The latest Ipsos poll for the Fairfax papers is a much better result for the Coalition than the last such poll four weeks ago, with Labor’s lead narrowing from 53-47 to 51-49. This is presumably the result from 2016 election preferences: Ipsos also produces a respondent-allocated result, but it usually takes a bit of digging to get hold of it.
The Coalition is up four on the primary vote to 39%, Labor is down one to 34% and the Greens are steady on 12%. Malcolm Turnbull also records strong improvement in his personal ratings, with approval up five to 55% and disapproval down six to 38%, while Bill Shorten is down two to 38% and up one to 54%. Turnbull’s lead as prime minister is out to 57-30, compared with 51-33 last month. Also featured are questions on best party to handle various issue areas, which have the Coalition leading 60-33 on the economy, 56-33 on interest rates and 45-41 on asylum seekers, while Labor leads 48-41 on health, 49-42 on education and 49-35 on the environment.
The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1200.
See also the post below this one on Super Saturday by-election polling. You may also care to observe the post-redistribution electoral pendulum I posted over the weekend (and perhaps even to give the tip jar at the top of the page a workout, redistribution calculation being rather laborious exercise).
Because Japan is the very model of an inclusive multicultural society
This comment on one of the Age articles about today really nails it.
The real Malcolm just shines through in that video. The ‘friendly local millionaire’ quickly gives way to ‘aggressive alpha male feeling threatened’. Imagine being on a press tour, yelling at a retired woman, constantly speaking over the top of her while aggressively shoving a finger in her face telling her she’s talking absolute rubbish. It took him less than 10 seconds to start shrieking about ‘where’s Bill Shorten?!’ It’s your bloody press junket Malcolm! You worry about your party, Bill will worry about his.
I’m not particularly a fan of Labor but it doesn’t take much to see the LNP will destroy this country if we keep letting them have control of it.
While I agree the CPG are pretty cruddy on a number of things, the general public doesnt really like Bill Shorten. He doesnt come off well, and some people view him as disloyal. Personally I dont like him either, but im not asking for a leadership change. Hes done extremely well in the role and deserves a chance to become PM. If anything I like that Labor knows a presidential campaign wouldnt work so have done the tough yard and gone for policy over appearance.
Voting records of all parliamentarians can be found at:
https://theyvoteforyou.org.au/
Sharkie’s voting reord: https://theyvoteforyou.org.au/people/representatives/mayo/rebekha_sharkie
Ides of March
If Shorten grew his hair longer, would he be more popular? 😉
One of the criticisms is that Bill’s hair is too short.
Mal has the same ‘do’.
The Liberals were doing ok in Braddon and Longman until Turnbull showed up, insulting and Malsplaining
Lizzie
In all honesty I dont really care for whether his hair is shorter or longer. Policy determines my vote.
Ides
I WAS joking. Some so-called journo was listing the things that put voters off Shorten. 🙂
Lizzie
Whoops. Silly mistake on my part.
As for being a reason to hate Bill Shorten its a pretty silly one to list.
Have just seen the article in the SMH by Michael Koziol.
During the week I predicted the progress of the bootstrap.
1. Losing two seats will be a disaster for Bill Shorten.
2. Losing one seat will be a disaster for Bill Shorten.
3. Losing no seats will be a disaster for Bill Shorten, if he doesn’t get a swing.
And now we have… TAA-DAA!
4. Losing no seats will still be a disaster for Bill Shorten, even if he does get a swing, if that swing is less than the 4.5% he got in Bennelong.
Your CPG at work: raising the bar higher and higher so that no-one ever can jump it.
lizzie @ #2696 Saturday, July 28th, 2018 – 4:00 pm
I wonder if Mal the Maleficent is thinking to himself: “Why the hell did I inflict this on myself!?!”
😀
Bushfire Bill @ #2642 Saturday, July 28th, 2018 – 1:35 pm
Raise the bar too high and it becomes meaningless as you can just walk under it! 🙂
Kozoil used to work for The Spectator. Enough said.
If Labor does win both Longman and Braddon today, I wonder how long before the blame for the outcome will be shifted from Shorten by Nine and Newscorpse?
Apparently Downer Snr posted this on Facebook last night.
‘You must all be new arrivals’
WTF sort of privileged tosspot writes that!?!
C@t:
Why did he think alienating Sharkie voters would be helpful to his daughter’s cause?
That Bill Shorten cannot take a trick with some of the MSM was outlined by Joe Spagnolo in the Perth Sunday Times as long ago as last week. He ventured that the Libs not standing anyone in either of Perth or Fremantle was a bit odd and that Liberals were cross about this. However, he then went on to say that even if Labor wins both of the WA seats, but has a swing against it, that it is Bill’s fault. This “test” failure makes him a candidate for the exit door. To think some of these so called commentators actually get well paid for this rubbish is beyond me.
Channel 7 news break coming straight out saying the by-elections are a test for Bill Shorten. What pathetic nonsense. They are a test for all sorts of people as well as Bill Shorten. Including the media.
It may all be a “test for B.S.” but the person whose character has been shown up is MT. Bad tempered, pointing fingers rudely at questioners, shouting, demanding they “admit I’m telling the truth”.
I think they’d do better in the Gen Elec if they kept him at home!
Caption for Malcolm photo: I ran for a North Shore seat so I didn’t have to associate with people like these.
Why did he think alienating Sharkie voters would be helpful to his daughter’s cause?
__________________________________________________
He’s spitting the dummy because he knows his little girl is going to be rejected big time. #NOT A TEST FOR MALCOLM TURNBULL
Zommster: Minor point of correction. Malcolm is in Wentworth, Eastern Sub of Sydney not North Shore. Same dif though.
He wrote “Never seen this before. You must be all new arrivals” but what he really wanted to say was
Grrrr
Kinda glad the MSM keep spouting that Super Saturday is a test for Shorten. If he wins, it will be another test passed with flying colours.
It must have been very painful for Turnbull to pretend to like public transport. 🙂
You’re right lizzie, Turnbull’s latest appearances sound panicky
Right, folks.
Who stole the
Grrrr from my screen…
5 minutes to go until polls close in Longman and Braddon.
#countdown
#wearing out refresh
Such a good writer – they are few & far between here in Australia, but maybe that is just a consequence of having a much smaller population (?)
https://www.alternet.org/news-amp-politics/donald-trump-just-sign-much-deeper-failings-united-states-and-world
Super Saturday here we come…. I am like I am getting ready for a big match. Just had to have a nervous pee.
C’mon Team Labor, make my day.
(edit sorry wrong thread)
On tenterhooks…
Laura Tingle is looking very stern on ABC.
Opening comment of the bloke sitting beside Laura, wtte, “This is a political election.” Nearly snorted my drink.
Holam
bludgers
Are people going to be posting on this thread or over on the other one?
WB has a new new thread
https://www.pollbludger.net/2018/07/28/super-saturday-live-2/
Thats what you get for persecuting handicapped people. The pretend nerd needs to move on and get a real job.
.