BludgerTrack: 51.7-48.3 to Labor

This week’s reading of the BludgerTrack poll aggregate maintains its gradual movement to the Coalition.

With the only poll this week being Essential Research’s best result for the Coalition in 18 months, the BludgerTrack poll aggregate maintains its slow and steady trend this week in shifting 0.2% to the Coalition on two-party preferred. The only change on the seat projection is a gain for the Coalition in Victoria. No new leadership ratings this week, so that’s your lot. Full results as always through the link below.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

842 comments on “BludgerTrack: 51.7-48.3 to Labor”

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  1. Katherine Murphy is a journalist spy planted by Murdoch in the Guardian. It is all part of a right wing plot to enslave the people of the world making them subjects to the one per-center elites, I see its tentacles everywhere!!! I suspect the Illuminati. I just do not understand how the editorial staff of the Guardian are unable to read her articles and not see her blatant right wing bias, they must be in on it to I suspect.

  2. Briefly

    Not so sure of that. The GOP and right wingers are so damn greedy. I reckon they would sell the country quite easily

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    Michelle Ye Hee Lee
    Michelle Ye Hee Lee
    @myhlee
    NEW: At least three companies based in China are offering wealthy Chinese business leaders access to President Trump at a May 31 GOP fundraiser in Dallas. From me, @anu_narayan @emilyrauhala @simondenyer

    Invitations offer wealthy Chinese access to President Trump at fundraiser
    washingtonpost.com
    4:15 AM · May 26, 2018

  3. Steve777 @ #145 Saturday, May 26th, 2018 – 11:42 am

    “It’s amazing how non-divisive these divisive issues are!!!!”

    They divide a very noisy minority who think they are or should be the arbiters of morality for the whole community from everyone else.

    As you were saying –

    Lyle Sheldon gets to lead the Australian Conservatives senate ticket in Qld. Running on getting rid of political correctness, aka equality.

    “Lyle brings a wealth of political and campaign experience having headed up the no campaign last year that saw millions of Australians stand up against political correctness.”

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/may/26/lyle-shelton-to-run-for-australian-conservatives-senate-ticket-in-queensland

  4. What’s the bet that Barnaby doesn’t declare the payment from Channel 7 for the barnababy story?

    My guess is that the money will be paid into some trust fund legally separate from Barnaby, to pay for his education at Riverview (or wherever Barnaby went to school).

    Dodgy as anything!

  5. Victoria says: Saturday, May 26, 2018 at 12:03 pm

    PhoenixRed

    and as I posted other day, Sarah Ferguson of Fourcorners met with and took a photo with Felix Sater!

    ****************************************************

    Is that for a future 4 Corners program, Victoria ???

  6. Just checked the LNP-Murdoch dictionary.

    “Political Correctness”
    1. any political statement that Rupert or like-minded political figures disagree with
    2. Espousing any cause or position not supported by the political right.

  7. Confessions says: Saturday, May 26, 2018 at 12:08 pm

    phoenixRED @ #155 Saturday, May 26th, 2018 – 10:01 am

    Lots of details in that chart, but unfortunately the zoom function isn’t working.

    ************************************************

    All I can suggest Confessions – is to copy the pic onto your hard drive and use some 3rd party photo manipulation program – Paint, IrfanView etc to blow it up ???? …. that works for me …

    Just staggering in detail – no wonder Robert Mueller is taking his time to try and untangle the ‘money trail’ and who is involved

  8. Chuckle.

    Josh Bornstein‏Verified account @JoshBBornstein · 53m53 minutes ago

    To Whom It May Concern,

    I ask that you respect my privacy except
    a. where I speculate about the identity of the father of my partner’s baby; &
    b. when I choose to monetise my sex life.

    BJ

  9. Conversation
    Tea Pain
    Tea Pain
    @TeaPainUSA
    Obama’s was sneaky to “plant all those spies” in the Trump campaign that made Don Jr. collude with the Russians on tape. #ThanksObama

    Michael Isikoff
    @Isikoff
    FBI obtains Spanish wiretaps of Alexander Torshin, the Russian banker and Putin ally who met with Donald Trump Jr. at the NRA convention in 2016. “Trump’s son should be concerned,” says Spanish prosecutor. (link: https://www.yahoo.com/news/trumps-son-concerned-wiretaps-show-trump-jr-met-putin-ally-231215529.html) yahoo.com/news/trumps-so…

  10. Many on here do not understand what political correctness is. I listened to an ABC national interview a while back, it was about an island in the South Pacific with a truly scary amount of plastic some of the statistics were mind blowing really scary stuff. At no time in the interview was the most important part of the problem discussed, where did it come from? and how do we stop it? you see it couldn’t be discussed because the people that caused the problem were not from a white Western nation. This was the young scientists biggest opportunity to get her message out but no political correctness gagged her.

    Right at the end of the interview she was asked where does the plastic come from? “Ohhh from everywhere it comes from Germany, Australia, Canada, Brazil” she exclaimed in a heightened voice.(not sure why Brazil copped it in the neck) Well actually no 99% of the plastic on this island came from poor or developing Asian countries. Was how Australia can help these countries discussed No. So when asked what can be done she said the she spoke about recycling Oh and yes she has a bamboo tooth brush. This scientist had a chance probable her biggest to talk and discuss the real issues but could not because of political correctness. Political correctness is not about taking Jesus out of Christmas it is far more insidious than that.

  11. Victoria says: Saturday, May 26, 2018 at 12:34 pm

    PhoenixRed

    I assume so. Although nothing on Sarah Ferguson twitterfeed or fourcornets website to suggest same

    *****************************************

    Felix Sater has said in quite a few interviews – with what he knows and has done that he and Trump are going to jail ……

    Alleged mobster Felix Sater ‘told family he knows he and POTUS are going to prison’

    https://www.rawstory.com/2018/03/alleged-mobster-felix-sater-told-family-he-knows-he-and-potus-are-going-to-prison/

  12. Obama’s was sneaky to “plant all those spies” in the Trump campaign that made Don Jr. collude with the Russians on tape. #ThanksObama

    I laughed at Laurence Tribe’s description of ‘talkative’ Carter Page and George Papadopoulis.

    We can add Roger Stone as another who liked to talk themselves up. #itsObamasfault

  13. kayjay:

    Thanks for that. I can see the diagram but it’s the zoom function that isn’t working for me. When you ‘click to zoom’ in the article it just returns an error 404 message.

  14. Confessions @ #108 Saturday, May 26th, 2018 – 9:55 am

    Victoria @ #104 Saturday, May 26th, 2018 – 7:52 am

    Fess

    He didn’t take it cos he had a higher calling. Doing the work of his Kremlin masters

    Exactly. And where are his Russian friends in his hour of need? 😆

    This thread is just too dim-witted to go unremarked.
    1. He couldn’t get to the airport from the Embassy as it was surrounded by plods.
    2. What do you want Russia to do? Send in their Spetsnaz to rescue him?

  15. Victoria

    If you are still there I am seeking a little bit of help.

    I have a bit of a problem with the running track of my lounge room curtains at the moment. A number of the fittings that hold the curtains up are broken. and I’m not sure who I can get to come in and fix them. Given that we are sort of neighbours can you suggest anyone local that I might try?

  16. I’m not sure you can draw a direct correlation, but is there a link between the Guardian’s incessant calls for more donations and the sort of articles written by KM?

  17. Israeli Intelligence Firm’s Election-Meddling Analysis Comes Under Mueller’s Scrutiny

    Psy-Group presentation outlines ways Trump campaign was helped by fake social media accounts

    Special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigators have obtained a presentation prepared by an Israel-based private intelligence firm that outlines ways in which Donald Trump’s 2016 election was helped by fake news and fake social-media accounts, according to people familiar with the presentation and documents reviewed by The Wall Street Journal.

    https://www.wsj.com/articles/israeli-intelligence-firms-election-meddling-analysis-comes-under-muellers-scrutiny-1527288767

  18. KayJay says: Saturday, May 26, 2018 at 1:12 pm

    https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/C4D12AQFQdsegsLCKuQ/article-inline_image-shrink_1500_2232/0?e=2121973200&v=alpha&t=bl0kKeCLYuGy5f5YA02NsWDZbDdKbbZqeP8-HTOLr6M

    ************************************************

    Well Done KJ – a gold koala stamp for you 🙂

    Don’t forget to, at least, VIEW the accompanying article for absolutely staggering detail the Mueller Team is trying to unravel – would take a month to read !!!

    http://ir.net/news/politics/128259/think-know-deep-trump-russia-goes-think-chartinfo-will-blow-mind/

  19. Looking at the blown up diagram there are so many connections and interconnections and inter-interconnections. And the scams!

  20. A question for the PB Moral Invigilators:

    I bought The Australian this morning because I need some large sheets of newspaper to mask off a window whose frame I am spray painting today.

    Did I do wrong?

  21. BB
    Yes you did wrong.You should have used it as toilet paper,but then again there would be more shit come off it than you would wipe off.

  22. SIMON BENSON
    Exclusive data blows a hole in Bill Shorten’s argument that the Coalition’s $144bn income tax cut plan is aimed at the wealthy.
    I think “exclusive”to the Oz means they make it up as they go along.

  23. Confessions says: Saturday, May 26, 2018 at 1:24 pm

    Looking at the blown up diagram there are so many connections and interconnections and inter-interconnections. And the scams!

    **************************************************************

    Trump is angrily dismissive when questions are raised about his Russian contacts. He calls the investigation by special counsel Robert S. Mueller III a “witch hunt” and media reports about his Russia connections “fake news” and “fabrication.” He tweeted in January, shortly before his inauguration: “I HAVE NOTHING TO DO WITH RUSSIA — NO DEALS, NO LOANS, NO NOTHING!”

  24. Tea Pain
    Tea Pain
    @TeaPainUSA
    ·
    44m
    BIG NEWS: Pay close attention to this folks. There’s 30 million dollars of quid pro quo involved here that not only incriminates Trump Jr, but a number of GOP congressman as well.

    MSNBC
    @MSNBC
    BREAKING: FBI reportedly obtained foreign intelligence wiretaps of a Putin ally who met with Donald Trump Jr. at NRA convention in May 2016 according to Yahoo News.

  25. phoenixRed:

    Ever since the raids on Cohen Trump has been unhinged. His tweets are near hysterical whenever he talks about Mueller and the Russian probe.

  26. Confessions @ #184 Saturday, May 26th, 2018 – 1:21 pm

    kayjay:

    What a treasure you are! Mucho appreciations.

    I’m sorry (but not very) I was called away to answer the phone for a regular chat to my sister-in-law in Canberra.

    I thought I had better get in quick to track the zoomable diagram before Don got on the case.
    In any case, it has been my pleasure.

    Toodles. ☮

  27. Confessions says: Saturday, May 26, 2018 at 1:43 pm

    phoenixRed:

    Ever since the raids on Cohen Trump has been unhinged. His tweets are near hysterical whenever he talks about Mueller and the Russian probe.

    ******************************************************

    For me – the interventions of Giuliani ( unhelpful as it was not intended ) and Michael Avenatti have brought much more open scrutiny and pressure on Cohen – and I am not so sure he is willing to take a bullet for Trump and more likely wanting to save his own skin and no doubt Trump knows how much Cohen can spill on him. The Kushner/Mueller interviews that were reported as lasting for many hours too have to be worrying Trump …. and todays news about Manafort having lost a bid on Friday to have certain criminal charges filed against him by Special Counsel Robert Mueller dismissed is just adding more pressure on Trump

  28. bemused says:
    Saturday, May 26, 2018 at 12:55 pm

    …”This thread is just too dim-witted to go unremarked.
    1. He couldn’t get to the airport from the Embassy as it was surrounded by plods.
    2. What do you want Russia to do? Send in their Spetsnaz to rescue him?”…


    Well you must understand that we’re having a fairly quiet day for Trump bombshells, tightening nooses, treasonous collusion and Twitter storms.
    When such days happen, it becomes necessary to just make shit up.

    Edit: I forgot Kremlin election meddling.

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