Essential Research: 54-46 to Labor

Reasonably good personal ratings are the only consolation Scott Morrison can take from another diabolical poll result.

The Guardian reports the Coalition’s recovery in Essential Research a fortnight ago has proved shortlived – Labor has gained two points on two-party preferred to lead 54-46, returning to where they were the poll before last. Both major parties are up on the primary vote, Labor by four points to 39% and the Coalition by one to 38%. We will have to wait on the full report later today for the minor parties. The monthly personal ratings have Scott Morrison up one on approval to 42% and down three on disapproval to 34%, while Bill Shorten is down three to 35% and down one to 43%. Morrison leads 40-29 as preferred prime minister, barely changed on 41-29 last time.

Also featured are questions on Labor’s dividend imputation policies and negative gearing policies. The former had the support of 39% and the opposition of 30%. On restricting negative gearing to new homes, 24% said it would reduce house prices; 21% said it would increase them; and 27% believed it would make no difference. Thirty-seven per cent believed it would lead to higher rents, 14% to lower rents and 24% make no difference. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1032.

UPDATE: Full report here. Greens down one to 10%, One Nation down one to 6%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,545 comments on “Essential Research: 54-46 to Labor”

Comments Page 12 of 51
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  1. PuffyTMD @ #546 Tuesday, December 4th, 2018 – 7:29 pm

    This is the text of an advert that came up on Gumtree just now when I searched administration jobs.
    Note the duties, note the skill level and then note THE RATE OF PAY!

    Volunteer Receptionist/admin support Position 3 months
    Allied Health Practice

    · Will suit for someone looking for a work experience and live around Hoppers crossing.

    · Volunteer (Unpaid) Intern Position 3 months

    Key Responsibilities include (not limited to):

    · Managing appointments

    · Answering phone

    · Managing the waiting room

    · Billing of appointments and taking payments

    · Liaising with doctors, staff and other Allied Health Providers

    · Processing Medicare, HICAP claims and payments

    Skills and Experience

    · Comprehensive computer skills essential

    · Ability to multi-task and perform appropriately under pressure and in stressful situations

    · Strong written and verbal communicative skills

    · Must be well presented

    · Attention to detail

    · Exceptional customer service skills

    Hi Puffy,

    If you can post the link, I will send it to the right people.

  2. Puffy that is clearly an employment relationship and any person accepting the position would be entitled to be paid at the appropriate rate

  3. Unpaid internships should be illegal and anyone found to be guilty of engaging people on such terms should be sentenced to a stiff term of imprisonment.

  4. Have had many calls pointing out that we re now in serious trouble ; we now have legal back-doors in distributed control systems. A legal back door into our power system. Another method for hackers to close it down.

    The issue is not the method used to legally get access to the back door, the issue is that the back door exists.

  5. “And made to pay for their accommodation and meals while they’re in there.”

    And made to pay people engaged on such terms the full award wage for the time that they were engaged, together with forwarding the required PAYG amounts to the Tax Office. If they’re broke, impose a hex-type debt on them.

  6. Link: https://www.gumtree.com.au/s-ad/hoppers-crossing/administrative-assistant/volunteer-receptionist-admin-support-position-3-months/1202257008

    PuffyTMD @ #546 Tuesday, December 4th, 2018 – 6:59 pm

    This is the text of an advert that came up on Gumtree just now when I searched administration jobs.
    Note the duties, note the skill level and then note THE RATE OF PAY!

    Volunteer Receptionist/admin support Position 3 months
    Allied Health Practice

    · Will suit for someone looking for a work experience and live around Hoppers crossing.

    · Volunteer (Unpaid) Intern Position 3 months

    Key Responsibilities include (not limited to):

    · Managing appointments

    · Answering phone

    · Managing the waiting room

    · Billing of appointments and taking payments

    · Liaising with doctors, staff and other Allied Health Providers

    · Processing Medicare, HICAP claims and payments

    Skills and Experience

    · Comprehensive computer skills essential

    · Ability to multi-task and perform appropriately under pressure and in stressful situations

    · Strong written and verbal communicative skills

    · Must be well presented

    · Attention to detail

    · Exceptional customer service skills

  7. Software industry is on fire. Been told development of commercial applications in Australia is finished; who wants a commerce application with a sovereign risk.

  8. PuffyTMD @ #560 Tuesday, December 4th, 2018 – 8:11 pm

    Link: https://www.gumtree.com.au/s-ad/hoppers-crossing/administrative-assistant/volunteer-receptionist-admin-support-position-3-months/1202257008

    PuffyTMD @ #546 Tuesday, December 4th, 2018 – 6:59 pm

    This is the text of an advert that came up on Gumtree just now when I searched administration jobs.
    Note the duties, note the skill level and then note THE RATE OF PAY!

    Volunteer Receptionist/admin support Position 3 months
    Allied Health Practice

    · Will suit for someone looking for a work experience and live around Hoppers crossing.

    · Volunteer (Unpaid) Intern Position 3 months

    Key Responsibilities include (not limited to):

    · Managing appointments

    · Answering phone

    · Managing the waiting room

    · Billing of appointments and taking payments

    · Liaising with doctors, staff and other Allied Health Providers

    · Processing Medicare, HICAP claims and payments

    Skills and Experience

    · Comprehensive computer skills essential

    · Ability to multi-task and perform appropriately under pressure and in stressful situations

    · Strong written and verbal communicative skills

    · Must be well presented

    · Attention to detail

    · Exceptional customer service skills

    You need to link to the specific ad.

  9. All those skills required of somebody looking for “work experience” in a medical centre?

    Yeah. Nah.

    Not only farmers and convenience stores and cafes and the like looking for free labour.

  10. I am in the medical field, there are nurses, radiographers and all sorts of poor graduates out there doing ‘free’ placements in highly professional and technical roles. For months.
    It makes me sick.

  11. Greensborough Growler @ #562 Tuesday, December 4th, 2018 – 7:46 pm

    PuffyTMD @ #560 Tuesday, December 4th, 2018 – 8:11 pm

    Link: https://www.gumtree.com.au/s-ad/hoppers-crossing/administrative-assistant/volunteer-receptionist-admin-support-position-3-months/1202257008

    PuffyTMD @ #546 Tuesday, December 4th, 2018 – 6:59 pm

    This is the text of an advert that came up on Gumtree just now when I searched administration jobs.
    Note the duties, note the skill level and then note THE RATE OF PAY!

    Volunteer Receptionist/admin support Position 3 months
    Allied Health Practice

    · Will suit for someone looking for a work experience and live around Hoppers crossing.

    · Volunteer (Unpaid) Intern Position 3 months

    Key Responsibilities include (not limited to):

    · Managing appointments

    · Answering phone

    · Managing the waiting room

    · Billing of appointments and taking payments

    · Liaising with doctors, staff and other Allied Health Providers

    · Processing Medicare, HICAP claims and payments

    Skills and Experience

    · Comprehensive computer skills essential

    · Ability to multi-task and perform appropriately under pressure and in stressful situations

    · Strong written and verbal communicative skills

    · Must be well presented

    · Attention to detail

    · Exceptional customer service skills

    You need to link to the specific ad.

    This works for me.
    https://www.gumtree.com.au/s-ad/hoppers-crossing/administrative-assistant/volunteer-receptionist-admin-support-position-3-months/1202257008

    You could search by advert number which is 1202257008

  12. The issue is not the method used to legally get access to the back door, the issue is that the back door exists.

    This really bothers me. But I am resigned to it now. In the end it may be something we (as a community) need to understand the hard way. I can’t think of a good analogy that gets the message across.

    But I can try.

    I’m somewhat concerned about financial systems, but there are also physical systems (e.g. transport) whose failure can cause deaths. While these are ‘hardened’ what is often not realized is the degree of interdependence between different systems. A weakness in one can open a hole in another. Have you ever had the wish to be able to log into your work computer from home, or access that remote site using your phone? Nearly everyone has. Those bridges exist. Nearly every system is linked to another.

    Now what is not generally appreciated is that encryption has two jobs, not one. Privacy (or its dark side, secrecy) is one job. The other is authentication. Making sure only the approved have access. Public/private key encryption authenticates you. Weaken encryption and you weaken both. Access becomes easier.

    I am not an expert in encryption but I have worked with people who are. We need to listen to and trust what they tell us. You know, those experts who have made this their life-work.

    Back doors are like guns. A good guy with a gun won’t protect you from the bad guy.

  13. Late riser;
    I implement distributed control systems on the assumption the communication is secure to the extent that factoring large prime numbers is secure. I am now being told by people in the know that this is a poor assumption. It has been described to me as a stuff up bigger than the mess made of the NBN, that the sovereign risk is a very valid reason not to buy Chinese hardware for critical applications and we have just placed our software in the same dumpster.

  14. Late Riser

    I can imagine the glee state and ‘private’hackers will have at such a juicy target put on offer. Not to worry though our government have shown themselves to be ninjas when it comes to IT pro…………..Oh wait !

  15. That job advert is in “Allied Health Professionals”, a generic industry area. You would need to apply for the job to find out who placed it.

    Date Listed:
    27/11/2018
    Last Edited:
    27/11/2018
    Salary Type:
    Unpaid
    Advertised By:
    Private
    Job Type:
    Volunteer

  16. Late Riser

    It will be too late but it would be marvellous if Anonymous used it to hack Coalition+Labor pollies and published it as lesson to them.

  17. Oh gosh! Just now I flicked past Sky on WIN TV and there was Jones with some character promoting AdvanceAustralia (the RW anti GetUp). It is being promoted as a grassroots organisation and he was touting for suckers to “donate just $10”.

  18. citizen @ #576 Tuesday, December 4th, 2018 – 9:03 pm

    Oh gosh! Just now I flicked past Sky on WIN TV and there was Jones with some character promoting AdvanceAustralia (the RW anti GetUp). It is being promoted as a grassroots organisation and he was touting for suckers to “donate just $10”.

    If they were serious they’d give a discount off the Foxtel subscription.

    Get Rupert to experience a bit of pain!

  19. Andrew Bolt and Steve Price were laying into David Attenborough tonight over his warning on climate change this week. Bolt went as far as to call him a liar. Of course Bolt is far more educated on these matters than Attenborough could ever be. What would he know?

  20. Yay!
    Liberal Louise Staley was 78 votes ahead in Ripon, northwest of Ballarat, but last night the Victorian Electoral Commission finalised the provisional result in the seat, declaring Labor’s Sarah De Santis the winner by 31 votes.

  21. Late Riser

    Quite correct. I have some background in hard core encryption coding and it bugs me that anyone would be stupid enough to require legally enforceable holes in encryption.

    Even the best solutions, technically, still require a trusted party and there is no such thing as a completely trustworthy human.

  22. C@tmomma says:
    Tuesday, December 4, 2018 at 9:24 pm
    Upnorth @ #576 Tuesday, December 4th, 2018 – 9:15 pm

    C@tmomma says:
    Tuesday, December 4, 2018 at 9:12 pm
    Eek! Real people!
    (Just back from the focus group)

    And????

    Labor still has a lot of work to do.

    It’s Ok sister we never have an easy run. Our enemies and the enemies of a better Australia work hard to “pull the wool” over your fellow focus group members. From the Tory liars who have honed their craft over generations to the MSM who take filthy lucre to make false reports to the Greens, “wolves in sheep’s clothing”. We battle from all sides to make a better and fairer Australia. But take heart sister, truth and good will prevail. Maintain the Rage!

  23. The Greens received more than double the votes received by the Nationals

    The Nationals have 5 seats in the Lower House, where governments are formed – and are in Coalition with the Liberal Party

    The Greens have 3 seats and sit in the cross bench

    Labor has 56 seats

    So there you go

  24. I’m doubtful about the usefulness of focus groups. Like pseudo opinion polls.

    I’d be much more interested in proper opinion polls rather than focus groups.

  25. That graphic is better but still pretty inept in that it ignores that the only people who have had backstabbing problems in the past 5 years are all in the Coalition. You only show how shambolic their side currently is.

  26. @ Nath

    There is no cure for mercury poisoning. The best way to treat mercury poisoning is to stop your exposure to the metal. … Long term, you may need continuing treatment to manage the effects of mercury poisoning, such as neurological effects

    Mate you gotta give up eating flake!!

  27. UpNorth,
    The 3 biggest ones that have been seared into the consciousness of the great unwashed:

    * The Unions. Apparently, they will cause ‘Small Business’ to not be able to create jobs.
    * If Labor get in they will put up your taxes to pay for their promises.
    * Labor don’t like Small Business and Small Business are the creators of most of the jobs in Australia.

  28. Cud Chewer @ #585 Tuesday, December 4th, 2018 – 8:26 pm

    Late Riser

    Quite correct. I have some background in hard core encryption coding and it bugs me that anyone would be stupid enough to require legally enforceable holes in encryption.

    Even the best solutions, technically, still require a trusted party and there is no such thing as a completely trustworthy human.

    I was exposed, once, to a control system for a sequential pair of hydro dams in Washington State. It scared the willies out of me. The town, downstream of the 2nd dam, has 20 seconds warning of a dam failure. The city, a little further downstream, would have 10 minutes. In the event of a failure there would be so many killed the numbers lose meaning.

    The scary part for me was how the engineers running the dam monitored their domain. (SCADA) For convenience and cost they could connect from home! In hindsight I am glad my company did not win the work to update their control systems. I would not want that level of responsibility.

    But back to your point, I’ve always taken to heart that the weakest link in any system is the people who use it. (So there is no way you should increase the number who can get in by installing a back door.)

  29. The good guys won Prahran, Brunswick, and Northcote.

    Glenn Druery and microparties engaged in evil shenanigans in the legislative council.

    Group ticket voting is an abomination. It’s a perversion of the voters’ will. It needs to be removed pronto.

  30. Sydney is where cesspits 2GB and the Telegraph are yuge. Is their popularity a reflection of Sydney or does Sydney reflect the output of the two ?

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