Ipsos and Essential Research closed their accounts for 2018 this week, and their combined effect has been to reduce Labor’s lead to 54.3-45.7 after a blowout to 54.9-45.1 last week. This is good for one Coalition gain on the seat projection, that being in Queensland. Full results through the link below.
We’re unlikely to see any more poll results until mid-January, although Newspoll should be unloading its quarterly state breakdowns in a week or so, and hopefully a few state voting intention results as well. Nonetheless, things should be pretty active around here over the silly season, as there’s a backlog preselection analysis to attend to, and I should finally get time to attend to my long-promised Morrison-era overhaul of BludgerTrack.
2,141 comments on “BludgerTrack: 54.3-45.7 to Labor”
I am really enjoying the Australian SBS series “On the Ropes”.
In breaking news:
“I’ve also read male and conservative.”
It’s always the conservatives, the ones who bang on about ‘family values’.
BK @ #51 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 8:39 am
Is it a Documentary about the current LNP Government?
No, that’s “On the Mat”.
Greensborough Growler @ #51 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 5:37 am
LOL! Great photo.
Smacks a bit of the Metherell Affair
No worries KayJay!
In before I read the article
What’s the bet that Waleed has inserted some insidiously wheaselly line of the “…and labor is barely better” type?
What’s with the big ‘C’ on Scomo’s baseball-cap? Is it his designation? Captain? C–t?
Capital C for Capital Crap
sprocket_ @ #24 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 8:00 am
Someone has gone to a lot of trouble to put that cartoon clip of big george together.
No doubt the full story will come out, probably sooner then later….
Right on cue for the Federal election, the African gangs move to Queensland:
Yesterday’s hailstorm ‘catastorphic’.
Friday, December 21, 2018 at 8:51 am
What’s with the big ‘C’ on Scomo’s baseball-cap? Is it his designation? Captain? C–t?”
‘C’ grade Prime Minister perhaps?
Yesterday I installed the latest Windows 10 Insider version.
These installations are more or less beta testing and come as warts and all. The previous version cleverly knocked out the sound but was otherwise just fine.
This latest version comes with lots of goodies (most of which I will never use) but the old favourite (for me) Internet Explorer looked a little dodgy – I couldn’t get it to display the Menu Bar for printing, saving etc. It did fix the sound.
After a lot of stuffing around and a complete computer reload – I have figured out that Microsoft have cleverly had a game of hide the salami and placed the menu items in the contents of the gear wheel icon. Clever devils – playful as ever.
A good morning to all. My locality had thunder, lightning and rain. Thankfully we escaped the dreadful events that caused havoc elsewhere.
Now to follow the adventures of Mr. Christenson. What a joy ❗ What is gastric banding, I wonder, is that where one gets to play the drums on ones belly ❓ 😯
“‘C’ grade Prime Minister perhaps?”
Unlikely. “C” is a passing grade.
EDIT: maybe “C” for “civilian”.
citizen @ #68 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 9:00 am
How to get pre-selected in the Liberal Party!
The Scotts might be interested in the provision of the Electoral Act
ELECTORAL ACT 1992 – SECT 285
(1) A person shall not offer, solicit or accept an electoral bribe.
Maximum penalty: 50 penalty units, imprisonment for 6 months or both.
(2) In this section:
“bribe” does not include a declaration of public policy or a promise of public action.
“electoral bribe” means a bribe for the purpose of—
(a) influencing the vote of an elector; or
(b) influencing the candidature of a person in an election; or
(c) otherwise influencing the course or result of an election; or
(d) inducing a person not to apply, or to withdraw an application, under section 192 to be a candidate for a seat in relation to which a casual vacancy has occurred, if that person is an eligible person within the meaning of that section; or
(e) inducing a person not to apply, or to withdraw an application, to the Court of Disputed Elections under division 16.3 to dispute the validity of an election, if that person is entitled to dispute the validity of the election under section 257.
Last eve’s storm was quite spectacular. Never had a hailstorm that lasted so long — a good 10-15 minutes. I raced out and got a stone that was bigger than a golf ball, but not as big as a cricket ball. MOst smashed on the concrete driveway as they really came down with a lot of force.
Pleased to say we don’t appear to have had any damage except a few shredded plants.
To me that is talking about an actual election.
This is about Party pre-selection which is an entirely different thing. 🙂
Also – first time in my life we had two separate hailstorms in one day. We got a second round about an hour after the first.
BREAKING: Trump says Defense Secretary James Mattis will be retiring at the end of February and a new chief will be named shortly.
I think there are three LNP scandals on the boil today. 🙂
Pepe, always an entertaining and thoughtful read; because you never come across this depth of material in any MSM in Australia
Greensborough Growler @ #9 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 4:36 am
Is Georgie Porgie the LNP member who allegedly travelled to areas known to be hotbeds of “drugs and prostitution”?
@guytaur…..”I think there are three LNP scandals on the boil today.”……..
….and Turnbull is now on the sidelines pissing hmself laughing…..lol…….
Good to hear that everything is OK. Plus, you will be able to write the storm into one of your novels.
If true this is an absolute disgrace – the Liberal party, which likes to talk about “values”, should explain such totally unethical behaviour
Michelle Grattan on the $350,000 bribe for Craig Kelly’s opponent. I find it amazing the Michelle has just discovered that the Liberal Party might not have any values. She’s been in Canberra since the 70s, so we can’t put it down to inexperience. Perhaps her obsessive hatred of Gillard and the Labor Party distracted Michelle all these years.
I was thinking how the bullet proof vest wasn’t really doing a complete job of protection myself! 🙂
frednk @ #46 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 7:31 am
Thank you. Stirring stuff.
It was a dark and stormy night………
‘Barney in Go Dau says:
Friday, December 21, 2018 at 9:18 am
To me that is talking about an actual election.
This is about Party pre-selection which is an entirely different thing. ‘
I would have thought that ‘influencing the candidature of a person in an election’ covers a pre-selection.
I don’t know.
Dan Gulberry @ #79 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 9:32 am
Some ‘posts’ on twitter under that name.
‘Greensborough Growler says:
Friday, December 21, 2018 at 9:35 am
It was a dark and stormy night………’
Jen… that one’s been taken… as has the moon being a ghostly galleon.
You might well think that. I couldn’t possibly say!
When Morrison talks about being a ‘family’ he is taking a very, very broad view.
It includes anyone who has been to SEA for a shag.
“Because you have the right to have a Secretary of Defense whose views are better aligned with yours on these and other subjects, I believe it is right for me to step down from my position.” — Jim Mattis resignation letter to Trump
Another rat abandoning ship.
BK @ #55 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 5:44 am
I thought it was “In The Bin”.
Not sure if this has been posted.
Sam Maiden –
“The SMH editorial says that the ALP is succeeding by being boring…”
This is what happens when people forget what competence looks like.
Boerwar @ #86 Friday, December 21st, 2018 – 5:35 am
No one is trying to stop him being a candidate at the next election.
This purely about which candidate has the Liberal Party logo next to their name on the ballot.
From the New Daily:
After the trips became the subject of gossip within the Department of Foreign Affairs, a Labor MP is believed to have gone to authorities to tip them off that the matter may need to be investigated.
The Prime Minister’s Office attempted to discredit the claims, stating that the referral had come from a Labor source and that the AFP had “discredited” the smear and found no case to answer.
Bill Shorten spreading dirt. He has questions to answer.
Seriously though, does anybody think Morrison wants to be asked questions about this and the Broad scandal in Parliament?
Angela Merkel – Boring
Macron – Boring
Corbyn – Boring
Scandinavian countries leaders – Boring
Shorten – Boring
Jacinda Adern – Boring
I am sure there are many more.
May – Enertaining flailing around
Morrison – Clown Show circus
Trump – Entertainment President from Reality Television.
I sense a pattern 🙂
On entertaining incompetence this one about drones is pretty up there
JUST IN: White House has ordered the Pentagon to draw up plans for a troop withdrawal from Afghanistan, 2 defense officials and a person briefed on the matter tell @NBCNews. https://nbcnews.to/2CpuZjw