First up, BludgerTrack has proudly moved into the twenty-first century with a new fully interactive feature, offering hitherto hidden detail on state-level primary votes and the seat result probability estimates that are used to calculate the final result. Also included are the leadership rating trends, and there’s a facility for viewing raw opinion data throughout the current term.
The results as shown are updated to include the ReachTEL and Essential Research results, and the former has had a particularly big impact on voting intention, the primary numbers being even worse for the Coalition than the headline two-party result suggested. However, despite the 1% lurch to Labor on two-party preferred, there is little change to the seat projection, as the Coalition has had some stronger numbers lately from all-important Queensland, and Labor was largely punching into thin air with its gains in New South Wales and Victoria this week.
Then there’s the regular fortnightly result for Essential Research, which is notable in having both major parties at the low ebb of 35% on the primary vote, with the Coalition down one on a fortnight ago and Labor down two. This helps One Nation recover two points to 8%, with the Greens steady on 10%. Also unchanged is Labor’s two-party lead of 53-47.
Further questions relate mostly to the Barnaby Joyce situation, with a question conceived before his resignation on Friday finding 34% wanting him to leave parliament, 26% thinking he should resign as leader but stay in parliament, and only 19% thinking he should remain leader of the Nationals. Forty-four per cent expressed approval of “media reporting on politicians’ private affairs”, with 41% disapproving.
The poll also finds more respondents than not in favour not only of the ban on sex between ministers and their staff, but also on politicians having extra-marital sex altogether, and between managers and staff in the workplace. Twenty-two per cent even favoured a “ban on sex between workmates in general”, with 55% opposed. A rather particular question on health insurance policy finds 48% supporting removing the subsidy on private health insurance premiums and using the funds to include dental care in Medicare, with 32% opposed.
Ides of March not.logged in
The moisturisation situation is what I suspect is behind the Michaelia “Screengate” 🙂
CTar:
PH hasn’t had a whiteboard scandal since the days of Ros Kelly.
But what was this whiteboard effort about?
poroti @ #1801 Thursday, March 1st, 2018 – 6:19 pm
The original problem was screechgate!
I think Cash needs this;
;w=630
or this!
Image deleted at commenter’s request – The Management.
🙂
Just in Patterson, pole vaulted into the Senate, he is from the IPA
The scary thing is he is from the IPA at his age – and with his life experience obviously being the agenda of the IPA
it would be interesting to see if he could win a Lower House seat needing to be well met instead of lecturing in support of the right wing, free enterprise agenda of the IPA, an agenda which dictates enterprise and the benefits of that enterprise flow to the chosen few and not society per se who are only pawns to “free” enterprise
Carr could have used different words to convey the far right wing agenda of the juvenile Patterson – but his sentiment was correct
The German Chancellor from pre WW2 and thru WW2 was a far right supremist – which is the IPA hiding behind “free” enterprise and its selective beneficiaries of that “free” enterprise which is not society
Left wing that German individual was not
Look at the society the IPA would condemn society to
You can only access it if you can afford it
A Class society for the chosen few
Perhaps Patterson needs to enjoy a youth and get out into the sun some more
Cash’s office have stated whiteboard gate was not initiated by her, just one of those quirks of parliamentary life with staffers moving stuff around a live building.
Either way, I don’t think it really matters.
Other than the optics.
‘fess
I reckon BishJnr spent two days on it and when she put it up at a press conference she didn’t get even one question on it!
The press would’ve been hoping she just ‘leave’!
Henry:
When you watch the footage she waited to cross the hallway until the whiteboard was in place. It was a total set up by her as s uggested by these text messages:
:large
CTar:
Easier to swan about at fashion week and inside the Emirates tent at Melbourne Cup!
Observer
The scary thing about for me about Patterson is that he was chosen at all. How bereft of talent are the Vic Tories that he was the best candidate to fill a casual vacancy initially and now most likely has a job for life.
I am sure he is whip smart and will be a gun at policy but life experience? I bet his staff keep him a million miles away from the normal electoral business like dealing with Centrelink.
Whose hands confessions?
Vikki campion?
Patterson reminds me of my brother-in-law.
Can anyone explain what the hell Bancroft was thinking when he got out?
50 for Smithy
Barney
I do not like that second image. I would appreciate it if you could ask to have it removed, please. It makes me quite uncomfortable to look at.
I get the joke, and that I believe such bondage is usually a consensual thing, but there is heaps of problems with what that portrays in the context of a debate of Cash’s remarks.
Now if you portrayed Cash with a fish in her mouth, that would be funny.
Senator Patterson is typical of the wet-behind-the-ears types who populate parliamentary politics in Australia, and who contribute mightily to public contempt for their representatives. Kids with no life experience and a rigidly over-simplified view of the world wouldn’t have got within a bull’s roar of preselection in Menzies’s day.
Further on Cash, look at the photographer on the left being restrained by the attendant
If it was just a quirk of fate the white board was where it was at the time with the staff putting that white board where it was, why was the lady on the left in the footage restrained by the attendant?
You would think the only agenda of the attendants would have been to move the white board and not interact with others in the vicinity as happened
The white board was a deliberate and pre arranged act to give cover to Cash
That is why it was there precisely at the time it was
No doubt
Perhaps the lady in the footage could be asked what the attendant said to her – although she may be pilloried by the Coalition and/or her employer
Rossmcg
Other senators pay lip service to representing their state when they are obviously representing their party.
Patterson just comes out and says he represents the IPA.
Henry:
PvO tweeted that photo:
Nothing is outside the realm of impossibility but I can’t see him getting caught up in a stock photo scandal by Ch9 news.
Bancroft
Look at his feet
Top order bats respect off stump where good bowlers bowl so they have a back and across back foot movement so off stump line is covered including that they can either then go forward or back, so quick on their feet
Bancroft has Feet of cement with his back foot nailed to the pitch
Hence he is vulnerable down line of off – and he opens
Take out his 80 not out and what is his Test average?
Why he is in the side is beyond comprehension
CNB
Diogenes @ #1813 Thursday, March 1st, 2018 – 6:50 pm
Everything is 20/20 these days so he was taking advantage of the early powerplay overs and going the charge!
His main problem was he forgot to play a shot and it’s a test match.
The white clothing is usually a give away! 🙂
Agreed fess, joking with my earlier comment. Amazes me with the technology these days that there is really nowhere to hide and everything is fair game to a high res camera lurking somewhere.
Shame the technology wasn’t around for the Roswell memo.
You won’t get an argument out of me on Bancroft. Might be good for a Shield double on a dead flat WACA every now and then, but test quicks will be fighting for the ball when he walks out. Catching practice for the cordon.
I just say Bancroft bats like me.
Which is, back foot nailed to the crease and/or incredibly slow footwork with a not-good-enough eye to compensate.
Pitch it up on a flat deck and I’ll belt it through the covers all day. Get it to swing or seam a cm and I’m gone!
I reckon Burns would have been back in if he hadn’t been injured. But why Renshaw got the chop still evades me (and Ed Cowan)
grimace says:
Thursday, March 1, 2018 at 7:08 pm
briefly @ #1711 Thursday, March 1st, 2018 – 3:50 pm
The last time I had a serious conversation with a WA Lib they expressed the opinion – really, the hope – that the electorate would “never” swing more than a few %. They thought they could hold their losses to maybe 4% at worst in the State election. It’s obvious now that the WA electorate feels seriously dudded by the federal Liberals. They will vote in overwhelming numbers for Labor precisely because the Liberals have failed so comprehensively and WA Labor is delivering on their promises.
The Liberals are likely to lose all but Curtin, Tangney and (it will be close) Moore.
I would have thought that both Tangney and Moore would fall before O’Connor.
Yes…absolutely right…how could I forget! O’Connor is a Lib-hold.
Selim Mahajer got a 3 year good behaviour bond today for assaulting a taxi driver outside the Star Casino last year.
You might recall he tried to ‘leg it’ afterwards and was picked up by the police between the casino and his home.
😀
LU
Lucky you.
Henry:
What’s amazing is that MPs and public figures still don’t realise how pervasive life can be with everyone holding a personal camera these days.
It makes Cash’s whiteboard walk of shame even more stupid given all she was doing was further offering herself up to public scrutiny in doing so.
CTar1
Is Selim so poor he cannot pay for a taxi-ride? Perhaps he should set up a Go Fund Me page to collect donations so he can pay his way, poor widdle thing?
Puffytmd @ #1815 Thursday, March 1st, 2018 – 6:52 pm
Sorry Puff,
Not looking to offend.
Just looking for ways the Libs might shut her up or avoid her being heard.
William can you remove the ball gag photo or post, thanks. 🙂
LU,
You are describing a certain captain of a certain 3rd XI.
Ptmd
Or just nutz?
DiGD
Thumbs up.
Crikey DQ, did we play on the same team!?
Aussies 4/170 at Tea. The Marsh Brothers large and in charge. What could possibly go wrong!
CTar1,
We’ll he’s easy to goad at Christmas and the like. My SiL and I play a drinking game where the other one has to skol if one of us can get him to utter phrases like “personal responsibility,” “tax is theft” or something negative about activist lawyers.
But my wife and I do worry for her sister.
WB
Your Bludger Track new stuff indeed a very good thing.
—-
Cough up a bit commentors who can afford a bit to help defray William’s costs so all can continue to benefit from it!
sprocket_ Tuesday, February 27th, 2018 – 10:45 pm Comment #70
I think the idea now is to give Quadlivig a ‘nudge’ i.e. go now and we’ll give you a nice letter of ‘comfort’ so you can get a good job with some body selling facial recognition software or similar kit. But there’s no coming back to your Border Force job.
This would make Pellusso ‘happy’.
Bloody 40s and 50s, not good enough, somebody needed to go on with it!!! 🙁
5/179
I think the idea now is to give Quadlivig a ‘nudge’ i.e. go now and we’ll give you a nice letter of ‘comfort’ so
Well he hasn’t taken the hint/followed the convention yet, so it is probably time to make him feel a bit of heat.
Night all
Pegasus
Everyone of these contracts needs to be looked at to see what revocation clauses are included in them.
Cousins treating them as though they are all the same now. That some could be ditched more easily than others is the point that he looks to be trying to make with Shorten originally.
A lot of huff and puff about the obvious.
On Centerlink update:
They will not accept my ARO review on the bases of what we already know.
On top of the bullshit.
They claimed they have overpaid me between October 2017 to November 2017.
But that is not correct, they told us that our payments will not change till December.
So we will further escalate this.
I cannot wait till Coalition gets mothballed this election.
“Labor does not rip up contracts and we don’t create sovereign risk.”
——–
It is funny (in a cynically expected way) that exploitative capitalist enterprises must be protected from government decisions, no matter how necessary, but us poor fools are expected to take whatever the political bastards want to dish out to us!
It is ironic that this ABC article http://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2018-02-28/nbn-faces-irrelevance-fast-networks-telstra-optus-tpg-opticom/9493230 saying that fttp is better then Turbulls MTM is exactly what Nick Ross got in trouble for saying 6 years ago. This is not new tech making the NBN redundant, this is the tech that the NBN should be. No one would be rolling out their own fttp if the NBN had.
I’m not one for superlatives, but the dignity and power displayed by Wong when she cut that screeching harpie down to the size of a snivelling school girl, with a few icy words and a steely look, is something I will never forget.
Fulvio Sammut @ #1845 Thursday, March 1st, 2018 – 9:21 pm
Most bullies are cowards when stood up to.
Wong is impressive, with her normally calm, no nonsense approach and she doesn’t suffer fools easily.
I suppose she’s had plenty of practice dealing with the L&NP! 🙂
LU not logged in says:
Thursday, March 1, 2018 at 9:51 pm
The off-peak system is a service contracted by the retailers to the network companies. Well, maybe contract is overstating it, more of a gentlemans’ agreement from back in the vertically integrated days. It’s not really managed, it just is. Honestly, no-one really know who owns the service, and I am mildly stunned that you are paying for the privilege to access cheaper energy at night, given the value it provides to the network company.*
Anyway, Origin will have to pass that form you filled out on to Essential Energy, who will process it, eventually, then pass the message back to Origin, and maybe, they’ll pass it back to you. If it doesn’t get lost.
Thanks LU, that makes the whole stupidity of the situation more understandable.
But it was like no one had ever asked for it to be turned off before.
I suspect most people just pay the bill, without looking at it.
If this is true, heads should roll. There has even been a suicide over the bullying AFAIR, and many, many frightened people, some of whom hae paid up rather than argue.
CTar1 @ #1837 Friday, March 2nd, 2018 – 12:08 am
CTar1,
I have now tried numerous times to pay Mr Bowe for his services. Every. Single. Time. I am unable to get through to the information page to make my donation, as I press the `Donate` button and nothing happens! I have asked for Mr Bowe to tell me what to do but I still have not gotten a reply from him.
I will wait until he finally gets around to it.
And daretotread thinks we should appease Putin, and therefore, Trump, whose position is to appease Putin:
https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/putin-unveils-invincible-nuclear-weapons-to-counter-west-20180302-p4z2fa.html