Essential Research has come out with a second poll in consecutive weeks, the previous one having departed from its normal practice in having a longer field work period and a later release, tailored to work around the interruption of the long weekend. Coming after a period in which a media narrative of Labor taking on water over franking credits has taken hold, the results of the latest poll are striking: the Coalition has sunk four points on the primary vote to 34%, Labor is up two to 38%, the Greens and One Nation are steady on 10% and 7% respectively, and Labor’s two-party lead has blown out from 52-48 to 55-45. Other questions relate to the banking royal commission: you can read more about them from The Guardian, or await for Essential’s full report, which I assume will be with us later today.
UPDATE: Full report here. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1067.
Well, BK, she’s in the wrong profession to make the best use of it.
____
I think we’ll leave it there FS.
Citizen, I’m trying to let that sink in.
If it’s verified, it has to be the end for the Liberals.
citizen @ #698 Wednesday, February 13th, 2019 – 7:07 pm
At what stage do the remaining moderate Libs in the Parliament say enough is enough!
The paradigm has changed.
Labor is trying to avoid being held responsible for parsing the broken anti-encryption laws that it new where broken.
https://www.itnews.com.au/news/labor-concedes-decryption-laws-weakened-security-for-internet-users-519203
Libs want to extend the anti-encryption laws to SEVEN other agencies.
https://www.itnews.com.au/news/govt-to-extend-encryption-busting-powers-to-anti-corruption-agencies-519271
The laws can force an employee to secretly sabotage the project they are working on, not allowed to even tell their boss. If they get caught, their boss would likely assume they are incompetent or have malicious intent.
Anyone worth mentioning is outraged.
https://www.itwire.com/government-tech-policy/86006-australian-tech-firms-seek-changes-in-encryption-law.html
It will kill the tech sector in Australia, if it hasnt already, its significantly worse than the loss of the car manufacturer industry, but hardly anyone has even noticed.
FS@7:02pm
“she would have long since done a Keenan”
But she is in Senate. She does not have to do a Keenan. The power brokers will do a Keenan to her if she doesn’t play ball (especially since the senator is a female)
Her brains are on display when ROC unleashed cops on AWU and when her staffers leaked the same to media. Her brains were on display when she let fly nasty rumours on Shorten female staff in Senate committee hearings.
Isn’t Greg Barnes one of Julian Assange’s devotees?
I’d take anything he claims with a touch of scepticism.
Then the intelligence agencies would be doing the exact opposite of what Morrison is trying to do. He wants boats to come flooding in, as evidenced by reopening CI. He and Dutton are loudly broadcasting “welcome boat people” to people smugglers and their clients.
The only beast stirring is the Lib Nat Big Nasty Beast
Christmas Island will be a hard place to prevent information from being disseminated.
There are many non -Government locals in a relatively small area, all possessed of mobile phones, computers and access to the mainland.
Any boat people arriving will be able to reveal where they came from, and their motivation.
The truth will out.
Houses of Parliament came after the Norman conquest. Before 1066, the English political institution was the Witan. Meeting of the wise.
The “Liberal” party contains the seeds of fascism.
John Hewson analyses Scotty’s latest ScoMoFaux Silly Stunt ™.
“On Wednesday, Morrison announced he was reopening the Christmas Island detention centre to deal with an expected influx of boat arrivals as a direct result of the government’s defeat in Parliament on this bill. Even if that were true, and it patently is not, I thought John Howard had excised Christmas Island from the mainland, and thereby from access to our legal and other processes?
This is surely a stunt to rival Morrison’s knee-jerk announcement in the throes of the Wentworth byelection that he planned to move our Israeli embassy. Moreover, won’t it be counterproductive to announce to the people smugglers that we are “open for business again” before there is any evidence that the legislation provides them incentive to relaunch their boats?
Morrison will also need to justify the anticipated $1.4 billion cost of reopening Christmas Island.”
https://www.smh.com.au/national/pm-attempts-to-rescue-his-sinking-boat-with-a-sea-of-fear-20190213-p50xg7.html
Steve777 @ #707 Wednesday, February 13th, 2019 – 6:34 pm
sprouts
brussel sprout aka the spud (FDOTM)
Prince Leonard has passed away.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/feb/13/prince-leonard-who-seceded-from-australia-to-form-micronation-hutt-river-dies-aged-93
“The Prince is dead. Long live the….. erm?”
Ross at 6:38.
Katharine Murphy is a quality hour o imo. Calls it as she sees it.
Cash is in the senate until 2022. She will be 49 in the middle of the year so it may be a matter if she wants another career in the likely event she finds herself in opposition soon.
I doubt the AWU business would force her out unless there ends up being criminal charges. That seems unlikely.
She has a hide thicker than any tank and would simply ride out any scandal. Being in opposition rather than government would help as the focus will be elsewhere
As one of the alleged architects of the WA Liberals distastrous flirtation with One Nation at the last state election she may well have made some enemies in the organisation but I would expect her to be a senator until she decides she doesn’t want to be.
Yes, that would be a good idea. At the same time stating that they (Labor) are not prepared to waste a billion dollars on it as the Liberals seem to be.
Australian immigration detention…
Come for the crippling mental illness.
Stay for the medical treatment.
That’s an attractive pull factor alright.
I see some other contributors – like myself – are not at all put out that some issues that have been in the too hard basket for Labor – boats, immigration, tax and the like – are now, due to Morrison’s all-or-nothing approach, now on the table. Time to hit him and the Liberals in the many, many weaknesses which his tunnel-vision obsession with “boats” he hopes to use to paper mache over his pathetic attempt to lead the country.
testing
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citizen @ 7:07
If that tweet by Greg Barnes is true thats a pretty big story in current context, and MASSIVELY damaging to the Libs. Dumping the “turn back” policy for pure political reasons in the lead up to an election??
Its so big i’m going to reserve judgement on the truth of it or not for now. 🙁
Matt31 @ #681 Wednesday, February 13th, 2019 – 6:49 pm
14 thousand is not even a drop in the bucket compared to our current migrant intake.
But I guess that annoying little fact won’t even get a mention 🙁
remaining moderate Libs in the Parliament
hahahahahahahahaha HA!
Nice one Centurion, like it, like it.
jeffemu
Wednesday, February 13th, 2019 – 7:44 pm
Comment #719
What and where is the picture you are trying to post please ❓
trying to get this one to display – Ive inserted the 3 # before and after
####?_nc_cat=104&_nc_eui2=AeFw018u3KwUJ01l490GaUangO5u6M_ZqTqAhODH6sdxLJXpgm6Q7zpiBy5L07-UA36jfBh3xPhdEXs6u7ohSQCM7ROAIaIpiajXuJwUiDkqpA&_nc_ht=scontent.fbne6-1.fna&oh=c8359353576eb662614cae9cb2636184&oe=5CF7E4DA###
will attempt to post in another hour or so
And who has been telling the people smugglers this little porkie?
I think Kay Jay is offering to help Jeff.
Just trawling through my RWNJ feed on twitter, full of stuff like this….
It is possible that Shorten expects the Muppet over-reaction and Morrison would not be able to resist.
And this one from Graeme Morris….
“So, do Australian family members waiting in queues for medical treatment have to go further back in the line while illegal migrants queue jump again?”
sprocket_
Morris needs to jump the queue for a nursing home!
Graeme Morris expressing concern for Australias poor.
A first time for everything, I guess ….
Morrison has gone beyond all reason in broadcasting to the people smugglers to come on over. How many deaths at sea will his bitter little pentecostal heart bare to get voted back in.
I have always thought that Abbott’s 7 30 interview where he started “we stopped the boats …” in answer to a question about I think the economy was the moment Turnbull decided to strike.
If Morrison wants to talk about boats until May while Labor’s focus is on the things that matter – jobs, health, education, welfare, the environment – that’s fine with me.
A big shout out to whoever earlier today here noted that the Coalition always talk about “Boats” not “Boat people”. I have been thinking about this all afternoon, and realise it is a deliberate use of a trope to dehumanise refugees and asylum seekers.
In the late 1970s Fraser era the talk was always about “Vietnamese Boat People”.
But calling them people is obviously dangerous as it humanises them – they are people like us.
Far better to say “Stop the Boats” – just saw Shouty Morrison saying this on ABC24.
And talk about numbers of boats etc etc.
And make sure none of your Coalition members EVER say “Boat People”
K Murphy- “We are now so far down the truthy tunnel that we will require a map, a floodlight and some grappling hooks to find our way back”
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/feb/13/pm-pushes-off-medevac-loss-by-launching-a-sonic-boom-on-border-protection
Steve Price criticising Morrison over his decision to re-open Christmas Island. Says he doesn’t think it’s a good look for him.
Morrison’s performance has really got Katharine Murphy’s hackles up!
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/feb/13/pm-pushes-off-medevac-loss-by-launching-a-sonic-boom-on-border-protection
Hewson..”Morrison will also need to justify the anticipated $1.4 billion cost of reopening Christmas Island.”
No he doesn’t the whole & only idea is to blame Labor for the expense.
Labor has to go on the front foot & question the whole cost of Operation Sovereign Boarder .. not really as it just emboldens the Potato
“Graeme Morris expressing concern for Australias poor.
A first time for everything, I guess ….”
That’s a grossly unfair canard Fulvio. Tories often express concern for the poor: that’s what A-list society charity functions are for – an opportunity to virtue signal, get one’s mug into the society pages, network, ease one’s conscience about minimising tax and cutting government programs. Drink some extremely expensive piss. All tax deductible of course 😉
That’s what I was thinking. If that’s all he’s got I think he’s in a lot of trouble.
Graeme Morris.. Mr corruption personified.. him & his mates that run (ran ) Kingsford Smith Airport.
Andrew, you overlook the fact that to ease one’s conscience one has to have one in the first place.
The last true right of centre moderate was probably Marcus Aurelius.
But seriously, the tag ‘moderate Liberal’ was only ever a means to an end for these wets.
Looking forward to seeing the first Newspoll after this vote disaster for ScuMo and his Gang… Incidentally, the poll will also gauge the effect of the demented campaign of lies and scaremongering that started a second after the vote….
Once ScuMo and his gang realise that the demented campaign of lies and scaremongering is leading them nowhere…. What are they going to do?
I am 100% interested in the view of pegasus and Rex Douglas about this called stirring and awaking of the beast , which the pro coalition media and libs/nats are propagandising about
Price interviewing a bloke from Christmas Island who is not at all impressed with Morrison’s decision to re-open the facility there. Says it’s a waste of money because there are no medical facilities there.
Don’t worry about the beast, it’s still asleep
Alpo
The polling in Victoria made it pretty clear people were not impressed with the Liberals attempts to demonize a section of he community; but they kept on sailing. If some adults don’t show up we have to put up with this until the election.
We’re not doing that kind of tedious schoolyard nonsense here anymore, Scott.