Miscellany: Newspoll state leaders ratings, trust in goverment and more

A second tranche of Newspoll results finds Daniel Andrews taking a coronavirus-related popularity hit but still doing well in absolute terms, with Gladys Berejiklian also down from earlier peaks.

It is apparently the case that Essential Research will, at long last, be including voting intention when it publishes its next survey next week. I also gather that it’s back to a fortnightly publication schedule after going to weekly for the first few months of the coronavirus crisis.

Also:

• My Newspoll post on Sunday night noted that the sample was an unusually high 1850, compared with the more normal 1500 to 1600. It turns out that this was done to juice up the New South Wales and Victorian sub-samples to 601 and 605 respectively, allowing The Australian to run a follow-up yesterday on the respective state governments’ handling of coronavirus. This predictably found a decline in Daniel Andrews’ numbers, though they remain high in absolute terms, with his approval down ten since a June 24-28 poll to 57%, and disapproval up the same amount to 37%. However, Gladys Berejiklian was also down four on approval to 64% and up four on disapproval to 30%, suggesting part of Andrews’ fall was purely gravitational. Andrews is still rated as having handled the virus well by 61% and poorly by 36%, compared with 72% and 25% from June 24-28 and 85% and 11% from April 21-26. However, the decline has been concentrated in the “very well” response, which has progressed from 51% to 32% to 27%. Berejiklian is at 68% for well (down eleven) and 26% for poorly (up ten). Scott Morrison is now doing better than both, at 72% well (down seven) and 24% poorly (up six) in New South Wales and 77% well (down four) and 20% poorly (up three) in Victoria. Results at national level found 76% saying they were more concerned about moving too quickly to relax lockdowns and restrictions, up four from May 13-16, compared with 20% saying they were more concerned about moving too slowly, down four. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday.

• An academic survey conducted by the Democracy 2025 project, encompassing the United States, United Kingdom and Italy as well as Australia, records a dramatic increase in trust in the federal government (54%, compared with 29% in last year’s post-election Australian Election Study survey) and the public service (up from 38% to 54%), with smaller improvements recorded for the media (television up seven to 39%, newspapers up eight to 37% and radio up three to 41%). The survey was conducted from a sample of 1059 in May and June – small-sample state breakdowns provide another increment of evidence that Western Australia’s government is doing best of all out of the crisis.

• The Victorian Liberals have been spruiking internal robo-polling, apparently commissioned by Senator James Patterson, showing 65% to 70% disapproval of state government agreements with China as part of the latter’s “Belt and Road” initiative, based on a sample of 7000 respondents across seven marginal Labor-held seats.

• South Australian Attorney-General Vickie Chapman has confirmed the government will proceed with an attempt to introduce optional preferential voting in the state. Labor and the Greens are opposed, which will leave the fate of the proposal in the hands of upper house cross-benchers elected under the Nick Xenophon banner. A blog post by Antony Green tackles the issue with characteristic thoroughness. I gather they have thought better of clamping down on the dissemination of how-to-vote cards at polling booths, contrary to earlier reports.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,045 comments on “Miscellany: Newspoll state leaders ratings, trust in goverment and more”

Comments Page 4 of 41
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  1. Apart from the bellowing

    Notice how when Morrison and his cronies are specifically talking to the coalition supporters , majority of times they always have graphs and charts .

    maybe that what Labor needs to do more if they want to win over the coalition supporters , is to bring out more graphs and charts

  2. Poroti
    Given the covid 19 infection precipice NSW is currently teetering on, continuing with the protest would be both irresponsible and stupid.

    Agree. Right message, wrong way at this time. They will do much damage to the cause they are trying to advance.

  3. I’m surprised Radio Broadcasting has survived this long seeing as how one can not communicate without seeing the full face.

  4. If NSW take off they will be cutting the grass for an excuse, a BLM protest would be just the thing.
    Is Alan Jones organizing it?

  5. Poroti
    “Given the covid 19 infection precipice NSW is currently teetering on, continuing with the protest would be both irresponsible and stupid.”

    A BLM protest now will do more harm than good to the cause. Stay home.

  6. Bucephalus
    There comes a point when it best to stop digging, you have made a fool of yourself, doubling down makes no sense. If your test yapping for Michael O’Brien, not a starter.

  7. 16 new cases in New South Wales – net 15

    Still gaily sauntering along the top of the precipice? Or has it plateaued? Time will tell.

  8. BLM protests have to do this:

    or something similar. It requires discipline and organisation but the effect of doing this is that it neutralizes the detractors of the message.

  9. If true. About bloody time

    casey briggs
    @CaseyBriggs
    ·
    8m
    twitter will no longer … actively promote qanon
    Quote Tweet

    Twitter Safety
    @TwitterSafety
    · 34m
    In addition, we will:

    Keycap digi

    No longer serve content and accounts associated with QAnon in Trends and recommendations
    Work to ensure we’re not highlighting this activity in search and conversations
    Block URLs associated with QAnon from being shared on Twitter
    Show this thread

  10. Berejiklian should be engaging with the organisers of the BLM rally to devise an alternative way for them to make their appeals. She has threatened to stop the rally. This is to substitute repression for solidarity. There has to be a smarter way for BLM to get the message out and that can certainly be facilitated by the Premier.

  11. Steve 777

    [16 new cases in New South Wales – net 15

    Still gaily sauntering along the top of the precipice? Or has it plateaued? Time will tell.]

    Defending itself tirelessly against the odds. If these are known link cases, then the tracing work is something to behold.

  12. Scott Morrison admits to wearing a mask

    Is there a photo Morrison in public wearing a mask ?

    Morrison is known not telling the truth

  13. Bucephalus @ #155 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 8:29 am

    I’m surprised Radio Broadcasting has survived this long seeing as how one can not communicate without seeing the full face.

    Well it’s influence is declining as more visual mediums have emerged.

    Do you find it easier to discuss something over the phone or face to face?

  14. AlphaZero…yes….there are lots of ways to stage a parade. There is nothing good to be said for inviting public fighting for its own sake. This will just damage support for the claims of BLM. We need to get smart.

  15. Shellbell,

    VH-OEJ is scheduled to depart Sydney at 2.00pm. Weather permitting, it will do a flyby of Sydney Harbour, CBD and northern and eastern suburbs beaches as well as a low level overfly of HARS Museum (Albion Park) where it will dip the wings in a final farewell to Qantas’ first 747-400, VH-OJA, which is preserved there.

  16. Wtf

    10 News First Queensland
    @10NewsFirstQLD
    ·
    1h
    BORDER BUST | Queensland authorities are searching for almost 200 interstate and overseas travellers who have vanished after giving false police details when they entered the state. #COVID19AUS
    0:13
    2.5K views

  17. Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 10:38 am
    Bucephalus @ #155 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 8:29 am

    I’m surprised Radio Broadcasting has survived this long seeing as how one can not communicate without seeing the full face.
    Well it’s influence is declining as more visual mediums have emerged.

    Do you find it easier to discuss something over the phone or face to face?

    Big fan of the phone – say what has to be said and move on.

    So many people are late to meetings- I leave if it’s more than 5 minutes. And don’t start me on Medical Specialists and GPs.

  18. Scott Morrison has dismissed calls for politicians to take a pay cut while parliament is not sitting as “clickbait”.

    The Prime Minister, who is paid $549,250 by taxpayers, said today that cutting politicians’ pay “wouldn’t help anyone”.

    And he appears to be on a unity ticket with Labor leader Anthony Albanese, who has previously shown little appetite to cop a pay cut for MPs.

    During the 2GB interview, the PM also reveals he has a mask and encouraged NSW residents to wear one on public transport and hotspot areas.

    “It’s the medical advice,” he said.

    The PM revealed he had worn his own mask to the optometrist and said voters could expect to see him wearing a mask at some point in the future.

    Won’t that be exciting for us!!!

    https://www.news.com.au/finance/work/leaders/scott-morrison-dismisses-calls-for-politician-pay-cuts/news-story/eb532e49a42c63bbe7d76bcb00d97d08#.r4nw5

  19. Bucephalus @ #173 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 8:44 am

    Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 10:38 am
    Bucephalus @ #155 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 8:29 am

    I’m surprised Radio Broadcasting has survived this long seeing as how one can not communicate without seeing the full face.
    Well it’s influence is declining as more visual mediums have emerged.

    Do you find it easier to discuss something over the phone or face to face?

    Big fan of the phone – say what has to be said and move on.

    So many people are late to meetings- I leave if it’s more than 5 minutes. And don’t start me on Medical Specialists and GPs.

    Maybe that’s because you have so little of consequence to say!

  20. Covid Aussie twitter page suggesting an uptick of 14 active cases in NSW which normally means that is the number of transmission cases.

  21. Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 10:38 am
    Bucephalus @ #155 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 8:29 am

    I’m surprised Radio Broadcasting has survived this long seeing as how one can not communicate without seeing the full face.
    “Well it’s influence is declining as more visual mediums have emerged.“

    And yet Podcasts are exploding and Long Form ones like Joe Rogan are super popular.

  22. So many people are late to meetings- I leave if it’s more than 5 minutes. And don’t start me on Medical Specialists and GPs.

    I changed because of mine. They were always late – then they got shirty when I called half an hour before asking if they were on time. So I told them I wouldnt be coming in and was leaving old Durham town.

    As for meetings. Big companies have too many useless ones. A friend told me it was my patriotic duty to walk out of the useless ones. So I did. It was liberating. Like doing a nude run…. or bursting out in song in a crowded elevator. And had a similar effect in that the activity wasnt universally appreciated.

  23. Bucephalus @ #137 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 10:15 am

    Victoria says:
    Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 10:04 am
    Buce

    “Obviously English comprehension isnt one of your strengths. Cos you are wrong.

    guidelines.

    Persons whose professions require clear enunciation or visibility of their mouth. This includes teaching or live broadcasting“

    I don’t include politicians hold press conferences in that definition. You may – I don’t. If they wanted an exclusion then put it in specifically.

    Buce
    He needs to have people that lip read follow what he is saying. Not all deaf/hard of hearing people sign.

  24. Victoria has hit a massively-high new coronavirus record, with 484 new cases recorded in 24 hours, The Australian reports.
    The previous record was 428 cases last Friday.

  25. Trump triggers outrage for giving best wishes to Jeffrey Epstein’s alleged sex trafficking accomplice

    There is an renewed interest in what has been going on in Palm Beach, Florida after comments Trump made at his first coronavirus briefing since April.

    “Ghislaine Maxwell is in prison and a lot of people want to know if she’s going to turn in powerful people,” a reporter noted.

    “I know you’ve talked in the past about Prince Andrew and you’ve criticized Bill Clinton’s behavior. I’m wondering, do you feel she’s going to turn in powerful men? How do you see that working out?” Trump was asked.

    “I don’t know, I haven’t really been following it too much. I just wish her well, frankly. I’ve met her numerous times over the years, especially since I lived in Palm Beach and I guess they lived in Palm Beach. But I wish her well, whatever it is. I don’t know the situation with Prince Andrew, I just don’t know. Not aware of it,” Trump claimed.

    Following Trump’s comments, there were questions over whether Trump would pardon Maxwell and CNN’s Jim Acosta said White House officials must be “tearing their hair out” over the comments.

    https://www.rawstory.com/2020/07/renewed-focus-on-palm-beach-after-trumps-controversial-remarks-on-child-trafficking-case/

  26. Bucephalus @ #178 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 8:51 am

    Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 10:38 am
    Bucephalus @ #155 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 8:29 am

    I’m surprised Radio Broadcasting has survived this long seeing as how one can not communicate without seeing the full face.
    “Well it’s influence is declining as more visual mediums have emerged.“

    And yet Podcasts are exploding and Long Form ones like Joe Rogan are super popular.

    I’m pretty sure that’s not radio broadcasting.

    Your lack of grammatical understanding is showing again. (You conveniently edited out my question.)

    Comparatives do not indicate an absence of a quality, but that one thing has more of that quality than another thing.

  27. Katharine Murphy
    @murpharoo
    ·
    5m
    The head of PMC says he didn’t check whether the sports minister had legal authority to allocate taxpayer funding for sports grants.
    @Paul_Karp
    is watching today’s hearing https://theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2020/jul/22/coronavirus-australia-live-update-doctors-morrison-face-masks-sydney-hotspots-nsw-victoria-national-cabinet-queensland-covid-19-test-latest-news?CMP=share_btn_tw&page=with:block-5f1788808f08f2d75cbbeeae#block-5f1788808f08f2d75cbbeeae #auspol

  28. lizzie @ #185 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 9:00 am

    Katharine Murphy
    @murpharoo
    ·
    5m
    The head of PMC says he didn’t check whether the sports minister had legal authority to allocate taxpayer funding for sports grants.
    @Paul_Karp
    is watching today’s hearing https://theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2020/jul/22/coronavirus-australia-live-update-doctors-morrison-face-masks-sydney-hotspots-nsw-victoria-national-cabinet-queensland-covid-19-test-latest-news?CMP=share_btn_tw&page=with:block-5f1788808f08f2d75cbbeeae#block-5f1788808f08f2d75cbbeeae #auspol

    Don’t look and you shan’t see!

  29. United States :

    Coronavirus Cases:
    4,028,569

    Deaths:
    144,953

    – 67,140 new cases and 1,119 new deaths in the United States

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

    Dr. Dena Grayson@DrDenaGrayson

    Awful news. The US reported >1,000 #coronavirus deaths for the first time since May 29. The 59,000 currently hospitalized #COVID19 patients is the 3rd-highest recorded.

    As I’ve warned, the death toll will rise further.

    So much suffering from @realDonaldTrump ’s failures.

  30. Simon Katich says:
    Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 10:53 am

    Completely agree and have done similar.

    The problem is that people just accept it.

    My wife’s Ob-Gyno was amazing- absolutely spot on time every time. The one time he was going to be late we got a call an hour before to arrange a reschedule. That was for four pregnancies and two births and it’s not like babies in labour follow schedules.

  31. PatriciaKarvelas
    @PatsKarvelas
    ·
    2m
    Concerns in Vic Govt that everytime the unofficial #CovidVic number is tweeted early there is a run on supermarkets etc.

  32. All the new cases in NSW today have been linked to known clusters. That’s good news.

    Still feels like the contact tracers are furiously defending their tryline while the virus keeps getting repeat sets of six.

  33. laughtong says:
    Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 10:53 am
    Bucephalus @ #137 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 10:15 am

    Victoria says:
    Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 10:04 am
    Buce

    “Obviously English comprehension isnt one of your strengths. Cos you are wrong.

    guidelines.

    Persons whose professions require clear enunciation or visibility of their mouth. This includes teaching or live broadcasting“

    I don’t include politicians hold press conferences in that definition. You may – I don’t. If they wanted an exclusion then put it in specifically.
    Buce
    He needs to have people that lip read follow what he is saying. Not all deaf/hard of hearing people sign.

    Check your TV remote for the CC button- Closed Captions exist to assist you.

  34. Bucephalus @ #192 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 11:12 am

    laughtong says:
    Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 10:53 am
    Bucephalus @ #137 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 10:15 am

    Victoria says:
    Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 10:04 am
    Buce

    “Obviously English comprehension isnt one of your strengths. Cos you are wrong.

    guidelines.

    Persons whose professions require clear enunciation or visibility of their mouth. This includes teaching or live broadcasting“

    I don’t include politicians hold press conferences in that definition. You may – I don’t. If they wanted an exclusion then put it in specifically.
    Buce
    He needs to have people that lip read follow what he is saying. Not all deaf/hard of hearing people sign.

    Check your TV remote for the CC button- Closed Captions exist to assist you.

    I haven’t checked, but not sure that live press conferences would be captioned. I think that is why a sign lanuage interpreter is present. The interepreter might also rely on being able to read facial expressions to some extent.

  35. Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 11:04 am
    lizzie @ #185 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 9:00 am

    Katharine Murphy
    @murpharoo
    ·
    5m
    The head of PMC says he didn’t check whether the sports minister had legal authority to allocate taxpayer funding for sports grants.
    @Paul_Karp
    is watching today’s hearing https://theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2020/jul/22/coronavirus-australia-live-update-doctors-morrison-face-masks-sydney-hotspots-nsw-victoria-national-cabinet-queensland-covid-19-test-latest-news?CMP=share_btn_tw&page=with:block-5f1788808f08f2d75cbbeeae#block-5f1788808f08f2d75cbbeeae #auspol
    Don’t look and you shan’t see!

    Yeah, that or it’s a reasonable assumption that Ministers are authorised to allocate monies that fall within their portfolio.

  36. Bucephalus @ #198 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 9:16 am

    Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 11:04 am
    lizzie @ #185 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 9:00 am

    Katharine Murphy
    @murpharoo
    ·
    5m
    The head of PMC says he didn’t check whether the sports minister had legal authority to allocate taxpayer funding for sports grants.
    @Paul_Karp
    is watching today’s hearing https://theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2020/jul/22/coronavirus-australia-live-update-doctors-morrison-face-masks-sydney-hotspots-nsw-victoria-national-cabinet-queensland-covid-19-test-latest-news?CMP=share_btn_tw&page=with:block-5f1788808f08f2d75cbbeeae#block-5f1788808f08f2d75cbbeeae #auspol
    Don’t look and you shan’t see!

    Yeah, that or it’s a reasonable assumption that Ministers are authorised to allocate monies that fall within their portfolio.

    Surely an investigation would be looking for the facts of the matter and not making their own assumptions.

  37. Bucephalus @10:49
    So many people are late to meetings- I leave if it’s more than 5 minutes. And don’t start me on Medical Specialists and GPs.

    People late for meetings is one of my pet peeves. Being punctual is an endless source of frustration. I once resolve to show up at all meetings 5 minutes late, the normal starting time, but couldn’t bring myself to do it. One bete noire is someone showing up to a 9:00 meeting at 9:10 with a cup of coffee they bought on the way. If they wanted coffee they should have allowed time to buy it.

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