Newspoll: 53-47 to Coalition

After a long period of stasis, Newspoll credits the Coalition with its biggest lead since the first post-election poll a year ago.

After an extended period stuck at 51-49, The Australian reports a solid shift in the latest Newspoll, with the Coalition out to 53-47 from 51-49 three weeks ago. The primary vote shifts are a little more modest, with the Coalition on 44% (up two), Labor on 34% (down one), the Greens on 10% (down one) and One Nation on 4% (up one). There is little change on personal ratings, with Scott Morrison steady on 68% approval and 27% disapproval, Anthony Albanese down one to 41% and steady on 40%, and Morrison’s preferred prime minister lead out from 58-26 to 59-26. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1850, which is rather more than the usual 1500 to 1600.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,250 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Coalition”

Comments Page 17 of 25
1 … 16 17 18 … 25

  1. lizzie @ #793 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 8:57 am

    Droplet Sleeping Giants Oz
    @slpng_giants_oz
    · 17m
    We all know he’s big fan and its a petty thing – but signing autographs for a Sharks fan – do you think Scott Morrison realises he’s NOT actually a player.

    ” rel=”nofollow”>

    Love the way Scrooter’s got that little kid pinned back while he forces him to accept his autograph.

  2. lizzie @ #798 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 9:03 am

    @timdunlop
    ·
    12m
    Ugh, this is not the approach for Labor to take, imho.
    And as it happens, I wrote about why yesterday.
    https://patreon.com/posts/39471107 ($)
    ***

    Samuel Clark
    @sclark_melbs
    · 1h
    On @RNBreakfast, Labor leader @AlboMP focuses on the 900,000 workers who are paid more on JobKeeper than they were pre-pandemic. He says that overpayment has unnecessarily added billions to Australia’s debt. #auspol

    Because, and I haven’t read the Tim Dunlop piece, but Albanese is obviously heading off at the pass any attack from the Coalition that Labor would make the Deficit and Debt worse.

    Some people just do not think politically. At all. A lot are just outrage machines.

  3. Noely
    High voltage sign
    Volleyball
    @YaThinkN
    ·
    3h
    “…email account to help arrange an international speaker for a major IPA event, organise his own attendance at functions for IPA donors, and ask for a political endorsement from someone who approached him in his capacity as human rights commissioner.”
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/jul/21/tim-wilson-human-rights-commissioner-institute-public-affairs-ipa-solicit-liberal-party-endorsement

  4. lizzie @ #800 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 9:05 am

    Is anyone reacting to the billions of debt now? Surpluses are so last century when there is a pandemic to survive.

    Are you kidding!?! The Coalition would be onto any attempt by Labor to argue for more Debt, as bad as the Coalition has made it, like flies on a piece of meat!

  5. Andrews is lucky that the Victorian Liberals are largely ineffectual morons. That might be the only thing that saves his government.

  6. George Will reveals he is voting for Joe Biden — the first time he’s ever cast a vote for a Democrat: report

    Pulitizer Prize-winning Washington Post columnist will be casting a vote for a Democrat in November — for the first time in his life.

    Will was interviewed at the Aspen Institute on Monday by USA TODAY Washington bureau chief Susan Page.

    Page reports that Will said that will be voting for Biden and that it is the first time he has voted for a Democrat since he started voting Republican when Barry Goldwater ran for president in 1964.

    https://www.rawstory.com/2020/07/george-will-reveals-he-is-voting-for-joe-biden-the-first-time-hes-ever-cast-a-vote-for-a-democrat-report/

  8. Time for Labor to wake from it’s slumber and start reminding people – or telling those who never understood – that there were two NBN builds, Labor’s the good one, fibre to the home, and the Coalitions, bits and pieces of this and that.
    The shit is going to hit the fan soon and Labor must rekindle some enthusiasm for the project now while there is still time.
    There are a lot of dumbarse voters who think the NBN is just’another’ Labor stuff-up.

  9. C@tmomma @ #800 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 7:08 am

    lizzie @ #798 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 9:03 am

    @timdunlop
    ·
    12m
    Ugh, this is not the approach for Labor to take, imho.
    And as it happens, I wrote about why yesterday.
    https://patreon.com/posts/39471107 ($)
    ***

    Samuel Clark
    @sclark_melbs
    · 1h
    On @RNBreakfast, Labor leader @AlboMP focuses on the 900,000 workers who are paid more on JobKeeper than they were pre-pandemic. He says that overpayment has unnecessarily added billions to Australia’s debt. #auspol

    Because, and I haven’t read the Tim Dunlop piece, but Albanese is obviously heading off at the pass any attack from the Coalition that Labor would make the Deficit and Debt worse.

    Some people just do not think politically. At all. A lot are just outrage machines.

    That Labor is baked into the minds of a large percentage of Australians as both bad for the economy and bad at deficits and that the LNP are baked in as pay off debt, even though this is the opposite to the reality.

    This kicking at some of the poorest and the most vulnerable Australians, with the old neocon ‘welfare queen’ lie will have no impact on the baked in beliefs and will make intelligent Labor supporters doubt their own team.

    I know it could be argued those of us still with team labor aren’t very intelligent and are just masochists who love losing, but still it seems an insanely bad, neocon idiocy Albo is indulging in mainly for the benefit of the media personality class, who he can never win over anyway.

  12. Just reading that Guardian article on Presidential Executive Orders.

    If I understood it correctly, Trump’s lawyers are arguing that the President can issue an EO instructing the Justice Department not to enforce certain laws.

    Apparently it takes ~2 years for Congress or succeeding Presidents to pass laws or take other action that reviews (in order to avoid or negate) such EOs.

    It’s a complicated legal argument that seeks to give the President the power to effectively rule by decree in routine matters, above and beyond emergencies: in other words, dictatorship.

    I wonder whether Trump wouldn’t try this in order to absolve himself from prosecution, post- election?

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/jul/20/trump-john-yoo-lawyer-torture-waterboarding

  13. WeWantPaul @ #803 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 9:15 am

    C@tmomma @ #800 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 7:08 am

    lizzie @ #798 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 9:03 am

    @timdunlop
    ·
    12m
    Ugh, this is not the approach for Labor to take, imho.
    And as it happens, I wrote about why yesterday.
    https://patreon.com/posts/39471107 ($)
    ***

    Samuel Clark
    @sclark_melbs
    · 1h
    On @RNBreakfast, Labor leader @AlboMP focuses on the 900,000 workers who are paid more on JobKeeper than they were pre-pandemic. He says that overpayment has unnecessarily added billions to Australia’s debt. #auspol

    Because, and I haven’t read the Tim Dunlop piece, but Albanese is obviously heading off at the pass any attack from the Coalition that Labor would make the Deficit and Debt worse.

    Some people just do not think politically. At all. A lot are just outrage machines.

    That Labor is baked into the minds of a large percentage of Australians as both bad for the economy and bad at deficits and that the LNP are baked in as pay off debt, even though this is the opposite to the reality.

    This kicking at some of the poorest and the most vulnerable Australians, with the old neocon ‘welfare queen’ lie will have no impact on the baked in beliefs and will make intelligent Labor supporters doubt their own team.

    I know it could be argued those of us still with team labor aren’t very intelligent and are just masochists who love losing, but still it seems an insanely bad, neocon idiocy Albo is indulging in mainly for the benefit of the media personality class, who he can never win over anyway.

    …’even though this is the opposite to the reality.’

    At some point someone has to stand up for reality.

  14. Trump plans to send federal law enforcement personnel to Democratic-led U.S. cities

    WASHINGTON (Reuters) – President Donald Trump on Monday said he plans to send law enforcement personnel to some major U.S. cities, as a federal crackdown on anti-racism protests including use of unmarked cars and unidentified officers in camouflage in Portland, Oregon, angers people across the country.

    “We’re sending law enforcement,” Trump told reporters at the White House. “We can’t let this happen to the cities.”

    Trump, a Republican, mentioned New York, Chicago, Philadelphia, Detroit, Baltimore and Oakland, California, as possible places for sending in federal forces, noting the cities’ mayors are “liberal Democrats.” Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot frequently blasts Trump on Twitter.

    State and local leaders in Oregon, as well as members of Congress, meanwhile, have called for Trump to remove Department of Homeland Security officers from Portland.

    “They’ve been there three days and they really have done a fantastic job in a very short period of time, no problem,” Trump said of law enforcement sent to the historically liberal city to quell often unruly protests. “They grab a lot of people and jail the leaders. These are anarchists.”

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-global-race-protests-trump/trump-plans-to-send-federal-law-enforcement-personnel-to-democratic-led-u-s-cities-idUSKCN24L1ZN

  15. mundo @ #812 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 7:20 am

    WeWantPaul @ #803 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 9:15 am

    C@tmomma @ #800 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 7:08 am

    lizzie @ #798 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 9:03 am

    @timdunlop
    ·
    12m
    Ugh, this is not the approach for Labor to take, imho.
    And as it happens, I wrote about why yesterday.
    https://patreon.com/posts/39471107 ($)
    ***

    Samuel Clark
    @sclark_melbs
    · 1h
    On @RNBreakfast, Labor leader @AlboMP focuses on the 900,000 workers who are paid more on JobKeeper than they were pre-pandemic. He says that overpayment has unnecessarily added billions to Australia’s debt. #auspol

    Because, and I haven’t read the Tim Dunlop piece, but Albanese is obviously heading off at the pass any attack from the Coalition that Labor would make the Deficit and Debt worse.

    Some people just do not think politically. At all. A lot are just outrage machines.

    That Labor is baked into the minds of a large percentage of Australians as both bad for the economy and bad at deficits and that the LNP are baked in as pay off debt, even though this is the opposite to the reality.

    This kicking at some of the poorest and the most vulnerable Australians, with the old neocon ‘welfare queen’ lie will have no impact on the baked in beliefs and will make intelligent Labor supporters doubt their own team.

    I know it could be argued those of us still with team labor aren’t very intelligent and are just masochists who love losing, but still it seems an insanely bad, neocon idiocy Albo is indulging in mainly for the benefit of the media personality class, who he can never win over anyway.

    …’even though this is the opposite to the reality.’

    At some point someone has to stand up for reality.

    Reality has to be fought for consistently and in the frame you want to fight for it in.

    The debt and deficit frame is the LNP frame, it has been a huge winner for them, it has led to Govt subsidies flowing freely to the wealthy (eg franking credits) and pensioners literally being cut of with nothing and left to die. It is not a frame for the ALP to fight in.

  16. Tony Windsor

    The fires and Covid should be a wake up call in terms of our priorities.

    Instead of that, the LNP gov has its well-worn blinkers on and plods steadily down a path that will destroy us.

  17. This is another aspect to the covid app.

    Denise Shrivell – Anti-Fascist
    @deniseshrivell
    ·
    11h
    So a tech firm aligned to the Liberal Party has possible access to a data base of 6 million Australians? Well – there’s another surprise #not #auspol #qanda
    Quote Tweet

    Stuart Musgrave
    @stuart_musgrave
    · 11h
    App collects 6 million sets of registration data
    Legislation has few protections for registration data
    Developer has admin access to the database
    Developer has connections to the LNP…. twitter.com/deniseshrivell…

  18. Rafael Epstein
    @Raf_Epstein
    ·
    8m
    Today’s #COVID19Vic number is bad news.

    In the vicinity of 375. 3-7-5.

    Wear a mask.

    May shift a bit b4 official. Bounced up cos of nursing home numbers I think.

    Means we are still averaging 300 over 7 days. Means we are still going up.

  19. And add to the fact that Morrison and co spruiked it in such a way that gave people a false sense of security. Which is obviously what the intention was. Open up the economy and get everything back to normal.

    michael o’connor
    @michael47818552
    ·
    13h
    It’s like everything it does ends in a #rort. #reefgate
    Quote Tweet

    Nine News Australia
    @9NewsAUS
    · 15h
    #EXCLUSIVE: Nine News can reveal the #COVIDSafe app is costing us millions more than previously thought – and one of the companies involved in working on it has links to the Liberal Party. @jekearsley #AusPol #9News

  21. lizzie @ #808 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 9:13 am

    C@t

    I don’t think Labor is advocating more debt and the LNP hardly has a leg to stand on there.

    Oh yes they are. Continue to pay more to certain individuals who receive JobKeeper that were found to be getting more than their Pre Pandemic wage? That would instantaneously be bent out of shape by the Murdoch media as Labor not caring about budget restraint and, making the Debt and Deficit worse than it needed to be. In contrast to Saint Scott who, even in these worst of times, is showing budget restraint and judicious use of the Public Purse.

    That sort of stuff by Labor would just write itself. I can just see pontificating Paul Kelly getting a couple of thousand words out of it.

    You’ve got to remember that Albanese has two defectors from News Corpse on his staff and they have lived and breathed inside the belly of the beast and they know intimately how it ticks. So I just think they are giving Albanese judicial advice to not fall into any bear traps.

  22. Lizzie

    This virus is highly contagious.

    Son of my friend had not gone anywhere at all over past three weeks apart from attending gym for the short period they reopened. His friend also attended the same gym.
    Guess what they both have Covid.

  23. Just a quick comment on this proposal by super funds to change the way infrastructure projects are financed. In short this is a great idea. Splitting the big projects up into several smaller contracts and bypassing the big construction firms is exactly what is needed. Taxpayers will save money and there will be more work for local workers, bypassing the spivs. Well done IFM!
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/superannuation/2020/07/20/super-infrastructure-contracts/

  24. Aaron Rupar
    @atrupar
    “I don’t need invitations by the state, state mayors, or state governors to do our job. We’re going to do that, whether they like us there or not.” — acting DHS Secretary Chad Wolf

    Where is beowar now ?

  26. Obviously Buce can’t remember:
    Danny Frawley
    Jake Edwards
    Shane Yarran
    Rhett Baynes

    Others who have recently attempted suicide include:
    Majak Daw
    Wayne Schwass

    Mental Health and well-being struggles (especially post playing career) among professional sports players are well documented.

  30. Lizzie

    Yep. His symptoms are similar to a flu. So he is okay.

    Rest of family has to isolate for 14 days and get tested twice during that period. They are not out of woods yet due to incubation time of virus etc.

    Hence why I am still scratching my head as to what the NSW health chief said last week about people being infected and symptomatic within 24 hours.

  31. Victoria @ #829 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 9:41 am

    Alpha zero

    And sadly for Shane Tuck, he has been struggling with mental illness before during and after football

    And the Liberal troll who dropped the outrage bomb on PB has slithered off, probably extremely happy with his work this morning.

    Instead, we all just have reinforced in our minds what a freaking jackass he is.

  36. Thanks for your efforts, BK.

    Retaining the JobKeeper wage subsidy in its current form would leave Australia with zombie businesses and jobs, a Treasury review of the program found, while warning the scheme had unhealthy incentives which could hold back the economy’s recovery. It’s quite a balancing act all round.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/australia-will-be-left-with-zombie-firms-without-jobkeeper-change-treasury-20200720-p55dp5.html

    I made this point the day the scheme was announced.

    Paul Bongiorno writes that the Prime Minister is riding high, but it’s not getting any easier in the next phase.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2020/07/21/paul-bongiorno-pm-approval-coronavirus/

    Bongiorno is on the money here. The Morrison government has all the power and all the terrain, and all they have managed is a paltry 53-57 lead. It is only going to get harder for them.

    Some nicer news: went for walk with the kids through Whites Hill Reserve (inner south Brisbane) on the weekend and spotted a koala. Very pleasing.

    On Trump: My wife tells me that in the cognitive test Trump sat, the last five questions, which he boasted about, are what is the year, month, day of the week, day of the month and city you are in… *shakes head*

    Have a nice day, everyone

  37. Lizzie

    Yep. It is. I got the flu in early April last year. Before I had the chance to have a flu shot.

    It knocked me for a six.

    From what my friend reported, his symptoms have been body aches,cough and runny nose.
    And that he is already feeling better.
    I am actually concerned for my friend and her husband. They both have underlying health issues that usually come along when you hit your 50s.

    Sigh

  38. C@t

    I saw excerpt of presser by GBerejiklian yesterday.
    Quite a bit of mixed messages going on.

    On one hand, saying that to socially distance and stay away from crowds, but at same time, business as usual.
    Also recommends people wear masks, but not forcing them to do so.

  39. Vic,
    If one of the underlying health conditions is high cholestrol and your friends are on Statins then that may help them stave off COVID-19! They aren’t vaccine like but one of the effects of statins has been shown to make life a little harder for COVID-19 in the body.

  40. lizzie says:
    Tuesday, July 21, 2020 at 9:03 am
    @timdunlop·
    12m
    Ugh, this is not the approach for Labor to take, imho.
    And as it happens, I wrote about why yesterday.
    https://patreon.com/posts/39471107 ($)
    ***
    Samuel Clark
    @sclark_melbs
    · 1h
    On @RNBreakfast, Labor leader @AlboMP focuses on the 900,000 workers who are paid more on JobKeeper than they were pre-pandemic. He says that overpayment has unnecessarily added billions to Australia’s debt. #auspol

    I agree totally with Albo on this. The rules of Jobkeeper have created big inequities in work places whereby all employees must be paid at least $1,500 per fortnight regardless of their normal pay.

    I know of one case where part time permanent employees had their pay almost doubled under the rules of JobKeeper. I’m sure each person appreciated the extra cash but it was essentially taxpayers’ money wasted and the probable cause of unnecessary resentment in the workplace.

  41. Victoriasays:
    Tuesday, July 21, 2020 at 9:54 am
    C@t

    I saw excerpt of presser by GBerejiklian yesterday.
    Quite a bit of mixed messages going on.
    ____________
    If only she was going as well as Dan Andrews!

  43. “Environment! What environment? There won’t be any left!”

    ***

    Not if the environmental vandals and Adani apologists from Labor and the Coalition have their way, that’s for sure.

  44. Victoria @ #839 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 9:54 am

    C@t

    I saw excerpt of presser by GBerejiklian yesterday.
    Quite a bit of mixed messages going on.

    On one hand, saying that to socially distance and stay away from crowds, but at same time, business as usual.
    Also recommends people wear masks, but not forcing them to do so.

    Sounds very Trumpy. She also had this bit of Orwellian garbage to say about not notifying venues when someone tests positive at their business:

    NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian said in relation to that case the priority was ensuring the public found out about a potential exposure as soon as public health officers were aware of it. “To be absolutely frank, our biggest issue is to make sure the public knows about these venues as soon as we do so that they can take action,” she said.

    😯

    And if the venues don’t listen to every one of Berejiklian’s press conferences, they don’t find out!

  45. C@tmommasays:

    And if the venues don’t listen to every one of Berejiklian’s press conferences, they don’t find out!
    ____________________
    Bah! She sounds hopeless at governing!

  46. C@t

    NSW has the opportunity to observe how Victoria is playing out. They should mandate masks immediately to stop transmission in its tracks.

  47. nath @ #842 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 9:56 am

    Victoriasays:
    Tuesday, July 21, 2020 at 9:54 am
    C@t

    I saw excerpt of presser by GBerejiklian yesterday.
    Quite a bit of mixed messages going on.
    ____________
    If only she was going as well as Dan Andrews!

    Maybe even better:

    The licensee of an eastern suburbs pub that was visited by a person who later tested positive to COVID-19 says he only learned his venue had been exposed through the media and had to chase NSW Health to confirm the news.

    Jack Carter, who runs the Village Inn in Paddington, said he did not know one of his patrons had attended his venue while potentially infectious until it was reported by The Sydney Morning Herald at 9.40am on Monday. The patient attended the venue nine days earlier from 6.30 to 10pm on July 11.

    When Mr Carter managed to get in touch with the epidemiologist who headed the contact tracing group, he learned NSW Health had known of the exposure for some time.

    “We’ve got a very strict COVID plan and we really do go above and beyond,” Mr Carter said. “We’ve upheld our end of the bargain and acted very proactively and NSW Health have dropped the ball.”

    His experience mirrors that of C1 Speed Go Karting in Albion Park, where management also learned of a COVID-19 exposure through the media. NSW Health inspected the venue and recommended a deep cleaning, without informing management a patient had attended while infectious.

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/venue-forced-to-chase-health-officials-to-confirm-covid-19-exposure-20200720-p55dq2.html

    They’ve got one job to do. They can’t even do it properly. Not to mention they’ve already had one massive stuff-up with the Ruby Princess.

    But you go on your merry way and ignore all that. You usually do.

  48. “Do you have a subscription to The Washington Post? If you do you should read this:”

    ***

    Please tell me you don’t actually pay them to brainwash you. At least get your brainwashing for free and use a paywall blocker lol.

  49. Victoria @ #847 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 9:59 am

    C@t

    NSW has the opportunity to observe how Victoria is playing out. They should mandate masks immediately to stop transmission in its tracks.

    I have yet to try to make a sock mask. But I will before I go out again!

    Did you see Scotty from Marketing is still refusing to wear a mask or socially distance?

  50. C@tmommasays:

    They’ve got one job to do. They can’t even do it properly. Not to mention they’ve already had one massive stuff-up with the Ruby Princess.

    But you go on your merry way and ignore all that. You usually do.
    _______________
    I agree. Obviously the Victorian disaster means more to me. Let’s agree then. Both Gladys and Dan are fucking hopeless and their failures mean both should resign in disgrace. Can we agree?

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