Essential Research: leadership ratings and the return of coronavirus

The Melbourne coronavirus takes its toll on the standing of the Andrews government, and a small amount of gloss comes off Scott Morrison’s still-impressive ratings.

The Guardian reports that Essential Research, which a fortnight ago published its first coronavirus-free poll since January, has naturally revived its interest in the subject. The poll finds 36% of respondents rating themselves very concerned about the virus, up from 25% when the question was last asked three weeks ago. The state breakdowns have it at 46% in Victoria, though New South Wales isn’t far behind at 42%.

The poll also finds approval of the federal government’s handling of the matter down from 70% when the question as last asked three weeks ago to 64%, while small sample breakdowns concerning state governments’ responses have the Victorian government’s favourable rating slumping from 65% to 49%. Below are charts recording the progress of these results since the pollster first asked the question in relation to the federal government in March and the state governments in April, although at this stage I only have “good” and not “poor” ratings from the latest poll. Keep in mind that the sample sizes for the Victorian results is only around 275.

The poll also features the pollster’s monthly (actually a bit longer than that on occasion, the previous result having been from May 28-31) leadership ratings, which find Scott Morrison down two on approval to 63% and up one on disapproval to 27%, while Anthony Albanese is up one to 44% and down two to 28%. The latter numbers are rather a lot different from Newspoll, whose poll a fortnight ago had Albanese on 42% for both approval and disapproval. Morrison holds a lead of 50-27 lead as preferred prime minister, narrowing from 53-23 last time.

The BludgerTrack aggregates have been updated with these numbers. Essential Research should publish the full report for the poll later today.

UPDATE: Full report here. The federal government’s poor rating on COVID-19 is up four to 16%, while the Victorian government’s has doubled to 26%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,482 comments on “Essential Research: leadership ratings and the return of coronavirus”

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  9. “ Rex Douglas says:
    Thursday, July 16, 2020 at 7:14 pm
    Someone has to make a movie about the Charteris-Kerr relationship now that the letters are released.”

    Denied the chance to serve the Empire in India and tired of dealing with Phil’s dalliances, the peccadillos of the Royal progeny and generally keeping Liz happy, the chance to dabble in the affairs of a far flung colony and take the piss out of a jumped up Oik of a Governor General was an opportunity to good to miss for the young Chatteris…..

  10. Greensborough Growler:

    Thursday, July 16, 2020 at 7:27 pm

    [‘Fuck her and the camel she rode in on.’]

    I see you’re back to form. I consider that Ms. Potter’s apology is heartfelt. We all make mistakes in our youth, even, dare I say it, have you. Indeed, some make them in their dotage.

  11. Mavis @ #1363 Thursday, July 16th, 2020 – 7:38 pm

    Greensborough Growler:

    Thursday, July 16, 2020 at 7:27 pm

    [‘Fuck her and the camel she rode in on.’]

    I see you’re back to form. I consider that Ms. Potter’s apology is heartfelt. We all make mistakes in our youth, even, dare I say it, have you. Indeed, some make them in their dotage.

    Our blackboard Monitor arrives with his usual attention to procedural process.

  13. Lars Von Trier:

    Thursday, July 16, 2020 at 7:29 pm

    [‘What’s your problem with Gillard?’]

    I thought GG’s problem is with Ms. Potter, not Ms. Gillard.

  14. Dog’s Breakfast @ #1359 Thursday, July 16th, 2020 – 7:36 pm

    “ Rex Douglas says:
    Thursday, July 16, 2020 at 7:14 pm
    Someone has to make a movie about the Charteris-Kerr relationship now that the letters are released.”

    Denied the chance to serve the Empire in India and tired of dealing with Phil’s dalliances, the peccadillos of the Royal progeny and generally keeping Liz happy, the chance to dabble in the affairs of a far flung colony and take the piss out of a jumped up Oik of a Governor General was an opportunity to good to miss for the young Chatteris…..

    That’s a great premise 😆

  16. Greensborough Growler:

    Thursday, July 16, 2020 at 7:40 pm

    [‘Our blackboard Monitor arrives with his usual attention to procedural process.’]

    Nay, procedural fairness. Still smarting, I see.

  17. We watched Contagion again recently.

    For those who haven’t seen it, it’s the story of a highly contagious, deadly disease that originates in Hong Kong from bats, pigs and finally to humans. Some fairly gruesome ebola-like symptoms and messy autopsies depicted. That’s Hollywood for youse.

    In the movie, the CDC takes control (after some to-ing and fro-ing via an internet influencer peddling a phony quack treatment/cure), a vaccine is heroically discovered and finally things start to get back towards normal, after (presumably) millions die.

    When I first saw it a few years ago, Contagion seemed like a kind-of worst case, nightmare scenario. But at least sanity prevailed. The internet scammer got caught, knowingly peddling lies, the vaccine was developed (if outside strict clinical protocols), people worked together, medical scientists kept the road to recovery open and in sight. In fact, in the film, politicians did not play a part at all. It was a given that the White House followed scientific advice and did not politicize the disease.

    That was the movie. That was Hollywood’s take on what a contagion would look like.

    Compare it to the reality.

  20. ”Someone has to make a movie about the Charteris-Kerr relationship now that the letters are released.”

    Lars could do it. We’d need a few big time actors to play Gough, Malcolm, Kerr, the Queen, Charteris plus lots of bit parts.

  21. Greensborough Growler:

    Thursday, July 16, 2020 at 7:50 pm

    [Mavis is now confused.’]

    Mavis is only confused when GG is convoluted. Mavis now having learned of the third person via mundo.

  22. boewar

    I still hope you about, here is a good headline.
    CIA most likely behind APT34 and FSB hacks and data dumps:
    https://www.zdnet.com/article/report-cia-most-likely-behind-apt34-and-fsb-hacks-and-data-dumps/

    In an exclusive today, Yahoo News reported that the agency used its newly acquired powers to orchestrate “at least a dozen operations” across the world.

    The CIA was already authorized to conduct silent surveillance and data collection, but the new powers allow it to go even further.

    Some officials feared repercussions from foreign adversaries, while some feared the lack of NSC oversight. NSC oversight previously kept US intelligence agencies like the CIA in check when it came to orchestrating and approving cyber operations on foreign ground, making sure agencies like the NSA and CIA went through a due process that would sometime take years from the planning to the execution phase.

    The locations of these foreign CIA cyber operations are currently classified, along with operational details, but former US officials who have seen the presidential finding said the document listed Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea as targets, but also left the door open for the CIA to carry out operations in other countries at its discretion.

  24. “Albanese preparing for his first date in the regions…”

    He’s looking a bit better but wish Albo would get some better suits and lose 10kg or so. A return to the “Hot Albo” of his youth would be a real positive. Intrinsically he is a much more attractive character, both inward and outward than ScMo. Imagine him glowing with health and vitality, making witty comments etc on TV every day then being juxtaposed with the podgy and banal ScoMo.

    I would put in $5 to a crowd fund for a good tailor and personal trainer.

  27. Steve777 says:
    Thursday, July 16, 2020 at 8:00 pm
    ”Someone has to make a movie about the Charteris-Kerr relationship now that the letters are released.”

    Lars could do it. We’d need a few big time actors to play Gough, Malcolm, Kerr, the Queen, Charteris plus lots of bit parts.
    __________________
    I have so many projects to juggle, if we do get it greenlit we’ll need a cameo for William something akin to Stan Lee – perhaps he can be the newspaper seller who sells a copy of the Canberra Times to an outraged Richard Carleton on the morning of the Dismissal?

  29. Lars Von Trier @ #1380 Thursday, July 16th, 2020 – 8:10 pm

    Steve777 says:
    Thursday, July 16, 2020 at 8:00 pm
    ”Someone has to make a movie about the Charteris-Kerr relationship now that the letters are released.”

    Lars could do it. We’d need a few big time actors to play Gough, Malcolm, Kerr, the Queen, Charteris plus lots of bit parts.
    __________________
    I have so many projects to juggle, if we do get it greenly we’ll need a cameo for William something akin to Stan Lee – perhaps he can be the newspaper seller who sells a copy of the Canberra Times to an outraged Richard Carleton on the morning of the Dismissal?

    Groolwer murders the Director and gets away with it could focus your attention.

  30. Which long dead English baronet in the news this week had a personal motto on his coat of arms:

    Ecca Charta Mea

    It apparently translates less grandly to:

    I look at paper

  31. Historyintime:

    Thursday, July 16, 2020 at 8:07 pm

    [‘He’s looking a bit better but wish Albo would get some better suits and lose 10kg or so.’]

    Do you think it’s a matter of weight, appearance? Albanese did well to lead Labor to win the Eden-Monaro by-election, his approach, a steady pair of hands, absent the dramatics.

  38. Taylormade @ #1388 Thursday, July 16th, 2020 – 8:26 pm

    Pretty boring night on PB.
    GG every 2nd post – Yawn

    Where is Nath, Peg, Meha to liven things up ?

    nath: If Collingwood are playing, he’s watching the AFL. Maybe even doing it if they are not.
    Pegasus: has departed the blog.
    meher baba: has family issues to attend to at the moment.

    You know, people on this blog aren’t here simply for your amusement. Maybe you should go and watch a replay of the US Open on the Golf Channel if you need to keep yourself amused?

  42. Poor old South Australia the renewable capital of mainland Australia

    No wind
    No solar
    No battery

    6-20 pm AEDT 16-July 2020 is generating

    99% of its electricity from fossil fuels
    All that money

  44. You’re denying the future Bucephalus. Whatever slagging you put up here, it’s just refusing to accept the inevitable.

    We are a Type-0 civilization: still burning rocks, still fighting over territory, still denying science in favour of superstition, still worshipping spiritual beings that don’t exist, and never have.

    It’s got to stop. And it will.

  49. guytaur says:
    Thursday, July 16, 2020 at 6:53 pm
    Steve Davis

    Hear hear.

    This in a country that the Palace letters have revealed how the Murdoch media in particular with the LNP regard all Labor government as illegitimate.

    A grave danger to our democracy.

    …in the same way as the Greens and their collaborators also depict Labor as illegitimate and untrustworthy…..The LNP are not the only anti-Labor voice.

  50. It’s thought that as one ages, one should defer to the young. Dear old BB and dear old GG, for instance. I further note that a number of female posters think it’s best to yield to Alpha males – wrong. But that’s a matter for them.

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