BludgerTrack: 53.9-46.1 to Labor

One new poll and no change at all on the latest poll aggregate update.

Essential Research was the only new poll this week, and it has no bearing whatsoever on the voting intention numbers in BludgerTrack. However, there is a fair bit going on in the state breakdowns, with the Coalition losing a seat in New South Wales, but gaining one apiece in Queensland, Western Australia and South Australia. No new numbers this week on leadership ratings. Full results on the sidebar.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,815 comments on “BludgerTrack: 53.9-46.1 to Labor”

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  2. Murdoch must be feeling quite deflated at the moment. His Oz and CM have tried extremely hard to smear Annastacia Palaszczuk in Queensland ahead of the election but have been rewarded with a 52-48 to Labor by Galaxy.

    Still, the Oz and DT are trying their hardest to denigrate KK in Bennelong. Hopefully they will receive the same reward for their efforts as in Queensland.

  10. Thanksgiving is generally not celebrated in Australia. However, on the Australian external territory of Norfolk Island, Thanksgiving is celebrated on the last Wednesday of November, similar to the pre–World War II American observance on the last Thursday of the month. This means the Norfolk Island observance is the day before or six days after the United States’ observance. The holiday was brought to the island by visiting American whaling ships.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thanksgiving#Australia

    I did not know this.

  12. Interesting that John Alexander’s doom is being advanced by a joke that “Bones” Palmer (an albino) told me as we were sitting in the full forward pocket during an Aussie Rules match in 1971
    This was at a Newcastle school and only those who were useless at Rugby League, Rugby Union, Soccer and Basketball got into the Aussie Rules team and, as we never won or for that matter scored any points, the most useless of us were sent to the pocket. In a failed attempt to prevent skin cancer Bones used to play in a costume based on the Hamburgler
    As for the joke; at 14 I thought it was the funniest thing I had ever heard but it is probably not something I would expect any adult, let alone the respected celebrity referee of Gladiators to repeat

  15. In the realm of Practical Pedantry, the mobbers and bulliers of my wife in her recent 22 month disciplinary saga, cited missing full stops and apostrophes as examples of “serious misconduct” warranting termination.

    That the emails and letters in which those accusations were made invariably contained exactly the same mistakes did not amuse them when we pointed them out, illustrating the First Law of Pedantry neatly: “Proof-read before you pontificate.”

    One justified her Pedantry by saying that typos and even minor grammatical mistakes “brought the depstment into disrespute.” (sic). Another stated that “terminition is one the most serve penaltys that can impose.” (sic)

    We gave up throwing these back in their faces when they added “Impertanintly questoning a managers directon.” (sic) to their allegations.

  20. Bushfire. Bill @ #114 Friday, November 24th, 2017 – 9:31 am

    In the realm of Practical Pedantry, the mobbers and bulliers of my wife in her recent 22 month disciplinary saga, cited missing full stops and apostrophes as examples of “serious misconduct” warranting termination.

    That the emails and letters in which those accusations were made invariably contained exactly the same mistakes did not amuse them when we pointed them out, illustrating the First Law of Pedantry neatly: “Proof-read before you pontificate.”

    One justified her Pedantry by saying that typos and even minor grammatical mistakes “brought the depstment into disrespute.” (sic). Another stated that “terminition is one the most serve penaltys that can impose.” (sic)

    We gave up throwing these back in their faces when they added “Impertanintly questoning a managers directon.” (sic) to their allegations.

    You could monetise the experience by writing a satire using the email exchanges (harking back to the epistolary style of the early novel) and pretending it was made up!

  21. Oakeshott Country @ #111 Friday, November 24th, 2017 – 5:26 am

    Interesting that John Alexander’s doom is being advanced by a joke that “Bones” Palmer (an albino) told me as we were sitting in the full forward pocket during an Aussie Rules match in 1971
    This was at a Newcastle school and only those who were useless at Rugby League, Rugby Union, Soccer and Basketball got into the Aussie Rules team and, as we never won or for that matter scored any points, the most useless of us were sent to the pocket. In a failed attempt to prevent skin cancer Bones used to play in a costume based on the Hamburgler
    As for the joke; at 14 I thought it was the funniest thing I had ever heard but it is probably not something I would expect any adult, let alone the respected celebrity referee of Gladiators to repeat

    I spot your problem with Aussie Rules Oakeshott.

    I have always found it is more difficult to play the game whilst sitting! 🙂

  24. On the subject of pedantry I have a “drivers licence”. Should it not be “driver licence” or “driver’s licence” or better still “licence to drive”?

  26. Lord Justice Leveson has been asked to advise ministers on holding the second part of a public inquiry into the British press and is reviewing submissions made by newspapers on future regulation of the sector.

    The judge was asked by David Cameron to chair the first part of the public inquiry following the phone-hacking scandal but after recommending the creation of a regulator backed by statute in 2012, he left the subject behind.

    https://www.theguardian.com/media/2017/nov/23/lord-leveson-asked-to-advise-ministers-on-second-press-inquiry?utm_term=Autofeed&CMP=twt_b-gdnnews#link_time=1511468716

  27. BK @ #100 Friday, November 24th, 2017 – 9:10 am

    poroti
    Thanks for the great read – beating. business bullshit – https://www.theguardian.com/news/2017/nov/23/from-inboxing-to-thought-showers-how-business-bullshit-took-over

    You bet. And that Charlie Chaplin still sidelined me with memories of the uber (mot du jour) Fritz Lang sending me kareeling down the Metropolis rabbit hole.

    For the idle, spot the pollies ~

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A0D4fHieW8o

  28. Gippslander

    ‘The agreeable “Hear, hear” used to be “hear him, hear him”. Of course , in those days they thought that the only ones worth listening to were male!’

    Even worse, the possessive apostrophe is (apparently) a contraction – instead of ‘Bernard’s pen” the original usage was “Bernard his pen”….with the implication that only men could own things…

  31. BK @ #123 Friday, November 24th, 2017 – 5:41 am

    On the subject of pedantry I have a “drivers licence”. Should it not be “driver licence” or “driver’s licence” or better still “licence to drive”?

    When writing I normally write”driver’s licence” but thinking further “drivers licence” would be the same as “licence for drivers”. 🙂

  33. Another allegation was that my wife once “answered a question in accusatory manner”.

    We pointed out that the answer had been 100% truthful, and asked what had my wife done that had been “accusatory”?

    They replied that she had “placed her hands on her hips, indicating impatience.”

    When we supplied eye-witness evidence that she was carrying a large filing box with both hands at the time, and so couldn’t have simultaneously had her hands on her hips, an extra allegation of “argumentative attitude” was added.

    We then submitted that this wasn’t argumentative, rather it was presenting evidence in rebuttal.

    They then added “lack of self-awareness” and “arguing about being argumentative” to the allegations.

    Which highlights the Third Law of Pedantry: “Truth is no defence.”

  35. IKKsays: Extremely shocked that a country prepared to host Milo Yiannopoulos at Parliament House also has Peter Dutton as a senior member of the govt & is currently embroiled in a humanitarian crisis.

  36. zoomster @ #127 Friday, November 24th, 2017 – 5:45 am

    Gippslander

    ‘The agreeable “Hear, hear” used to be “hear him, hear him”. Of course , in those days they thought that the only ones worth listening to were male!’

    Even worse, the possessive apostrophe is (apparently) a contraction – instead of ‘Bernard’s pen” the original usage was “Bernard his pen”….with the implication that only men could own things…

    Thanks zoomster,

    I have never seen an explanation on the origin of the possessive “S”.

    The grammar is poor so it’s not an obvious connection to make.

    I normally break it down to two sentences when demonstrating it in class.

    This is Bernard. This is his pen.
    so
    This is Bernard’s pen.

  38. Bushfire. Bill @ #132 Friday, November 24th, 2017 – 9:55 am

    Another allegation was that my wife once “answered a question in accusatory manner”.

    We pointed out that the answer had been 100% truthful, and asked what had my wife done that had been “accusatory”?

    They replied that she had “placed her hands on her hips, indicating impatience.”

    When we supplied eye-witness evidence that she was carrying a large filing box with both hands at the time, and so couldn’t have simultaneously had her hands on her hips, an extra allegation of “argumentative attitude” was added.

    We then submitted that this wasn’t argumentative, rather it was presenting evidence in rebuttal.

    They then added “lack of self-awareness” and “arguing about being argumentative” to the allegations.

    Which highlights the Third Law of Pedantry: “Truth is no defence.”

    I hate it when arguments become argumentative. Really nasty turn of events.

  39. Anyway, you guys don’t have to put up with my Millennial children wanting to speak American, with an Australian accent, thankfully, at home every day!

    It’s all, ‘zee’ this, and ‘ketchup’ that, and they won’t pronounce ‘route’ as ‘root’ but ‘rout’! Aaarrrggghhh!!!

    I try manfully to get them to change but just get told in return, ‘That’s the way we have been brought up listening to those words!’

    I finally conceded defeat recently, after years of wasted effort to try and get them to speak ‘Australian’. 🙂

  41. @ C@tmomma – get them watching good British tv like Yes Minister, and less American trash like Keeping up with the Kardashians.

  42. And while we’re at it, what’s with bloody cyclists riding on the footpath. If you haven’t the guts to do battle with Sydney drivers, walk.

  43. C@tmomma @ #138 Friday, November 24th, 2017 – 6:09 am

    Anyway, you guys don’t have to put up with my Millennial children wanting to speak American, with an Australian accent, thankfully, at home every day!

    It’s all, ‘zee’ this, and ‘ketchup’ that, and they won’t pronounce ‘route’ as ‘root’ but ‘rout’! Aaarrrggghhh!!!

    I try manfully to get them to change but just get told in return, ‘That’s the way we have been brought up listening to those words!’

    I finally conceded defeat recently, after years of wasted effort to try and get them to speak ‘Australian’. 🙂

    Maybe next time accept who you are and try womanfully? 🙂

  48. **I wonder what’s in the little pressie.**
    What do you give a man who has just about everything?
    Vertebrae? Gonads?
    Does ‘political nous’ come in a bag?

  49. It has certainly been a big week for the Turnbull government – at least one disaster every day. on this subject, a couple of headlines from the Oz:

    Turnbull enters the danger zone
    SIMON BENSON
    There are those in cabinet and the ministry who have come to the conclusion that it’s game over for Malcolm Turnbull.

    CUT & PASTE
    Libs doing a great job of re-enacting Three Stooges

  50. poroti
    Thanks for the great read – beating. business bullshit – https://www.theguardian.com/news/2017/nov/23/from-inboxing-to-thought-showers-how-business-bullshit-took-over

    An absolutely brilliant read. Dilbert cartoons still adorn my workplace, and those I visit around the world.

    Most gobsmacking, this is the same “Bell” of “Bell Labs”, where Penzias and Wilson discovered the Cosmic Background Microwave radiation in 1964, for which they won a Nobel Prize: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Discovery_of_cosmic_microwave_background_radiation

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