With the excitement of the British election over and done with, now begins the extended nothingness of the silly season. A few points worth noting to keep things ticking over:
• A by-election looms in the Northern Territory for the Darwin seat of Johnston, not far out from a territory election scheduled for August 22. This follows the retirement of Ken Vowles, who has held the seat since 2012. Vowles served as a minister after Labor came to power in 2016, but was one of three members expelled from the party caucus in December 2018 over a feud with Chief Minister Michael Gunner. Labor held the seat with a 14.7% margin in 2016, an election at which it won the two-party vote 58.5-41.5. A heavy swing at the by-election seems inevitable, but the Country Liberal Party to this point appears to be dragging its heels on naming a candidate. Labor has chosen Unions NT general secretary Joel Bowden, a former Richmond AFL player who says he’ll be putting in a 100% team effort. Former Chief Minister Terry Mills’ CLP breakaway party, Territory Alliance, is running Steven Klose, who according to the Northern Territory News held the curious position of “political adviser at the Northern Territory Electoral Commission”. Also in the field will be Braedon Earley of the Ban Fracking Fix Crime Protect Water Party.
• In other by-election news, there isn’t any. Confident speculation a month or so ago that Eden-Monaro MP Mike Kelly would be gone by Christmas has less than a fortnight to bear fruit, and there also are no visible signs of progress on suggestions that Mark Dreyfus and Brendan O’Connor would be pulling the plug in Isaacs and Gorton.
• Michael Koziol of the Sydney Morning Herald reports on jockeying for the Liberal preselection in Warringah, where the party faces the difficulty of its branches being dominated by conservatives in a seat whose voters gave Tony Abbott the flick in favour of independent Zali Steggall. Included on the watch list are “NSW upper house member Natalie Ward, Menzies Research Centre manager Tim James, Downer EDI executive and former Scott Morrison staffer Sasha Grebe, as well as management consultant and NSW Liberal Party state executive member Alex Dore”, along with Manly barrister Jane Buncle. Mike Baird, former Premier and now senior executive at NAB, set the hares running when he declined on opportunity to seek the position of chief executive at the bank, but “several Liberal sources doubted Mr Baird would want to take the pay cut to go to Canberra”.
• A number of victims of the Liberals’ 2018 Victorian election disaster are identified in The Age as potential successors for Mary Wooldridge’s Eastern Metropolitan seat in the Victorian Legislative Council, following her retirement announcement last week: John Pesutto, Heidi Victoria and Michael Gidley, respectively the former members for Hawthorn, Bayswater and Mount Waverley.
Good morning Dawn Patrollers. A rather small and patchy collection today I’m afraid.
Jacqui Maley writes that week Matt Wade was the closest thing we could claim to an environmental hero.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/better-make-sure-that-canberra-bubble-is-fire-and-smoke-proof-20191213-p53jso.html
Ebony Bennett declares that Australia is a bludger on carbon emissions, not an overachiever.
https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6542354/australia-is-a-bludger-on-carbon-emissions-not-an-overachiever/?cs=14258
Matt Wade explains the two demographic tipping points that the world reached this year.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/two-big-tipping-points-in-2019-went-largely-unnoticed-20191213-p53jue.html
A thick blanket of smoke from the bushfires has covered Sydney while the leader of our nation seems to have no idea how to deal with the situation, writes John Wren in his weekly political roundup.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/wrens-week-scott-morrison-seeks-distractions-from-bushfire-aftermath,13410
Meanwhile Ffrefighters battling more than 100 blazes across NSW have seen their chances of respite vanish, with the latest weather forecasts predicting conditions will worsen again early next week as temperatures rise.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/state/nsw/2019/12/14/nsw-bushfire-conditions-to-worsen/
Promoters of illegal schemes for the early release of super can leave their clients with big tax-bills and possible financial penalties writes John Collett.
https://www.smh.com.au/money/super-and-retirement/warning-on-schemes-facilitating-illegal-early-release-of-super-20191212-p53jcp.html
The US and China may have settled their trade differences for now and the UK appears on course to leave the European Union early next year, but federal Labor insists the Australian government still needs to stimulate the economy.
https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6543394/labor-wants-stimulus-in-budget-update/?cs=14231
The Auditor-General has found that Australia’s refugee settlement program has not been properly managed.
https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6541002/refugee-settlement-program-not-properly-managed-audit/?cs=14350
Bevan Shields looks at who and what Boris Johnson is.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/cunning-skill-karma-boris-johnson-s-rise-proves-he-s-no-dunderhead-20191211-p53iru.html
While George Brandis said it was not “a race”, he believes Australia was well placed to be the first to strike a deal with Westminster.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/australian-trade-to-be-a-winner-in-post-brexit-world-brandis-says-20191213-p53jxb.html
Peter FitzSimons asks the question, “Aside from Tony Abbott, who will want to cling to ‘Little Britain’?” The other bits of his column are good too.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/aside-from-tony-abbott-who-will-want-to-cling-to-little-britain-20191213-p53jqp.html
Matthew Knott says that the Republicans are not napping but they are comatose on the Trump impeachment case.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/republicans-not-napping-but-comatose-on-trump-impeachment-case-20191214-p53jza.html
Why is the president of the United States cyberbullying a 16-year-old girl?
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/dec/14/trump-president-greta-thunberg-bullying
Cartoon Corner
In the UK with Peter Broelman.
I can’t work out whether Zanetti is pleased or not here.
Glen Le Lievre.
From Matt Golding.
From the US
Just like in Australia. And some people insist that Rupert has no influence on elections.
“We’ve taken on the Mail on Sunday and won. But the newspaper regulator won’t correct the story till after the election” Monbiot.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/dec/10/break-embargo-expose-press-lies-labour?CMP=share_btn_tw
Sounds familiar to the ‘Death Tax’ campaign by Morrison here. Same people ran Johnson’s campaign, so it figures.
C@t
Exactly so. The deception was not only to make up a lie, but to fight the author who tried to get a retraction until almost too late, and then the newspaper regulator wouldn’t correct it before the election. Is this corruption or not? I suppose not, because the newspaper would say they gained no monetary benefit from the lies.
Okay, so I’m going to be accused by the usual suspects of flaunting my Labor Party connections, but like I care what a Big Bully thinks or says about me…..
So, I can resolve this issue:
Mike Kelly won’t be going anywhere. So John Barilaro can put away the Nationals’ federal leader’s baton back in his knapsack. As I was told last weekend what the medical problem was that Mike had, and while not betraying a confidence I can just say that it was temporary, he is now over it and feeling as fit as an Eden-Monaro Mallee Bull. 🙂
I can’t speak for John Barilaro though I guess. He may still want to try his luck. 😉
lizzie,
The payoff for the malevolent Murdochs may be the Sky TV acquisition finally.
I thank you BK for the Dawn Patrol. ✔
Joel’, father Michael played in the 1969 grand final for Richmond and at least two of his brothers (Sean and Pat) also played for Richmond.
Michael Bowden has spent many years in the NT as a teacher.
Michael is fighting MND (the same disease as another great legend Neale Daniher). But, the progress of the disease is apparently much more rapid for Bowden.
As for Joel, his and his family’s good deeds over many years mean that he’ll be a pretty strong candidate for Labor.
“Unions boss says future up in air
Mr Bowden, a former AFL player for the Richmond Tigers and the current general secretary of Unions NT, hails from a deeply ingrained NT Labor family.
His father Michael Bowden was today bestowed life membership at the conference.
“Our family has been inspired by my father’s work, and my mother’s work — we’re a community-embedded Territory family,” Joel Bowden said today”.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-10-19/construction-union-nt-labor-conference-gunner-government/11620002
For GG.
Is the following statement another example of, as you say, ‘ a populist witch hunt’ ? :
“I cannot comprehend how any person, much less one with qualifications in theology … could consider the rape of a child to be a moral failure but not a crime. This statement by leaders of the Catholic Church marks out the corruption within the Church both within Australia, and it seems from reports, in many other parts of the world.” – Justice Peter McClellan, who presided over the Royal Commission into Institutional Responses to Child Abuse, in a speech to the Australian Human Rights Commission.
Or, perhaps, is the Roman Paedophile Protection Society just plain evil to the core?
Jeez the Coalition are the best economic managers (that the money of the wealthy can buy):
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/workers-set-for-more-disappointment-as-wage-forecasts-to-be-downgraded-20191213-p53jtt.html
Ruddock’s a dry old conservative stick, but I think he’s right this time.
“…If elections are won by lies, we find ourselves governed by liars. They won’t hesitate to ramp up their deceptions when in office.”
We, the British and the Americans live in mendocracies.
That last sentence sounds like ‘Mr Burns” was concerned about unintended consequences from the change. Finding out that what is sauce for the goose is sauce for the gander would be a terrible shock for all the ‘Lyle Sheldons’
steve777
It’s even worse than that, they are all ‘murdochracies’ .
yabba @ #9 Sunday, December 15th, 2019 – 8:23 am
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j8KL63r9Zcw
https://www.theguardian.com/business/grogonomics/2019/dec/15/we-need-politicians-to-have-the-guts-to-admit-its-going-to-hurt-to-fight-climate-change
Funny game AFL. You had Bowden kicking the pill to several generations of Tasmanian Liberal (Richo). At least north of the border they knew how to segregate the hoi polloi from the riff raff by playing different codes…
That is for consumption by us Australian yokels and simpletons. Rupert meanwhile has looked to what will become an increasingly important thing to global investors/finance/insurers etc etc
——————————————————————————–
News Corp to be carbon neutral
Rupert Murdoch says his company is committed to reducing its impact on the environment by cutting its global carbon footprint to zero.
https://www.sbs.com.au/news/news-corp-to-be-carbon-neutral
Australia’s biggest publisher News Ltd has announced that the company has become carbon neutral.
https://mumbrella.com.au/news-ltd-goes-carbon-neutral-38613
Well, Lindsey Graham certainly was prophetic back in the 1990. A Republican president facing impeachment for corrupt conduct certainly is a good test for Republicans!
https://twitter.com/NumbersMuncher/status/1205860463373963265
One day we might find out why he has done a complete 180 on Trump.
@barriecassidy
The appalling things you can say to people as long as they’re said “in good Faith.”
There. Fixed it.
I mean, that’s what it’s all about, Theology Uber Alles.
No Insiders? I thought they hadn’t done the end of year wrap yet?
Jeezus I hate the way they refer to Morrison as ‘scomo’ on Radio Nationl.
It
Really
Shits
Me
Last week was Insiders final week for the year.
Thanks BK for the roundup. As you say there is not much substance to report. Despite a host of unresolved problems, and a major international conference where Australia is being blamed as a blocker of progress, policy development has shut down for the year. Everything is going so great.
“It’s even worse than that, they are all ‘murdochracies’ .”
And the sitation won’t improve when Rupert finally rolls down the curtain and joins the Chior Invisible.
At least the USA has a substantial ‘liberal media’. Here, 70% of the print media outlets are effectively ‘Fox News’.
I would have thought that Newscorp would want to be taking all measures to maximise their carbon footprint because its plant food and to stop the next ice age and to support the coal industry…
Thanks, ‘fess. That’s right, I wasn’t at home. I’ll catch up with it on iView.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/lindsey-graham-not-trying-to-pretend-to-be-a-fair-juror-here/2019/12/14/dcaad02c-1ea8-11ea-b4c1-fd0d91b60d9e_story.html
The Democrats should keep the Trump impeachment alive in the House for as long as possible because no matter what the charges or how damning the evidence, the Senate will quickly dispense with it on party lines.
One of our local (though syndicated) radio stations plays an endless grab of Morrison ringing up the radio station and making a few jokes. It’s obviously meant to be a station promo, not a government ad, so I doubt it would be classed as even a ‘donation in kind’.
Imagine the screams if a media outlet did that for a Labor PM.
An Uncomfortable Time To Be In Politics (Or Anywhere With A ‘Climate’)
https://newmatilda.com/2019/12/12/an-uncomfortable-time-to-be-in-politics-or-anywhere-with-a-climate/
As usual, the Betoota Advocate says it best.
https://www.betootaadvocate.com/world-news/young-girl-having-opportunity-to-voice-concerns-is-child-abuse-says-pell-supporter/
Insiders, Outsiders: Media And Climate Change And Repeating, Without Question
https://newmatilda.com/2019/12/13/insiders-outsiders-media-and-climate-change-and-repeating-without-question/
National park eco-tourism developments taken to court, with states watching closely
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-12-15/private-development-in-national-parks-opposed/11800134
ScoMo has now been redubbed SmoCo.
It’s perfect.
Hi Cud,
Your summary of the transport situation is pretty good. Aqualung’s big concern is the fact that the busses are full for specific segments. You are correct about the high-rise housing being the complex in Waterloo near Danks St Coles, but also the infill between Lachlan and O’Dea, and Victoria Park in Zetland. The busses are heading out of the city towards UNSW, and they fill up at the first few stops near Bourke St, so that by the time they are near the Zetland high-rise they are full. They also go only every half hour, and so if they “bunch” you can wait close to an hour for a bus. It is just really poor planning.
Likewise, where I am, a few blocks west of Coles Waterloo, the busses heading towards the CBD are full by the time they get here of a morning. It is OK if you are fit and like walking, like I am – I often just walk into the CBD, but not everyone can do that, or has the time to do that between school drop-offs and start time at work.
We just need better planned timetables, but also more busses where they are needed – and light. rail would be even better, but it will still be as slow as the busses unless the frequency increases, or there are transponders on the trams to make the lights change as trams approach. And you are correct about walking paths needed to correct the high-rise bits across busy roads. Lachlan St is particularly egregious. There is no pedestrian crossing linking the shops and restaurants, and so pedestrians dart across 4 lanes of fast traffic. We have already had one woman killed by a car, but the state government refuses to put in the lights which were planned two years ago, but have now been cancelled. I fear there will be more deaths.
Let me know if I have not answered your questions – like you I am a public transport user and enthusiast, and am frustrated comparing Sydney to other cities around the world. I am also a keen cyclist, but have given up trying to get to work via bicycle. The police are. vigilant and fine anyone who rides on the footpath, no matter how respectfully or carefully. The roads are just too dangerous, and in 4 years cycling to UNSW from the surrounds has just about died.
Here’s something for some to get stuck into…
Is fragile masculinity the biggest obstacle to climate action?
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-12-15/is-fragile-masculinity-the-biggest-obstacle-to-climate-action/11797210
Just when I was beginning to enjoy the Enlightenment:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/dec/14/religious-discrimination-bill-what-will-australians-be-allowed-to-say-and-do-if-it-passes
Listen to this shit:
“A single mother who, when dropping her child off at daycare, may be told by a worker that she is sinful for denying her child a father (Public Interest Advocacy Centre)
A woman may be told by a manager that women should submit to their husbands or that women should not be employed outside the home (PIAC)
A student with disability may be told by a teacher their disability is a trial imposed by God (PIAC)”
My question is whether this statement passes muster:
“Any LNP MPs who vote for this wicked bill are evil, and deserve the Lord’s vengeance”
That cool by everyone now? Watch what you unleash here, SmoCo.
Greg Jericho
https://www.theguardian.com/business/grogonomics/2019/dec/15/we-need-politicians-to-have-the-guts-to-admit-its-going-to-hurt-to-fight-climate-change
“Sounds familiar to the ‘Death Tax’ campaign by Morrison here. Same people ran Johnson’s campaign, so it figures.”
***
100%
It’s clear that the far-right are willing to use any dirty tactic they can think of.
I find it amazing and rather stupid every time I read or hear about howAlbanese made the wrong decision in touring regional Queensland last week while bush fires raged across the country because “ it did not look good “.
What a crock of shit. So, with that thinking, every time bushfires cause damage anywhere in the country regional communities across Queensland and other parts of the country that rely on coal mining should be avoided at all costs because the “ optics look bad “.
How about if a cyclone hits North Queensland or if major floods strike Northern NSW or a natural disaster hit anywhere in the country ? Every time air pollution hits a major city anywhere in Australia ?
First response on the to do list ? Stay away from regional Queensland because the political optics are bad ?
What a crock of bullshit.
Team Trump are already targeting Democrats in those districts Trump won in 2016, esp those up for re-election next year. There are apparently 31 of them, with almost half yet to state how they’ll vote on the impeachment. Already there is one Democrat talking about switching parties, and Dem leadership reckon they’ll have up to 10 or so defections once the vote comes.
I think the longer this gets dragged out, the more those divisions will come to the fore with the possibility of more Democrat defections.
The Canberra Bubble is broken.
It is keeping out the rain.
The National Flag on top of Parliament House is shrouded in NSW smoke.
Smoko brings his own mirrors.
doyley @ #42 Sunday, December 15th, 2019 – 9:52 am
We’re now at a point where the irresponsible and reckless actions of the coal lobby and their parliamentary sock puppets can’t be ignored.
We’ve reached a tipping point I think, thank goodness.
GG
Who would you say has the greater moral authority,
Justice Peter McClellan, who presided over the Royal Commission into Institutional Responses to Child Abuse, or Cardinal George Pell?
What does your personal sky fairy think?
“ScoMo has now been redubbed SmoCo.”
***
How appropriate!
Good Morning
Glad to see the realisation about our media here. In fixing a problem the first step is acknowledging there is one.
The media is a very large part of why we had Labor lose the election after the leadership wars.
That same media is responsible for the voters perception that Labor is a threat to freedom of religion in Western Sydney and that you must support coal to block environmental action.
I think Katherine Murphy gets things wrong because she is inside the bubble but at least she is a different voice.
This is why I have argued that Labor needs an antitrust law. It forces media diversity without targeting media specifically.
With results similar to the UK with voters views about Labor.
The first thing Labor needs to do is get seats in south east Queensland. Convince Western Sydney that no Labor is not a threat to religion and most of all convince voters all the bad economic news is the LNP betraying them not Labor.
This is very hard when voters have over a period of years taken this narrative on board as told to them by Alan Jones Sky News after Dark and the like.
They are not low information voters they are voters in an information bubble who get their news from old media and Facebook.
For any message from Labor to get through that certainty the best bet is have media in their living rooms. That means Breakfast Television. That means appearing on Sky News etc. That means having a strong ground game in those electorates to counter the media in person to person conversation.
Zoomster has gone to very good descriptions of why people vote Nationals as has Gabriel Chan. In fact it explains the world view of Katherine Murphy. She grew up in that culture even if she did wake up it still affects her views.
Labor has to make a cultural impact so part of voters identity is not Labor and the Greens are same same and toxic extreme people. This starts with not accepting the Greens are extreme and going out there and doing the hard yards about why denying climate change is the real extremism.
It needs to be a campaign in the same way as has been done against anti vaxxers and tobacco smoking.
You have to change the narrative so people are open to hearing Labor’s message before voters will even consider it. You don’t do this by parroting the LNP lines like coal is good for jobs. What you are doing is enabling that very culture Alan Jones and the LNP have carefully groomed.
This ground work has to be done by locals too. It cannot be blow ins from the city. That is just the city elites talking down to the voters
Edit: Start with the firefighters.
doyley
As we all know the following spent six years Killing Bill: Abbott, Turnbull, Morrison, Murdoch, Di Natale, McCormack, Katter, Hanson and Palmer. Spot the odd one out. Haha.
They spent hundreds of millions of dollars Killing Bill.
They went about Killing Bill in all sorts of ways.
One of the ways they systematically Killed Bill: set up an endless series of spurious fake timing tests.
Which, lo and behold, Shorten failed every single occasion.
It turned out that it was never the right time for Shorten to do anything.
They are feeling their way with killing the Leader of the Opposition.
Morrison tried out ‘Captain Angry’ a few weeks ago.
Their focus groups will be telling Morrison not to be stupid about captain angry.
They (included here were sundry Greens) tried the old ‘zinger’ put down.
That fell flat.
So, they are working on how to Assassinate Albo but haven’t quite worked out how to do it yet.
BW
You give very good examples of why the LNP keep winning elections. Every day on repeat you tell people the Greens are extreme not the LNP
Edit: Oh and if you have any doubt about the power of this bubble. See Trump supporters in the bubble despite the much more diverse US media landscape.