Morrison 45, Dutton 40

Scott Morrison is Australia’s sixth prime minister in eleven years, having prevailed in the second round of the party room vote by 45 votes to 40. Julie Bishop was eliminated after the first round: there are reports the vote was Dutton 38, Morrison 36 and Bishop 11. Josh Frydenberg replaces Julie Bishop after nearly eleven years as deputy, having won 46 votes against 20 for Steve Ciobo and 16 for Greg Hunt. Over to you.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

848 comments on “Morrison 45, Dutton 40”

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  1. This person tweeted this in August 2015:

    ‏ @derridalicious

    President Trump’s first political visit will be to Australia, to meet with Prime Minister Scott Morrison
    11:05 AM – 7 Aug 2015

  2. Simon Katich
    The fact that an election has not been called just confirms everything.
    They couldn’t organise a piss-up in a brewery.I fucking hate them. It’s not just me saying it because Pyne is a member (isn’t he just? )

  3. Turnbul has really cruelled the Lib right wing looneys. That published list will be used to beat up on the Lib plotters.

    I know it is a bit out there but I predict that the following seats will fall in Qld

    Dickson, Bonner, Forde, Capricornia, Petrie, Flynn to the ALP
    Fairfax, Fisher to an independent or possibly a Green
    Ryan and Brisbane – Green
    Wide Bay, Wright and maybe Hinkler – PHON

    The LNP reduced to a rump

  4. Sohar @ #802 Friday, August 24th, 2018 – 11:25 pm

    Mewthree @massivetotoro
    as I understand it, every Liberal leader for 23 years has come from within this box.

    ” rel=”nofollow”>


    You are not from Sydney are you?

    If you were that map would offer no surprises. Sydney much, much, much more that Melbourne or Brisbane is defined by where you live. So the Northern Beaches and the harbour areas are liberal territory and the Northern Suburbs. It is a big step towards egalitarianism that they let Bennelong in or Cook. Not quite the thing don’t you know. Bit nouvear dear.

  5. DaretoTread says Friday, August 24, 2018 at 11:32 pm

    I know it is a bit out there but I predict that the following seats will fall in Qld

    Wide Bay, Wright and maybe Hinkler – PHON

    Not if the LNP don’t preference PHON. You would think they would have learnt their lesson by now. But then again, it is the LNP.

  6. ScoMo is the same as Malcolm. Sat at the table and jointly shaped Lib policy for years. Can galvanize the religious right, perhaps not the right of the L/NP.

    All those front benchers who pulled the plug and lied to parliament about their loyalty are now promising to be loyal and want a portfolio in the new setup.

    The shock jocks say he should give Dutton a key portfolio. And bring Abbott to the front bench so he can be kept close.

    How can you reverse the polls when you have nothing new to offer. If he doesn’t beat Shorten, will all those key people be lining up to share the blame?

    At least his deputy might be able to round up the money that walked out the door with MT. Don’t mention section 44.

  7. the folks on the farm want action – have a taste of victory and wont be content – what is so special about scottie, compared to malcolm at start — they will not tolerate bad polls etc – i’ve stocked up the popcorn – scottie can’t manage as leader on floor. he and dutton are promoted way above capacities due to willingness to do dirty work om borders. Tanya was right, this is end of party

  8. perhaps/probably without constitution business dutton would have won – one can surmise – labor decided he is too great a risk for public debate (not that he would have won, just spoilt debate more and emboldened the ratbag right)

  9. With the exception of a brief interval when Downer led the Liberals in 1994/5, every Liberal leader since 1990 has come from that square. No surprise to find they have born-to-rule attitudes.

  10. Morrison has an early, and probably one chance to secure his PMship. The plotters, Dutton,Corman, Abbott and more need to be left out of the Ministry.
    Morrison gives in early, Morrison will be gone before Xmas.
    The pressure will be applied as early as tomorrow morning. And will be at a new heightened level before the coming week is out.
    Morrison will be drowning in the deep end in a very short time. Too dumb and from the Shire with all the baggage that remains in that part of the world.

  11. Had the Liberals chosen Dutton they would have been gifting the next election to Labor. Morrison is going to be harder to defeat….but not much. The Liberals have declared themselves to be unelectable.

  12. Morrison will be drowning in the deep end in a very short time. Too dumb and from the Shire with all the baggage that remains in that part of the world.

    I hope they choke on their own bile.

  13. Here’s a tip for SCOMO from the world renowned Nath School of Government:

    If you bring back Dutton to the Cabinet it must be with a reduced portfolio. Perhaps split his previous responsibilities with another conservative so the rage can be kept to a minimum.

  14. Have to agree the fact that those with enough power and influence to become party leader are all from the other side of the bridge is hardly surprising.

  15. Might not be surprising to those who don’t realise Australia keeps going after you cross the Blue Mountains, but for the rest of us it explains why the Libs run their party like a student union.

  16. Morrison will need to deal with the citizenship issues from his side of government. His first mistake is to be associated with Stuart Robert.
    Abbott, Dutton, Hunt, Andrews and sundry others will sit still for how long? An election is due within a year or less. Will the disenfranchised plotters roll over and smooth the way for Morrison’s success?
    Policy and policy outcomes leftover from the Abbott/Turnbull governments are a dog’s breakfast.
    Morrison is the treasurer responsible for a tripling of the deficit.
    The lies and mis-information that have existed, remain. Unemployment has not changed. It no good repeating the job creation thing over and over. Simply unemployment hasn’t changed but the LNP continue to roll out this type of deception.
    Coal is important. Ask any primary school pupil and they’ll tell you it’s not the future and will not help gain control over the devastation which climate change has and will continue to cause.
    Water security and policy have not been addressed. The Murray-Darling remains a catastrophic scar over the environment. The GBR is ravaged.
    Electricity prices continues to be gouged by opportunistic privatised providers.
    Banks and retail superannuation funds have been shown to be untrustworthy and unregulated.
    Unions have been demonised. Tax avoidance is rampant and unregulated.
    Morrison spent his childhood in the city and has never had to clean out a chookhouse. He’s in charge of a very big chookhouse and has not shown any indication of which end of the shoven to hold nor what to do with the other end.

  17. One point Labor should hammer at every opportunity is that as mediocre as Turnbull may have been, he earned his 1-seat majority at an election. Morrison has done no such thing, and should be tagged as illegitimate until he does.

  18. “You are not from Sydney are you?
    If you were that map would offer no surprises. Sydney much, much, much more that Melbourne or Brisbane is defined by where you live.”

    Hmm. Not quite sure that’s all of the point. Here are the bounding boxes for ALP and Lib leaders over the last 23 years, for comparison.

  19. “The plotters, Dutton,Corman, Abbott and more need to be left out of the Ministry.”

    I don’t think Corman was a plotter. He just caved in to pressure wanting Turnbull to resign because he thought the leadership stalemate was damaging the Liberals.

    Corman voted for Turnbull on the Monday but is close to Dutton though.

  20. Trump’s financial gatekeeper was just granted legal immunity in Cohen probe

    Allen Weisselberg, the chief financial officer of the Trump Organization, was recently granted legal immunity in exchange for his testimony in front of a grand jury as part of the probe of former Trump “fixer” Michael Cohen.

    The Wall Street Journal reports that Weisselberg “was granted immunity by federal prosecutors for providing information about Michael Cohen in the criminal investigation into hush-money payments for two women during the 2016 presidential campaign.”

  21. Trump biographer predicts the president will ‘lash out’ even more as his circle of loyalists dwindles

    The granting of immunity to Trump Organization chief financial officer Allen Weisselberg represents a “potentially momentous turn of events” for President Donald Trump, Tim O’Brien reported Friday.

    Now O’Brien, the executive editor of Bloomberg Opinion, says Weisselberg’s cooperation could potentially go “into the heart of the Trump Organization and the president’s business and financial dealings.”

    O’Brien noted that “Trump has had few loyalists in his operation historically, and Weisselberg is certainly one of the most longstanding members of that tiny club.”

    “His cooperation with investigators will resonate personally for the president, and is likely to force an already combative man to lash out in ever more forceful ways,” O’Brien predicted.

  22. Michael Avenatti: The World Is Crumbling Around Trump And His Criminal Enterprise

    Allen Weisselberg has the info that could send the Trump family to prison

    This is bigger than Trump himself. The Trump Organization board is the president and his children. If the Trump Organization gets indicted, it could mean state-level felony charges for President Trump, his daughter Ivanka, and sons Donald Jr., and Eric. Allen Weisselberg, the CFO, has all of the financial information on the organization.

  23. sorry if this has already been mentioned but I missed a lot of posts yesterday ( I was all over the shop)

    If Trumble goes straight away or near too straight away will the good guys have the numbers to refer Potato and those that they suspect don’t meet the dual citizenship requirements to the High Court

  24. nath says:
    Friday, August 24, 2018 at 9:06 pm
    Boomy1, you are not funny. Go get your basic card and buy some beer. Oh no you cant!!


    Don’t ever attempt stand up comedy, stick to what you know. What was that, again?

  25. nath says:
    Friday, August 24, 2018 at 9:56 pm
    zoomster says:
    Friday, August 24, 2018 at 9:19 pm

    Keating went on holiday with John Laws….
    there you go i did some research. It was zoomster who said it. go after him.


    As I said earlier, and you strongly denied, you are new around here, aren’t you?

  26. boomy1 says:
    Friday, August 24, 2018 at 10:33 pm
    What I hate most about the welfare card is that there is an intention to slowly make it universal. Its all about punishing the undeserving.

    This is what the Morrison’s of this world do, They love it and we are shit and Cash goes Boonta she’s so aroused by making the poor, poorer.


    That’s a new one for me. I looked it up and found this:

    Urban Dictionary: Boonta
    with the oo pronounced like “book” South Australian term to describe someone going crazy, getting excited, angry etc.

  27. Some really good questions: But how anomalous are Mssrs. Manafort and Cohen? Are there legions of K Street big shots working for foreign despots and parking their riches in Cypriot bank accounts to avoid the IRS? Are many political campaigns walking felonies waiting to be exposed? What about the world of luxury residential building in which Cohen plied his trade with the Trump Organization?

    And of course there are the Australian banksters – how many of them will go to gaol?

  28. Abbott at 60 can still be there after another term or two. As long as the voters of Warringah have him on the ballot paper, he will be there. How can there be stability in the L/NP without him running the show.

    After the next election if the L/NP lose 10 or more seats, how many will be in the ScoMo column v Abbott nominee?

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