆

  25. Sums it up.
    Georgie Boy@Lynny_Pinnie · 1h
    There is a Rapist in his Cabinet, a tortured Victim who ended her own life to stop the pain and BayWatch Boy goes mute and heads off to the beach with his missus, cos he’s a good Aussie bloke. No one, just no one is buying your BS marketing spin! #ScottyKnew #ScottyFromPhotoOps

  28. Been There,
    Hardly body shaming to comment on someones obesity. About the only thing I respected Abbott for was his dedication to fitness. Likewise, i’ve noticed Albo has been dropping weight, and Shorten did the same when coming up to the big job.

  29. Perhaps if Scotty spent less time at the beach with his photographer and more time at work we would not see these sorts of headlines….

    Hazzard weighs intervention in ‘disappointing’ federal vaccine rollout

    +

    This month there have been concerns that a sixth of Australia’s vaccine supply was at risk because its government had not been able to secure enough low dead space syringe

  31. P1
    Don’t worry about C@tmomma.
    Respond to me.
    People are allowed to support others comments.
    Stop the whatabouterry.
    Gilliard or Morrison, anyone!
    Let’s stop body shaming.
    Do you agree?
    Yes or no?

  32. Did anyone catch the two guys on Planet America disagreeing about whether the minimum wage rise would pass? I think one was saying that even though the “Parliamentarian” ruled that it couldn’t be part of the reconciliation process, that Kamala could over-rule that anyhow.

  33. Been There and Jackol,
    It’s not body shaming because that’s not his natural body shape. People are commenting on excess weight gain. And when you have Jenny Craig ads thrown at you left, right and centre every day then a person’s weight gain has become a part of common parlance.

  34. ‘Sohar says:
    Saturday, February 27, 2021 at 6:56 pm

    Sums it up.
    Georgie Boy@Lynny_Pinnie · 1h
    There is a Rapist in his Cabinet…’

    Allegedly.

  36. What a surprise. Not. Player One made a slimy snarky comment about me knowing I have them blocked. Just proves that I have done the right thing. Player One only comes here to pump up their ego at the expense of others. Sad.

  37. C@tMomma

    “And that statue of Donald Trump at CPAC is just plain cheesy. Like the man himself I guess.”

    My thoughts exactly!

    That is the ugliest thing I’ve ever seen.

    People talk about about a turd rolled in glitter.

    Well there it is!

  39. Been There is quite right.

    It does not matter whether Morrison is flabby, fat or that he has a bullnose verandah over his pleasure pit. It does not really matter that he is balding. It barely matters that his normal face messaging is about smug complacency combined with smirking disdain for others.

    No, the real thing about Morrison is that he heads the most corrupt government since Federation and that he has reduced the role of prime minister to sort of second rate mafia family fixer.

  40. C@tmomma

    “Been There and Jackol,
    It’s not body shaming because that’s not his natural body shape. People are commenting on excess weight gain. And when you have Jenny Craig ads thrown at you left, right and centre every day then a person’s weight gain has become a part of common parlance.”

    What are you trying to say?

    It’s alright to bag someone if they’re fat?

    For someone I thought wouldn’t tolerate that shit I’m surprised.

  41. “ Rick Charlesworth with a limited but important role of scaring the shit out of everyone.”

    This the only thing necessary. Save some money on the rest and just appoint Ric!

  44. Been There @ #2991 Saturday, February 27th, 2021 – 7:18 pm

    C@tmomma

    “Been There and Jackol,
    It’s not body shaming because that’s not his natural body shape. People are commenting on excess weight gain. And when you have Jenny Craig ads thrown at you left, right and centre every day then a person’s weight gain has become a part of common parlance.”

    What are you trying to say?

    It’s alright to bag someone if they’re fat?

    For someone I thought wouldn’t tolerate that shit I’m surprised.

    I know what you mean, however I was attempting to explain to you why it is a subject people feel free to comment about.

  49. ‘Been There says:
    Saturday, February 27, 2021 at 7:26 pm

    Thanks Boerwar

    Now Zerlo has called for you to be removed from the blog for supporting me in stating that people’s bodies should not be the issue.’

    I suspect comrade Zerlo wants me censored because I don’t laud Dear Leader Xi to the heavens. But I may be wRONg about that.

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