Essential Research and BludgerTrack deluxe

Introducing a bigger and better BludgerTrack. Also featured: a status quo result from Essential Research, at least so far as the major parties are concerned.

First up, BludgerTrack has proudly moved into the twenty-first century with a new fully interactive feature, offering hitherto hidden detail on state-level primary votes and the seat result probability estimates that are used to calculate the final result. Also included are the leadership rating trends, and there’s a facility for viewing raw opinion data throughout the current term.

The results as shown are updated to include the ReachTEL and Essential Research results, and the former has had a particularly big impact on voting intention, the primary numbers being even worse for the Coalition than the headline two-party result suggested. However, despite the 1% lurch to Labor on two-party preferred, there is little change to the seat projection, as the Coalition has had some stronger numbers lately from all-important Queensland, and Labor was largely punching into thin air with its gains in New South Wales and Victoria this week.

Then there’s the regular fortnightly result for Essential Research, which is notable in having both major parties at the low ebb of 35% on the primary vote, with the Coalition down one on a fortnight ago and Labor down two. This helps One Nation recover two points to 8%, with the Greens steady on 10%. Also unchanged is Labor’s two-party lead of 53-47.

Further questions relate mostly to the Barnaby Joyce situation, with a question conceived before his resignation on Friday finding 34% wanting him to leave parliament, 26% thinking he should resign as leader but stay in parliament, and only 19% thinking he should remain leader of the Nationals. Forty-four per cent expressed approval of “media reporting on politicians’ private affairs”, with 41% disapproving.

The poll also finds more respondents than not in favour not only of the ban on sex between ministers and their staff, but also on politicians having extra-marital sex altogether, and between managers and staff in the workplace. Twenty-two per cent even favoured a “ban on sex between workmates in general”, with 55% opposed. A rather particular question on health insurance policy finds 48% supporting removing the subsidy on private health insurance premiums and using the funds to include dental care in Medicare, with 32% opposed.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,634 comments on “Essential Research and BludgerTrack deluxe”

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  1. Can you whitewash a Green? In the messy coverup in Batman, apparently so, as the Greens constitution which covers handling of such matters was ignored. Instead a troika ‘dealt with the complaint’.

    “A misconduct complaint against Greens Batman by-election candidate Alex Bhathal was referred to a party committee that has no investigative mandate and is prohibited from making adverse findings of fact.

    Greens leader Richard Di Natale, who has spent the past two days campaigning alongside Ms Bhathal in the Labor-held electorate in Melbourne’s north, yesterday said the complaint was “considered very carefully’’ and the allegations not substantiated.

    The Australian can reveal that the party’s three-person Endorsement Review Committee which handled the complaint did not question the 18 complainants and had no authority to determine whether Ms Bhathal had engaged, as alleged, in branch stacking and intimidation, victimisation and bullying of party members.‘

    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/greens-clear-bhathal-of-bully-claim/news-story/8e7bf533d9f2c26754df8666bf1fac16

  2. Unable to sleep last night, I accidentally saw a repeat of CH10’s The Project. Supposed to be worthwhile?
    Their political ‘news’ was not up to date, they talked over each other in typical commercial fashion, humour was (to me) not humorous. I must take care not to be caught again.

  3. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.

    Waled Aly poses a challenging question. “If Americans can rise up against guns, why can’t we act on pokies?”
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/if-americans-can-rise-up-against-guns-why-can-t-we-act-on-pokies-20180301-p4z29y.html
    Laura Tingle says that the Coalition’s strategy is pure insanity. Google
    /opinion/columnists/laura-tingle/coalition-strategy-is-political-insanity-20180301-h0wuq3
    NSW and Victoria will share a $6 billion “bonanza” from the sale of the iconic Snowy Hydro project in a deal that will pour new money into road and rail projects. Asset recycling on steroids?
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/malcolm-turnbull-buys-snowy-hydro-scheme-from-nsw-and-victoria-for-6-billion-20180301-p4z2e8.html
    The Chairman of Woolworths has taken it upon himself to fix the pokies scandal that broke early in the week. You can bet your bottom dollar that management KPIs will be at the heart of it.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/woolworths-chairman-vows-to-fix-pokies-scandal-20180301-p4z2d0.html
    Trump’s gun control meting didn’t go too well and once again it showcased Trump’s bizarre negotiating style.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/trumps-gun-meeting-went-off-the-rails-quickly-20180301-p4z29k.html
    A jobs and innovation minister who engages in the sexist bullying of young staffers? Michaelia Cash is a disgrace and should resign, writes Tess Lawrence.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/michaelia-cash-slut-shames-young-women-workplace-bully-must-go-now,11254
    Queensland’s Liberal National Party has lost its court bid to avoid disclosing donations of less than $13,500. Under state law, all donations of more than $1000 to political parties need to be publicly registered.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/state/qld/2018/03/01/qld-lnp-political-donations/
    Netflix needs to bolster its Australian content.
    https://www.smh.com.au/entertainment/tv-and-radio/netflix-originals-at-700-globally-but-where-are-the-australian-shows-20180301-p4z2bp.html
    Banks are actually even bigger than they seem, thanks to a network of other brands and subsidiaries that often carry no obvious sign that they belong to a big bank.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/money/finance-news/2018/03/01/big-four-banks-disguised-subsidiaries/
    Trump carries away the award for the highest level of White House staff turnover.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/world/2018/03/01/donald-trump-staff-resignations/
    If the government gets its way thousands of charities and their donors are about to be drawn into the troublesome world of electoral party politics in a manner that is unprecedented in this country.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/rules-around-foreign-donations-threaten-to-cripple-our-charities-20180228-p4z248.html
    The SMH editorial says that Between the two great powers China and the US Australia must navigate its own prudent course. We do not have to choose one over the other, and we should not.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/a-steady-course-between-two-uncertainties-20180301-h0wuto.html
    Tony Wright on the depressing new normal in Australian politics.
    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/nazi-jibes-sleazy-innuendo-federal-politics-depressing-new-normal-20180301-p4z2e9.html
    Parents at a NSW public school say they have been left “horrified” after students were repeatedly placed in scripture classes against their parents’ wishes and told they needed to have an interview with a deputy principal before they could attend non-scripture classes. How can this possibly be allowed to happen?
    https://www.smh.com.au/education/nsw-public-school-scripture-classes-parents-20180227-p4z203.html
    Could our friend Mehajer keep his head down for three years of a good behaviour bond?
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/salim-mehajer-lost-his-cool-after-woman-filmed-him-outside-casino-20180301-p4z28u.html
    Another one of our favourites Michael Kroger is expected to face a challenge for the top job as internal divisions and disunity ripple throughout the Liberal Party.
    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/michael-kroger-expected-to-face-challenge-for-liberal-party-presidency-20180301-p4z2ey.html
    One of Australia’s largest cotton companies, Eastern Australia Agriculture (EAA), sold water rights to the federal government in July last year for $79m and then booked a $52m gain on the sale. The deal, which was done without tender, will raise questions about whether the government paid over the odds for the water in southern Queensland. This is royal commission stuff.
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/mar/02/cotton-company-reaped-52m-windfall-in-sale-of-water-rights-to-government
    Michael McCormack has restored two of his colleagues to the ministry in an attempt to soothe a bitterly divided party room, while avoiding a clash with key cabinet ministers loyal to his predecessor Barnaby Joyce. Hartsuyker is no great loss, apart from comedy relief.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/michael-mccormack-s-minimal-reshuffle-aims-to-soothe-divided-nationals-party-room-20180301-p4z2ep.html
    More than $170m of Australian steel and aluminium exports to the US under threat as Donald Trump announces sweeping tariffs. Google.
    /news/world/australia-exports-under-threat-as-donald-trump-imposes-sweeping-tariffs/news-story/6ecbc169790d31c73486d30cd5d77306
    Tom Haskell writes that Turnbull squibbed a golden opportunity to tell the US (Trump in particular) that Australian experience on guns and mass shootings is indeed relevant to them.
    https://newmatilda.com/2018/03/01/deadly-silence-australia-important-role-ongoing-usa-gun-debate/
    Political corruption is rife within modern day democracy, but the destructive relationship between the two is somewhat symbiotic, writes Barry Hindess.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/corruption-is-the-price-we-pay-for-democracy,11245
    Who is to blame for Australia’s stalled wages? Greg Jericho and Gareth Hutchens have penned a special report.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/mar/02/who-is-to-blame-for-australias-stalled-wages
    Cormann’s not getting anywhere convincing Senate crossbenchers about the merits of corporate tax cuts.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/senate-rejects-cormann-s-pitch-for-urgent-company-tax-cuts-20180301-p4z2b1.html
    Adam Gartrell tells us that Australian workers feel like they’re toiling harder for less, are struggling to pay basic household bills and increasingly fear the sack according to a survey that unions will use to push for an increase in the minimum wage.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/workers-fear-the-sack-and-are-struggling-to-pay-the-bills-union-survey-20180301-p4z2al.html
    Ken Henry, who led the federal Treasury under three prime ministers, will on Friday call on business leaders to “get serious” about proving the gains for the entire community from genuine tax reform, while at the same time warning the existing tax system is broken.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/ken-henry-warns-of-tax-stalemate-unless-vested-interest-make-way-for-the-national-interest-20180301-p4z2cx.html
    APRA admits the housing boom may be drawing to a close, with limits on investor lending ‘potentially becoming redundant’, Google.
    /business/financial-services/apra-relaxing-as-home-price-boom-ends/news-story/6c46003c5935e7b6a67ab349595344dd
    Is there too much professional sport in Australia?
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/small-business/is-sport-overload-killing-fan-enjoyment-20180227-p4z206.html

    Cartoon Corner. You might say the cartoonists are Cashing in today!

    David Pope has Mesma packing her accoutrements for another trip.

    There are two good ones from David Pope at the head of this link.
    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/david-pope-20120214-1t3j0.html
    A couple of good ones from Mark David on Cash.


    Peter Broelman makes a point about Mesma’s squeeze.

    An absolute cracker from Broelman on Cash.

    Zanetti has a crack at Shorten’s Adani position(s).

    John Shakespeare with Mesma’s “partner”.

    And he has Morrison trying to maximise excise revenue.

    Cathy Wilcox and the now famous white board.

    Matt Golding has four contributions for us today.




    Glen Le Lievre milks Michaelia.

    And he shows us the licences issued to pokies players.

    Mark Knight takes his turn to line Cash up.

    Alan Moir and Trump “listening” on guns.

    Jon Kudelka nicely examines Cash’s apology.
    https://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/de126242edfd4a307f1ae969476b0726

  4. If you are not interested in the Tammany Hall style stitch up which is being drip fed out by the Darebin 18, The scroll wheel or swipe up is your friend. Alex Bathal certainly has some friends, one being the Black Wiggle, who is whitewashing the Greens By-Laws with a mealy mouthed response. The ERC is the troika of Greens HQ types who received the 101 page complaint, did not interview any of the Darebin 18, and surprisingly, found it had no merit.


    “The ERC has no brief to make any adverse determinative findings of fact against the candidate in respect of that alleged or suggested conduct,’’ they read.

    The by-laws also give the federal parliamentary leader of the Greens, in this instance Senator Di Natale, the “right to confer’’ with the ERC and oblige the ERC to “have regard to her or his advice”.

    Senator Di Natale did not answer questions about whether he had intervened in Ms Bhathal’s case. He strongly endorsed her candidacy after The Australian yesterday revealed details of the complaint by current and former members of the Darebin branch. The Australian is not suggesting the allegations are true, only that they have been made.

    “The complaints were considered very carefully by the Victorian Greens and what they have resolved to do is to back Alex Bhathal as their candidate for Batman,’’ Senator Di Natale said. “She is well known, she is well loved in this community.”

  5. Jared Kushner Could Be Going To Prison For Bribery

    Trump seems to think that his kids are immune from ethics and criminal laws because they don’t take a salary. The president thinks that a person is only an employee if they take a salary.

    Kushner’s activities could fit the legal definition of bribery, “Bribery refers to the offering, giving, soliciting, or receiving of any item of value as a means of influencing the actions of an individual holding a public or legal duty.”

    https://www.politicususa.com/2018/03/01/jared-kushner-going-prison-bribery.html

  6. Trump In A Death Spiral As His White House Staff Is Trying To Quit

    Trump’s White House staff is trying to quit. The problem is that no one else will hire them because working for Trump has made them toxic.

    The fact that isn’t just high-level people like Hope Hicks who are heading for the exits, but also lower-level staffers suggests that this president is in a death spiral. Not only has Trump failed to fill many openings, but he can’t keep the people that he does bring in. Trump is sinking fast, and there is no hope of him turning it around because the guy sitting in the Oval Office is the problem.

    https://www.politicususa.com/2018/03/01/trump-white-house-staff-trying-quit-no-one-else-will-hire.html

  7. Mueller’s focus on WikiLeaks shows he’s ‘laid the foundation’ for Trump collusion case: Ex-White House lawyer

    Special counsel Robert Mueller’s emerging focus on Donald Trump’s knowledge of hacked Democratic National Committee emails shows he’s “laid the foundation” for a collusion case against Donald Trump, a former White House lawyer said.

    Wednesday, NBC News reported Mueller’s team is probing how much Trump knew about the stolen DNC emails and whether he was aware the radical transparency organization WikiLeaks planned to publish those exchanges.

    https://www.rawstory.com/2018/03/muellers-focus-wikileaks-shows-hes-laid-foundation-trump-collusion-case-ex-white-house-lawyer/

  8. With all this talk of women’s perspectives on matters political, the SmearStralian responds by restricting commentary on its Opinion Page to old white men.

  9. Senate Intelligence Leaders Say House G.O.P. Leaked a Senator’s Texts

    The Senate Intelligence Committee has concluded that Republicans on the House Intelligence Committee were behind the leak of private text messages between the Senate panel’s top Democrat and a Russian-connected lawyer, according to two congressional officials briefed on the matter.

    To the senators, who are overseeing what is effectively the last bipartisan investigation on Capitol Hill into Russia’s interference in the 2016 election, the leak was a serious breach of protocol and a partisan attack by one intelligence committee against the other.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/01/us/politics/senate-intelligence-nunes-leaks.html

  10. Questions linger about how Melania Trump, a Slovenian model, scored ‘the Einstein visa’

    In 2001, the future first lady was granted a green card in the elite EB-1 program, which is reserved for people with “extraordinary ability.” That year, only five people from Slovenia obtained legal residency in the United States under the program, according to the State Department.

    EB-1 program, which was designed for renowned academic researchers, multinational business executives or those in other fields, such as Olympic athletes and Oscar-winning actors, who demonstrated “sustained national and international acclaim.”

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/questions-linger-about-how-melania-trump-a-slovenian-model-scored-the-einstein-visa/2018/02/28/d307ddb2-1b35-11e8-ae5a-16e60e4605f3_story.html?utm_term=.1d8cf78c46e3

  11. Doc Evatt‏ @DocEvatt · 12h12 hours ago

    The precious and easily offended James Paterson made Kim Carr withdraw comments after he referred to him as a “Hitler Youth”. The same James Paterson who stridently sought to abolish section 18c because free speech was under attack.

  12. Good Morning

    Sprocket

    So the allegations are not suggested to be true by the smear Australian. Yet you continue to quote them.

    Remember the Destroy the Greens campaign being run by News.

    You and the Australian are now convincing me the Greens must be in front in Batman.

  13. Patrick Dodson‏Verified account @SenatorDodson · 11h11 hours ago

    Honoured to be nominated by the First Nations Caucus as a co-chair of the new parliamentary committee. So much water has already run under the bridge. A new bridge has to be built with patience, persistence, and cooperation. Justice never comes easy. @Malarndirri19 @LindaBurneyMP

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/turnbull-and-shorten-agree-on-restart-for-indigenous-referendum-20180301-p4z2eb.html

  14. guytaur

    So the allegations are not suggested to be true by the smear Australian. Yet you continue to quote them.

    Just yesterday you were totally fine with using an untrue story to smear Van Badham.

    Has the Australian been sued yet for publishing this? That was the standard you set:

    The fact that Crikey can write the article it did and not get sued shows the skin in the game part.

    My point remains. It shows how biased Van Badham is that is considered reasonable for a credible outlet like Crikey to post such a story in the first place.

  15. kestert: The @australian reporting that the Libs final election promise is to relax Tasmania’s gun laws. #politas

  16. Hang on to your hats!

    US stocks fell sharply on Thursday after President Donald Trump said the United States would impose import tariffs on steel and aluminum, adding fears of a tit-for-tat trade war to growing worries about higher interest rates.

    https://www.smh.com.au/business/investments/wall-street-sinks-as-trump-s-tariff-bombshell-raises-spectre-of-trade-wars-20180302-p4z2ff.html

    Bill Gates also said this:
    Bill Gates says another financial crash ‘is a certainty’ in Reddit AMA

    Mr Gates’ prediction was somewhat optimistic, but economists — especially the ones who predicted the 2008 crash — say we are standing again on the same precipice faced in the 2008 crash.

    They say countries including China, South Korea, Canada and Australia — the ones who dodged the bullet a decade ago — are most at risk.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-03-01/bill-gates-says-financial-crash-certainty-reddit-ama/9500326

  17. JOBS Minister Michaelia Cash is wearing out her front bench security with a string of controversies which are exasperating the Government.

    The threat to spread rumours about Labor women joins a lengthening list of headaches caused by the administration of her portfolio, and her personal conduct in public.

    Last year she was defiant as she walked away from a tough Senate committee grilling over leaks from her office.

    “Girl power, girl power,” she called out to no one in particular as she exited the room.

    She could be easily heard as Senator Cash is credited with one of the loudest voices in Parliament, so loud a Labor Senator in June 2013 asked if Standing Orders allowed it to be turned down.

    The episode with the head of the ABCC was more dramatic but just as baffling.

    Nigel Hadgkiss had breached the Fair Work Act and as his minister, Senator Cash knew it but did nothing for a year and Mr Hadgkiss stayed in his job until September last year.

    Not only did she say nothing or act on the breach, she ensured the Government offered an indemnity for his legal bills of some $400,000.

    This latter action was part of Cameron’s ‘grilling’ on wastage.

    http://www.news.com.au/finance/work/leaders/michaelia-cashs-latest-outburst-is-adding-to-pm-malcolm-turnbulls-headaches/news-story/959c93ee2e4e2f92eb51f69a095e7dc5

  18. Why does Turnbull tolerate this inefficient and badly behaved Senator? Weakness? Or does she hold something over him?

    He sprang to Cash’s defence in direct contradiction of his own ‘moral behaviour’ lecture.

  19. guytaur

    That’s because the concern is not so much the nature of the allegations, as the process used in investigating them.

    Any party which had complaints investigated inappropriately would have questions to answer.

  20. The Turnbull Government’s anti-democratic slide has been criticised at the United Nations Human Rights Council tonight, with the UN Special Rapporteur on the situation of human rights defenders delivering a major report on Australian democracy.

    In an at times scathing report, the Special Rapporteur told the Human Rights Council that:

    he is “astonished” to observe “mounting evidence of regressive measures” being pursued by the Government;
    he was “astounded to observe frequent public vilification by senior public officials” of charities, community groups and democratic institutions who hold the Government to account “in what appears to be an attempt to discredit, intimidate and discourage them from their legitimate work”; and
    that there is an “increasing discrepancy and incoherence” between the Turnbull Government’s statements on the world stage and its actions at home.

    https://www.hrlc.org.au/news/2018/3/1/un-astonished-at-the-turnbull-governments-anti-democratic-slide

  21. There are many finer points within the art of politics, but the most critical point is to choose your battles carefully and choose them wisely. Some battles, you have to lose, in case you lose sight of the bigger picture and forget what your political purpose is.

    I’m not saying anything original here: it’s classic advice from Sun Tzu’s The Art of War from 500 BC but, nevertheless, it’s advice the Liberal–National Party should have followed – that is indeed, if anyone is advising this government. Their biggest failing, ever since Tony Abbott became Prime Minister in 2013, is their intent to win every single skirmish, spot fire and not give an inch of territory to their political opponents. In politics, there is a skill in knowing which issues should be let go, and to understand the losing causes that are simply not worth losing political skin over.

    This ‘winner-take-all’ strategy is killing this government and it’s difficult to understand their rationale and what they’re hoping to achieve through it. The Minister for Jobs and Innovation, Michaelia Cash, is one of the most incompetent and error-prone politicians ever to walk on the stage of Parliament House in Canberra, yet minister after minister has lined up in the past 24 hours defending her recent egregious behaviour, and continuing their failing strategy of attempting to absolutely win every single battle.

    And here is the reason for Turnbull’s support of Cash.

    Michaelia Cash is not worth saving. She has made too many mistakes and is causing too much embarrassment to the government. She’s a power broker within the WA branch of the Liberal Party, and she recruits financial donors to the party. She’s financially valuable to the party, but is a massive political liability. In trying to win this minor skirmish against the Labor Party, the Liberal Party has managed to lose both the battle and the war.

    http://newpolitics.com.au/2018/03/02/michaelia-cash-and-losing-in-the-art-of-politics/

  22. zoomster

    I have my problems with Di Natale as leader as I outlined when he used defending schools as his reason to oust Senator Rhiannon from the party. That failed. He is a weak leader be in no doubt of my views on that.

    The point is the Australian has stated these allegations are not declared to be true by the Australian.

    All that does is convince me the Greens must be in front in Batman and the destroy the Greens paper is desperate.

  23. Morning bludgers

    Appreciate today’s roundups from all.

    Sprocket

    Keep the reports coming on The Darebin 18!!!

  24. guytaur

    ‘The point is the Australian has stated these allegations are not declared to be true by the Australian.’

    No, the point is that the allegations do not appear to have been subjected to normal process.

  25. If Michaelia Cash was doing her bit to take attention away from Barnaby, she has succeeded.

    Both her and BJoyce have serious questions to answer regarding decisions made and conduct in their portfolios

  26. mimhoff

    I posted what Van Badham said.

    I was only making a point about bias. A bias that Van Badham has admitted to in public comments.

    My point about it was not that the Crikey story was true.

    My point was that people quoting Van Badham should bear in mind that bias when quoting her on comments about the Greens.

  27. lizzie says: Friday, March 2, 2018 at 8:01 am

    She could be easily heard as Senator Cash is credited with one of the loudest voices in Parliament, so loud a Labor Senator in June 2013 asked if Standing Orders allowed it to be turned down.

    *************************************************

    Senator Cash at her fishwife screeching best !!!!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BD1Lvds3N9g

    ( imagine having to go home to that after a hard days work )

  28. Zoomster

    The party may indeed need to address process to improve accountability. I certainly think they need to follow Labor’s example with having media present when voting for leaders happens.

    That can be true and it can be true that the Australian is desperate as its destroy the Greens campaign ramps up.

  29. C@tmomma @ #1849 Friday, March 2nd, 2018 – 5:16 am

    And daretotread thinks we should appease Putin, and therefore, Trump, whose position is to appease Putin:

    Moscow: President Vladimir Putin unveiled an array of new nuclear weapons on Thursday, in one of his most bellicose speeches in years, saying they could hit almost any point in the world and evade a US-built missile shield.
    Putin was speaking ahead of an election on March 18 that polls indicate he should win easily. He said a nuclear attack on any of Moscow’s allies would be regarded as an attack on Russia itself and draw an immediate response.

    https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/putin-unveils-invincible-nuclear-weapons-to-counter-west-20180302-p4z2fa.html

    Well Cat if you had actually read the speech or listed to even the ABC this morning rather than an MSN summary you would realise that it is saying exactly what i have always feared. Putin basically said
    1. The US is being aggressive by expanding its nukes
    2. The US has broken treaties and is being aggressive in putting nukes close to Russia’s borders
    3. If the US uses nukes against Russia, even little ones, we will fire back
    4. All our nukes are smarter than yours and if your (ISA) lob a nuke on us all of ours will get through because your missile shields will not work..

    This increasingly serious stuff. None of it is in fact new, except the last point which obviously is probably wildly exaggerated although that is for military analysts to determine.

    The intent of the speech was obvious. Do not launch a missile attack fro Eastern Europe or Russia will lob one back and to the US, do not believe that you are safe. The recently Many indeed most analysts have agreed that this raised the tensions high and increased the chances of nuclear war. Putin has confirmed this assessment saying clearly to the US that if they lob such a weapon near Russia (or on its allies) that Russia will use its own bigger nukes.

    It is all a game of bluff but one thing is clear – any friendship real or imagined between Trump and Putin is over. Trump of course did NOT write the Defense Paper, so you can assume that the Pentagon is running this part of the policy. Trump did of course approve it so he IS responsible.

    Sadly we are now exactly where we would have been with Clinton, except there is all the useless baggage that goes along with Trump.

    On the balance of probabilities my sense that we are at the precipice of a nuclear war with BOTH Russia and China has gone up a notch. Hopefully the Russian scare tactics (ie my nukes are faster) will reinstate MAD so that war can be avoided.

  30. Trump Is Now Blaming Video Games Not Guns For Mass Shootings

    The White House has announced that Trump will be publicly meeting with video game manufacturers on the issue on the issue of gun violence, not the NRA,

    The White House will blame everyone and everything, but the gun. The killer at Stoneman Douglas High School didn’t use an Xbox to murder 17 people. It wasn’t his easy access to video games that led to the mass shooting. If Trump is going to blame video games, how does he explain the Las Vegas concert shooting that was carried out by a 64-year-old man?

    https://www.politicususa.com/2018/03/01/trump-now-blaming-video-games-not-guns-mass-shootings.html

  31. Asher_Wolf: Basically the @australian is accusing @alexbhathal of 1. Being a politician. And 2. Unfriending someone on Facebook. Lol. Vote for @alexbhathal! #BatmanVotes twitter.com/marcialangton/…

    marcialangton: I am crying: Alex Bhathal unfriended one of her Green Party members on Facebook. theaustralian.com.au/news/nation/gr… pic.twitter.com/SpcMREwz4v
    https://twitter.com/marcialangton/status/968955384592457729

  32. political_alert: Leader of the Opposition, Bill Shorten is in Devonport today and will join the Tasmanian Labor Leader, Rebecca White and the Federal Member for Braddon, Justine Keay to discuss the Tasmanian health system, 11am #auspol

  33. YaThinkN: Journos re Joyce: “not our place to spread rumours from sources who may have an agenda”

    Also Journos: “Sources have told SKY news Shorten had to be convinced not to announce Adani ban due to sovereign risk issues”

    #Sources? #Agenda? pic.twitter.com/UOVx90TmL1https://twitter.com/yathinkn/status/969326699404931072

  34. Fearful White House is already prepping for H.R. McMaster’s exit as early as next month

    President Donald Trump has been miffed at Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster as of late and the presumption is that the national security advisor is on his way out.

    The White House is already preparing for his replacement. According to NBC News, five sources confirm the decision is being orchestrated by chief of staff John Kelly and Defence Secretary James Mattis

    http://www.rawstory.com/2018/03/fearful-white-house-already-prepping-h-r-mcmasters-exit-early-next-month/

  35. The CPG had basically forgotten about Cash and the raids.

    They were always going to resurface, due to Senate estimates, but handled properly, it would have been treated as old news.

    Cash’s brief should have been to go in there, stonewall as much as possible, answer questions politely and keep her voice down.

  36. The point of the distraction is usually to make something trivial seem important to distract from the actual important. This lot seem to make the actual important seem trivial by dropping something even more important on the table. Not very clever.

  37. Ex-US attorney rips Trump’s ‘abject humiliation’ of Sessions: He sees the attorney general as ‘his personal lapdog’

    “How sad is it the president uses him as a punching bag when he was one of the earliest supporters, he was the first senator to climb onto Donald Trump’s campaign when nobody else would touch him?” MSNBC’s Katy Tur asked on Thursday. “He’s been there for the president, he’s traveled with the president, and because he can’t oversee the [special counsel Robert] Mueller investigation or, in Donald Trump’s words, ‘protect him,’ … Because of that, he’s going to keep getting beat up by the president.”

    http://www.rawstory.com/2018/03/ex-us-attorney-rips-trumps-abject-humiliation-sessions-sees-attorney-general-personal-lapdog/

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