Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition

Further improvement in Scott Morrison’s personal ratings, but otherwise little change in the latest Newspoll.

Courtesy of The Australian, Newspoll has the Coalition leading 51-49 on two-party preferred, unchanged on three weeks ago, from primary votes of Coalition 43% (steady), Labor 36% (up one), Greens 11% (steady) and One Nation 2% (down one, and their weakest result since at least the 2019 election). Scott Morrison is up two on approval to 66% and down two on disapproval to 30%, while Anthony Albanese is up one to 44% and up two to 41%, with Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister out from 58-29 to 60-28. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1511.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

915 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition”

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  1. Another sailor who deserves more cognition is the Master-at-Arms (now known as cockswain) of HMAS Voyager, who assisted some of the crew escape via a hatch, knowing that he due to his size, was cactus, leading to the RAN placing more emphasis on sailors’ diet.

  3. Simon the flies out west don’t bite but they do like to get in your eyes, ears, nose etc.

    It’s easy to avoid the pests in Poroti’s picture. You can hear them long before you get near them.

  5. Poroti sadly yes particularly in the north. We camped by the river at Normanton last year and were completely invaded by bugs. We called the place Bugsville.

  6. The flies can be bad everywhere.

    Anyone else listen to Lambie with PK today? She is something that lady -not to be underestimated. Albo doing well there to find some common ground.

  7. Have a stressed out desk job where i just sit on my arse in front of a computer all day.
    Hate it but too late to change.
    Best money i ever earnt was as a backpacker picking corn in East Anglia in the UK. Piecework, in a gang of 5 with a couple of other aussies, a kiwi and a south african. Averaged around 300 pounds a day each, paid in cash by the farmer at the end of each day. 6 days a week and lasted around 3 months. Best job ever for a traveller.
    Returned to Aust broke, so gave apple picking a go down in the Huon valley in Tas. Was lucky to make 20 bucks a day.

  9. Midges of kiwi land are the worst. Camping on the bank of the Dart – shudder at the memory. Wasn’t able to set the tent they were so thick. Threw it in the ground, found the zip and crawled in like it was a swag. F! Went from the most amazing camp site the day before (cascade saddle) to hell on earth.

  11. Simon Katich
    I have battled Kiwi sandflies and yes they can be bastards but at least you can feel them bite and so give you a chance to take deadly revenge. Those NT/Qld unsporting swine bite and you do not feel the bite until after they have gone.

  13. Poroti in the 90’s I was doing a walk around in a non-operating Townsville meatworks. When I got back to the motel I was covered in spots. Thought I had the measles. It was those @#!#! midgies. 🙂

  15. davidwh
    Sounds much like my introduction to the blighters. Suddenly noticing being covered in red itchy swellings for no apparent reason. I thought it must have been some allergic reaction. Which in a way I suppose it was. On the bright side by the time I left Darwin the reaction to bites was down to hardly noticeable.

  16. Talormade @8.54 pm
    You had it good in the fatherland, I had a job on a hop farm in Kent earning the princely sum of 2.54p an hour driving a tractor.Accomodation was thrown in but great days with people from many nations. Great times,
    Cheers to all PB s

  18. Survey of Federal Voting Intention (and other questions) of 2454 from Blair, Lilley, Rankin from Queensland, McMahon, Parramatta, Werriwa from NSW, Cowan from Western Australia, and Lyons from Tasmania.

    All 8 ALP retains in 2019, most with swings to LNP.

    Lib vote at 49%, ALP 33%, Greens 9%, UAP 2%, Other 7%.

    Small numbers and lots of interesting decisions in the way the poll was conducted, but even more interesting results if indicative.

    https://kossamaras.blogspot.com/2020/12/crisis-and-resources-november-poll.html?m=1

  21. March flies are no fun. But midges so thick you breath them in!…. after walking all day down a steep track with a pack!…. no time to find the whiskey or the self-saucing pudding, or bath in the river and change jocks!… just hide from the hordes!!!!

    Worse still (I think I have shared this), next day at the end of the track, still many miles from town, missing the one bus out (cause my walking partner blew a knee gasket), but having two national parks girls feel sorry for us (after we plied them with Aussie charm) and offer us a lift to Glenorchy…. then they tell us to sit in the tray!

  27. “ Now try and tell me Morrison is making a mistake wrt China.”

    War with them damn Yankees was popular in the parlours and saloons of Atlanta in March 1861 as well.

    People are stupid. Especially when it comes to jingoistic, nationalist tropes and wag the dog politics.

  28. 😆 😆 😆 Checked out Sky News, Paul Murray “show”. Methinks Gladys is in for a bit of trouble from the Rupert barbarians . Check out some of the “headlines” they put up during their look at NSW’s renewable plan.

    Renewable Evangelism out of control
    Climate Zealots Making Climate Policy
    Libs join climate crusade..what?
    Vote Conservative. Get a Green Agenda
    Incoming:Blackouts Under Greenie bill

  30. ‘Renewable Evangelism out of control’

    Au contraire. Isn’t the ‘Evangelism’ shoe on the other foot for Coal, these days? I mean you have to have a belief in a deity that will solve all the Global Heating problems to believe in Fossil Fuels. Ask Scott.

  31. https://www.pollbludger.net/2020/11/29/newspoll-51-49-to-coalition-12/comment-page-18/#comment-3520429

    The Confederates would have won if it had had the UK on its side (the naval blockade of the Confederates by the Union would have been far less effective under pressure from the Royal Navy, the Union may have faced a naval blockade, the UK could have supplied the Confederates with significant military supplies and the Union would have faced a second Canadian front). Fortunately the UK was not on its side.

    For centuries major wars have been won by naval power alliances (so far Atlantic ones) against more landlocked powers (e.g. pre-NATO Germany), with China being a more landlocked power.

    Fortunately, naval powers have tended to be more democratic than landlocked powers.

  32. I hadn’t looked at it this way but it sounds right to me:

    In his desperation to avoid being forever labeled a loser, Trump is pursuing a futile course of action that only causes him to lose to President-elect Joe Biden again and again. Trump was declared the loser slightly after Election Day; he loses repeatedly and decisively in court; he loses in recounts and then demands re-recounts, which he will also lose. So much losing!

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/trump-is-an-ego-monster-republicans-dont-let-him-consume-you/2020/11/30/fca2cf50-3343-11eb-b59c-adb7153d10c2_story.html

  33. Not if you are using C+ it seems.

    The unmodified blog should have one, and C+ on Firefox should have one. C+ on Chrome is pending review from Google. That happens entirely on Google’s timeframe.

  35. a r @ #43 Tuesday, December 1st, 2020 – 10:49 pm

    Not if you are using C+ it seems.

    The unmodified blog should have one, and C+ on Firefox should have one. C+ on Chrome is pending review from Google. That happens entirely on Google’s timeframe.

    I think is available right now.
    https://chrome.google.com/webstore/detail/pb-comments-plugin/onjomgpfepfmffelldjhpapljdfiodpi
    Suck it and see.
    Yep. Seems to work with Kiwi on Android.
    Lotsa thunder and lightning Newcastle.

  38. https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/will-not-be-bullied-citizens-around-the-world-told-to-buy-australian-wine-in-stand-against-china-20201201-p56jew.html

    The Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China (IPAC), comprising more than 200 MPs from a range of political parties and representing 19 country legislatures, has launched a campaign to convince people to buy and drink Australian wine in December, as a show of solidarity.

    It comes after China slapped tariffs of up to 212 per cent against Australian wine producers, which Trade Minister Simon Birmingham said would spell a “hellishly tough time for Australia’s winemakers.”

    Who is really the evil ?

  42. https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/trump-raises-millions-on-false-us-election-fraud-claims-20201201-p56jq6.html

    Washington: US President Donald Trump has raised about $US170 million ($231 million) since election day as his campaign operation has continued to aggressively solicit donations with hyped-up appeals that have funded his fruitless attempts to overturn the election and that have seeded his post-presidential political ambitions, according to a person familiar with the matter.

    The money, much of which was raised in the first week after the election, according to the person, has arrived as Trump has made false claims about fraud and sought to undermine public confidence in the legitimacy of president-elect Joe Biden’s victory.

  44. C@tmomma @ #872 Tuesday, December 1st, 2020 – 6:36 pm

    ” rel=”nofollow ugc”>

    Now try and tell me Morrison is making a mistake wrt China.

    It all depends on how you define “making a mistake”.

    If you’re looking at his own personal interests, then maybe not, but if you’re looking at Australia’s interest, then the answer is very different.

  48. March flies are no fun. But midges so thick you breath them in!…. after walking all day down a steep track with a pack!…. no time to find the whiskey or the self-saucing pudding, or bath in the river and change jocks!… just hide from the hordes!!!!

    AKA “the experience.” 😀

    Worse still (I think I have shared this), next day at the end of the track, still many miles from town, missing the one bus out (cause my walking partner blew a knee gasket), but having two national parks girls feel sorry for us (after we plied them with Aussie charm) and offer us a lift to Glenorchy…. then they tell us to sit in the tray!

    We would have made it up the last hill to Wilsons Promontory Lightstation – but getting a lift with Parks Victoria (or whatever they were called then) was very much appreciated. :thumbsup:

  49. Good Morning 🙂

    I swear the world is going nuckin’ futs. The grandmother of the Republican Governor of South Dakota, and rabid Anti Masker, Kristi Noem, buried her own grandmother yesterday. You don’t have to think too hard to know what she, and 12 others in her Nursing Home, died from in the last 2 weeks. You wouldn’t know it from the Noem eulogy. Not one mention of COVID-19. Lots of mawkish Bible verses and folksy stories about how great she was in life. I couldn’t do that. Just ignore the reason why she died because of politics.

  50. Can Dotard get both houses of Congress to overturn the Electoral College? A long shot- but this is how it would play out…

    ‘President Donald Trump’s arsenal for overturning the election will soon be down to one final, desperate maneuver: pressing his Republican allies on Capitol Hill to step in and derail Joe Biden’s presidency.

    Although the Electoral College casts the official vote for president on Dec. 14, it’s up to Congress to certify the results a few weeks later. And federal law gives individual members of the House and Senate the power to challenge the results from the floor — a rarely used mechanism meant to be the last of all last resorts to safeguard an election.’

    https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/30/republicans-overturn-electoral-college-441459

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