Newspoll have held off this week owing to the New South Wales election, resulting in one of the occasional three week gaps in their schedule. However, the fortnightly Essential Research will come through as normal this (i.e. Monday) evening. In other non-New South Wales news, moderate faction nominee and Christopher Pyne ally James Stewart won the Liberal preselection for Sturt on Saturday, consistent with expectations and despite resistance from conservatives who sought to make hay from the fact that the moderates had chosen not to back a woman. We also have a front page headline in The Australian this morning that reads, “Gladys triumph: PM eyes May 11”. Beyond that, over to you.
Rex Douglas says:
Monday, March 25, 2019 at 12:13 pm
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There was no real failure though , the fault you can say is that Labor could not go from opposition to government
Labor vs Liberal Party
labor 35 seats
Liberal party 34 seats
primary votes
Labor 33%
Liberal party 32.6%
TPOF, I’m not omniscient, and responding to an obviously jusified ticking off with whataboutery makes you look even more childish than you did already.
The U.K. brexiting
https://twitter.com/i/status/1106802515943800832
NSW Minister resigns!! WTF.
After a mammoth weekend of celebrations and commiserations, there are still three more seats yet to be decided in the NSW State Election.
Premier Gladys Berejiklian is expecting to form a majority government with up to 49 seats after the Liberals performed better than expected at the state election, but the Liberals still need one more seat to win outright.
As all eyes are on the three seats in the balance, a storm of criticism is brewing over NSW’s regional water minister Niall Blair’s decision step down and leave parliament when the Liberals can find a replacement — just moments after he was voted in.
Australian Senator Derryn Hinch blasted the move, calling it “disgusting, cynical and insulting”.
What I am unable to understand is that people in Rural areas when they want to kick out a National/Country Party, they vote for an independent (who will vote with the LNP) or an extremist Party such as ON or SFF. They just will not vote ALP. What has the ALP done to the country people for them to behave in such a way? It’s not that the LNP have helped them.
The failure in the NSW election
Was the liberal party who lost seats ,(2015 (37 )to 34 seats
zoomster @ #138 Monday, March 25th, 2019 – 8:46 am
No, $1,000!!
lizzie
2GB would seem a natural home for him.
I reckon if Sco-Mo jacks up the cost to $18,000 a year (or just to be on the safe side, $36,000 a year), he’ll romp home in the election.
Because they are called “the Shooters” for short. “Shooters, Fishers and Farmers” is not being explained very well. I think they should put Farmers first.
I suppose FSF : Farmers Shoot Fishers, isn’t an option?
I knew you all would change your mind about our great LNP winning the election due in November 2019
Rural types think the ALP is green lite.
Michael Daley looks quite a lot like Scott Morrison!
Significant?
j341983 @ #148 Monday, March 25th, 2019 – 11:16 am
It’s not the middle, or even the beginning. The election hasn’t even been called yet.
Now is the perfect time to choose a new leader for NSW Labor. Ideally by Daley quietly resigning. Though even if he doesn’t go quietly, there’s more than enough time for the story to wash through before the actual election campaign. And then
noless lingering threat of ‘NSW Labor drama’ stories coming up during that time.What does Labor want the narrative to be, “Coalition makes amazing comeback” or “Labor takes swift action against racist comment after shock loss”? It’s their choice, which is a real rarity. They should capitalize.
I think I have come to the conclusion that every tweet, and every comment on every forum should automatically begin with “I think” – that way people stating opinion, as if it were fact, wouldn’t quite get up everyone else’s nose.
Just a thought.
Will the national party immediately show political courage in nsw and Federal level to withdraw from the coalition , to show the voters that they are not liberal party under another name
if they did it would forced the liberal party out of office at state and federal level
I think you need your eyes tested Theodore
William Bowe says:
Monday, March 25, 2019 at 12:20 pm
TPOF, I’m not omniscient, and responding to an obviously jusified ticking off with whataboutery makes you look even more childish than you did already.
________________________________
William
1. I thought you were omniscient. What’s with the gravatar then???
2. That was not ‘whataboutery’ to the extent that that comment was what I was replying to, rather than simply pointing out other offending posts. It was a genuine question as to the fact that you seem to accept a nasty comment by Nath directed at a poster but not a comment directed at Nath in response.
SKY doing a PR thing for Laundy replacement at the mo – I think they should have done the same for the most excellent candidate for Labor in Higgins
lizzie @ #149 Monday, March 25th, 2019 – 12:17 pm
Nah. He’s not orange enough – yet.
#BREAKING: @David_Speers reports the NSW Liberal candidate for Kogarah Scott Yung is the favourite to be preselected as Craig Laundy’s replacement in Reid.
MORE: bit.ly/2HCXm1p #newsday
Thanks 777
‘I think it’s time for SHorten to call it out’
That’s what I was saying.
And Ven, yes I am I suppose.
I’m afraid Bill makes me a bit nervous.
Watching the press gaggle this morning letting Scotty run on and on and on with his bullshit. If Shorten was in front of them it’d be ‘yeah but..’ ‘yeah but…’ ‘yeah but, but, but….Shorten hopefully has something extra we havn’t seen yet.
Muskiemp,
Rural people voting for the UAP/Country/National/Shooters Party can be traced back to the Labor Party split of 1931.
Many families and communities (including my own, who were railway workers and trade unionists in Narrandera back in the day) became divided along anti-communist and anti-Catholic lines. Labor never recovered in rural areas (apart from heavily unionised Broken Hill). It become an ingrained and inter-generational habit to vote against Labor.
‘I reckon if Sco-Mo jacks up the cost to $18,000 a year (or just to be on the safe side, $36,000 a year), he’ll romp home in the election.’
Sounds funny to us Anton, but to some it sounds apocalyptic.
(see what I did there)
‘Mundo
Shorten was in front of them it’d be ‘yeah but..’ ‘yeah but…’ ‘yeah but, but, but….Shorten hopefully has something extra we havn’t seen yet.’
Concerned, are we?
Shorten is the best LOTO since Federation. Bar none. He will make an excellent prime minister.
Muskiemp @ #155 Monday, March 25th, 2019 – 12:24 pm
Very ancedotal, but my spouse, who grew up in Kempsey, was taught from a very early age that the ALP were a bunch of blow in opportunists who were either Communist, Catholic or both. She admits to voting Nat until her eyes were opened to the politics of her beloved Bolshie grandmother by living in Sydney and doing Medicine.
ON is institutionally Islamophobic. It is just extraordinary that the MSM create broadcast space for professional bigots – for politicians who advocate official persecution on religious and racial grounds. Presumably the broadcasters do this for financial reasons. In other words, they’re into the commercial exploitation of prejudice. Considering the atrocities in Christchurch – and the entire history of political exploitation of refugees – this is really just appalling.
They should have their broadcasting licenses revoked.
FMT: faecal microbiota transplantation
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/mar/25/i-thought-i-was-going-to-die-why-patients-are-no-longer-pooh-poohing-faecal-transplants
The message for me is don’t let a prejudice make you ill.
This is a non-medical description but perhaps FMT is more widely applicable to treat general gastro or metabolic health issues. Could a poo transplant one day be a routine prescription from your local GP?
Boerwar @ #174 Monday, March 25th, 2019 – 12:54 pm
The best LOTO since Federation wouldn’t shirk off shore torture of asylum seekers, wouldn’t support gross waste on submarines, wouldn’t shirk FTTP, wouldn’t continue to prop up coal…..
…and wouldn’t let Morrison bang on and on with palpable crap without a challenge.
Time to flick the switch……a month or so to go.
Hostility to Labor in the bush reaches all the way back to the events that gave rise to the formation of Labor – to the shearers’ and seafarers’ strikes of the 1890s, to the formation of the AWU, to the depression of the 1890s, to the politics of Federation.
Rural landholders have always resented unions and everything to do with them, including Labor and the egalitarian, modernising goals Labor has represented and fought for. Agrarian interests are militantly anti-union. They’re quite happy to organise to advance their own interests but will set out to destroy any one else that might organise themselves in their territory.
Scaring the horses with lies about how much Labor will cost them, one and all, is the main tactic. It will bite. Labor has to counter, quickly, and repeatedly, and not play nice.
By way of contrast, Di Natale is without a doubt the worst leader the Greens Party has ever had.
As for PM Morrison… not even a good used car salesman.
As for McCormack… the Invisible Man.
The Nationals got their poo transplant on Saturday.
Not that it will do them much good.
mundo @ #179 Monday, March 25th, 2019 – 1:05 pm
There’ll be no flicking of any switch.
Bill’s hoping the Coalition lose the election through incompetence rather than him having to debate and win the election.
Itza….the phoney war is over. The LNP will now proceed to defame Labor 24/7. It will get very dirty. As the campaign in NSW showed, they will be doing everything they can to put pressure on Shorten and the rest of the Labor team, hoping they can force errors and sap Labor’s momentum.
It is going to be nasty.
The sniping from the Liblings will also continue. This is inevitable.
The ALP would be seen better in the bush if they were more controlled by the rank and file rather than the unions.
I see that the ever-destructive Brexiteers have now moved right along to having a public discussion about when and how to remove the Maybot, that the biggest ever parliamentary petition in British history is demanding Referendum #2, that the person who initiated the petition is having her life threatened, and that Brexit is turning into an intergenerational crisis between those who want a future, aka the young, and those who want to araldite themselves to the past – old fogey extreme Right and old fogey extreme Left chief among them.
I think abbot was the best opposition leader in a while. But as the alternative PM shorten is much better.
ItzaDream @ #182 Monday, March 25th, 2019 – 10:08 am
That scare has to be credible, what ScoMo has thrown out is blatant nonsense.
Worth remembering now that Gladys is back.
I like Marr’s analysis of Morrison’s Congestion Busting Brainfart: ‘bullshit’.
Boerwar @ #188 Monday, March 25th, 2019 – 1:16 pm
A 2nd Brexit referendum will only bring on violence and disruption.
The Blairites have no issue with that from the heights of their ivory towers.
‘Catprog says:
Monday, March 25, 2019 at 1:16 pm
I think abbot was the best opposition leader in a while’
Only if you think it is the job of a LOTO to wreck the joint in order to gain power.
Shorten has not sought to wreck the joint. Shorten has used the five years to build a credible, competent team which has developed a comprehensive suite of costed policies.
Abbott had a Plan but the Abbott plan really was to get Newman to bodgie up the basis for the first Abbott/Hockey Budget. The Coalition has yet to recover from this cavalier contempt for the people.
From certain angles he reminds me a bit of the late great actor Karl Malden.
lizzie
Yet the Greens were, once again, declaring a triumph.
Confirmed by NSW Labor on ABC24 that leadership won’t be settled until after the election. 😆
I hope that NSW Labor does us all a favour and waits until after the Federal election to engage in the customary post-loss blood on the floor, walls and ceilings exercize.
Perhaps they could time it to co-incide for when the Liberals give ex-PM Morrison the chop, for when the Nationals give ex-Deputy Prime Minister McCormack the chop and for when the Greens Party finally gives Di Natale the chop?
‘That scare has to be credible, what ScoMo has thrown out is blatant nonsense.’
Really?
I’ll run over and tell my neighbours because they swallowed it hook, line, and sinker.
Still, hopefully they’re the only ones who have?
Of course, Bill could always call a press conference and explain why it’s not credible.
Just a thought. It might help.