Or maybe seven nights. According to Anthony Galloway of the Herald Sun, “speculation intensified yesterday about whether Mr Morrison will call the election tomorrow for May 11, or wait until the end of next week for a May 18 poll”. The latter would suit me better, if he’s reading. Liberal sources say the Prime Minister might be considering holding off “in the hope of a poll bounce after this week’s Budget”, which would be optimistic of him.
Also in the paper today is a rather unusual bit of opinion polling from YouGov Galaxy, which was conducted pre-budget – last Monday to Thursday, to be precise – from a large sample of 2224. The interesting bit is that Labor leads 53-47 on two-party preferred, discouraging the notion that the New South Wales election might have changed anything. However, the larger purpose of the exercise is to burrow down into voters’ perceptions of the party leaders, taken to include Pauline Hanson and Clive Palmer as well as the usual suspects. I don’t find this stuff particularly interesting myself, but there’s a lot of detail in the report linked to above, if you can access it.
UPDATE: The poll appeared not to provide the usual forced response follow-up for the initially undecided on voting intention, thus includes an undistributed 8% “don’t know”. The remainder went Labor 34%, Coalition 33%, Greens 9%, One Nation 8%, United Australia Party 3% and Australian Conservatives 2%. Excluding the don’t know component, this becomes Labor 37%, Coalition 36%, Greens 10% and One Nation 9%.
Victoria
I’m sure you’re correct about the “shovel-ready” articles in the RW press. No surprises there. And look how they protected Barnaby. 🙁
There have been a number of attempts against ScoMo (mostly, I think, on social media), but the attempts weren’t ‘sexy’ enough’.
lizzie @ #961 Sunday, April 7th, 2019 – 11:45 am
Sorry lizzie, I don’t mean to shout, but THAT is the real message. Worker deaths. Through cost cutting. Through deregulation. Through overworking. Through marginalization. Through trivialization. … I tried once to put a list together of workplace deaths, but I lacked the patience to dig out the information from the various government H&S websites, let alone to keep it current. The boy in Melbourne (I think) only last week was another, and too soon forgotten. The unions have a powerful narrative in worker Health and Safety.
sprocket_
says:
. Now I could actually tell you some stories about how many politicians get their own bags out of the boot of limousines, but I won’t. Suffice to say, that Bill Shorten is one of those.
_______________________________
Shorten is more cunning than most. He waits until he’s PM until he gets his bags carried. 🙂
And while we are on the avalanche from the Liberal Party Dirt Unit, including their outsourced providers NewsCorpse, bring it on, China.
One question though, why did the story about Scotty being sacked from Tourism NZ go quiet so quickly?
Peter FitzSimons
Verified account @Peter_Fitz
17m17 minutes ago
#auspol
Taxpayers foot multi-million dollar advertising bill in final days before election is called https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/taxpayers-foot-multi-million-dollar-advertising-bill-in-final-days-before-election-is-called-20190407-p51bnd.html … via @smh
Rex back for a spot of the old negging?
And succeeding, sucking in one decent person after another.
beguiledagain @ #989 Sunday, April 7th, 2019 – 12:13 pm
As was commented upon the in the long form article about the world Murdoch has crafted:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/04/03/magazine/rupert-murdoch-fox-news-trump.html
If Morrison and Co can maintain discipline and stay on message for 6 weeks, Labor might struggle to pick up more than 76 seats – a bare majority. However, there has not been much LNP discipline over the past 6 years, so there’s no reason to think anything will change over the next 6 weeks. The greater risk for the LNP is that their campaign runs off the rails – that’s how seemingly tight elections can turn into landslides, and there are quite realistic scenarios where Labor can end up with 90+ seats.
A R: “Other things can be bomb-like under the right conditions. Such as tanks full of petrol. “
Actually a tank FULL of petrol will be relatively safe – it’s the vapour that that’s explosive…
So the procedure for decommissioning an underground petrol tank doesn’t involve pumping out all the petrol and leaving the tank there (as it might contain quite a lot of vapour). Instead if one must decommission in situ then, either:
– fill it with sand or concrete
– if it is to be re-used within a few years (e.g. two years), fill it with water and a corrosion inhibitor and monitor
Boerwar @ #998 Sunday, April 7th, 2019 – 12:19 pm
Not me. I took your advice. 🙂
As usual, David Rowe draws what everyone else is thinking…
Well, good on you, Cat.
Chinda63 @ #976 Sunday, April 7th, 2019 – 11:57 am
By quoting stuff from twitter on a blog mostly frequented by ALP supporters?
Nup!
Get out there and campaign as some of us here are doing. Door knocking, phone banking, street stalls, railway stations… out among the voters.
Rex Douglas @ #977 Sunday, April 7th, 2019 – 11:58 am
Oh right!
Then the Greens own the very worst behaviour of any Greens member.
Thanks for the clarification Rex.
The ‘Fizza’ guy has one for Scrott.
:
So much to see in a Rowe. But who is the rabbit beside Pauline?
They should have hooked up to the MSM – an endless source of spin.
I suspect the budget, especially after Shorten’s reply has not moved the polls much at all, if any.
So 53/47 for both – just so Williams Poll Bludger chart can flatten out a bit.
Victoria @ #985 Sunday, April 7th, 2019 – 12:06 pm
That’s the CFMMEU.
The CFMEU no longer exists.
The campaign for the north continues…today, as most days, in territory held by the Libs. The prospects are very good!!
It’s really very heartening. We say we hope for change and appeal for the help of voters. They enlist for change. It’s a great thing.
Late Riser @ #1007 Sunday, April 7th, 2019 – 10:32 am
And what is the significance of the acronym on Josh’s suspenders?
Who put the red stiletto in Corman’s head?
Who is peering through the door?
What is Barnyard doing with those dead fish?
Fess
AC/DC back in black
I love the red shoe in Cormann’s head. Obviously JBishop getting her own back on her way out the door.
‘Late Riser says:
Sunday, April 7, 2019 at 12:32 pm
So much to see in a Rowe. But who is the rabbit beside Pauline?’
Easter Bunny?
I do like dead carp Joyce.
LR,
54 for the good guys in both. Ta.
Confessions
AC/DC -Back in Black.
sprocket:
I see it now. I’d read the lightning bolt as the letter N for some reason.
Angus Taylor, making a play for the duddest reject ever from McKinseys, is putting dark shading under his eyes
Confessions @ #1013 Sunday, April 7th, 2019 – 12:36 pm
That’s AC/DC “Back In Black”, I think.
poroti
There is a cartload of symbolism attached to the ‘sacred heart’ onto which has been photoshopped a lump of coal.
chttps://aleteia.org/2018/06/08/explaining-the-strange-symbolism-of-the-sacred-heart/
‘Late Riser says:
Sunday, April 7, 2019 at 12:32 pm
So much to see in a Rowe. But who is the rabbit beside Pauline?’
___________________________________
It could be Hanson going down the rabbit hole in pursuit of the Port Arthur conspiracy.
It could be referring to Pauline Hanson’s call 2 years ago to boycott Halal easter eggs.
It could be a Donnie Darko reference whereby the rabbit has been sent to correct the present timeline by making sure a jet engine lands on Pauline before 1996.
I trust you all noted the rather gloomy expression on the face of the pig in the foreground?
Could the white rabbit be that Dickson fellow?
nath
Hanson has a gun so I’ll go with your a) Port Arthur
EGW
Oops correct. Force of habit. CFMMEU is correct.
Since amalgamation of maritime union etc.
Last one on Rowe. I love Julie’s discarded dress and shoe, but what is written on Abbott’s smugglers?
Another comment on the Rowe cartoon. That’s the Carlton FC symbol on Frydenberg’s arm.
Frydenberg is a Carlton FC supporter. Carlton is better known colloquially as ‘The Silver Spoons’, ‘The Filth’ or the ‘Pig’s Arse’.
After three rounds of footy they are three nil.
Aside from all the taxpayer funded advertising next week, there could be another reason why Morrison is delaying the election.
The LNP would surely have received the results of internal polling following the budget speech last Tuesday. That polling could have been unfavourable for the LNP, indicating a poorly received budget. So Morrison would be trying to delay the inevitable as long as possible.
@Outsider
I am predicting at the moment, that Labor will win around 85 seats, which proportionally similar to their 2007 result. The question I am asking is how big the cross-bench is going to be. Because large amounts of money are being poured into campaigns for Independent center to center-right but sane candidates. Also there is a very strong anti-Coalition sentiment in the election, not so much a pro-Labor one.
poroti
says:
Sunday, April 7, 2019 at 12:48 pm
nath
Hanson has a gun so I’ll go with your a) Port Arthur
____________
agreed.
the decision to delay calling the election tells us that internal polling has shown no bounce from the budget. Government wants to spend more on gov ads – can we expect something about “Budget 2019” spruiking tax cuts, infrastructure spending and energy payments?
Labor needs to say “call the election and stop wasting taxpayers dollars on political ads”.
Polls tonight 53/47. if any MoE gives it 52/48 the murdoch media will claim a comeback. if it goes 54/46 then the melt down will be epic.
today’s media reports that both parties expect a status quo outcome in Qld doesn’t seen credible.
Kieran Gilbert
Verified account
@Kieran_Gilbert
Following Following @Kieran_Gilbert
More
. @JoshFrydenberg likens electric cars impact in transport sector to iPhone in communications, says those ridiculing them will end up buying them.
Why does Immigration take such pleasure in dividing families/children/partners? That guarantees a worse outcome for mental health and coping with new country.
sustainable future @ #1034 Sunday, April 7th, 2019 – 12:58 pm
I’d say the reason for the delay in calling the Election is the Libs will try and use the Senate to launch some smear campaign under Parliamentary Privilege.
Twas the week before Xmas?
Sustainable – Albo was on Speers this more and said exactly those words. Also backed Shorten on EC charging (and he would have had a lot to do with that policy)
And as wonderful as Winx is – she has had very little quality opposition if people were to be honest.