Essential Research has come out with a second poll in consecutive weeks, the previous one having departed from its normal practice in having a longer field work period and a later release, tailored to work around the interruption of the long weekend. Coming after a period in which a media narrative of Labor taking on water over franking credits has taken hold, the results of the latest poll are striking: the Coalition has sunk four points on the primary vote to 34%, Labor is up two to 38%, the Greens and One Nation are steady on 10% and 7% respectively, and Labor’s two-party lead has blown out from 52-48 to 55-45. Other questions relate to the banking royal commission: you can read more about them from The Guardian, or await for Essential’s full report, which I assume will be with us later today.
UPDATE: Full report here. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1067.
Looking forward to seeing the first Newspoll after this vote disaster for ScuMo and his Gang…
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Alpo
It might well end up being a de facto poll on Murdoch and the shock jocks.
Darn @ #746 Wednesday, February 13th, 2019 – 8:20 pm
I was just told that the medical facilities available to asylum seekers on Christmas Island are the same as on Manus and Nauru!
So what is the point of sending sick asylum seekers there?
To me it looks like another too-smart-by-half move by Scott Morrison. The law now says they have to be brought to Australia for medical treatment, Christmas Island is a part of Australia, so that’s where they are going.
What an utter bastard Scott Morrison is.
Propaganda ?
Yep.
Should be easy for Labor to bat away…
After such glowing reviews I had to play the game. https://ncase.me/trust/
Useful thoughts for Poll Bludger as well as politics in general.
ummmm. Did I just get sucked into a wormhole and into an alternate universe?
It is like I came home from a weekend away to find strangers in my house, a party upstairs, a pool in the backyard, the pets happy and using the toilet and the locks changed.
Alpo
That’s why I was quietly happy it stayed 53-47 this time. Now any change – reversion to mean, statistical noise – that takes it to 54-46 or more may end up causing a Liberal leadership spill.
Not joking. Dutton is really desperate as he can see his entire political career coming to a shuddering halt – maybe being PM could save his seat he is thinking!
And he really only needs two more votes.
I was also told at our meeting tonight that the people of Christmas Island were just getting over the PTSD from the last time the Detention Centre was open.
Scott Morrison also did not pay them the courtesy of letting them know of his decision to re-open the Detention Centre either. They heard about it on the news like the rest of us.
William Bowe says:
Wednesday, February 13, 2019 at 8:23 pm
We’re not doing that kind of tedious schoolyard nonsense here anymore, Scott.
———
?
Apology i didn’t mean the question to be like that , just wanting to know the views what they think about the tactics
Why those two in particular?
iMac a
It looks like the Barns report is accurate. As you say, astonishing. These bastards have gone full Trump.
A light-hearted interlude for cricket tragics following the South Africa – Sri Lanka Test (SAf 3/51)
6.1 that’s a superb catch at second slip. Amla hasn’t moved, Sri Lanka are celebrating but the umpires converge to discuss if it carried. The soft signal from umpire Kettleborough is not out. Coming back to the delivery, this is short of length that nips away from outside off, got it to lift off the deck, Amla was looking to play initially but then changed his mind and tried to withdraw his bat at the end, but it was too late. It took the edge and it was superbly grabbed at second slip. It was such a clean catch that Michael Holding on air said ‘I’m walking back to the Caribbean if that’s given not out. . Fortunately, sanity prevails, there’s conclusive evidence to overturn the decision and Amla is walking back. South Africa 2 for 9
Reminds me of the joke about Michael Holding and Joel Garner taking a walk across the Sydney Harbour Bridge.
I’ll give it another try after watching Hard Quiz —here we go (thanks for the offer of assistance KayJay …. I was trying to upload of Mr Facebook. I loaded it up to a website and got the URL off there. Thanks mate)
GG, like you , I tried. Four wonderful kids, no regrets.
I haven’t seen the text of the Bill as passed by the Parliament, but if it Mr Morrison tries to circumvent its clear intent by shifting detainees from Manus and Nauru to Christmas Island, I’d have thought that that would be the time for the cross bench members to say enough is enough, and support a no-confidence motion.
Behold this definition from section 2B of the Acts Interpretation Act 1901:
“Australia” means the Commonwealth of Australia and, when used in a geographical sense, includes Norfolk Island, the Territory of Christmas Island and the Territory of Cocos (Keeling) Islands, but does not include any other external Territory.
Pedant. It is a looooong way to HIMI.
Pedant
Didn’t the Barbarians ‘excise’ parts of Australia from the ‘immigration zone’ ?
More
The Senate has voted 35 to 27 that Michaelia Cash has to make a 5 minute statement before #SenateQT tomorrow to correct the record about AWU raid leaks.
Labor, Greens, Centre Alliance, Hinch, Storer, Hanson & Georgiou all voted in favour.
Labor should try for a no confidence motion. It would save us 3 months of execrable Government and billions in wealthfare handouts in the April Budget.
Stop the crap.
“Didn’t the Barbarians ‘excise’ parts of Australia from the ‘immigration zone’ ?”
In the end, the excised the whole bloody lot.
Simon Katich @ 8.46pm
I honestly haven’t got a clue what you are talking about
Simon² Katich®
says:
ummmm. Did I just get sucked into a wormhole and into an alternate universe?
It is like I came home from a weekend away to find strangers in my house, a party upstairs, a pool in the backyard, the pets happy and using the toilet and the locks changed.
__________________________________________
It’s been good. I just fear that chaos is hungrily gnashing its teeth and that the prison gangs are sharpening their tools in anticipation of a lapse in the guard.
Remember that Dutton was told he had the numbers to assume the leadership of the Liberal Party and become pm
With the Morrison cabinet it is keeping your enemies close – including the Abbott numbers with the critical appointments lauded by Abbott
Morrison’s position is not safe
There have been 2 defections from those who voted Morrison in, both Turnbull supporters who would have voted for Morrison
By how many did Morrison beat Dutton and how many does Dutton need to entice to him, supported by the trend in polling showing a landslide loss?
And you can discount Bishop
Concerning news from twitter:
g #Manus
PNG Immigration have attempted to remove sick men, by force, from PIH hospital in Port Moresby this evening. Six uniformed men and the hospital director, Dr Trevor Smal, managed to remove one man & have taken him to other accommodation.
The most beneficial application of Game Theory that I have come across is a game about parking lots.
Simply put, it suggests that waiting, stopped, near to where you want to park – rather than driving ’round and ’round trawling for an opportunistic vacancy – is on average the winning outcome.
The theory says that, all other things being equal, someone will complete their shopping, come back to their car, unload their shopping basket, back their car out, and provide a space for you, right in front of your eyes.
On average, on percentages, it works beautifully. I’ve stuck to it.
I think certain individuals must be champing at the bit to go back to their old ways. Me not being one of them.
Anyhoo, off to bed for me. Up again at 5 to wear out the hip joints and the shoe leather.
If Morrison / Dutton keep ramping up on the refugee issue would McGowan & Co reconsider their commitment to support the Government in no confidence motion?
Scotty and his teamhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LQiOA7euaYA
Quasar @ #774 Wednesday, February 13th, 2019 – 8:53 pm
So, they are to be put on a plane to Xmas Is then? With its totally inadequate care. And I wouldn’t put it past Dutton and Morrison, if one of those people should die as a result, to lay the blame squarely on Bill Shorten’s shoulders for that death because it was ‘his’ Bill.
Hopefully the Australian people will see this for the utter bastardry that it is.
Good night.
Pedant
Mrs Katich says that all the time. Something wrong with you both.
HIMI – Heard and Macdonald Islands. Australian External territories.
C@t
Not me. I was polite before it became cool.
Oh dear!!
Twitter again(sorry..last one)
Eddy Jokovich
@EddyJokovich
·
My insider at @LiberalAus
says Morrison is panicked and taken control of strategy, to the chagrin of Head Office. A loose cannon, solely focused on boats. Unstrategic and putting all the eggs in one basket.
·
5h
My insider at @LiberalAus
says Morrison is panicked and taken control of strategy, to the chagrin of Head Office. A loose cannon, solely focused on boats. Unstrategic and putting all the eggs in one basket.
____
An ad man gone troppo. What could possibly go wrong?
Simon Katich @ 9.02pm
Thanks. Being a pedant I always use the full name, the Territory of Heard Island and McDonald Islands. Where, incidentally, Australians can potentially vote as Antarctic electors if they happen to be there: see s246(1) of the Commonwealth Electoral Act 1918.
BK @ #782 Wednesday, February 13th, 2019 – 9:07 pm
The Morrison Downfall parody can’t be far away!
Cool as, bro! 🙂
BB
Might explain why a friend of mine who used to pray for parking spaces to appear where she wanted them was so successful.
The dregs of OneNation are turning on each other – and it ain’t pretty….
“The former One Nation senator Brian Burston has denied sexually harassing a staff member and has pledged to retaliate against Pauline Hanson, his former leader, for raising allegations in parliament.
Hanson used a speech in the Senate on Tuesday night to accuse an unnamed senator of “serious sexual harassment”.
Guardian Australia has seen a complaint of sexual harassment made against Burston late last year, as part of a settled unfair dismissal claim. The complaint alleges Burston made an inappropriate advance on a distressed staff member. She said he had asked whether he could “‘fuck’ me to make things better”.
A spokeswoman for Burston denied that the senator propositioned the staff member, stressing that a 70-year old man would not use the word “fuck”.
Asked if the former staffer had lodged a Fair Work Commission complaint, the spokeswoman replied: “No comment.”
Burston interjected that the allegations were “all bullshit” and “garbage”. He said that Pauline Hanson – who he described as “a woman scorned” – was engaging in payback because he left One Nation over other issues including the party’s stance on company tax.”
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/feb/13/brian-burston-denies-sexually-harassing-a-staff-member?CMP=soc_568&__twitter_impression=true
there’s already one Morison/Downfall parody about Wentworth!
https://www.captiongenerator.com/1142752/Wentworth-Downfall
Scottie’s flavor of god bothering reckons success in life, money/job , is a reward from dog for your ‘piousness’. So with dog himself giving Scrott the gig then anything/anyone trying to remove him is obviously doing the work of satan . In which case it is no holds barred and anything goes in the fight to defeat
Bill ShortenSatan.Morrison/Hitler shouts ‘we’ve held Wentworth before Lesbians were even invented’ lol.
For those with long memories, Tim Anderson has always courted controversy:
https://www.smh.com.au/education/sydney-university-sacks-controversial-lecturer-over-swastika-image-20190213-p50xjf.html
An amazing day. A PM without the depth of understanding to realise that he, and the coalition he represents as leader, are defying the will of the people, to circumvent a decision of the parliament in an attempt to remain the government.
The government with Morrison as leader is prepared to contrive, cheat, mislead and lie to remain as the elected representatives of the people.
Sections of the media, so willing to promote the interests of the LNP government are floundering with disbelief and frustration as at every turn, the government backing themselves into a corner, devoid of trustworthiness and hope and entirely unelectable.
Question time as been reduced to a shouting display without regard for providence, just a plume of feathers displayed by a cock for no other reason than to wishfully believe a relevance.
At every attempt to be the pied piper, Morrison is creating derision and loathing, a parody, reducing themselves to irrelevance and contempt.
The Australian people have switched channels, patiently waiting for return to normality, a measured set of policy direction and outcomes, moving us all to a better place.
Entirely without wisdom, Morrison cannot make himself drive to Government House and ask the the GG to help re-establish some substance to our system of government.
A bingle?
Can the retribution within OneNation get any grubbier?
Burston’s spokeswoman said to expect a “bombshell” on Thursday evening in the Senate adjournment debate, when Burston is expected to respond to Hanson’s Senate speech and take aim at the One Nation senator Peter Georgiou.
Goll
says:
Wednesday, February 13, 2019 at 9:18 pm
An amazing day. A PM without the depth of understanding to realise that he, and the coalition he represents as leader, are defying the will of the people, to circumvent a decision of the parliament in an attempt to remain the government.
The government with Morrison as leader is prepared to contrive, cheat, mislead and lie to remain as the elected representatives of the people.
Sections of the media, so willing to promote the interests of the LNP government are floundering with disbelief and frustration as at every turn, the government backing themselves into a corner, devoid of trustworthiness and hope and entirely unelectable.
Question time as been reduced to a shouting display without regard for providence, just a plume of feathers displayed by a cock for no other reason than to wishfully believe a relevance.
At every attempt to be the pied piper, Morrison is creating derision and loathing, a parody, reducing themselves to irrelevance and contempt.
The Australian people have switched channels, patiently waiting for return to normality, a measured set of policy direction and outcomes, moving us all to a better place.
Entirely without wisdom, Morrison cannot make himself drive to Government House and ask the the GG to help re-establish some substance to our system of government.
______________________________________
Briefly, do you have 2 PB accounts?
[‘…stressing that a 70-year old man would not use the word “fuck”.’]
I’m with Burston on this one – in more ways than one.
sprocket_
says:
Wednesday, February 13, 2019 at 9:20 pm
Can the retribution within OneNation get any grubbier?
Burston’s spokeswoman said to expect a “bombshell” on Thursday evening in the Senate adjournment debate, when Burston is expected to respond to Hanson’s Senate speech and take aim at the One Nation senator Peter Georgiou.
_____________________________
Surely Latham will fix all their cultural and interpersonal issues.
[‘…Hitler shouts ‘we’ve held Wentworth before Lesbians were even invented’ lol.’]
The invocation of Godwin’s Law should be proscribed.
Simon² Katich®
says:
Wednesday, February 13, 2019 at 9:20 pm
An ad man gone troppo. What could possibly go wrong?
A bingle?
______________________
I actually thought the Lara Bingle ad was pretty good. She sure got me interested in cricket again.