New polls from Newspoll and Ipsos have made next to no difference to the BludgerTrack poll aggregate’s reading on voting intention, unless you count 54-46 as a psychological barrier, since it was 53.9-46.1 last week. There has been no change on the seat projection, and only small movements in the primary vote – the largest being a drop from 6.6% to 5.9% for One Nation, who were down from 7% to 5% in the Ipsos poll. I still don’t have a Scott Morrison net approval trend in action yet, but Bill Shorten’s reading records a slight improvement after a somewhat stronger result from Newspoll than their previous poll three weeks ago. The preferred prime minister trend has hardly moved at all, and remains very much as it was under Malcolm Turnbull.
Full results on the link below. Note also the post below this one, dealing with the rather more interesting subject of Saturday’s Wentworth by-election.
Gecko @ #2120 Saturday, October 20th, 2018 – 7:05 pm
This from the Guardian blog.
Barney… yeah saw that. Kept waiting for the cripple to scream he could walk again but it never happened.
I was particularly impressed by scomo’s biblical optimism that they “will rise again”. Resurrection is the Word.
@ratsak
outstanding summary of the last week
Aunt Mavis says:
Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 12:27 pm
I feel a song coming on:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=63yBpl6Oixo
The photo of Mahalia in the video was taken at the 1957 Newport Jazz Festival in Rhode Island. The following year she had two appearances at Newport; the first singing with the Duke Ellington Orchestra and then an hour-long midnight set the following night which ended with her stirring rendition of the Lord’s Prayer.
The 1958 Newport concert is regarded as perhaps the most outstanding jazz concert ever and as one writer put it has “taken on mythic status.” With the America’s Cup sailing races ,off Narragansett Bay in the background, I was lucky enough to have been there.
These are some of the other performers I heard that sweltering July 4th weekend: The Benny Goodman Orchestra, Thelonius Monk, Ray Charles, Miles Davis, Chuck Berry, Dinah Washington, Gerry Mulligan, Louis Armstrong, Anita O’Day, George Shearing, Chico Hamilton, Dave Brubeck, Paul Desmond, Chris Connor, Jack Teagarden, Bobby Hackett. What a program!
If I knew how to attach a photo, I’d attach a photo I took of the Duke at the piano leading his orchestra. You can also get the flavor of the event from Bert Stern’s fine documentary Jazz on a Summer’s Day.
In the context of what should happen at next year’s general election, someone brought up the subject of the Canadian conservatives in 1993. The Progressive-Conservatives went into that election with 156 seats and a majority in the House of Commons. They came out of it with just 2 seats. Yes two!!
As someone remarked at the time, the PC’s were able to have their caucus meetings in a phone booth.
And yes that “Progressive” in the party name is a bit of a misnomer. For some us, like the Coalition they were the Regressive-Conservatives. But over the next decade they morphed into a more right-wing party which regained power in 2006 under Stephen Harper and ruled for nine years.
Good morning Dawn Patrollers. What a rout!
David Crowe says that this was a swift and savage message to Scott Morrison that puts him in a diabolical position in Parliament and sets him on course for catastrophe at the next election.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/wentworth-hiding-puts-morrison-government-on-course-for-general-election-catastrophe-20181020-p50ay4.html
Tony Wright says those on the hunt for a scapegoat should start with Peter Dutton.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/those-on-the-hunt-for-a-scapegoat-should-start-with-peter-dutton-20181020-p50ayk.html
Not holding back, Katharine Murphy opines that the Wentworth byelection isn’t just a loss for the Liberals. It’s a disaster she says.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/oct/20/the-wentworth-byelection-isnt-just-a-loss-for-the-liberals-its-a-disaster
Michelle Grattan says that the byelection fiasco will re-open fractures in the government and threatens a damaging burst of infighting between Liberal conservatives and moderates.
https://theconversation.com/liberals-trounced-in-huge-wentworth-swing-bringing-a-hung-parliament-105351
The Australian’s Brad Norrington says the Wentworth by-election result smells like one just before a change of government. Bill Shorten’s popularity doesn’t matter now. He says Morrison has lost his first test.
https://outline.com/yx5sdJ
Phil Coorey tells us about the punishment meted out in Wentworth.
https://www.outline.com/9jbuGn
Paula Matthewson has her say on the ballot box bludgeoning delivered to Morrison and his government.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/national/2018/10/20/wentworth-by-election-analysis/
Tess Lawrence wrote yesterday that the KKKoalition has signed its own death warrant.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/kkkoalition-signs-own-death-warrant-declares-hanson-the-white-queen,12018
Alexandra Smith reckons Marise Payne’s husband is lining himself up for a tilt at Gladys’s job. But it’s fraught with danger she says.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/the-minister-for-the-west-and-his-obsession-with-the-east-20181018-p50ado.html
Jacqui Maley writes that most voters, particularly urban ones, will have watched with nauseated incredulity as speculation about the Nationals’ leadership mounted this week and she goes into the questions that remain regarding Joyce.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/why-the-big-questions-about-barnaby-joyce-are-so-important-20181019-p50at5.html
Is there a place for waste-to-energy schemes on Australia?
https://www.smh.com.au/environment/sustainability/should-australia-be-turning-its-rubbish-into-electricity-20181018-p50aih.html
In Smith declares that when it comes to Manus and Nauru enough is enough.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/manus-and-nauru-enough-is-enough-20181018-p50ahq.html
Peter FitzSimons tells us what the royal visit really says about Australia.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/what-the-royal-visit-really-says-about-australia-20181019-p50ats.html
In a rather angry contribution Matt Wade explains how the boom is long gone but it doesn’t mean Australia’s anxiety about housing affordability has disappeared.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/house-prices-might-be-falling-but-our-anxiety-isn-t-20181019-p50atj.html
Ian Warden says all Australian palefaces should be grateful to Senator Hanson for her motion and then for her inarticulate but passionate defence of it next day on one of those breakfast TV shows that get simple-minded viewers’ days off to such a sparkling start.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/parliaments-ace-paleface-makes-government-blush-20181019-p50amq.html
Australia’s National Broadband Network has been problematic for too long, our own Government interfering with the common good, writes Paul Budde.
https://independentaustralia.net/business/business-display/the-nbn-and-the-common-good–fending-off-the-forces-of-privatisation,12017
The Washington Post’s Paul Parhi warns us why the saga of missing journalist Jamal Khashoggi resonates with all of us.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/middle-east/why-the-saga-of-missing-journalist-jamal-khashoggi-resonates-with-all-of-us-20181019-p50anf.html
The Australian government has decided it is “no longer appropriate” to attend a summit in Saudi Arabia in light of the killing of journalist Jamal Khashoggi.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/oct/20/shorten-says-australia-should-boycott-saudi-summit-over-khashoggi-death
Simon Tisdall writes that Miss Marple would demolish in minutes the Saudi story of a fistfight gone wrong.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/oct/20/what-saudi-statement-about-khashoggi-fistfight-reveals
Timothy Boyle is far from impressed with the American influence on sport in Australia.
https://www.smh.com.au/sport/afl/australian-sport-doesn-t-need-to-be-slathered-in-american-mustard-20181020-p50ax2.html
eBay has accused Amazon of using “illegal” tactics to poach sellers using eBay’s very own database against them, puzzling analysts who claim the juvenile feud will have little impact on where consumers choose to shop.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/money/finance-news/2018/10/19/ebay-amazon-tactics-sellers/
Tell me this is not true!
https://outline.com/C8uYVG
And for today’s “Arsehole of the WeeK” nomination we have . . .
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/oct/19/australian-man-admits-rape-kidnap-of-british-backpacker
Cartoon Corner
Mark David with another trophy for Morrison.
Peter Broelman in Wentworth.
Zanetti with Morrison’s last gasp in Wentworth.
A couple of good ones from Matt Golding.
A few more in here.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/victoria/best-of-fairfax-cartoons-october-21-2018-20181020-h16wbg.html
Thanks BK. I love the “I stopped the votes” cartoon!
New thread.
Listened for a bit to Prissy this pm on ABC News radio, hasn’t learned a thing:
1. Wentworth is the geographically smallest electorate
2. Very different people there i.e. don’t care about the climate
3. Greens and Labor suffered swings against them too.
So all settled then! Simples!