“The Herald Sun understands Peter Dutton has reached 43 names and the petition will be presented to the Prime Minister tomorrow morning calling for a leadership spill”, runs the one indication I am aware of that the Peter Dutton camp did not in fact spend last night butting its collective head against a ceiling of 40 signatures. That would ensure the proposed party room meeting goes ahead at noon; it is not clear Turnbull will be able to head off organisational pressure to have the situation resolved in any case. If so, a leadership ballot will proceed between Peter Dutton, Scott Morrison and Julie Bishop. The situation is fluid, but the prevailing view seems to be that Bishop will be excluded after a first round vote, setting up a decisive showdown between Dutton and Morrison. A lot may depend on the Solicitor-General’s advice on Dutton’s Section 44 issue, expected this morning.
It also appears to established that this will be immediately followed by Malcolm Turnbull resigning from parliament, and Nationals MP Kevin Hogan moving to the cross-bench. Hogan would continue voting with confidence and supply, but Turnbull’s absence could cause other votes to be lost if the cross bench was united against the government, unless Labor granted a pairing arrangement. Then there is the question of a by-election in Wentworth, which would not be a foregone conclusion for the Liberals – particularly, one suspects, if Dutton is leader. Labor was starting to look almost competitive in the seat before Turnbull made his mark there; failing that, there would seem to be a strong chance of a conservative independent emerging. While there will undoubtedly be a clamour for an early election, the scale of the Liberals’ unreadiness for one suggests it will not be so early as to preclude the need for the by-election.
Poll news:
• A ReachTEL poll for the CFMEU finds 55.5% rating themselves less likely to vote Liberal if Peter Dutton was leader, compared with 22.9% for more likely and 21.5% for no difference. A question on preferred Liberal leader had Peter Dutton on just 10.2%, behind Turnbull on 38.1%, Julie Bishop on 29.2%, Tony Abbott on 14.0% and Scott Morrison on 8.6%. This is consistent with other such polling of recent times, though perhaps a little stronger for Julie Bishop. On voting intention, Labor led 53-47; we haven’t had a ReachTEL poll from Sky News for three months now, but the last one had Labor leading 52-48. After allocating results of a forced response question for the undecided, the primary votes are Coalition 36.1%, Labor 35.0%, Greens 10.8% and One Nation 9.0%. The poll was conducted Wednesday night from a sample of 2430.
• Further bolstering Julie Bishop’s claim is another Morgan SMS poll, finding her favoured 64-36 over Bill Shorten as preferred prime minister, while Shorten held a bare 50.5-49.5 lead over Scott Morrison. The poll was conducted yesterday from a sample of 1126. Unlike Wednesday’s poll, which matched Bill Shorten against Malcolm Turnbull (unfavourably) and Peter Dutton (favourably), this one did not include an undecided option. Bishop’s lead was fairly consistent across the age spectrum, whereas Morrison did much better among older respondents.
if turnbull was intelligent, morrison is …..
he is terrible at public speaking, economics, and promoted way above his competence
turnbull should be punished for dealing and aiding right wing in this country, indeed creating it and acting as its soft front
hope morrison goes off rails of moderation – without turnbull he well might so he will so puffed up with the lord’s will, the anointed one
Scott Morrison is a definitely a “save the furniture” especially for those safer Liberal seats in Melbourne and Sydney with a fair number of ministers or future minister material.
Madcyril @ #898 Friday, August 24th, 2018 – 1:15 pm
No it’s because Ms Crabbe is a friggin’ idiot.
If there’s no poll bounce, the sense of panic will become so thick you could scoop it up in a tea strainer.
Dutton Camp saying not over yet.
Good quote from Spears. Cormann did not follow the majority, he became the majority vs Turnbull.
So who goes into the Cabinet?
Dutton? Will he accept a position if offered? Likewise for Abbott? Cormann? Cash ?
If they decline, then the conflict will resume immediately….
Will Morrison name a moderate cabinet, since they are his reliable backers?
LMAO. Mr 6.6% is now our Prime Minister.
So much for saving the furniture (which is likely to be wrecked by the Duttonites anyway).
Might be time to start a Libspill IV sweep based on how long Prime Morrison lasts before being challenged.
lol Tony Burke
Its going to get very interesting
Looking forward to Mr Shorten’s presser 🙂
Hogan says he’ll still go to the cross bench
Porter appears to have stuck with MORRISON/Turnbull right thru…will he be made Treasurer?
Dutton saying Defeat Bill Shorten LOL
Abbott
We have lost a PM but still a government to save 😆
There will be a poll bounce relative to the chaos (55 labor).
There will not be a bounce compared to when there was relatively stable turnbbull government (51.5 labor).
53 labor seems likely for the first polls taken with all survey being after this time. Then may go up for labor if scomo is as apt a Pm as he was treasurer, or if Abbott starts wrecking. They may go down for labor if scomo overdelivers and the media get behind him
Reading Peter Brent’s short article on Scott Morrison, I found this interesting.
When it was leaked in 2011 that he had “urged the shadow cabinet to capitalise on the electorate’s growing concerns about ‘Muslim immigration,’ ‘Muslims in Australia’ and the ‘inability’ of Muslim migrants to integrate,” cynics suggested the leaker was none other than the shadow minister himself.
6 different Prime Ministerial appointments in 10 years.
Dutton lies.
Can I just say I think Abbott is a really BAD person.
Next up, Abbott lies.
Kiss, kiss him, cmon.
Lets see the names printed for spill call and voting to keep the war rolling. Interesting that if 3 Libs had not jumped ship they would still have Turnbull. That will cause some retribution as well.
Goodbye Malcolm Turnbull, the Prime Minister that never was.
Josh Frydenberg has the grin of a man playing the long game.
Did Abbott just declare war on Morrison??
No expression of support for the new PM. Nothing.
morrison lacks skills personality and public rhetoric – he is shrill, illogical and uninformed – bill will come over better in public – morrison’s incompetence has been hidden in shadow of turnbull but now he will be on full display – he cannot manage the party let alone the economy – may this pack of non entities be dispatched starting with next poll
My advice to Scomo- get a food taster and beware gollum in red budgies.
First question to Morrison should be,
🙂
With those hideous yellow shoes, Ms Whip clearly has no gay friends.
Amanda Vanstone speaking on News 24 now putting the boot in.
Frydenberg not that upset with the chaos of the NEG!
Ugggghhhh!
Best of a bad lot, I spose.
But, FM, too much.
JimmyD @ #914 Friday, August 24th, 2018 – 1:21 pm
Yes
Abbott is an angry, dangerous man
First question to Morrison – will you refer Dutton to the High Court?
OMG. They actually went with Morrison?
Scrapping the GST on electricity.
A glimpse in to a Dutton Prime Ministership that never was.
Given the polling, I don’t think there will be much difference between PM Dutton and Morrison.
Morrison isn’t a moderate, certainly not ‘centre right’.
Just a slight more acceptable face than Dutton.
He will be under pressure, like Turnbull to adopt right wing policies and appeal to the base ‘.
“6 different Prime Ministerial Appointments in 10 years”
Menzies, Holt, McEwen, Gorton, McMahon, Whitlam.
Labor ended the churn!
Libertarian Unionist @ #923 Friday, August 24th, 2018 – 1:21 pm
Next FM ?
I wonder how many more marble tables the taxpayer will be forced to replace this time around.
I suppose we are lucky that the RWFWs don’t have intelligence on their side! 🙂
Hunt the snivelling opportunist.
ScoMo is such a light weight he will put all the rebels back on the front bench.
Hunt looking for the razor blade
https://twitter.com/theamwu/status/1032825464795029506
Next FM
Certainly getting away from energy as fast as he can.
The Shovel
@TheShovel
25s25 seconds ago
Liberal Party Chooses Scott Morrison To Lose Next Election http://www.theshovel.com.au/2018/08/24/liberal-party-chooses-scott-morrison-to-lose-next-election/?wp-nocache=true …
Does anyone know when we get our next poll?
ABC getting back to doing what it is most comfortable at: polishing Liberal turds.
Menzies, Holt, McEwen, Gorton, McMahon, Whitlam.
Labor ended the churn!
___________________
McEwen was caretaker and Whitlam ended up in the churn too!