Essential Research: 51-49 to Labor

A slight narrowing in the Labor lead brings Essential Research’s two-party result in line with Newspoll’s.

The fortnightly Essential Research poll for The Guardian has Labor’s two-party lead down from 52-48 to 51-49. Primary votes will have to wait for the publication of the full results later today. A series of findings on energy policy offer something for everybody. Eighty per cent favoured an inquiry into the contribution of power companies to high power prices; 63% thought energy companies should be returned to public ownership; 61% believing burning coal causes climate change; and 55% thought expanding coal mining would undermine efforts to address it. However, 47% thought coal-fired power cheaper than that from renewables; 40% supported the call by some Nationals for $5 billion to be spent on coal plants, with 38% opposed. Thirty-eight per cent thought the government should prioritise renewables over coal, 16% thought the opposite, and 34% thought they should be treated equally.

UPDATE: Full report from Essential Research here.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,137 comments on “Essential Research: 51-49 to Labor”

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  2. zoomster

    I have always heard him described as being of Ukraine extraction. From wikipedia he went there when he was 14 so at most a ‘raised in Ukraine”

  3. Having recently come back from a month in Russia, I can endorse the comment earlier today that you don’t have to have clue to post on this blog.

  5. Jack the Insider on Van Badham (Warning – it’s an article in the Australian):

    https://outline.com/6289Xs

    Why does any of this matter? Well, on Tuesday evening in Brisbane, Labor leader Bill Shorten strode purposefully to the stage at the ACTU Congress dinner and delivered a speech Badham regarded as akin to the Sermon on the Mount.
    :::::
    But the public was kept in the dark. If Shorten did have a dream we were not to know about it because the media was forbidden to enter.

    This left Ms Badham as the sole journalist — and I apply the term with the broadest of brushes — to live-tweet the oratorial magnificence. …

    That she is a Labor shill is not especially important. After all bias, like beauty, is in the eye of the beholder. All columnists engage in polemic and sophistry. We are not paid to be right, we are paid to be certain and Ms Badham was certain that Bill Shorten’s speech was one for the ages.

    But Van Badham is not just a Labor abettor. She is a Vice President of the MEAA’s Victorian branch.
    ::::
    Of the media ban, Van Badham, who is supposed to be representing journalists, said and did precisely nothing. She merrily tweeted through the evening and into the following day on sundry topics and unrelated matters. She must have known the people she was charged to represent had been royally shafted.

    Solidarity, like hours in the day, has its limits.

  8. Pegasus @ #1955 Friday, July 20th, 2018 – 5:50 pm

    Jack the Insider on Van Badham (Warning – it’s an article in the Australian):

    https://outline.com/6289Xs

    Why does any of this matter? Well, on Tuesday evening in Brisbane, Labor leader Bill Shorten strode purposefully to the stage at the ACTU Congress dinner and delivered a speech Badham regarded as akin to the Sermon on the Mount.
    :::::
    But the public was kept in the dark. If Shorten did have a dream we were not to know about it because the media was forbidden to enter.

    This left Ms Badham as the sole journalist — and I apply the term with the broadest of brushes — to live-tweet the oratorial magnificence. …

    That she is a Labor shill is not especially important. After all bias, like beauty, is in the eye of the beholder. All columnists engage in polemic and sophistry. We are not paid to be right, we are paid to be certain and Ms Badham was certain that Bill Shorten’s speech was one for the ages.

    But Van Badham is not just a Labor abettor. She is a Vice President of the MEAA’s Victorian branch.
    ::::
    Of the media ban, Van Badham, who is supposed to be representing journalists, said and did precisely nothing. She merrily tweeted through the evening and into the following day on sundry topics and unrelated matters. She must have known the people she was charged to represent had been royally shafted.

    Solidarity, like hours in the day, has its limits.

    Just as Murdoch media should not go to Nauru, Van Badham should not have gone to the dinner.

  9. zoomster @ #1944 Friday, July 20th, 2018 – 5:16 pm

    dtt

    Seriously, do you ever fact check?

    I did a quickie on a few Russian leaders – Vitaly Vorotnikov Vladimir Orlov Mikhail Yasnov
    Nikolai Ignatov – all born in Russia.

    I couldn’t be bothered after that, but no one I looked at came from the Ukraine.

    Zoomster
    Who the bloody hell are those people. I was just thinking of the leaders. not local councilors.

  11. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-07-20/former-afl-star-joel-bowden-rules-himself-out-of-political-tilt/10018380

    Former AFL footballer Joel Bowden says “politics is not on his agenda” following rumours the high-profile Territorian would challenge Member for Lingiari, Warren Snowdon for pre-selection.

    Mr Bowden was recently appointed the general secretary of Unions NT, the Northern Territory’s peak trade union body, following roles at AFL NT and the Department of Tourism and Trade.

    After the ABC revealed Mr Snowdon was expelled by the left wing of the Labor party, rumours began to surface over Mr Bowden’s political future.
    ::::
    Mr Snowdon’s expulsion from the left of the Labor party prompted the veteran politician to form a faction known as the “progressive left”.

    The group has 40 members, including Territory MLA’s Selena Uibo and Sandra Nelson, and promotes itself as being an alternative to union-influenced Labor factions.

  12. lizzie @ #1936 Friday, July 20th, 2018 – 5:02 pm

    Notice the use of the “Labor Party machine”. What is the Liberal equivalent???

    Senior federal Labor frontbencher Anthony Albanese has defended his colleague Emma Husar as a “terrific” hardworking single mum.

    The western Sydney MP faces claims of workplace bullying. She is being investigated by the Labor party machine following complaints of alleged harassment, verbal abuse and misuse of staff.

    The backbencher has been accused of making staff mind her children and clean up her dog’s faeces while walking it under working conditions one staffer described as “hell”, BuzzFeed reported.

    But Ms Husar, who represents the NSW electorate of Lindsay, said she’s “horrified” to learn of the investigation.

    “My office is a professional and respectful workplace. It should not be perceived in any other way, and of course I am sorry if any person has been given reason to think otherwise,” she said in a statement.

    “I am a single mum with three children, working hard and doing my best. If I have let anyone down, I apologise.”

    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/national/2018/07/20/emma-husar-albanese/?utm_source=Adestra&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=PM%20Update%2020180720

    The Liberal good old boys club.

  13. Poroti

    No, left before it started . Did Trans Siberian + Moscow, St Petersburg. The people do not reflect their leadership, same as most places.

  14. The media are upset about being locked out by the ACTU.

    Given they have spent the last few decades underinforming and misinforming us about what has been going on right in front of their eyes, they should be grateful the ACTU was kind enough not to give them another chance to embarrass themselves.

  15. Pegasus @ #1961 Friday, July 20th, 2018 – 5:59 pm

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-07-20/former-afl-star-joel-bowden-rules-himself-out-of-political-tilt/10018380

    Former AFL footballer Joel Bowden says “politics is not on his agenda” following rumours the high-profile Territorian would challenge Member for Lingiari, Warren Snowdon for pre-selection.

    Mr Bowden was recently appointed the general secretary of Unions NT, the Northern Territory’s peak trade union body, following roles at AFL NT and the Department of Tourism and Trade.

    After the ABC revealed Mr Snowdon was expelled by the left wing of the Labor party, rumours began to surface over Mr Bowden’s political future.
    ::::
    Mr Snowdon’s expulsion from the left of the Labor party prompted the veteran politician to form a faction known as the “progressive left”.

    The group has 40 members, including Territory MLA’s Selena Uibo and Sandra Nelson, and promotes itself as being an alternative to union-influenced Labor factions.

    So, Snowdon joins the ranks of fake lefties with Albo and Butler.

  16. The journos are squealing they were shut out of the conference. Stuff ’em. It is not like they would write the truth about it. It is not as if the ACTU or ALP can trust their journalistic integrity nor their unbiased approach to reporting and analysing anything related to the Unions ot the Labor Party.

    It is not as if the journalists can point to their outstanding record on the matter, so the ACTU could trust them to do their jobs instead of kissing the butt cheeks of the Liberal and National parties while putting the knife into anything and everyone Union and/or ALP.

    Van Badham had a right to go, and she did. What she did or did not do there is for other journalists to spectulate, as they were not issued invitations.

    Maybe she did the best thing for her union members that she could in the circumstances, short of issuing an apology for their wretched behaviour, which is to say nothing about them at all.

    I have no sympathy for these people who have let me down as an Australian voter, by their treasonous actions.

  21. It is not as if the ALP can trust their journalistic integrity nor their unbiased approach to reporting and analysing anything related to the Labor Party.

    But of course everything these same journalists have said for decades about the “extreme Greens”, for example, has been accepted as the gospel truth and, regurgitated and propagated by the combined anti-Greens forces of the political duopoly.

  22. dtt
    Yes, it’s very controversial. As low as 3 million up to well over 60 million (according to the book Red Holocaust).
    The range being so huge just goes to show that Stalin was right when he said, “A single death is a tragedy; a million deaths is a statistic.”

  26. Diogenes @ #1972 Friday, July 20th, 2018 – 6:12 pm

    dtt
    Yes, it’s very controversial. As low as 3 million up to well over 60 million (according to the book Red Holocaust).
    The range being so huge just goes to show that Stalin was right when he said, “A single death is a tragedy; a million deaths is a statistic.”

    Absolutely

    And of course given there was famine as well it is always going to be difficult to determine who died of being in a camp and who died of famine.

    There is a Putin story (recounted by Hillary Clinton, so believe it if you choose) that talks of St Petersburg famine in WWII. His father was originally wounded and had a hospital ration which he gave to his wife. Somehow the hospital stopped it. Any way when Dad was discharges he went home and saw a pile of “dead” people being loaded onto a cart. He recognized his wife’s shoes and rushed to her. She was still alive. People said she was going to die anyway, but he nursed her back to health. Then a few years later along comes Vlad quite a few years later. Two older boys both died.

  29. dtt

    Yes, apologies: I somehow ended up on the wrong list.

    However, when I got to the right list, the backgrounds were similar.

    Interestingly, I did come upon a page in my travels which suggested that Putin is not a known surname in Russia, and that the family appears to have emerged from nowhere.

  31. Zoomster

    I hope you did not do a search “russian leaders” which would fairly obviously give you er ah Russian leaders.

    i was only namingthe heads of state.

    Kruschev may have been born3 km in from the border but his father worked in the Donbass and kruschev spentmost of his time in the Donbass. He was widley regarded as a Ukranian, although I assume from the russian speaking/ethnic sector.

    Anyway my list was the full set starting from Lenin

    Andropov was born in Nagutskaya, Stavropol Region, Russian Empire, on 15 June 1914.[3][4] He was the son of a railway official, Vladimir Konstantinovich Andropov, who was of a noble Don Cossack family[5][6] and Yevgenia Karlovna Fleckenstein, the daughter of a Moscow watchmaker, Karl Franzovich Fleckenstein, who was of German descent and originally from Finland.

    So as i said he was of Cossack and German origin.

  32. …I used to joke with Labor party staffers about the ‘party machine’ – it seems to be an idea the media got hold of decades ago. It suggests a degree of ruthless efficiency I have rarely actually encountered within the party (more often it’s ‘do you have any idea what’s going on?” “Nope, do you?”)

  33. I do not take pleasure in posting this.

    The Member for New England received a warm welcome in Katanning, about 280 kilometres south-east of Perth in Western Australia’s sheep farming heartland.

    He said if recent threats to shut down the live sheep industry were successful, the “zealots” would then come for the live cattle industry and then the transport and poultry industry.

    “What we’re up against, is like a religion,” Mr Joyce said.

    “Zealotry. And they’re not going to stop with just the closure of the live export sheep game, that’s not where they stop. These people haven’t got a partial religion, they’ve got an absolute religion.”

    Climate change deniers: “What we’re up against, is like a religion.”

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-07-20/barnaby-joyce-attacks-live-export-zealots-at-heated-rally/10018346?section=politics

  35. lizzie @ #1983 Friday, July 20th, 2018 – 6:33 pm

    I do not take pleasure in posting this.

    The Member for New England received a warm welcome in Katanning, about 280 kilometres south-east of Perth in Western Australia’s sheep farming heartland.

    He said if recent threats to shut down the live sheep industry were successful, the “zealots” would then come for the live cattle industry and then the transport and poultry industry.

    “What we’re up against, is like a religion,” Mr Joyce said.

    “Zealotry. And they’re not going to stop with just the closure of the live export sheep game, that’s not where they stop. These people haven’t got a partial religion, they’ve got an absolute religion.”

    Climate change deniers: “What we’re up against, is like a religion.”

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-07-20/barnaby-joyce-attacks-live-export-zealots-at-heated-rally/10018346?section=politics

    Minority extremist views such as Barnaby’s should be called out as such.

  37. Zoomster

    A quick search shows that there are mre than 9000 people named Putin in Russia and another thousand or o in the Ukraine.it is not a really rare name.

    I do hope you did not read that silly globalist article. what an idiot.

  38. lizzie:

    You should take pleasure in posting that. Alannah MacTiernan does not bow to the boy’s club, and returned fire on Barnaby with both barrels.

    At the rally, which attracted farmers from far reaches of the state, WA Agriculture Minister Alannah MacTiernan accused Mr Joyce of hypocrisy, saying when he was the federal agriculture minister he removed important animal welfare protections in the industry.

    She said he shut down the animal welfare unit and advisory body in the federal Department of Agriculture during his time at the helm.

    “I just find this absolutely inconceivable, that this man who has overseen the destruction of this industry has the cheek to come here, unless he’s here to give an apology,” she said.

    “I say to farmers: People like that are not your friend.

  39. Dr Glorious Pecora
    ‏
    @noplaceforsheep
    20 minutes ago

    This really is testament to Turnbull’s stupidity. Everyone outraged by privacy issues around #MyHealthRecord & Mr Tin Ear assures us insurers have right to access.

  40. “You can come along here with a large hat and pretend you’re a farmer and pretend you’re the farmer’s friend, and not tell the truth.

    Barnaby is a fake farmer.

  42. lizzie @ #1984 Friday, July 20th, 2018 – 6:37 pm

    The regulator also identified governance failures in NSW RSL and its aged care arm RSL LifeCare.

    These included the misuse of funds by former NSW RSL president Don Rowe, and RSL LifeCare directors approving their own pay while charity funds were used to send staff to Liberal Party-linked functions.

    https://www.sbs.com.au/news/national-rsl-president-resigns-amid-probe?cid=news:socialshare:twitter

    Members should educate themselves better about their candidates at the next elections.

  43. Mrs & Mr Wilma Slurrie
    ‏

    @WilmaSlurrie
    8m8 minutes ago
    More
    Rare photo of ‘Big Trev’, Trevor Ruthenberg, when he first landed on the moon.

  46. CFMEU
    @CFMEU_CG
    5m

    @ellenmfanning’s characterisation of the #CFMEU as a “criminal outfit” on last night’s #abc730 appeared to rely on inaccurate material facts which were framed in a way that misled her audience. We’ve made a formal complaint which lays out the facts

  47. lizzie @ #1996 Friday, July 20th, 2018 – 6:46 pm

    CFMEU
    @CFMEU_CG
    5m

    @ellenmfanning’s characterisation of the #CFMEU as a “criminal outfit” on last night’s #abc730 appeared to rely on inaccurate material facts which were framed in a way that misled her audience. We’ve made a formal complaint which lays out the facts

    Good thing too. That interview was the pits – a bullying performance from Fanning in the best Leigh Sales tradition.

  49. rossmcg @ #1995 Friday, July 20th, 2018 – 4:44 pm

    Barnaby reminds me of the farmers’ sneer … all hat and no cattle.

    MacTiernan often fronts the farmers in their communities. I can’t remember what the last issue was (maybe it was changes to royalties for regions), but she didn’t let the boos and the hectoring stop her from laying it out for them.

    She’s done more for farmers as Ag Minister than Barnaby ever achieved in all his years in parliament, let alone the Agriculture Ministry.

  50. dtt

    You can define away anyone’s nationality if you try hard enough. Someone with one grandparent who is not Russian seems pretty Russian to me! (And Cossacks, depending on which region they come from, can be as Russian as anyone else…)

    …and yes, that’s why I didn’t bother linking to it!!!

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