It is apparently the case that Essential Research will, at long last, be including voting intention when it publishes its next survey next week. I also gather that it’s back to a fortnightly publication schedule after going to weekly for the first few months of the coronavirus crisis.
Also:
• My Newspoll post on Sunday night noted that the sample was an unusually high 1850, compared with the more normal 1500 to 1600. It turns out that this was done to juice up the New South Wales and Victorian sub-samples to 601 and 605 respectively, allowing The Australian to run a follow-up yesterday on the respective state governments’ handling of coronavirus. This predictably found a decline in Daniel Andrews’ numbers, though they remain high in absolute terms, with his approval down ten since a June 24-28 poll to 57%, and disapproval up the same amount to 37%. However, Gladys Berejiklian was also down four on approval to 64% and up four on disapproval to 30%, suggesting part of Andrews’ fall was purely gravitational. Andrews is still rated as having handled the virus well by 61% and poorly by 36%, compared with 72% and 25% from June 24-28 and 85% and 11% from April 21-26. However, the decline has been concentrated in the “very well” response, which has progressed from 51% to 32% to 27%. Berejiklian is at 68% for well (down eleven) and 26% for poorly (up ten). Scott Morrison is now doing better than both, at 72% well (down seven) and 24% poorly (up six) in New South Wales and 77% well (down four) and 20% poorly (up three) in Victoria. Results at national level found 76% saying they were more concerned about moving too quickly to relax lockdowns and restrictions, up four from May 13-16, compared with 20% saying they were more concerned about moving too slowly, down four. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday.
• An academic survey conducted by the Democracy 2025 project, encompassing the United States, United Kingdom and Italy as well as Australia, records a dramatic increase in trust in the federal government (54%, compared with 29% in last year’s post-election Australian Election Study survey) and the public service (up from 38% to 54%), with smaller improvements recorded for the media (television up seven to 39%, newspapers up eight to 37% and radio up three to 41%). The survey was conducted from a sample of 1059 in May and June – small-sample state breakdowns provide another increment of evidence that Western Australia’s government is doing best of all out of the crisis.
• The Victorian Liberals have been spruiking internal robo-polling, apparently commissioned by Senator James Patterson, showing 65% to 70% disapproval of state government agreements with China as part of the latter’s “Belt and Road” initiative, based on a sample of 7000 respondents across seven marginal Labor-held seats.
• South Australian Attorney-General Vickie Chapman has confirmed the government will proceed with an attempt to introduce optional preferential voting in the state. Labor and the Greens are opposed, which will leave the fate of the proposal in the hands of upper house cross-benchers elected under the Nick Xenophon banner. A blog post by Antony Green tackles the issue with characteristic thoroughness. I gather they have thought better of clamping down on the dissemination of how-to-vote cards at polling booths, contrary to earlier reports.
nath says:
Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 9:41 am
Why doesn’t Dan Andrews wear a mask all the time when speaking to the media?
_____________
probably for the same reason teachers are not required to wear them.
He’s not teaching a class of children.
I think Bucephalus performs a very useful task here. He lets us into the thinking of conservatives.
frednk says:
Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 9:40 am
Bucephalus you have to be a small minded Victorian Liberal.
If we are going to get out of this it has to be big picture big thinking, not small minded crap.
If I wanted yapping I would buy a Pomeranian.
Aren’t we all in this together? No? It’s not very together if Dan gets to decide when he does and doesn’t want to wear a mask and everyone else is forced to at all times in public.
Gladys Berejiklian still refuses to wear a mask
Buce
Nah hes only giving information on a daily basis that affects 6.5 million people, many of whom have many types of disabilities.
And clear communication is absolutely paramount.
But do go on making a complete goose of yourself as usual
Rules are rules except when you are Scott Morrison or Karen from Brighton.
Scott says:
Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 9:46 am
Gladys Berejiklian still refuses to wear a mask
She’s not required to by law unlike Victorians.
Lizzie
Yeah he does. And it confirms for me how idiotic they are in every way.
Bucephalus @ #96 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 7:39 am
It’s a staged controlled event.
Once he’s finished and moves more freely around he would have no excuses.
Buce
Do you even know the rules here in Victoria with respect to mask wearing.
Which as a matter of fact start tonight at 11.59
lizzie says:
Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 9:45 am
I think Bucephalus performs a very useful task here. He lets us into the thinking of conservatives.
As Conservative I’m generally in favour of the law being enforced without fear or favour. It appears Dan gets to choose when the law applies to him and when it doesn’t. If I attended one of his Press Conferences I would be forced to wear a mask. One in – all in.
Bucephalus says:
Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 9:47 am
Scott says:
Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 9:46 am
Gladys Berejiklian still refuses to wear a mask
She’s not required to by law unlike Victorians.
—————
But she still expects people on public transport in sydney to wear mask
Reminds me of the bullshit talk about the Andrews govt employing bouncers and paying peanuts.
The truth of how big security companies were paid handsomely and then devised a subcontracting arrangement exploiting workers and pocketing the money for themselves is the reality that hopefully is fully exposed
Trump correctly gets roasted for not wearing a mask – good. Dan Andrews doesn’t wear one – well that’s ok then.
Leadership- don’t ask others to do something that you wouldn’t do yourself – only reason I jumped out of a perfectly good airplane.
Buce
Do you know the rules for mask wearing in Victoria which starts tonight.
How about you tell us.
Lizzie
The amount of grift during this pandemic is eye watering.
Bucephalus says:
Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 9:53 am
Leadership- don’t ask others to do something that you wouldn’t do yourself – only reason I jumped out of a perfectly good airplane.
—–
Berejiklian telling people to wear mask and she won’t wear one her self
Bucephalus @ #114 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 7:53 am
Trump got roasted because he was visiting places and moving around in groups of people who were not maintaining social distancing.
Very different to a press conference.
Buce
Gotta say. You are not very good at trolling.
Great news re Cud Chewer, @Cat. Thanks for posting.
And I imagine Player One will be very happy with Cud’s explanation of that “rogue” R = 1.4 number that was discussed at length here.
The Ukraine out mad world’s the US of A…………..
………………………………………….
Hostage siege ends after Ukrainian president endorses Joaquin Phoenix film
A gunman in Ukraine armed with an automatic rifle and grenades has surrendered to police and released 13 hostages after the country’s president consented to his demand to recommend the 2005 film Earthlings starring Joaquin Phoenix
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jul/21/hostage-siege-ends-after-ukrainian-president-endorses-joaquin-phoenix-film
Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #120 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 9:57 am
I’ve seen people speak and wear a mask at the same time. It can be done. Should be done, too.
The corrupt foreign media own and controlled Morrison and his cronies
Are good examples of bad leadership and good definition of hypocrites
Want the borders, schools to open and forcing people into Mutual obligations, people are in no danger of the corona virus
while The corrupt foreign media own and controlled Morrison and his cronies
closed down parliament due to the danger of corona virus
Victoria:
“Do I need to wear a face covering at my place of work or my desk even if I am 1.5 metres away from others?
Yes, if you live in metropolitan Melbourne or Mitchell Shire you must wear a face covering when you leave your home for one of the four reasons, which includes working”
https://www.dhhs.vic.gov.au/updates/coronavirus-covid-19/face-coverings-1159pm-wednesday-22-july
My reading of it is Dan Andrews has to wear a face mask even during a Press Conference.
Confessions @ #93 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 9:34 am
I’d say he’s preparing a Submission. A big one. 🙂
Victoriasays:
Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 9:53 am
Reminds me of the bullshit talk about the Andrews govt employing bouncers and paying peanuts.
The truth of how big security companies were paid handsomely and then devised a subcontracting arrangement exploiting workers and pocketing the money for themselves is the reality that hopefully is fully exposed
______________________
The failure of the VIC state government to set up an appropriate quarantine system will be exposed. Not the pathetic attempts by yourself and others to shift the blame to security companies.
Buce
Obviously English comprehension isnt one of your strengths. Cos you are wrong.
guidelines.
Persons whose professions require clear enunciation or visibility of their mouth. This includes teaching or live broadcasting
Spray @ #122 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 9:59 am
Indeed. The CMO should not be in the business of promulgating nonsense just as a “warning”. Those numbers gave a very misleading picture of the respective problems NSW and Victoria are facing.
a r @ #124 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 8:01 am
I don’t see the need when you can control the situation and it does detract from your ability to communicate.
Communication contains more than just speaking and facial expression plays an important part in it.
The corrupt foreign media own and controlled Berejiklian and her cronies
Hypocrisy 1
Attacked Qld premier Annastacia Palaszczuk closing the Qld border , during the worst and deadliest outbreak of the corona virus Ruby princess
Hypocrisy 2
Did the same thing as QLD and closed the border to Victoria
Perhaps a little bit of reality and less wishful thinking.
It would seem the virus is highly contagious. You don’t need to start talking about a bit of nooky on the side. It is not aids. It pretty clear the people running security firms did not take it seriously enough, believed the Michael O’Brien ‘s of the world and not the CMO did they?
Masks matter, it was pretty bloody obvious, yes it was a mistake not to tell people make some masks and start using them, but even now we have the Andrew Bolts and Alan Jones’ of the world carrying on with their crap, and the Bucephalus’of the world trying to undermine public health with their yap, yap yap.
I would like to see the Business council face up to the reality, suppression leads to no local or international economic activity. Elimination will at least get the local economy running.
And what about this bullshit that kids don’t spread it. Close the bloody schools.
More reports on the radio this morning that VIC police refused to be involved in the quarantine system at its implementation. Why the VIC government accepted this and did not order their involvement is unknown. I’m not sure whether the inquiry will look into this aspect of the issue but they should as it is critically important as to what occurred.
Still think QLD premier Annastacia Palaszczuk is making a mistake if the QLD border is not shut to NSW again very soon
Last Qantas 747 leaving Mascot at 2pm ish.
A lap of the heads (on a typically sparkling Sydney day), down to Albion Park (not exactly sure why but a flight down the coast is a good thing), a wave goodbye with its wing and off to the Mojave desert.
Victoria says:
Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 10:04 am
Buce
“Obviously English comprehension isnt one of your strengths. Cos you are wrong.
guidelines.
Persons whose professions require clear enunciation or visibility of their mouth. This includes teaching or live broadcasting“
I don’t include politicians hold press conferences in that definition. You may – I don’t. If they wanted an exclusion then put it in specifically.
Under the bio security act (Federal )
Its the Morrison’s government responsibility to act on the quarantine situation in Victoria and any other states by offering AFP/ADF to the states .
If that was not offered before the States ,went ahead and hired private firms
Morrison and his cronies should be made to resign , but luckily for them the corrupt foreign media is the political propaganda arm of the libs/nats
The organisers of the BLM event in Sydney should find another way to make their statements. If the event goes ahead and is later found to be a source of covid transmission the standing and reputation of the BLM movement will be harmed.
The Right will seize any reason to attack BLM. So BLM should find another way. Maybe instead of assembling in one place, BLM can organise a long single file line march with participants walking or queuing at a distance from each other. Speeches can be be face-timed. People could still hold placards and use their handheld devices to listen/share the messages.
It’s very important for BLM to make their appeal. It’s equally important that the Right not be given avoidable opportunities to assault BLM.
My experience of BLM in Perth is that the recent protest, called and organised by the local aboriginal community, was a success. There was almost no police presence. The rally was very emotional and powerful, but social distancing was observed and there was no sense of disturbance. Quite the contrary. It was a peaceful event. This contrasts with occasional events styled as BLM rallies over the preceding few years. I always go to these events, but some of them were staged by clowns who really just want to start public fights with the police and make themselves the centre of attention. This should not be allowed to happen in Sydney. I don’t know who the organisers of the coming rally are. I hope they able to exercise some judgment about rallying during a pandemic.
The Shovel sums up Andrew Bolt’s puzzling view of Dan Andrews quite well:
“Victorian Premier Dan Andrews is responsible for the disastrous outbreak of the coronavirus which is nothing more than a mild case of the flu, Sky News host Andrew Bolt says.”
https://www.theshovel.com.au/2020/07/22/dan-andrews-is-responsible-for-the-covid-19-virus-which-doesnt-exist-andrew-bolt-says/
I don’t watch them, but does the PM have a signer at his pressers to translate for the deaf? If so, must be the most skilled in the world at interpreting word salads.
Bucephalus says:
Wednesday, July 22, 2020 at 10:15 am
A press conference isn’t a live broadcast?
I don’t know, you really do make a fool of yourself.
Yap, yap, yap , yap.
frednk
The biggest cluster in Victoria is centred on a school ,174 and counting so that is a bit of a hint as to the risks.
WA Police have been at the forefront in leading the Pandemic Emergency Response Teams and enforcement. We have an old fashioned no bullshit Commissioner who doesn’t bugger around with PC bullshit and other wastes of time but concentrates on good Policing.
Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #131 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 10:06 am
Perhaps. Though also, to the extent that controlling a room full of antsy journalists is akin to herding cats, perhaps not.
Wearing a mask seems like a simple and reliable solution. Or doing the whole thing as a teleconference where the speaker appears via video link to the room full of journalists also works.
Spare a thought for Buce. It’s quite understandable why a Lib ratbag would want to muffle Andrews. The question for the Libs is will their Victorian voices wear masks or not when addressing the media.
The Shovel is in good form today:
“The Coalition has followed the launch of its JobKeeper, JobSeeker and JobBuilder programs with a new JobsForMates scheme, designed to give a leg-up to struggling former MPs, staffers and donors.
The $2 billion scheme will help place eligible recipients in government-funded boards, advisory councils and diplomatic postings. Some of the money will also be set aside to help pay for vital au pair services for those eligible.
The Government says the program will help ensure the employment rate of its former colleagues doesn’t dip below 100%.
While the announcement was met positively by those within the Government, critics claim the scheme is actually just a re-announcement of an existing program which has been in place for years.”
https://www.theshovel.com.au/2020/07/18/government-launches-new-jobsformates-scheme/
NonSequitur
Given the covid 19 infection precipice NSW is currently teetering on continuing with the protest would be both irresponsible and stupid.
Bucephalus @ #137 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 8:15 am
So a politician’s job, especially the leader’s, doesn’t include educating the public and making announcements via live broadcasts. 😆
The world cumulative total of reported CV19 infections has passed 15 million.
The USA’s total crossed 4 million.
lizzie @ #141 Wednesday, July 22nd, 2020 – 8:18 am
They would have to be very nimble with their figures.
I wonder what the sign is for, WTF? 🙂