Newspoll state leaders and coronavirus polling

Persistent high ratings all round for state Premiers and the Prime Minister amid the coronavirus crisis, but signs the current Victorian outbreak may have cost Daniel Andrews some shine.

Courtesy of The Australian, Newspoll offers a repeat of an exercise conducted two months ago in which a large national sample is polled to produce state-level results on the popularity of premiers as well as the Prime Minister, both generally and in their dealings with the coronavirus. While the results are positive all round, they find Daniel Andrews falling from a top tier that continues to include Peter Gutwein, Mark McGowan and Steven Marshall, bringing him about level with Gladys Berejiklian but still clear of Annastacia Palaszczuk.

Andrews was down eight on approval to 67% and up ten on disapproval to 27%, while Berejiklian was down one to 68% and up three to 26%. Allowing for small sample sizes in the smaller states, Peter Gutwein took the lead (up six on approval to 90% and down three on disapproval to 8%) from Mark McGowan (down one to 88% and up three on 9%). Despite continuing to trail the pack, Palaszczuk recorded the best improvement with a four point increase in approval to 59% and a four point drop on disapproval to 35%.

However, Palaszczuk remains the only Premier with a weaker net approval rating in their state than Scott Morrison, who according to the poll has strengthened in Queensland (by five on approval to 72%, and down four on disapproval to 24%) but weakened everywhere else (approval down six to 61% and disapproval up five to 35% in New South Wales; down seven to 65% and up four to 30% in Victoria; down three to 67% and up two to 29% in South Australia; down three to 70% and up three to 26% in Western Australia; down four to 60% and up six to 37% in Tasmania).

Andrews’ deterioration on approval is more than matched on the question of handling of coronavirus, on which he now trails out of the Premiers with 72% for well (down 13 points) and 25% for badly (up 14). This pushes him behind Berejiklian (up two to 79% and down two to 16%), Palaszczuk (up four to 76% and down one to 22%) and Marshall (up five to 87% and down two to 9%). Still clear of the field are McGowan and Gutwein, who are tied at 93% well (down one for McGowan, up four for Gutwein) and 5% badly (up one and down three). Scott Morrison’s ratings on this score are little changed, and remarkably consistent from state to state — Queensland and South Australia are his best with 84% well and 14% poorly apiece, but his weakest result, in New South Wales, is still 79% well and 18% badly.

The poll was conducted from a national sample of 2949, ranging from 526 in Victoria to 309 in Tasmania.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,085 comments on “Newspoll state leaders and coronavirus polling”

Comments Page 2 of 22
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  1. Max Boot
    @MaxBoot
    The US govt has known about the alleged Russian bounties since Jan without any response. During that time, Trump & Putin spoke 5 times and issued a joint declaration. Trump also invited Putin back to the G-7 & gushed that “we have this great friendship.” https://wapo.st/38bIcdR

    Trump, using the classic techniques of Double Speak. In plain sight saying what is true but not giving you the context or the subtext, so you think he’s meaning something else altogether.

  2. BK @ #48 Tuesday, June 30th, 2020 – 9:44 am

    A clip of Morrison’s smug and arrogant “There were no cuts. There were no cuts” comment yesterday about ABC funding should be mercilessly used by Labor and others to hammer him and his government.
    It’s a horrible, though familiar look.

    Another master of Double Speak, BK. No wonder Trump admires Morrison so much. And the feeling is mutual.

  3. Could we be heading for 100+ new cases in Victoria today?

    Is it true that NSW had police guard quarantined hotels while Victoria used nightclub bouncers and rent a cops?

    Andrews has questions to answer.

  4. C@t

    The elite have decided that Trump has to go.

    So there will be more relegations, ir confirmation of Trumps treason

  5. Zerlo @ #44 Tuesday, June 30th, 2020 – 9:36 am

    CNN
    @CNN
    ·
    10h
    BREAKING: Iran issues arrest warrants for Trump and 35 others in relation to Islamic Revolution Guard Corps commander Qasem Soleimani’s death, the semi-official Fars news agency reports. The Tehran attorney general says Trump was at the top of the list.
    https://edition.cnn.com/2020/06/29/middleeast/iran-arrest-warrant-donald-trump-intl/index.html?utm_source=twCNN&utm_term=link&utm_content=2020-06-29T13%3A35%3A07&utm_medium=social

    Shoulda waited until after the election. Who knows, a Biden administration might just play along with an extradition request. Iran making noise about it now, though, can only boost Trump.

  6. How is this for a COVID response:

    Seven contractors, including security guards, who were employed at the Rydges on Swanston hotel and one Rydges employee have reportedly tested positive for COVID-19, along with eight close contacts of those infected, since 26 May.
    A senior security officer who worked at Rydges told The Age that Department of Health and Human Services staff told guards to ration face masks and gloves due to shortages.

    Andrew Buntine, a supervising guard contracted to work at Rydges through security firm Elite Protection Services, told The Age health department officers who managed the hotel’s quarantine operation did not appear to have been properly briefed, and hygiene protocols were not clear.
    “Every day, things were changing,” Buntine told The Age. “The [department] officers really struggled to know what was going on and they were out of their depth.”

    Meanwhile, a worker at another quarantine hotel, who asked not to be named, told The Age she saw security guards wearing the same pair of gloves while touching detainees’ belongings, trolleys and lifts and accompanying them throughout the building.
    However, the worker, who reportedly rotated between quarantine hotels, said the problems were wider than security guards, claiming surfaces that had come into contact with infected detainees were often not thoroughly cleaned or cleaned at all.
    In addition, paperwork was passed between staff who had been in contact with detainees and those who had not.
    According to The Age, security guards are not provided with full personal protective equipment, such as gowns, goggles and shoe covers.

    https://www.travelweekly.com.au/article/melbourne-hotels-covid-19-outbreak-prevented-workers-say/

  7. Victoria @ #53 Tuesday, June 30th, 2020 – 7:56 am

    C@t

    The elite have decided that Trump has to go.

    So there will be more relegations, ir confirmation of Trumps treason

    alfred venison @ #43 Tuesday, June 30th, 2020 – 7:34 am

    You’re going to read and hear a lot of folks talking about treason. We don’t encourage that word’s use because it has a specific legal meaning related to traditional warfare; a formal declaration of war establishing a defined enemy is necessary to accuse someone of providing aid and comfort to that enemy.

    18 U.S. Code § 2381.Treason

    Whoever, owing allegiance to the United States, levies war against them or adheres to their enemies, giving them aid and comfort within the United States or elsewhere, is guilty of treason and shall suffer death, or shall be imprisoned not less than five years and fined under this title but not less than $10,000; and shall be incapable of holding any office under the United States.

    (June 25, 1948, ch. 645, 62 Stat. 807; Pub. L. 103–322, title XXXIII, § 330016(2)(J), Sept. 13, 1994, 108 Stat. 2148.)

    We’re not in a formally declared state of war with Russia; they are not a defined enemy.

    _____________________
    https://www.emptywheel.net/2020/06/28/three-things-bounties-bounties-bounce/

    Nice try a v. 🙂

  8. BK @ #47 Tuesday, June 30th, 2020 – 9:44 am

    A clip of Morrison’s smug and arrogant “There were no cuts. There were no cuts” comment yesterday about ABC funding should be mercilessly used by Labor and others to hammer him and his government.
    It’s a horrible, though familiar look.

    Labor doesn’t do merciless or hammering.
    Scrooter wins……again.

  9. lizzie @ #44 Tuesday, June 30th, 2020 – 9:38 am

    Blokey, bossy and unbending. Was Morrison ever any different? I don’t think so.

    Peggy Sanders @peggymel2001
    3h
    Morrison morphs into ‘Strict Father’ mode – » The Australian Independent Media Network

    The basis of the strict father model used by Morrison’s Regime is lack of trust, respect in people & control by fear and deceit. Very patriarchal & very misogynistic.

    https://theaimn.com/morrison-morphs-into-strict-father-mode/

    The punters love it. It’s called ‘tough’.

  10. @ScouseSocialism tweets

    I’m disabled. I’m on benefits.

    If the Labour party you’re offering is no different than the Tories, what’s the point? Last Labour govt. brought in the Work Capability Assessment, gave contracts to Atos and created a culture of benefits demonization.

    I don’t want that again. https://twitter.com/alfiewm_/status/1277745572334755840

    On a related matter.

    Congratulations to Linda Burney for calling out Morrison’s demonisation. Congratulations to Labor too. More please.

  11. Barry Tucker
    @btckr
    ·
    4m
    As predicted, visitors to Narooma for golf tournament emptied our supermarket of certain well known corona coma items before retreating to their own haunts.

  12. If you think Morrison/Fletcher are disingenuous regarding ‘cuts’ to the ABC budget, a short discussion between local journo Lliam Bartlet and one of his 6PR journo mates, Sally McManus, a few days ago, shows they are not alone.
    Having toted the fact that both had worked for the 7.3o Report on local Perth ABC years ago (and hence claiming this as some kind of insider knowledge now) they worked out that the budget had not been ‘cut’ at all, but that the amount of indexation on top of the budget had been reduced…(no problems there they thought) and thus the ABC were peddling false claims.
    To boot, they insinuated, the ABC and its current employees were a bunch of sooks….at least in relation to the tough, hard world of “commercial journalism” or some such they worked in.

  13. In the weeks since Minneapolis police officers killed George Floyd, the cultural shift in America has been swift. The TV show Cops was pulled off the air after 32 years. Police abolition, once a far-left pipe-dream, is now an argument given a serious run by establishment outlets like The New York Times. And there’s been a seismic change in public opinion, both on Black Lives Matter and attitudes to the police.

    But in Australia, where our public discourse so often swims downstream from the United States, sympathetic media outlets have quickly tried to blunt that narrative shift. Since protests around the country drew thousands, and pushed the issue of black deaths in custody back into the spotlight, Australia’s tabloid media has been awash with defensive, pro-police content.

    https://www.crikey.com.au/2020/06/29/a-thicker-blue-line-why-tabloid-media-is-standing-up-for-the-cops/

    Paywalled but this year you choose how much you pay.

  14. @jacksonw__ tweets

    APEC 2021, which was due to be held in NZ, will now be a virtual summit.

    Winston Peters: “For planning and security reasons, we had to make a call on our APEC hosting now. It wasn’t practical to wait for many more months till a clearer picture of the virus’ spread emerged.”

    @RoryMcClaren9 tweets

    BREAKING: @marshall_steven border changes won’t happen on July 20. ACT and NSW will be made independently. No date now for Victoria. #saparli #9newscomau https://twitter.com/RoryMcClaren9/status/1277760293800538112/photo/1

  15. The federal government is still to sign agreements with the bigger states to deliver its $25,000 homebuilder subsidy scheme nearly a month after its announcement.

    Treasury reported last week that it had received over 21,700 expressions of interest via its website by 12 June. This has since risen to 35,000.

    But the actual delivery will be via state agencies who must assess the applications to ensure they are within the scheme rules.

    Victoria is believed to be close to signing, but New South Wales and Queensland have expressed concern about the administrative burden it will place on state departments that are already running state Covid recovery schemes, bushfire recovery schemes and first homeowner grants.

    The homebuilder scheme is expected to be a financial boost to some of the major greenfield developers on the outskirts of Australia’s major cities, as they already have planning approval for houses to be constructed in new housing estates and can meet the scheme’s timeframes.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/jun/30/victoria-nsw-queensland-yet-to-sign-on-for-homebuilder-grants-stimulus-scheme-program?utm_term=Autofeed&CMP=soc_568&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1593477003

  16. It’s of interest to note the rationale argued by some to be the reason Roberts, CJ has sided with the liberal judges of late is that he wants to save the Republicans from themselves. My guess is that his personal reputation and that of the SCOTUS is equally on his mind, particularly as it relates to abortion. If a state’s attempt to outlaw abortion got up, the protests might resemble the BLM demonstrations. Presidents come and go but Supreme Court judges are there for life. Good health to Bader Ginsburg and may Roberts continue to save the Republicans from themselves until such time as the Democrats take the presidency and the Congress.

  17. From The Guardian:

    “… Liberal advertisements [for the E-M by-election] highlight the benefits of electing a representative who would be a member of the government, rather than the opposition.”

    Political thuggery at its finest: “If you don’t vote in our candidate, you won’t get the goodies we promised.”

  18. Pete EVANS
    @911CORLEBRA777
    ·
    2h
    ICYMI ; the Australian news crew that got plastered in the protests in front of the White House 3 weeks ago, have been testifying before Congress today

    cc
    @thespybrief

    @LouiseMensch

    @lauferlaw

    @DirkSchwenk
    Quote Tweet

    7NEWS Australia
    @7NewsAustralia
    · 4h
    A US congressional committee investigating police actions in a park near the @WhiteHouse has been told the “attack” on a @Channel7 news crew was unlawful. #7NEWS https://7news.com.au/entertainment/tv/aust-reporter-describes-dc-police-beating-c-1133390

  19. 5 new cases in NSW apparently all O/S returnees in quarantine. Under the new definition still 7 active cases I.e. 7 community acquired cases in the last 28 days.
    It is true that NSW has managed most of the returnees with security provided by the police

  20. Bushfire Bill @ #72 Tuesday, June 30th, 2020 – 8:42 am

    From The Guardian:

    “… Liberal advertisements [for the E-M by-election] highlight the benefits of electing a representative who would be a member of the government, rather than the opposition.”

    Political thuggery at its finest: “If you don’t vote in our candidate, you won’t get the goodies we promised.”

    As a former bellweather electorate, they’d be in a position to gauge how true this is.

  21. Don’t let your minds forget that whilst victoria is seeing a spike it’s probably not all Dan’s fault. People were too lax with their personal habits and thus community transmissions.

    Don’t forget Ruby Princess, that shut down the north west of tassie for 3 weeks and results in most of the deaths recorded so far.

    also, howsit that a boat just sails into Sydney harbor full of what unknown cargo and just loads tourists.
    Pol Potato has questions to answer on that one. but i suspect he’s in the clear. It’d take an opposition with the want to get him to actually get him on that.

  22. Victoria is believed to be close to signing, but New South Wales and Queensland have expressed concern about the administrative burden it will place on state departments that are already running state Covid recovery schemes, bushfire recovery schemes and first homeowner grants.

    Iow, Scott Morrison gets to bathe in the reflected glory of his largesse announcements, as evidenced by the results speaking for themselves, PPM and Approval Ratings. The States get to suck it up and do the drudge work if they want the money.

    Too easy for the Marketing King.

  23. It’d take an opposition with the want to get him to actually get him on that.

    You’re a fool if you think it’s that easy.

  24. nath @ #55 Tuesday, June 30th, 2020 – 10:02 am

    How is this for a COVID response:

    Seven contractors, including security guards, who were employed at the Rydges on Swanston hotel and one Rydges employee have reportedly tested positive for COVID-19, along with eight close contacts of those infected, since 26 May.
    A senior security officer who worked at Rydges told The Age that Department of Health and Human Services staff told guards to ration face masks and gloves due to shortages.

    Andrew Buntine, a supervising guard contracted to work at Rydges through security firm Elite Protection Services, told The Age health department officers who managed the hotel’s quarantine operation did not appear to have been properly briefed, and hygiene protocols were not clear.
    “Every day, things were changing,” Buntine told The Age. “The [department] officers really struggled to know what was going on and they were out of their depth.”

    Meanwhile, a worker at another quarantine hotel, who asked not to be named, told The Age she saw security guards wearing the same pair of gloves while touching detainees’ belongings, trolleys and lifts and accompanying them throughout the building.
    However, the worker, who reportedly rotated between quarantine hotels, said the problems were wider than security guards, claiming surfaces that had come into contact with infected detainees were often not thoroughly cleaned or cleaned at all.
    In addition, paperwork was passed between staff who had been in contact with detainees and those who had not.
    According to The Age, security guards are not provided with full personal protective equipment, such as gowns, goggles and shoe covers.

    https://www.travelweekly.com.au/article/melbourne-hotels-covid-19-outbreak-prevented-workers-say/

    And that’s the fault of the Victorian government and not the bloody useless private security firm contractors who didn’t provide their employees with PPE and expected the Public Purse to pay for it!?! A private company which won the tender, at the lowest bid most likely, who couldn’t even be arsed having a training day before they let their employees loose on the job so that they knew the correct methodology re PPE?

    But, hey, it’s too easy to take a swipe at the guy who’s got all the balls in the air instead.

  25. Melissa Davey
    @MelissaLDavey
    ·
    12m
    Victoria usually holds a press conference each morning with the latest case numbers. Today’s conference has been pushed back to late today due to an overwhelming amount of data the gov is working through, given mass-testing. I have been told it will be held later today, time tbc.

  26. Barney : imo, poll bludgers who want to protect themselves against damaging counterattacks from right wingers & extreme right wingers should cleave close to the letter of law & constitution in this case. there is no declaration of a state of war with russia so there is no treason under law or constitution. there is arguably a case for dereliction of duty under Authorization for Use of Military Force, 2001. aumf is the legal framework under which u.s. forces are deployed in afghanistan in pursuit of the “war on terror”. he is responsible to take all steps necessary to protect lives of americans, military & civilian, deployed under this law. -regards, a.v.

  27. C@T,
    Duts is a thug and a defence light weight.
    Labor could attack a lot on defence, but it’s ben cowed ever since BOATS.

  28. In every state in Australia except Queensland net approval for Morrison has declined going on the state breakdowns in todays Australian.

    Is it possible that the popularity ceiling has been reached for Scott as the lived experience starts to filter through ?

    At the very least it appears a “ national review” of the Morrison performance could be underway.

    Comparing the state breakdowns to the national approval stats for Morrison released in Newspoll yesterday leaves me with a headache trying to marry the two sets of figures together.

    I really must be missing something. National approval stats on the improve for Scott yet state breakdowns a different picture.

    Net satisfaction changes for Morrison state by state.

    NSW -11
    Victoria -11
    Qld +9
    SA -5
    WA -6
    Tas – 10

  29. C@tmomma
    says:
    But, hey, it’s too easy to take a swipe at the guy who’s got all the balls in the air instead.
    ____________
    So the Andrews Government just assumed private security companies were expert in hangling pandemics? Sounds like gross incompetence to me. These quarantined hotels should have been locked down harder than a nightclub.

    Considering we have shut down large parts of the economy and borrowed billions of dollars the quarantine regulations have been a joke. I’d like an inquiry. Why weren’t stricter controls implemented? Was it proposed? Who knocked it back?

  30. I am sure there is an explanation for this:
    SMH reports that 14% of students at Singleton High identify as ATSI
    At the last census the population is Singleton who identified as ATSI was 3.5%

  31. Until the USA gets its act together with respect to the pandemic. Together with Trumps disingenuous foreign policy pronouncements, and the transnational crookery, the rest of globe is not going to be able to proceed on a successful path.

    Michael Steele
    @MichaelSteele
    ·
    5h
    Oh please.
    The White House actually thinks Trump “was NOT briefed” on Russia placing a bounty on US soldiers is a better narrative? So their response is for newspapers to give back their Pulitzers for reporting on a story US intelligence warned them about. Good friggin’ grief!
    Quote Tweet

    The Hill
    @thehill
    · 6h
    Press Sec. Kayleigh McEnany: “I think it’s time that the New York Times and also the Washington Post hand back their Pultizers.”

  32. Has Morrison mentioned that he was bullied by his great friend Trump – perhaps too embarrassed to admit it?

    In hundreds of highly classified phone calls with foreign heads of state, President Donald Trump was so consistently unprepared for discussion of serious issues, so often outplayed in his conversations with powerful leaders like Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Recep Erdogan, and so abusive to leaders of America’s principal allies, that the calls helped convince some senior US officials — including his former secretaries of state and defense, two national security advisers and his longest-serving chief of staff — that the President himself posed a danger to the national security of the United States, according to White House and intelligence officials intimately familiar with the contents of the conversations.

    In addition to Merkel and May, the sources said, Trump regularly bullied and disparaged other leaders of the western alliance during his phone conversations — including French President Emmanuel Macron, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, and Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison — in the same hostile and aggressive way he discussed the coronavirus with some of America’s governors.

    https://edition.cnn.com/2020/06/29/politics/trump-phone-calls-national-security-concerns/index.html

  33. No, nath, they just thought the Security Companies would do the job they tendered for, competently. Anyhoo, now they have proven conclusively to the community what a bunch of incompetent shonks the private contractors are there will be no blow back if they employ the cops as NSW does, or enforce standards on the private contractors that have to be signed off on, like wayward kids getting their homework checked by the teacher, instead of marking it themselves.

  34. south says:
    Tuesday, June 30, 2020 at 11:02 am
    C@T,
    Duts is a thug and a defence light weight.
    Labor could attack a lot on defence, but it’s ben cowed ever since BOATS.

    Defence spending during Gillard’s term fell to its lowest level since the 1930s. The LNP have probably stuffed up the submarine program, but they can claim to be spending on defence. Labor’s defence and foreign policies actually lack focus and purpose. We live in dangerous times. This is self-evident. We need to do far more to identify, promote and strengthen our interests and capabilities.

  35. Donald Trump is the greatest mass murderer in plain sight of the people since Jeffrey Dahmer and Dr Harold Shipman. Combined!

  36. Has Morrison mentioned that he was bullied by his great friend Trump – perhaps too embarrassed to admit it?

    Will a journalist even ask him about it, more to the point?

  37. C@tmomma

    Andrews must be the only person on the planet unaware of the sort of people he would be dealing with by hiring “private security” .

  38. alfred venison @ #81 Tuesday, June 30th, 2020 – 8:59 am

    Barney : imo, poll bludgers who want to protect themselves against damaging counterattacks from right wingers & extreme right wingers should cleave close to the letter of law & constitution in this case. there is no declaration of a state of war with russia so there is no treason under constitution or law. there is arguably a case for dereliction of duty under Authorization for Use of Military Force, 2001. aumf is the legal framework under which u.s. forces are deployed in afghanistan in pursuit of the “war on terror”. he is responsible to take all steps necessary to protect lives of americans, military & civilian, deployed under this law. -regards, a.v.

    Yep, hyperbole and generalisations just provide a point of distraction away from the actual point trying to be made.

  39. C@t

    I have spoken to people in the know.

    There may have been breaches, but not for lack of training.
    In these situations there are daily meetings to go over procedures, errors made etc.
    Reinforcement and continuous improvement is part of the strategy.
    If staff have decided to be careless, or irresponsible, it is a shame.

    But if course, we have all and sundry speculating this spike is either caused by the following……

    Winter making it easier for virus to linger on surfaces
    Opening schools too early
    Opening schools too late
    Millenials not socially distancing enough
    Cultural groups having too many gatherings
    People going to work with symptoms
    Too strict lockdown
    Not strict enough
    Easing restrictions too soon
    Ramadan feast
    Sudanese families
    Security guards being slack
    Security guards shagging those in quarantine
    Security guards sharing cigarette lighter

  40. Father always knows best.

    Scott Morrison is urging Victoria to issue shutdown orders now or risk the coronavirus outbreak in the state getting even worse.

    The new shutdowns could force around one million Melburnians to work from home and not leave their local government areas.

    News.com.au has confirmed the Morrison Government has urged the Victorian Premier to act as the state confirmed 75 new cases of coronavirus on Monday.

    Around 10 schools in Victoria have now been closed for deep cleaning and contact tracing after cases were detected.

    Victorian Premier Dan Andrews has refused to rule out the shutdowns and an announcement is now expected today.

    “That is not our preference but we’ll do it if we need to,” Mr Andrews said.

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