The latest fortnightly Newspoll, courtesy of The Australian, has Labor extending its two-party lead from 53-47 to 54-46. The primary votes are Coalition 36% (down one), Labor 39% (steady), Greens 9% (steady) and One Nation 7% (up two). Both leaders’ personal ratings have improved slightly, with Scott Morrison up one on approval to 43% and down three on disapproval to 45%, and Bill Shorten up one to 36% and down two to 51%. Scott Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is 43-36, in from 44-35. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1610.
I’m not sure I want to fly on any 737 Max until they have the bugs out.
It could easily be the same software that brought down the LionAir flight a few months ago and which Boeing hasn’t yet issued a complete fix for.
WTF is wrong with people. After all this they still wouldn’t vaccinate!
https://www.watoday.com.au/world/north-america/an-unvaccinated-child-contracted-tetanus-it-took-two-months-and-more-than-800k-to-save-him-20190310-p51317.html
Isn’t there a term now for teenagers who secretly go and get vaccinated against their parents wishes?
https://www.wsj.com/articles/boeing-and-regulators-delay-jetliner-fixes-prompted-by-lion-air-crash-11549821489
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/shorten-given-winx-like-odds-to-win-election-20190310-p5131y.html
Dutton at $3 amongst many other figures.
Bilbo gets a mention too
Nats vs Nats – get the popcorn guys.
LNP leader Deb Frecklington has again slapped down her Coalition colleagues over their push to pass the Morrison Government’s “big stick” energy policy before the federal election, insisting it is not the answer to the state’s power bill woes.
The policy – which has at this stage been shelved by the Commonwealth – would force state-owned power generators Stanwell and CS Energy to divest assets should they be caught price gouging.
LNP MP Keith Pitt last week wrote a letter, co-signed by federal colleagues MPs George Christensen, Michelle Landry, Ken O’Dowd, Llew O’Brien and Barry O’Sullivan, demanding Deputy Prime Minister Michael McCormack ensure the “big stick” Bill is debated and passed next month.
Ms Frecklington yesterday dismissed their call to bring on the “big stick” laws, insisting Queenslanders would not stand for asset sales in any form.
“I will not stand idly by and allow anyone to forcibly sell Queensland’s assets,” she told The Courier-Mail.
“I listen to Queenslanders. They are my boss and they have spoken in two elections about asset sales.
“I stand with Queenslanders and once again rule it out.”
https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/queensland-government/deb-frecklington-tells-big-stick-federal-colleagues-to-lay-off-queensland/news-story/63975b2c5291db8b4f8a22d0b05c699c
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-03-10/coal-ash-has-become-one-of-australias-biggest-waste-problems/10886866
More anti-competitive behaviour. This country is full of it.
Dutton…..should be 20:1…..he really represents so many things that voters want to depart from. He will be among the first to concede.
Dead Man Walking.
Renee Viellaris, Federal Political Editor, The Courier-Mail
17 minutes ago
DEPUTY Prime Minister Michael McCormack is a political dead man walking and this is a problem for Prime Minister Scott Morrison and Treasurer Josh Frydenberg.
How the trio handle the coming months, weeks, days and even hours will determine McCormack’s longevity and the success of Morrison in May’s poll.
McCormack’s leadership is all but on life support, a type of political palliative care and it’s not because he’s not a nice bloke (he is) and not because he’s not a team player (his is).
Morrison does not need any more leadership distractions before the next poll and just as importantly he does not want Barnaby Joyce back in Cabinet, banging his fist on the table weeks out from a Budget or a poll.
There are murmurs among Nationals MPs that Deputy Prime Minister Michael McCormack is soft and needs to stand up to his Liberal partners.
Because Morrison knows what Joyce will do. Joyce will rewrite the Coalition Agreement and if the Liberals don’t agree to the demands, he will break from the Coalition.
Also, Joyce will campaign at the next election for the underwriting of a new coal-fired power station in NSW and Queensland.
Frydenberg does not want this to happen. In Victoria, where seats are looking dire, this would be a killer. Frydenberg wants to keep his seat and he wants to help his Victorian counterparts to hold theirs.
Unfortunately for Queensland, that throws LNP MPs under a bus.
So Morrison now has to keep his own Liberals from going rogue and also has to keep Nationals happy to ensure McCormack stays in the job.
It is not in the National Party’s DNA to roll leaders. Until recently they had a proud history of stability.
McCormack wrongly states the media is out to get him because they prefer other personalities. That is a joke.
https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/opinion/nationals-at-crossroads-under-mccormack/news-story/1f44456c1f959d70d0764cccabc20b7c
Cud Chewer @ #155 Sunday, March 10th, 2019 – 9:07 pm
The next step is when the msm acknowledge the obvious.
Many voters have stopped listening to morrison and/ or are repulsed by him and his corrupt bunch of compradors.
The disunity, rats abounding the sinking ship, lack of realistic policy, refusal to act in the national interest, internal backstabbing and leadership tension over 6 years, wages and super theft from battlers while the fat cats laugh their fucking heads off, get fatter and disdain all about them.
But thats not reported and it won’t be, unless there is a blue moon.
This election is pivotal for Australia, but We need the senate votes to get stuff passed.
Nope everyone won’t get everything they insist on – but FFS lets get reform started, chuck these cnuts out and get on with doing the best we can for the majority of our people.
Just a note, if you’re currently on ADSL you will almost certainly be better off on FTTN. Don’t get me wrong, the decision to deploy FTTN was idiotic. But the technology is still better than ADSL2+ (or ADSL if you’re more than a kilometre or two from the exchange).
FTTP is best, followed by FTTC (also called FTTdp), then FTTN and then ADSL. Basically, the less copper, the faster the speed.
I’m not including HFC (cable) as that’s too far out of my expertise (and a shared medium to boot).
Disclaimer: I’m on FTTP.
Download was always pretty adequate. IME over almost 20 yrs were I was.
Didn’t do much up load.
So I wonder what all the Doctor’s wives (and husbands) are going to do in Curtin now?
If Joyce were to roll McCormack and demand the Liberals concede on coal fired power stations, Morrison would have to choose between the Liberals and the Nationals. If he were to concede to Joyce, he would risk losing nearly every Liberal seat in the country. If he refused Joyce and the Nationals were to then sever the coalition agreement then nearly every Nationals seat would also be at risk. For a rural voter, there can be no value in voting for a non-existent coalition.
I hope Joyce tries. He could precipitate the electoral destruction of one or both coalition parties.
Farmers will have to choose between their own interests in water, the land and the environment on one hand and the interests of coal miners on the other.
The National Party has betrayed its truest supporters. They will likely destroy the Nationals if given the smallest provocation.
bc says:
Monday, March 11, 2019 at 1:51 am
So I wonder what all the Doctor’s wives (and husbands) are going to do in Curtin now?
The Liberals have insulted every woman in Curtin and most of the men too. Radically-conservative Catholics are few and far between in the leafy green riverside glades of The Western Suburbs. A well-credentialed Indy that stands apart from the Liberals could win quite easily.
Theres millionaire, Peppy Grove mum, MLC old girl, “independant Liberal”, who is terrified of a Shorten government.
All the commercial News bulletins have led with this polling disaster, I wonder what #theirABC will lead with ????
“Election analyst William Bowe said the initial betting markets might have been too generous towards the Coalition.
“The betting markets probably started out a little astray from the polls, and over time there has been a bit of common sense applied to those markets in line with the general polls,” he said. Mr Bowe said when Scott Morrison replaced Malcolm Turnbull as leader, and opinion polls showed Labor in front by up to 56-44, betting markets did not follow.
He said the Victorian state election had given punters more idea of what voters were thinking.
But he cautioned that the 2016 election had proved that betting markets can get it wrong when it came to individual seats.
At the last election, such seats as Lindsay and Cowan were considered by punters as safe Liberal retains before they were won by the ALP”.
—
Our great leader gets quoted all over the place, this time in the Age. \-
PS No you weren’t dreaming – Newspoll was 54-46 last night..
Well, well, well not even #theirABC could ignore this DISASTROUS Newspoll result 😀
Even the SmearAustralia rag had to eat humble pie today Fozz. Game over I would say.
“NEWSPOLL
Shorten lifts Labor’s poll dominance. Hopes of an electoral revival for the Morrison government have been cruelled as the Coalition notches up 50 losing polls in a row “
Has Barnyard sold his
soularse to coal interests ? Silly question……….
Joyce: fight poll on coal
GREG BROWN
Barnaby Joyce has demanded Scott Morrison to go to the election promising support for a new coal-fired power station
https://outline.com/bety7b
Good morning Dawn Patrollers
Shane Wright says that punters have all but given up on Scott Morrison leading the Coalition to victory at the election, predicting Labor will sweep the nation and command a parliament that may not include Tony Abbott.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/shorten-given-winx-like-odds-to-win-election-20190310-p5131y.html
Simon Benson moans that Morrison is approaching the point of no return. He either sticks with the current political strategy in the hope it will eventually start to bite, or he changes course before it’s too late.
https://www.outline.com/ZG9h59
Greg Jericho nails it when he declares that by stoking recession fears, Morrison highlights his own failure on economy.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/grogonomics/2019/mar/09/by-stoking-recession-fears-morrison-highlights-his-own-failure-on-economy
It seems the lady chosen by the Liberals to replace Julie Bishop is a bit of a religious right winger.
https://www.outline.com/cARX5k
Michelle Grattan looks at the Newspoll result and Bishop’s replacement.
https://theconversation.com/alp-widens-newspoll-lead-to-54-46-as-liberals-choose-conservative-successor-to-bishop-113256
Alexandra Smith writes that new polling shows opinions are mixed about which NSW party is best equipped to lead the state amid falling house prices and slower growth.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/nsw-voters-divided-over-which-party-has-the-best-economic-credentials-20190310-p5134a.html
Morrison denies having been snubbed at the NSW Liberal election launch.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/scott-morrison-denies-snub-at-nsw-liberals-launch-20190310-p51336.html
Christopher Knaus reports that Zali Steggall, the independent facing off against Tony Abbott in Warringah at the federal election, has vowed to push for reform of political advertising laws after a right wing group falsely linked her to Labor’s franking credits policy.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/mar/11/zali-steggall-plans-political-ad-reform-after-rightwing-smear-campaign
Reviewing the last week in politics John Wren analyses the Liberal’s Party drift towards electoral defeat, Scott Morrison’s political opportunism with “boat people” and the importance of celebrating Labour Day.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/wrens-week-australias-recession-refugee-baiting-and-labour-day,12454
“What would a radio world in which News Corp distributed pay cheques to Alan Jones, Ray Hadley and Neil Mitchell look like?” asks John McDuling.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/could-the-murdochs-make-a-play-for-alan-jones-and-ray-hadley-20190310-p5132d.html
And he introduces us to Siobhan McKenna, the woman calling the shots at News Corp.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/siobhan-mckenna-meet-the-woman-calling-the-shots-at-news-corp-20190310-p5131s.html
Rod Meyer tells us that fresh economic data last week confirmed what many in Australia had already suspected: The nation’s economy is falling into a funk. With growth slowing to a snail’s pace, the only thing keeping the country out of recession territory is a rising population driven by an immigration boom.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/money/finance-news/2019/03/10/global-economic-slowdown-2019/
Toni Hassan tells us that the government’s trying to scare us, which is odd because the one thing that is truly frightening it keeps trying to tell us isn’t a problem – calamitous climate change.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/the-one-thing-we-have-to-fear-is-fear-itself-20190308-p512ul.html
The Independent Australia says current industrial relations laws are too restrictive for workers. A swift and substantive change is needed.
https://independentaustralia.net/business/business-display/change-the-rules-tipping-the-scales-in-favour-of-workers-rights,12441
Ross Gittins recons economists are lonely, misunderstood angels in shining armour.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/economists-lonely-misunderstood-angels-in-shining-armour-20190309-p512yd.html
Australia’s business elite remains convinced all it needs to do to restore community trust is offer a better “narrative”. It’s all about the spin, not the substance apparently. It’s a view only the deeply delusional and out of touch could possibly hold, writes Bernard Keane.
https://www.michaelwest.com.au/image-over-substance-afr-business-summit-calls-for-a-better-narrative/
David Crowe says that Labor needs to be up front about how it will lift the minimum wage.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-needs-to-be-up-front-about-how-it-will-lift-the-minimum-wage-20190310-p5133u.html
Tony Walker opines that Burnside won’t win, but Kooyong will still be a sobering lesson.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/burnside-won-t-win-but-kooyong-will-still-be-a-sobering-lesson-20190308-p512qr.html
Colin Kruger explains how hospital patients are getting caught in the middle of a battle between public hospitals and private health insurers over who should pay for their treatment.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/health-insurers-battle-public-hospitals-over-1b-a-year-cash-grab-20190306-p5124l.html
In a major backdown, BuzzFeed has dropped its truth defence to claims Labor MP Emma Husar “a slut who boasts about who she has had sex with”.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/buzzfeed-drops-truth-defence-over-slut-claims-in-emma-husar-case-20190310-p5132v.html
Julie Bishop has dished out a bit of dirt on the Trumps.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/national/2019/03/10/julie-bishops-partner-david-panton-was-once-assumed-to-be-the-foreign-minister-of-australia-by-us-first-lady-melania-trump/
Jonathan Holmes looks at balance in the ABC.
https://www.theguardian.com/media/2019/mar/10/bias-balance-and-the-abc-is-there-anything-for-people-on-the-right
Environmentalist Jonathan La Nauze writes that Victoria can, and should, lead the country on climate change.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/victoria-can-and-should-lead-the-country-on-climate-change-20190308-p512ra.html
Sanjeev Gupta, the man credited with saving the iconic Whyalla steelworks, is targeting a near-$5 billion float of the Australian arm of his sprawling industrial empire in a move he hopes will quash speculation his business may be in trouble.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/whyalla-steelworks-owner-plans-float-for-australian-operations-20190310-p51335.html
The crash of Ethiopian Airlines flight 302 from Addis Ababa to Nairobi is a tragedy that threatens to leave fresh questions hanging over the aircraft manufacturer Boeing.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/mar/10/ethiopian-flight-302-second-new-boeing-737-max-8-to-crash-in-four-months
Evidence is now mounting that Kim Jong-un has used his talks with Donald Trump as a distraction from North Korea’s continued arms build up.
https://www.outline.com/AedmXk
Looks like this criminal lawyer has been keeping bad company.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/the-hallmarks-of-tragedy-sydney-lawyer-disqualified-after-drug-conviction-20190305-p511rh.html
Cartoon Corner
David Rowe goes for the Coalition’s jugular
Nice work from Pat Campbell.
Jim Pavlidis and Morrison’s vulnerability.
Matt Golding sums up Morrison.
Mark David and the adman.
Sean Leahy on early childhood learning.
Jon Kudelka with the government’s coal problem.
https://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/34add3169b3d9acbd4ff7636651b7983
From the US
One thing I have noticed – if the polls shift ever so slightly to the Coalition, the media trumpet loudly that it’s all due to the public disenchantment with Labor policy, especially on Franking Credits and Negative Gearing/Capital Gains Tax. But conversely when the polls shift the other way, it is all because of their internal critics – Julie Bishop, Malcolm Turnbull etc etc – it is never due to public embrace of Labor policy!
Australia chases down 358 runs easily. Who needs Warner or Smith.
Thank you BK for the breakfast news
It looks like there is a Liberal/Indy to challenge the conservative nominee for Curtain.
According to Michelle Grattan
“A centre-right independent, Louise Stewart, described as a “multimillionaire businesswomen”, has announced she will run for Curtin. She said voters in the seat were unhappy at how the Liberals had treated Bishop”. A well-known Independent might take a chunk out of that PV and annoy the Liberals like a mossie in your ear hole, but that’s about it.
And “The two-party swing is 4.4%; the government would be defeated with a loss of some 18 seats if the swing was on a uniform basis”.
https://theconversation.com/alp-widens-newspoll-lead-to-54-46-as-liberals-choose-conservative-successor-to-bishop-113256.
We know swings are never uniform, but it is pretty obvious that it is game over after this many bad News-polls in a row
Scroll down from Barnyard’s shilling for Coal article the GG has a hint for the future of coal.
.
.
Coal cuts go on in China clean-up
GLENDA KORPORAAL
Australia’s coal exports to China face a prolonged slowdown as China steps up its campaign to improve the environment.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/coal-cuts-continue-as-china-cleans-up/news-story/800c0a2c0fb2d34de2c8b913edb5ca2b
No mention of 50th news poll loss on ABC news at 7am
not sure what you are watching – but its been mentioned at least 5 times in the last hour and a half on ABC news breakfast.
Dog’s Breakfast @ #177 Monday, March 11th, 2019 – 7:14 am
Listening to Classic FM , the news feed comes from Canberra ABC.
Way to miss the point. This is nothing to do with sexism. It’s racism that’s the problem.
/www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/thebriefing
Australia’s pulls off its greatest run chase in cricket. Well done Australia. India has to introspect why it can’t defend 359.
https://www.smh.com.au/sport/cricket/handscomb-cracks-a-ton-as-australia-beat-india-in-record-run-chase-20190311-p5136j.html
How much money has the LNP wasted?
Replacing the injured Stoinis with Turner worked well. Keep it.
Indians suggesting that the dew which settled made the ball hard to control.
Briefly
I think your statement of the LNP primary in New South Wales left out the national party component and allocated to the ALP the forced undecided component but not to the LNP its share.
If the Nationals get squished in NSW on the 24th the pressure for Joyce to return will be immense. I am not sure why they think he is the answer to their problems, but they do.
Ven
Could not believe that cricket score driving to work this morning. I went to bed with Australia about 2/100 off 20 overs or so. Great effort – Turner 84 off 43 in second game is outstanding
A nice Labour Day morning here in Victoria celebrating the Unions’ Eight Hour Day movement among other things. Looking forward to Essential Poll tomorrow.
If Abbott and Dutton lose then Morrison could keep his job and bring up a ‘trifecta’ of 30 Newspoll losses in a row just in time for Xmas 2019.
Just checked the ABC website – no sign of the Newspoll results.
Julie Bishop is still a Liberal MP.
And we know, on the best authority, that she could beat Bill Shorten…
The problem for the Libs is that, like our Cricket side they have satisfied with mediocre performances.
Half centuries are just not acceptable. I demand that the Libs go on and post a big hundred of losing Newspoll.
Mike Carlton
@MikeCarlton01
poroti says:
Monday, March 11, 2019 at 6:28 am
Has Barnyard sold his soul arse to coal interests ? Silly question………
—————————————-
Why would coal interests buy something they already own?
On ABC News Breakfast this morning, which talked extensively about the 50th Newspoll Win to Labor/Loss to the Coalition, it was mentioned that Rear Window in the AFR was an interesting read today. Anyone able to capture it for our edification?
Thanks BK for the Dawn Patrol.
From the BK Files.
The article contains a really nice photo of Mr. Morrison with his mouth wide open – PLUS great graphs and interactive dot points piccies but sadly – no mention of cricket.
Some comments —
Yairs – something is being done about climate change (see appendix below for details). In the light (clever little pun here) of these comments I’m not sure, come the
revolutionfederal election, whether I should buy popcorn 🍿 or candles. 🕯🕯 Maybe both to be sure.Appendix ⏬
@ Clem – From previous thread:
“Andrew Earlwood, I agree that re nationalization of power should be restricted to lines and wires, not generation infrastructure.”
Comrade – an example of you pure democratic socialists finding common ground with us filthy centrist social democrats!
Yeah Simon. It is all about the strategy. Morry should focus on the record of his government, on unity and stability.
Bernie sure isn’t some Johnny come lately to global warming.
.
.
… 1989 C-SPAN interview where Bernie blasts the media for not covering climate change, “the greenhouse effect.”
https://twitter.com/KFILE/status/1103031680561004545
poroti @ #176 Monday, March 11th, 2019 – 7:00 am
Saw a story about this on CNN the other day. China has decided to dominate, I wouldn’t euphemistically call it lead, the world in Battery Storage production and Electric Cars, so as to clean up their environment and air.
I imagine they will be all over Pumped Hydro, Wind and Solar Power as well. Not only that but I imagine there would have to be some sort of research project going on which will negate the need for our Coking Coal eventually in order to produce Steel.
Mr Benson says Scrott is approaching the point of no return. Sadly for Scrott this is how he is ‘approaching’ it and his location on his journey to the ‘point’ .
This incident, discussed here yesterday, gets a run in the Daily Telegraph:
“The battle to be the next Ryde State MP turned ugly yesterday when the wife and young child of the Labor candidate were allegedly threatened and intimidated by Liberal Party supporters at a community event.
Karyn Laxale, whose husband Jerome is running against sitting Liberal MP Victor Dominello, is set to make a complaint to the NSW Electoral Commission after the incident at an Eastwood cultural event…”
https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/newslocal/northern-district-times/ryde-labor-candidates-wife-daughter-threatened-intimidated/news-story/e180af0cb9c19350d81a2a9e041ede80