The return of Essential Research provided the BludgerTrack mill with its first grist for the new year, but the model is at its least robust when it only has one data point to play with after a long gap. This means BludgerTrack strongly follows the lead of a poll that was less bad for the Coalition than their usual form, resulting in a substantial reduction in Labor’s still commanding lead on two-party preferred. Labor is also down six on the seat projection – one in each mainland state and two in Queensland. The Essential poll also included a new set of numbers for the leadership ratings, and these produced a weak result for Bill Shorten that has blunted his recent improving trend. Full results through the link below.
BludgerTrack: 53.7-46.3 to Labor
BludgerTrack returns from hibernation, albeit with only one new poll result to play with.
Vogon Poet @ #2790 Tuesday, January 22nd, 2019 – 12:50 pm
Thanks VP that’s how I remember it.
I don’t think Howison is planning to run as an independent.
I’m sure she was ecstatic she was dumped and no-one tried to ‘heavy’ her. She took one for the team.
Barney
“Withdrew”
Im sure it was after she was asked to.
IoM @ #2801 Tuesday, January 22nd, 2019 – 1:02 pm
That’s how civilised people manage change and guess what?
People don’t then run off saying wtf.
Mundine’s political journey of which the latest step is still to be categorically confirmed.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/jan/22/warren-mundine-picked-by-scott-morrison-to-stand-in-marginal-nsw-seat
Perhaps the local blowback will put the kibosh on his candidature.
Barney
Labor handled the process better, but my original point was that Labor does sometimes put candidates in over those that where preselected.
So the point stands Labor parachuted an outsider into an electorate to displace an existing candidate. A point I also made earlier…posed as a question, but I knew the answer.
Just as the Coalition does.
Grant Schultz running as an Independent in Gilmore!!!
Lots of ‘rats in the ranks’ today. !!
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/national/2019/01/22/clive-palmer-nz-sue-taxpayers/?utm_source=Adestra&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=PM%20Update%2020190122
“Pegasus
Perhaps the local blowback will put the kibosh on his [Mundine’s] candidature.”
And make Morrison look even more of a goose.
Someone said what is the third stuff-up for Morrison today – well now we know.
Endorsed candidate for seat they will probably lose quits Liberal Party and declares he will run as an independent!
Schultz was live on ABC24 just now
IoM @ #2804 Tuesday, January 22nd, 2019 – 1:09 pm
No, the preselected candidate resigned and so there was a vacancy to be filled.
C
Is that even possible! But please don’t malign geese. They make for fantastic guard dogs and are far more useful than a Morrison.
Greens try to make Owler-Mundine same-same
LOL
Barney
She was clearly asked to resign.
Preselected candidates always resign of their own volition.
2007: https://www.theage.com.au/national/labor-parachutes-in-khaki-candidate-20070811-ge5k7q.html
IoM @ #2813 Tuesday, January 22nd, 2019 – 1:16 pm
Not necessarily.
Labor could have gone to a number of candidates in marginal seats and said;
We’ve got Brian Owler lined up as a candidate for the next election.
Is anyone having second thoughts or willing to step aside for him?
Howison put up her hand and said, “I will.”
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/jan/22/labor-promises-to-supercharge-hydrogen-industry-as-green-groups-say-no-role-for-coal
I have always been somewhat bemused by Mundine’s progress in public life. Never has someone with so little ability, conned so many and progressed so far.
Josh Frydenberg wants to know why you haven’t heard of him.
anyhoo, I’m off to Singapore.
Catch yas laters mofos.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/labor-predicts-next-resource-boom-with-1-billion-hydrogen-pledge-20190122-p50swe.html
Looks like the Minerals Council of Australia supports Labor’s plan.
In regard the dysfunctional and dangerous treasurer.
During the first phase of the mining boom the government accelerated the transmission of that mining boom to the economy by handing out tax cuts and by other measures (Vanstone’s “a sandwich a week” to median income earners, the reduction in the Capital Gains Tax regime and franking credits, anyone?)
That is where we got the credit growth we got (again, RBA 10 Year Data showing the amount we owed to our home mortgage lenders increased from $335 Billion to $1.226 Trillion from January 2000 until January 2010), double digit house price growth and double digit retail sales growth from.
The dysfunctional treasurer is a nong of the first order, noting the definition of “nong” is able to be gleaned from some of the nonsense which appears on this site.
And he is dangerous.
The delivery under the watch of this dysfunctional, right wing austerity driven government and treasurer will replicate the outcome in the early 1980’s when double digit unemployment, double digit inflation and Commercial Bills discounting at 25% (with the non “Grandfathered” Home Loans at 17.5%) saw Howard, as treasurer, freeze salary and wages increases with catastrophic repercussions including the collapse of banks (we had 7 “Free Enterprise Banks”, remember?)
I would hope that this dysfunctional and dangerous treasurer is called out by media commentators as the fraud he is.
BK
Crocodile tears shed for Justin Hemmes of billion dollar company Merivale – they are extremely distressed that they will now have to pay their workers properly!
Early nomination for award !
https://www.news.com.au/finance/work/at-work/billiondollar-pub-empire-merivale-owned-by-justin-hemmes-cranky-about-having-to-pay-staff-properly/news-story/0317563d67bf04a08ad7030f3061dd4f
Labor’s National Hydrogen Plan: https://alp.org.au/media/1520/190121-factsheet-hydrogen-plan.pdf
A bit light on detail. Is there a more detailed version available for public perusal?
Grant Schultz quitting Liberals to run as independent in Gilmore has finally made it onto The Australian website after half an hour.
Still not on Fairfax or Guardian. I think this is the biggest political story of the day – has certainly taken ‘the wind out of the sails’ of Morrison’s bizarre Cook’s tour where the Endeavour can now discover Western Australia, South Australia and Tasmania having missed out on them last time .
Bill. Hydrogen …. coal!
Has he gone MAD ?
https://reneweconomy.com.au/turnbulls-brown-coal-hydrogen-horror-show-500m-for-3-tonnes-70932/
Rocket Rocket
A surprisingly pro worker headline from Mordor Media.
Rocket
I’ll take the credit for tipping Morrison had a third disaster still to come.
And I’ll say again I can’t wait to see him in full on election campaign mode. Neither he nor those advising him appear to have a clue.
March 2 has long been my election tip and I am sure that for some of the clown’s colleague s it can’t be soon enough.
(“craven”) Shorten blasts PM’s ‘Cook fetish’
https://outline.com/ezHrNS
Sceptic: “Bill. Hydrogen …. coal!
Has he gone MAD ?
https://reneweconomy.com.au/turnbulls-brown-coal-hydrogen-horror-show-500m-for-3-tonnes-70932/
”
From your linked article:
“The South Australian Labor government also announced a few hydrogen projects before it lost the recent state election.
The biggest of those, a 50MW wind and solar-fuelled electrolyser at the new Hydrogen Hub to be built by Neoen near Crystal Brook, would deliver 20 tonnes of hydrogen a day, at a fraction of the cost of the brown coal scheme.
The entire complex, including 150MW of solar, about 150MW of wind, the 50MW hydrogen plant along with up to 400MWh of battery storage, would cost around $600 million.
There is another wind-solar fuelled hydrogen electrolyser announced for Port Lincoln, that will produce 10 tonnes a day from a plant that will cost just $35 million.”
Sounds good to me…
E. G. Theo
Yes, I also thought Sceptic was conflating 🙂
Dumping a candidate to run a better one is regrettable but understandable.
Dumping a candidate to run Mundine….not really.
btw, pegasus, given that the Greens did nothing about public housing when they had the opportunity, I guess they’ll keep doing nothing about it in future.
rossmcg
Morrison continues to surprise me with acts of stupidity.
I saw you also said you hoped to do a “Darling run” in the future.
If the Coalition in NSW and Federally stay in power you will probably soon be able to – in your running shoes along the dry riverbed from end to end.
“The whole thesis that Henry VII killed the Princes lacks credibility considering the boys’ sister married him and from historical sources was happy with him.”
My money is on Buckingham
…as twitter is pointing out, Morrison is prepared to do for Mundine what he isn’t prepared to do for women.
His eyes are opened. 🙂
Apologies if anyone already posted this link – but it is just part of the whole “anti-science” mindset of the Coalition that is just making me hope that Morrison calls the election for March 2nd.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/jan/22/the-darling-river-fish-kill-is-what-comes-from-ignoring-decades-of-science
RR
Earlier in the day burgey piped up Shorten supported Morrison’s Cook endeavour. He must have tested the wind and decided he had nothing to lose by now coming out to oppose it. Sort of.
He made the usual ambiguous response:
Is it so difficult to answer “No, I will not maintain the funding.” ?
More on Frydenberg’s speech, in case you care.
The sky is falling!
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/national/2019/01/21/treasurer-speech-labor-spending-agenda/?utm_source=Adestra&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=PM%20Update%2020190122
TPOF @ #2780 Tuesday, January 22nd, 2019 – 4:39 pm
Also, I think it worth mentioning, especially with the recent seeming influx of Socialist Alliance supporters to PB, that a pure form of Far Left Socialism, of the type espoused by Jim Casey, Julie and Justin Wilson and Ian Rintoul in Australia, and the International Socialist Organisation more generally, and which Pegasus is not averse in supporting, that they also reflect a similar inflexibility of ideas which takes no notice of the checquered history of their own movement as they seek to vociferously criticise those they see as less pure of heart here.
Somehow, Labor is supposed to come around to their way of thinking in order to get their purist tick of approval, when we all know that when governments have been formed under their ideological banner they have been just as chaotic and discriminatory as any other. For example, Venezuala. You could almost say that their motto is, ‘For the Few, Not the Many’.
Which is why I find the criticism of the Labor Party here by them a bit rich.
Josh Frydenburg and his party is also in pursuit of the cause of, and practical implementation of, class warfare. It’s just that it is the Upper Class against the Working Class that he is fighting for.
I said before that this present LNP will be lucky to stop Labor winning 100+ seats whenever the LNP are willing to face the voters.
The treasurer is delusional, the PM just bloody stupid and the DPM ?
zoomster @ #2834 Tuesday, January 22nd, 2019 – 5:54 pm
You have to give him half a tick. Warren Mundine is Indigenous.
The Labor right neo-libs would attack socialism wouldn’t they. 😆
Rocket
In my dreams of the aftermath of a Shorten Labor victory I hope the revelations of the corruption and mismanagement that has gone on in the MDB will see all the big irrigators so discredited (or in jail or out of business) that when the drought breaks, as it will, they don’t dare harvest a drop and it all goes down the rivers.
A man’s gotta dream …
All’s right with the world. I have been verballed and my position misrepresented once again by Cat.
Life’s good.
How good is it to be the object of an obsession!
Socialism provides some pretty good ideals which can be woven in to combat the excesses of capitalism and create a fairer Society to live in.
Barney in Go Dau
Especially the ones that help curb the Ginas and Ruperts of the world…………….oh and the Hemmes
ScoMo the stand-up comic. One of his staffers has done some research!
(Don’t bother to watch if you’re sick of him. I am.)
https://twitter.com/i/status/1087555415410266114