Essential Research: 55-45 to Labor

Essential defies the weekend narrative by recording a move to Labor, and finds Malcolm Turnbull and Julie Bishop in a statistical dead heat for preferred Liberal leader.

After a weekend of relatively good electoral and polling news for the government, Essential Research records Labor’s two-party lead out from 54-46 to 55-45. A preferred Liberal leader question has Malcolm Turnbull down four since July to 21%, Julie Bishop down one to 19% and Tony Abbott unchanged on 10%. More detail on both of these will be available when Essential Research publishes its full results later today. On the question of a potential leadership change, 18% said it would make them more likely to vote Coalition, compared with 13% for less likely and 54% for no difference.

The poll also found 38% wanted the Liberals and Nationals to continue working together, compared with 34% who thought they should be independent – with the former option heavily favoured by Coalition voters. Fifty-four per cent said they favoured majority government, with 25% preferring minor parties holding the balance of power. Fifty-one per cent felt politicians should be forced to resign from parliament if they resigned from their party, with only 24% holding the opposite view.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,205 comments on “Essential Research: 55-45 to Labor”

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  1. Psyclaw @ #1711 Thursday, December 7th, 2017 – 4:30 pm

    Law cannot be based on uncertainty. “Lazy/incompetent MP’s (sic)” is not a term of objective certainty.

    That wasn’t really my suggestion; quite the opposite in fact. Though I’m more interested in what you’re (sic)’ing?

    Would I be correct in assuming its’ my completely awesome and grammatically correct use of apostrophe’s to create plural forms of singular words (and acr’nyms)?

  2. He ends the week, the last sitting week of the year, with a winner’s grin…

    More like a “shit eating grin” brian trumble had.

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