Newspoll state leaders and coronavirus polling

Persistent high ratings all round for state Premiers and the Prime Minister amid the coronavirus crisis, but signs the current Victorian outbreak may have cost Daniel Andrews some shine.

Courtesy of The Australian, Newspoll offers a repeat of an exercise conducted two months ago in which a large national sample is polled to produce state-level results on the popularity of premiers as well as the Prime Minister, both generally and in their dealings with the coronavirus. While the results are positive all round, they find Daniel Andrews falling from a top tier that continues to include Peter Gutwein, Mark McGowan and Steven Marshall, bringing him about level with Gladys Berejiklian but still clear of Annastacia Palaszczuk.

Andrews was down eight on approval to 67% and up ten on disapproval to 27%, while Berejiklian was down one to 68% and up three to 26%. Allowing for small sample sizes in the smaller states, Peter Gutwein took the lead (up six on approval to 90% and down three on disapproval to 8%) from Mark McGowan (down one to 88% and up three on 9%). Despite continuing to trail the pack, Palaszczuk recorded the best improvement with a four point increase in approval to 59% and a four point drop on disapproval to 35%.

However, Palaszczuk remains the only Premier with a weaker net approval rating in their state than Scott Morrison, who according to the poll has strengthened in Queensland (by five on approval to 72%, and down four on disapproval to 24%) but weakened everywhere else (approval down six to 61% and disapproval up five to 35% in New South Wales; down seven to 65% and up four to 30% in Victoria; down three to 67% and up two to 29% in South Australia; down three to 70% and up three to 26% in Western Australia; down four to 60% and up six to 37% in Tasmania).

Andrews’ deterioration on approval is more than matched on the question of handling of coronavirus, on which he now trails out of the Premiers with 72% for well (down 13 points) and 25% for badly (up 14). This pushes him behind Berejiklian (up two to 79% and down two to 16%), Palaszczuk (up four to 76% and down one to 22%) and Marshall (up five to 87% and down two to 9%). Still clear of the field are McGowan and Gutwein, who are tied at 93% well (down one for McGowan, up four for Gutwein) and 5% badly (up one and down three). Scott Morrison’s ratings on this score are little changed, and remarkably consistent from state to state — Queensland and South Australia are his best with 84% well and 14% poorly apiece, but his weakest result, in New South Wales, is still 79% well and 18% badly.

The poll was conducted from a national sample of 2949, ranging from 526 in Victoria to 309 in Tasmania.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,085 comments on “Newspoll state leaders and coronavirus polling”

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  1. Lizzie

    Schools shut down last week due to term two ending for holidays,

    I wonder if Morrison knows that or thinks vic schools are still open like NSW. Which I believe their term ends Friday.

  2. Andrews fucked up if he simply contracted-out the security and hygiene functions applicable to quarantined persons and those responsible for their confinement. Punters are entitled to feel considerably irritated by fuck-ups. The costs of the lockdowns have been really substantial. These costs should not be incurred for nothing. The same applies to the failure to communicate effectively and provide follow up in the cluster communities/families.

    Victoria has been the hotspot for community spread all along. The lesson is that Covid19 is very hard to deal with. There is no room for complacency or wishful thinking or she’ll-be-right. There will be ongoing economic, social, personal and health-system costs resulting from the Victorian fuck-ups.

    That said….it’s not over til it’s over. Everyone can learn from the Victorian experience, including the Opposition and the Greens, who have been trying to politicise the covid19 responses…trying to frustrate the containment measures.

  3. c@t your excuses are lame. I have generally considered the Andrews government to be a good one. You will not find much criticism from me. But to me the quarantine regulations have been incompetently handled. I cannot believe they have been so negligent.

  4. At every stage the VicLibs have been trying to muddy the messages and destroy Andrews’ efforts. Morrison demanding action is not helpful.

  5. In the past 2 weeks NZ has had 25 cases of Covid 19 among quarantined returnees. Seven of them flew in from Australia. Which seems a surprisingly high number considering how low the rate is here. Unless they all flew in from Melbourne 🙂

  6. And also the hotel in question was emptied out in the 1st June of all those in quarantine for a deep clean

    Now there was one family who returned to find bed bugs in their room. But of course it could have been them that brought it back on the travels in their luggage.
    Cos if there was an infestation throughout the hotel, every guest would be complaining.

  7. Of course this issue is of concern to me because I live in Melbourne and have vulnerable family members. So excuse me for going against your propaganda campaigns.

  8. Lizzie
    Order the closer of all businesses in that location would be one way or they can isolated the area by limiting who can or can’t enter the area.

  9. Lizzie

    Exactly they were carrying on about the reopening of the economy and schools.

    Easier to blame front line workers who were tested at ths time, so it was contained to their cluster

    As usual the useless idiots who dont have any care or responsibility, bark from the sidelines.
    Waste of space

  10. lizzie

    Scrott from almost the start has been pushing “open up open up” .Early on he often used the arse covering “when it is safe to do so”. States were bastards if they “stayed under the doona” and they were bastards if it turned to custard when they did what Scrott wanted.

  11. Paroti
    I think most of the NZ cases only transited through Australia. The majority seem to have started their journey in South Asia

  12. South Australia has abandoned its decision to open its border with Victoria to travellers from July 20 because of an ongoing surge in coronavirus cases in the eastern state.

    The decision reverses the commitment the SA Government made last week to a full border re-opening for all domestic borders on July 20.

    SA Premier Steven Marshall said the move was to protect South Australians, and the risks posed by Victoria could not be ignore

  13. Mexicanbeemer

    I don’t think most people limit their shopping to their ‘suburb’, so limiting travel would be the only way. A very ‘nice’ (old meaning) problem for Andrews.

  14. The virus transcends politics. It has a life of its own. Attempts to politicise – or to apply political calculation – during a pandemic are just idiotic. The stand out examples are the US, Brazil and UK, where viral-denial have simply led to chaos. The same will apply here. The disease has to be dealt with medically and on public-health principles. Anything else will fail.

    If there is one very obvious conclusion to draw from our own experiences, it is that the ability of the States to exercise their own legal rights has been invaluable. We are very lucky, for example, that in WA, we’ve been able to detain/quarantine traffic from other states. If we did not have this capacity we would probably now be experiencing the knock-on effects of community transmission in Victoria.

  15. Victoria says:
    Tuesday, June 30, 2020 at 11:33 am

    I agree wholehearted with SA decision to keep its borders closed to Victoria
    _______________
    It’s a shame you don’t agree with the same strictness in relation to hotels full of possible COVID.

  16. lizzie @ #114 Tuesday, June 30th, 2020 – 11:32 am

    Mexicanbeemer

    I don’t think most people limit their shopping to their ‘suburb’, so limiting travel would be the only way. A very ‘nice’ (old meaning) problem for Andrews.

    We are in a Council area (Hume) that was being identified as a hotspot. However the real involved suburbs are many ks away from us in Sunbury. Sunbury has many people working in different suburbs and limited facilities in the town. If they try to include us in any lockdown it will become difficult to manage for this reason, although there are only about 4 entry and exit points to the town.
    On a personal note it is my hubby’s 70th tomorrow and we are planning a lunch down in the city on Friday. I really hope that does not get disrupted.

  17. Has Scott Morrison and his chief/deputy medical officials who were playing politics rather than on health reasons resign yet

    They claimed there was no evidence for the borders to be closed by the states.

  18. a r : it is in what Victoria was responding to, which was this, originally to Barney:-

    Barney : imo, poll bludgers who want to protect themselves against damaging counterattacks from right wingers & extreme right wingers should cleave close to the letter of law & constitution in this case. there is no declaration of a state of war with russia so there is no treason under law or constitution. there is arguably a case for dereliction of duty under Authorization for Use of Military Force, 2001. aumf is the legal framework under which u.s. forces are deployed in afghanistan in pursuit of the “war on terror”. he is responsible to take all steps necessary to protect lives of americans, military & civilian, deployed under this law.

    -regards, a.v.

  19. nath

    So the Andrews Government just assumed private security companies were expert in hangling pandemics? Sounds like gross incompetence to me. These quarantined hotels should have been locked down harder than a nightclub.
    ———
    Even our dumb Australian Politicians should know if a job is important you can’t give it to the private sector to perform.

    They only do private “profit” doncha know.

  20. Virginia Trioli
    @LaTrioli
    ·
    51m
    Replying to
    @AlexanderDowner @QandA

    Alexander, to describe three thoughtful women calmly and seriously trying to contribute to public policy as “opponents” is all that’s wrong with politics now.
    And If it makes you feel better, when Labour was in power they also hated having their feet held to the fire on @QandA

  21. The Today Show is running a horrendous poll over on Fakebook asking if Jobseeker is making people lazy. 70% of their brainwashed viewers so far think it is.

  22. Oakeshott Country

    15 are listed as returning from India so they seem to have them separated from those listed as returning on flights from Australia. However 2 of those listed as flying in from Australia had come back from England via Doha and Brivegas.

  23. nath @ #108 Tuesday, June 30th, 2020 – 11:29 am

    Of course this issue is of concern to me because I live in Melbourne and have vulnerable family members. So excuse me for going against your propaganda campaigns.

    Lol. It’s a ‘propaganda campaign’ now if someone points out the inconsistencies in your argument? Oh, and fyi, I’m also in a ‘vulnerable’ cohort. Doesn’t mean I’m getting irrational and emotional though. I also have a son in America right now. This fact is also not making me spout nonsense here. Maybe you should try it as an alternative option, nath. Irrational behaviour makes fools of us all.

  24. lizzie @ #127 Tuesday, June 30th, 2020 – 12:04 pm

    The Today Show is running a horrendous poll over on Fakebook asking if Jobseeker is making people lazy. 70% of their brainwashed viewers so far think it is.

    Praise the Lord (of your own selection) for your information.

    I go now to hide under the doona until this latest outbreak of arrant effwittery passes. I may be missing for some time.😇

  25. The senate committee looking at the government’s Covid response is holding a public hearing today.

    It’s looking at the arts response from about 1pm.

  26. Victoria @ #136 Tuesday, June 30th, 2020 – 12:20 pm

    C@t

    Southern US states are now the ones dealing with huge spikes

    Thank goodness my son is no longer in Arizona! He’s now in West Virginia and is looking to go to the Carribean for 6 months now instead of coming home, as you don’t need a visa to go there. He just wants to keep travelling and his business is in his Surface laptop so can go with him wherever. It’s also going quite well, so he’s not running out of money.

  27. Clearly the situation in Victoria is very worrying and it shouldn’t be politicised. I note that today’s numbers aren’t out yet except for NSW (+5 – still just bouncing along at a handful, of new cases a day).

  28. lizzie @ #127 Tuesday, June 30th, 2020 – 12:04 pm

    The Today Show is running a horrendous poll over on Fakebook asking if Jobseeker is making people lazy. 70% of their brainwashed viewers so far think it is.

    I found it and voted. The % thinking it is, is going down. Also left a strongly worded comment about what rubbish it was. Lots doing similar.

  29. Re local lockdowns, those would be difficult. People will break them but maybe if we get 80%+ compliance that would help.

    Sydney might be easier to lock down – you could do it by closing bridges and choke points.

  30. C@t

    Pain makes me tired, then anger and frustration at the Morrison gov wakes me up!!
    I wish I could think of a way to beat the bastards.

  31. Frankly Trump and even Pence should do everyone a favour and resign forthwith.
    What a shit show

    Angry Staffer
    @AngrierWHStaff
    ·
    10m
    Trump claims that “intel” briefed him and told him the allegations weren’t true.

    Then he also RT’s this idiot saying that the NYT harmed an ongoing investigation that will now never be finished because of the media.

    That “briefing” was nothing more than GOP talking points

  32. Other social platforms such as reddit are getting busy too.
    Facebook being forced to as well as the changes Twitter has already made.
    The disinformation network is slowly being taken down.

    Kyle Griffin
    @kylegriffin1
    · 6h
    YouTube has banned several prominent white supremacist channels, including those belonging to Stefan Molyneux, David Duke, and Richard Spencer. https://theverge.com/2020/6/29/21307303/youtube-bans-molyneux-duke-richard-spencer-conduct-hate-speech

  33. Koalas extinct in NSW by 2050?
    I am certain that population pressures will be front of mind for the Greens when they campaign on this one.

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