The Australian today brings us the latest set of breakdowns from three months’ accumulation of Newspoll results, and the second to be published since its ambit was extended beyond state, age and gender to education, income, language and religion. Highlights:
• Labor is credited with a lead of 51-49 in New South Wales, compared with 50-50 in the April-June quarter and 51.8-48.2 to the Coalition at the election, and its lead in Victoria is out to 56-44, compared with 55-45 and 53.1-46.9. Once again though, Queensland is Labor’s sticking point, with the Coalition lead recorded at 59-41, compared with 56-44 last quarter and 58.4-41.6 at the election. The Coalition leads 54-46 in Western Australia, compared with 55-45 last quarter and 55.6-44.4 at the election, and is now at level pegging in South Australia, compared with 53-47 to Labor last poll and 50.7-49.3 to Labor at the election.
• The Coalition leads 53-47 among men and trails 51-49 among women, compared with 52-48 to the Coalition among men and 52-48 to Labor among women last quarter.
• The age effect is a little more modest in the latest poll, with Labor leading 58-42 among the 18-34s and 53-47 among the 35-49s, respectively compared with 62-38 and 52-48 last quarter. The Coalition leads 54-46 among the 50-64s and 63-37 among the 65-plus, compared with 53-47 and 62-38 last quarter.
• Whereas the result was a perfect 50-50 among each of the three education cohorts last time, this time the Coalition leads 53-47 among those with no tertiary qualifications and 51-49 among those with TAFE and technical qualifications, while Labor leads 52-48 among those with university degrees.
• The last poll has 50-50 splits among the three lowest income cohorts, whereas the Coalition leads 57-43 among those with household incomes of $150,000 or higher. Last quarter, it was 50-50 among those on $50,000 or lower, 52-48 to the Labor among those on $50,000 to $100,000, 52-48 to the Coalition on those from $100,000 to $150,000, and 53-47 to the Coalition on $150,000 and higher.
• The Coalition leads 52-48 among those who speak only English at home, out from 51-49, and Labor leads 56-44 among non-English speakers, in from 57-43.
• The Coalition leads 60-40 among Christians, out from 58-42, and Labor leads 57-43 among those with no religion, in from 58-42.
The full results can be viewed here, I think without a paywall. The results are compiled from YouGov’s Newspoll surveys from June 3 to August 8, with a combined sample of 6392.
Poroti,
Thanks for those Newscorp links. It’s one thing to wonder, quite another to have it confirmed. Chilling.
C@t and Victoria. On masks.
I’ve noticed that Dan Andrews (for example) wears a mask shaped to his face. The disposable blue masks that are everywhere don’t seem to fit anyone, they gape at the side.
C@t
I think the market has been saturated.
She has a new role as electrical engineer starting in February, but has tried to find temporary work in meantime.
Due to lockdowns, it has been next to impossible.
Confessions @ #93 Wednesday, August 19th, 2020 – 9:16 am
Tell me about it! 😆
I moved from WA back to NSW, so I have done it but that was a loooong time ago. Luckily I still have one son, plus his mates, to draw on for the heavy lifting.
The worst part is schlepping around to find a suitable place that isn’t a flea pit.
Cindy McCain is going to appear at the Democrat convention.
Lizzie
The cloth washable masks fit the face best.
lizzie @ #92 Wednesday, August 19th, 2020 – 9:16 am
*continue to live positively with the virus*
That’s Happy Clapper crap – live positively, the world is a wonderful place, sunsets and roses, jesus loves me … It’s friggen mary poppins or that singing nun or whoever it was la la delusional thinking which is a veil they use to make sense of what is a (bleedingly obvious alert) complicated world.
Morrison is a simpleton, basically.
C@ t
Moving house is one of the most stressful events
Fingers crossed you will find something perfectly suited.
It’s not hard to buy masks online. Washable ones you can reuse.
I did and don’t regret it. It’s the same kind of mask Joe Biden and many South Koreans wear.
Several cloth layers but easy to breathe through.
Having watched and listened a lot to Rick Wilson, Stephen Schmidt and the other Lincoln Project people, every so often they utter some disturbing idea or tactic. Two thoughts.
1. Very grateful that they are applying their dark arts, micro targeting and election winning tradecraft to getting Dotard out of the WhiteHouse.
2. From a Democrat/progressive standpoint, the cautionary principle should be applied. Learn, evaluate, apply those elements which are true to your values.
Or, as Vladimir Putin would say, the Lincoln Project are useful idiots.
Sprocket
Yep. Agree 100 percent.
And after popular clamour, Jimmy Carter gets a segment today
C@t:
Did you listen to the Bulwark this morning with Michael Steele and a CNN journo?
I think it’s good that the Democrats have downplayed the AOCs of the party and given airtime to disaffected Republicans. An endorsement from them is going to have more weight with swing voters than the far left ever could.
Nice.
Poor Kim will be even more frustrated. Could be years of therapy for her. She might even vote Trump just to make herself feel important.
Q: The most blatant Trumpism was his declaration.
If I don’t win, you’ll know it was rigged.
Yes, that shocked me. But I shouldn’t be.
ItzaDream
That’s the kind of thinking that tells an abused wife to go back to her husband and try again. It wasn’t just Happy Clappers who thought that way, it was those who believed that marriage was for ever.
Cindy McCain is going to appear at the Democrat convention.
_____________
What a masterstroke. That’s got to help, even if only in Arizona.
Haven’t had time to listen to the Bulwark yet, ‘fess, but I will! So much is happening atm. I’m waiting on a phone call about an application for a cottage which I put in yesterday. I f I don’t get it it’s back to the drawing board. My son is waiting on a phone interview for a job taking photos for an auction house. If that doesn’t happen then he has to start TAFE again next week. And we have to start sorting through our stuff and packing up.
Plus, I want to watch night 2 of the Democrat convention live. Phew!
“I think it’s good that the Democrats have downplayed the AOCs of the party and given airtime to disaffected Republicans.”
Stunning.
https://politics.theonion.com/alexandria-ocasio-cortez-upgraded-to-full-dnc-speaking-1844764034
I think the downplaying of AOC and The Squad is a reflection of the Democratic leadership, and their singular focus on rebuilding the MidWest Blue Wall. The ones they lost in 2016 were black, blue collar men and suburban women voters in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Minnesota – so the priority is getting that back.
Hence John Kasich gets 10 minutes, AOC gets one.
lizzie @ #115 Wednesday, August 19th, 2020 – 9:30 am
Who morphed into the vicious ‘Mens Rights’ movement that John Howard facilitated and encouraged.
There’s an iPhone app around that uses the phone’s camera to do a 3D scan of your face, then produces a 3D printable file for a form-fitting seal, exactly tailored to your facial features, for a standard surgical mask.
Stops air from getting in around the sides.
“footy commentator Basil-someone who is running for Perth mayor” Basil Zempilas – big snozed boofhead from Weekend Sunrise
https://www.abc.net.au/radio/perth/programs/breakfast/basil-zempilas-perth-lord-mayor/12518598#:~:text=Basil%20Zempilas%20is%20already%20a,Lord%20Mayor%20to%20his%20resume.
Phil Coorey on abc breakfast this morning said the Oxford Virus was not a contract but a letter of understanding. Australia can still end up with no manufacturing rights. This is being misrepresented by the abc news.
How good is that? NZ saved lives this year. US; 200,000+ excess deaths.
C@t:
Fingers crossed for your application!
Unfortunately I’m walking out the door so won’t be able to watch the convention.
sprocket:
As SK said, Kim will descend into further depression!
Pheonix,
216 cases, was 428 same time last week.
Hopefully it isn’t through a drop in testing by half to match the 50% drop in cases.
The signs are good though.
pukka
Coorey is right.
lizzie @ #115 Wednesday, August 19th, 2020 – 9:30 am
what’s the old joke about the difference between marriage and herpes – herpes is really forever.
Sanders will speak. And Warren. Plenty of political diversity on show. I still think Longoria needs another lengthy segment.
And it took 40 media advisers to spin the news on the vaccine for ScottyfromMarketing.
https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1295791453784936450
Yep. Morrison is a lying imposter.
So #Scottyfrommarketing hitting the news cycle touting a vaccine that does not exist yet, being purchased for an undisclosed cost, creating more jobs for Australians, when he under pressure for deaths in aged care that he and his government are responsible for.
Who sees a pattern here?
This is what we/they are dealing with. The Oleander snake oil salesman, with a jesus-died-for-me cross carefully placed outside his top shirt button.
Even cows want touch Oleanders.
https://youtu.be/spouhfBiQjs
Confessions
“I think it’s good that the Democrats have downplayed the AOCs of the party and given airtime to disaffected Republicans. An endorsement from them is going to have more weight with swing voters than the far left ever could.”
Yes, from a strategic point of view, this seems obvious to me too. I can see why supporters of Bernie and AOC/the Squad feel miffed…. but this convention is all about winning the election.
Bonza
as a tweeted reply says…
Good to hear. As I said yesterday, at his age (his 96th birthday is in October), there’s a reasonable chance this will be his last election. It would be nice to hear his words at a convention at least one more time.
Having them miffed probably helps.
AOC is a powerhouse. She, amongst others, will help form the next phase of the party.
https://twitter.com/picketer/status/1295841342522667008?s=21
Scotty from Marketing bending the truthiness to suit his own agenda again:
Emergency&BushfireKits
@EmergencyBK
1/2 This morn on
@BreakfastNews
PM said responsibility for Aged Care, (normally w/ Feds) is the States during pandemic – WRONG!
National COVID19 Guidelines say…’the States will advise & assist..’
DOESN’T say they’re-Responsible, Manage, Oversee, Finance, Respond, Enforce etc..
Emergency&BushfireKits
@EmergencyBK
Replying to
@EmergencyBK
2/2 …Applicable Legislation-Aged Care Act 1997-says nothing about how to manage such situations, that includes or refers to States.
Either the Gov. doesn’t know how to interpret its own Guidelines and Legislation, or is purposely misleading – I’m going with the latter.
Lizzie,
I’ve been making my own since March including some for my OH from his old jeans. Tailored to fit his face , takes a bit of fiddling but the end result is worth it. Have had fun trying different patterns and fabrics…the internet has been our friend though the scarcity of decent elastic has needed some tweaking.
My OH has emphysema so avoiding the use of disposable masks for years to come was the motivation.
Alpha Zerosays: Wednesday, August 19, 2020 at 9:37 am
Pheonix,
216 cases, was 428 same time last week.
Hopefully it isn’t through a drop in testing by half to match the 50% drop in cases.
The signs are good though.
**************************************
Hopefully – with the lockdowns in place for a couple of weeks then maybe less people are feeling the symptoms that require testing ??? ….. fingers crossed !
AOC and Bernie Sanders have been brought inside Biden’s tent and they seem happy with that. They know that the best way to advance your agenda is to have a seat at the top table.
Cat
So mich for “radical” Sanders.
I agreed with his speech.
The future is wide open for progressives under Biden.
With Trump it’s literally looking like the Dark ages. Another Russia.
guytaur says:
Wednesday, August 19, 2020 at 7:40 am
Lars
I disagree with you on a lot of things. However the polling numbers are clear.
What Labor is doing now is failing.
It’s why I suggested a change. Demonising both the Greens and zone Nation has not won voters to Labor’s cause.
Official Labor (as distinct from faithful bludgers) does not demonise the Greens. The Greens do make a perennial habit of attacking Labor. This is how they make their political living.
Personally, i think Labor should go hell for leather after the Greens. They are the political descendants of Hughes, Lyons and Santamaria. They are an anti-Labor party and should be ranked among our enemies, along with ON and the LNP, for whom they campaign at all times.
.