The return of Essential Research provided the BludgerTrack mill with its first grist for the new year, but the model is at its least robust when it only has one data point to play with after a long gap. This means BludgerTrack strongly follows the lead of a poll that was less bad for the Coalition than their usual form, resulting in a substantial reduction in Labor’s still commanding lead on two-party preferred. Labor is also down six on the seat projection – one in each mainland state and two in Queensland. The Essential poll also included a new set of numbers for the leadership ratings, and these produced a weak result for Bill Shorten that has blunted his recent improving trend. Full results through the link below.
I mean the lead character is a Canadian French make senior detective. He is bilingual and presents the differences between French and English Canada, of which I only have a fleeting knowledge.
I like to listen to an Audiobook when I am going to sleep at night.
jenauthor @ 11.56am
Much appreciated! It is a bit of a paradox that crime fiction is so popular given the inherent abhorrence of the subject. I suppose it’s a bit like a good horror story – so long as it isn’t happening to us!
I do have a fondness for those English country house and/or village tales although the does stretch one’s credulity about the crime rate in St Mary Mead or Midsomer. LOL.
Mundine’s selection by Morrison.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/scott-morrison-to-parachute-former-labor-boss-warren-mundine-into-marginal-seat-20190122-p50sts.html
Oops – “it does stretch”. Nothing to do with “the does” doing anything! 🙂
It was noted earlier, but worth repeating.
On current polling the Libs are in for a shillacking. However, there is no guarantee that the fallen Lib seats will all come over to Labor.
While I believe that Labor will do extremely well and have the numbers to form Government in their own right, there is likely to be a swathe of Independents come in to the Reps from traditional Conservative seats (a la Wentworth). So, extrapolating projected end TPP to seats may not be the lineal exercise that many ALP supporters are expecting.
It is easy to write fiction, look at the vastness of shite published over the past century, all you need is an obliging publisher and very little self-criticism.
Writing good fiction of course is far harder.
Mavis Smith
My picture of Cartland is lounging on a sofa in pink and pearls, dictating “the story”, while a secretary recorded it, took it away and adjusted the text to fit the latest set of characters.
GG….if the Victorian election is a guide, the greatest swings will be in Safe-Lib seats, and they could fall to Labor or Independents.
Parachuting Mundine in over the guy that already won the preselection is going to go so well isnt it? Only needs a few upset Libs to vote elsewhere for Lab to gain the seat.
Is there an App equivalent for Australia’s parliament?
Politiscope, an app to track Congressional voting records and bills, launches on android devices
IoM,
Especially when Ann Sudmalis chose not to seek to renominate because of lack of support from local LP branch.
IoM @ #2559 Tuesday, January 22nd, 2019 – 12:34 pm
Who is a guy who is in the next seat to the guy who was reinstalled over the more moderate guy who had the numbers.
It all doesn’t sound very democratic, does it?
What is it with the LNP’s infatuation with Cptn Cook?
IoM
A move of genius that is sure to fill the locals with the motivation to go out and work twice as hard for ‘head office’ 🙂
PuffyTMD
Tuesday, January 22nd, 2019 – 12:10 pm
Comment #2542
Thanks for that I recently read one of those and need to go back to the start of the series.
Publication Order of Inspector Gamache Books —–
Still Life (2005)
The Cruelest Month (2008) and so on —–
My pretend French is not much help but the text is explanatory. 😲
mikehilliard
He’s one of their ‘go to ‘ guys in their eternal kulturkampf .
Allan – I think it is more the innate desire to solve a puzzle/problem solve along with the desire to identify with the ‘right’ outcome and the hero/heroine.
In romance this is the happy ending/promise of happy ending. In crime it is setting the world to rights/returning balance.
In simplistic terms we have an innate desire for ‘positive order’, so we cheer the hero/heroine and dislike the villain.
mike hilliard,
Captain Cook is the avatar for Morrison’s own electorate, say no more. It just puts up in lights that he isn’t a very imaginative person.
Won’t it be hilarious if Warren Mundine STILL doesn’t end up gaining a seat in parliament!?! It being his main motivation for leaving Labor and hooking up with the Liberals. He wanted to get into parliament so badly he changed parties.
I also wonder what kind of ‘back-biting’ will come from the pre-selected guy who supposedly white-anted Sudmalis to get her seat … he was supposed to have been ruthless …. will he bow out gracefully or do an “Abbott”?
Of course, if your idea of the history of the world is only a few thousand years….
Re-enacting the prang into the Reef is on the agenda no doubt.
lizzie
Not to mention it is a re-enactment of something that never happened. Perhaps Scotty could undertake a re-enactment of Cook’s trip to Hawaii ? 🙂
You’d think that no-one wearing a Lib shirt will have a hope in Gilmore. Mundine is crazy to try. The Liberals are just as crazy to dump an already-selected candidate. They’re making a lot of panic-stricken errors.
Reconciliation our way; reconciliation is a one way street for these vandals. The ‘view from the shore‘ – that’s a new one from motormouth.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-01-22/endeavour-replica-to-sail-around-australia/10734998
Cook made that voyage on HMS Resolution, not Endeavour.
mikehilliard @ #5530 Tuesday, January 22nd, 2019 – 12:37 pm
It’s a bit of a(nother) cult in The Shire – and ScumMo adopts protective camouflage as readily as other (blue ringed?) octopuses…speaking of which – has anyone heard from Boerwar lately?
Samantha Maiden getting a bit bolshie on Twitter, but she has a point.
‘Can we all agree all this thong bullshit from the Prime Minister, someone needs to take a stand.
What sort of Australian Prime Minister comes out AGAINST THONGS ? It’s the bigger own goal since Hockey axed the baby bonus ON MOTHERS DAY. What the hell is next? VEGEMITE?? KOALAS?’
Jaeger
Scotty doesn’t worry about it being a voyage Cook did not make so why should I worry about it being on a ship he did not take ? 🙂
Someone (not me, I’m going to indulge in the schadenfreude of it all) should explain to Mundine how this ratting business works: rats jump off, and not onto, sinking ships …
Second verse of Advance Australia Fair as originally published:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advance_Australia_Fair#Development_of_lyrics
Jenauthor, Clem is a narcissist. In his eyes he can do no wrong and is quick to abuse anyone who disagrees with him.
He is someone to avoid as there is nothing to b gained by interacting with them.
Alby will spin his grave.
https://www.pollbludger.net/2019/01/18/bludgertrack-53-7-46-3-labor-4/comment-page-52/#comment-3054987
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/series/the-transparency-project
What a load of bull.
Cook’s voyages. Maybe someone should tell Scotty, no circumnavigation….
lizzie says:
Tuesday, January 22, 2019 at 1:09 pm
@169lunar
2m2 minutes ago
Please get the headline right. Gerard Henderson’s son in law Warren Mundine @nyunggai parachuted into Gilmore against local endorsed candidate Grant Schultz (son of Alby Schultz)
It’s an incestuous pot….
Advance Australia Fair had a third verse saying how English, Scots and Irish made a new country that will be the envy of the world. The Welsh, Aborigines and everyone else don’t get a lookin.
The fourth verse says if anyone tries to invade they’ll get their backsides seriously kicked and Britain will be proud of her descendants.
What is now the second verse was added at as a fifth verse in 1901 for Federation
sprocket_ @ #2587 Tuesday, January 22nd, 2019 – 1:12 pm
Um, of New Zealand!?! 😯
Steve777
I have always thought that Waltzing Matilda was nearer to Oz reality, but nowadays “We are one, but we are many” is best.
Again people are laughing at Morrison.
Just as they started to laugh at Abbott.
He is toast.
If he doesn’t call the March 2 election he might not make it to May.
“Displays no interest in learning.” ?Sounds a good fit for Libs.
Historical accuracy aside, do we really want to spend $48.7m on promoting this?
Mr Morrison said the anniversary would give new generations an insight into Capt. Cook, his ship, and the experiences of Indigenous Australians.
“We want to help Australians better understand Captain Cook’s historic voyage and its legacy for exploration, science, and reconciliation,” he said.
The National Maritime Museum will get $7 million for the Endeavour replica’s circumnavigation of Australia.
“That voyage is the reason Australia is what it is today and it’s important we take the opportunity to reflect on it.
“We will ensure that Australians, young and old, see firsthand the legacy.”
Funding for next year’s voyage will come from an existing $48.7 million package set aside for the anniversary.
Mr Morrison told Cairns radio, the replica would repeat Cook’s circumnavigation.
https://www.9news.com.au/2019/01/22/08/24/scott-morrison-outlines-year-of-celebration-to-mark-james-cooks-first-voyage-to-australia
ScoMo is getting a good drubbing on Twitter.
I wonder what he’ll come up with to distract us tomorrow?
briefly @ #2574 Tuesday, January 22nd, 2019 – 1:01 pm
Especially as Labor are fielding a candidate who is a lovely lady and has been campaigning solidly for 2 elections now on some great policies for the region:
http://www.fionaphillips.com.au/
mikehilliard:
That’s easy, Scott Morrison keeps hearing that he’s the Member for Cook.
“we don’t need another abbott in parliament.”
Mundine is more Craig Kelly than Tony Abbott.
Steve777 says: Tuesday, January 22, 2019 at 1:14 pm
Advance Australia Fair had a third verse saying how English, Scots and Irish made a new country that will be the envy of the world. The Welsh, Aborigines and everyone else don’t get a lookin.
*********************************************************
sprocket_ @ #2594 Tuesday, January 22nd, 2019 – 1:23 pm
Talk about rubbing Indigenous Australians noses in it!
And ‘reconciliation’!?! What has the beginning of the sorry history of British colonisation and Indigenous massacres got to do with ‘reconciliation’!?!