Newspoll: 50-50

Newspoll finds Scott Morrison’s commanding personal ratings improving still further, without doing anything to improve a seemingly precarious position on voting intention.

As brought to you by The Australian, Newspoll maintains its sedentary ways in its latest poll, which repeats the previous result three weeks ago in recording a dead head on two-party preferred. Labor is up a point on the primary vote to 37%, while the Coalition on 42%, the Greens on 10% and One Nation on 3% are all unchanged. Despite a seemingly difficult week for Scott Morrison, he gains one on approval to 64% and drops one on disapproval to 32% and widens his lead as preferred prime minister from 57-29 to 61-26, as Anthony Albanese drops three on approval to 38% and rises two on disapproval to 45%. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1504.

There was also a poll on Friday from Roy Morgan, which sometimes publishes its regular federal voting intention polling and sometimes doesn’t. In this case Labor was credited with a bare lead of 50.5-49.5, from primary votes of Coalition 40%, Labor 34.5%, the Greens 13% and One Nation 3.5%. The poll was conducted over the previous two weekends online and by phone from a sample of 2824.

Between Newspoll, Roy Morgan and Essential Research, there are now three pollsters who rate the situation as steady of with Labor fractionally ahead. This is reflected in the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, now updated with the above results on both the voting intention and leadership rating trends, which has Labor edging ahead to a 50.2-49.8 lead.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,113 comments on “Newspoll: 50-50”

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  1. The coalition supporters who are asking what Morrison should do , this is the precedence by and what the libs/nats and media would expect the Labor leader to do(whether Labor in government or not)

    Stand down the person in question

    Leader being held to press conference every day

    The leader (if in government) will be harassed by the media to call the election

    and the media would be stalking the person in question, house and every where that person goes

  2. If there is another minister or Birmingham comes out today, and talks about Legal Matters like yesterday instead of the Attorney General ,suspicion will be why is the Attorney General not doing his job ?

  3. Good morning Dawn Patrollers

    A cynical Peter FitzSimons says that Morrison’s absurd position on predators in his ranks is imploding.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/pm-s-absurd-position-on-predators-in-his-ranks-is-imploding-20210226-p57659.html
    James Massola reveals that Alan Tudge and Michaelia Cash are facing legal action over the treatment of a former staff member, former senior media adviser Rachelle Miller, who has engaged a high-profile law firm to seek compensation.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/workplace-lawsuit-against-two-cabinet-ministers-looms-20210225-p575tq.html
    David Crowe outlines three changes for Morrison needs to fix a broken system.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/three-changes-for-morrison-to-fix-a-broken-system-20210226-p5768v.html
    Whatever the Liberal Party is, it is not a place for women, writes John Lord.
    https://theaimn.com/whatever-the-liberal-party-is-it-is-not-a-place-for-women/
    Victoria’s Director of Public Prosecutions, Kerri Judd, explains how we need to make the justice process less traumatic for victims.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/we-need-to-make-the-justice-process-less-traumatic-for-victims-20210226-p5766r.html
    Jaqui Maley tells why women don’t pursue their attackers through the “correct channels”.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/why-don-t-women-pursue-alleged-attackers-through-the-correct-channels-here-s-what-happens-when-they-do-20210226-p57666.html
    The ‘jobdobber’ hotline is another policy aimed at keeping wages low says Greg Jericho.
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/commentisfree/2021/feb/27/the-jobdobber-hotline-is-another-policy-aimed-at-keeping-wages-low
    A war of words has erupted over the timing of Morrison’s first coronavirus vaccination, with the federal government fiercely denying claims from Labor and the Greens that the jab was brought forward at the last moment after a difficult political week.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/scott-morrison-s-covid-19-jab-what-really-happened-behind-the-scenes-20210225-p575tp.html
    Zac Hope tells us how the combative fringe of Australia’s anti-COVID-19 vaccination movement is getting political.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/victoria/the-combative-fringe-of-australia-s-anti-covid-19-vaccination-movement-gets-political-20210227-p576co.html
    And social media chatter among Australian anti-vaccination groups skyrocketed in the past week as the first doses of the Pfizer vaccine were delivered amid false claims that the jab would be mandatory.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/social-media-chatter-skyrockets-among-australian-anti-vax-groups-20210227-p576cz.html
    Meanwhile, Jacinda Ardern has announced a seven-day lockdown of Auckland after the emergence of a “mystery” case involving a man who moved through the community for a week when he should have been isolating.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/oceania/auckland-to-head-into-week-long-lockdown-tomorrow-ardern-20210227-p576eo.html
    Craig Kelly, who quit the Liberals on Tuesday, claims he was told to “shut up” and stop promoting medically unproven COVID-19 treatments by one of Prime Minster Scott Morrison’s most senior staff — or he would be dumped as the party’s candidate for Hughes.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/shut-up-or-you-ll-lose-endorsement-kelly-reveals-details-of-meetings-that-led-him-to-quit-20210226-p5768n.html
    Clive Palmer has spent hundreds of thousands of dollars on newspaper ads attacking the Australian Securities and Investments Commission which is prosecuting him on criminal charges that carry lengthy jail terms.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/feb/28/clive-palmer-spends-hundreds-of-thousands-of-dollars-on-ads-condemning-asic
    Internships might seem appealing to younger people entering the workforce, but to the older generation, they come with a host of problems, writes Kare Godsell.
    https://independentaustralia.net/business/business-display/the-perils-of-being-an-older-intern-in-a-modern-world,14844
    Annika Smethurst reports that within two years single-use plastic items including straws, cutlery and plates will be banned in Victoria in a bid to reduce the amount of plastic waste going into landfill.
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/victoria-to-ban-single-use-plastics-within-two-years-20210227-p576cs.html

    Cartoon Corner

    Peter Broelman

    Matt Davidson

    Matt Golding



    Mark David


    Alan Moir

    From the US




  4. Golden Trump statue at CPAC was made in Mexico — and is for sale: report

    According to Tara Palmeri at Politico, the much-derided golden statue of Donald Trump currently on display at CPAC was made in Mexico and transported to the U.S. for finishing touches.

    As the report notes, artist Tommy Zegan is an American expat who lives in Rosarita Beach — just south of San Diego — on a permanent resident visa.

    Zegan spoke with Politico and admitted up-front that “It was made in Mexico,” before describing how it eventually got to Florida and CPAC.

    https://www.rawstory.com/trump-cpac-2650823666/

  5. Trump is making noises about a 2024 run to get rich off the ‘rubes’: ex-White House official

    President Donald Trump will be running for president for a third time in 2024, but the effort will be largely geared towards personal enrichment, a former official explained on Saturday.

    MSNBC’s Alex Witt interviewed Anthony Scaramucci, who briefly served as Trump’s communications director in 2017.

    “Is he going to run in 2024 or is this just a great excuse to fundraise?” Witt asked.

    “I think it’s both,” Scaramucci replied. “I think he’s going to run in 2024, this is the most money he’s ever made — just imagine making $300 million off of these rubes that he’s coning after the election with his big lie. So he’ll run again in 2024.”

    “There is risk here, though, because of his potential tax fraud case and other cases — even the D.C. case related to the insurrection is a potential speed bump to him getting that nomination.”

    https://www.rawstory.com/donald-trump-fundraising/


  6. Logistic failures are partly to blame but so is hesitancy. Doubts were first sown back in January, when influential European leaders, officials and some journalists sprouted a series of ignorant statements about the vaccine’s efficacy and waged war against its manufacturer.

    The poll bludger posters going down the stupid burrow had good company.

    https://www.theage.com.au/world/europe/own-goal-europe-vaccine-rollout-undermined-by-leaders-messages-20210226-p576b9.html

  7. zoomster says:
    Sunday, February 28, 2021 at 7:40 am

    “Nicolle Flint says she’s leaving Parliament. I’m not sure why feminists should be supporting that.

    Care to explain?”

    You can read what she has been subjected to but you wilfully ignore it.

  8. Phillip Coorey: Penny Wong – Linda Reynolds: same – same.

    Except Reynolds was an employer, and the rape happened on her couch. A minister, responsible to GG in Council and the PM.

    Yeah, right. Same – Same. Not.

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