Same-sex marriage survey: 61.6 yes, 38.4 no

And the winner is …

So there you have it. Below is a tool for exploring the results at divisional level according to a range of electoral and demographic criteria. Take your pick from the drop down menu, and you will get divisional “yes” votes recorded on the vertical axis, and their results for the relevant indicator on the vertical axis. Most of these are self-explanatory, with the exception of “One Nation support index”. This equals the division’s 2016 Senate vote for One Nation divided by the party’s overall Senate vote in that state, multiplied by 100. So an electorate will score 100 if its One Nation vote is exactly equal to the state average; it will score 200 if it’s double; 50 if it’s half; and so forth. This is to prevent the party’s across-the-board high results in Queensland from spoiling the effect. “Finished school” is measured as a percent of the 15-plus population.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,326 comments on “Same-sex marriage survey: 61.6 yes, 38.4 no”

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  1. Abortion law is a state matter.
    There is quite a lot of evidence sex selective abortion is happening in some ethnic communities when you look at their male to female birth ratio.

    IVF sex selection is banned.

  3. Barney

    Agree that it’s a message too Turnbull.

    Cory’s a slimy backroom operator. How he got up as a Liberal senator and just flipped to an independent with nothing more than a smirk shows how it’s all about himself. Now it’s time to bleed off the LNP bench + Indies to his cause, those that favour their own ambitions will follow.

  4. Dio

    Would a gender based restriction on medicare assisted abortions push women into dangerous practices. Perhaps it’s an issue of family consultation to encourage ethnic communities to move away from this?

  5. Diogenes @ #1250 Thursday, November 16th, 2017 – 7:56 pm

    Abortion law is a state matter.
    There is quite a lot of evidence sex selective abortion is happening in some ethnic communities when you look at their male to female birth ratio.

    IVF sex selection is banned.

    Yeah but Medicare funding comes from Canberra. They can decide what procedures are covered and the States either desist or pay for it themselves.

  15. Rowe’s scene looks exactly like a street in Paris France, especially in the region of Saint-Germain-en-Laye about 20 km to the west of the centre of Paris.

    Wonder if he’s been there?

    The streets are much too narrow for it to be an illustration of an Australian scene.

  16. Mh
    It must be surreptitious. No one would actually tell the doctor that was the reason for the termination but the statistics indicate it’s happening.
    GG
    True but again it’s almost impossible to prove as opposed to IVF.

  17. Even just asking is needlessly invasive. If a woman states that she doesn’t want to be pregnant any longer, that should be the end of it. No purpose is served by making her justify her decision or the motives behind it.

  20. “Is the significance of the dog running up the road that even they’re joining in the celebrations?”

    Likely to be the dog running in fear of being kicked by the fuming Abbott

  22. ABC PM had a story about Xenophon taking a part time job as adviser to the person who replaced him in the senate. X claimed it was a good deal for taxpayers because he did full time hours for half the pay!

  23. This is the article with ABS figures showing a statistically significant higher male to female birth ratio in Chinese and Indian families.

    With all of those excess males… surely there won’t be enough females for them from their own ethnic groups to marry. What might they do instead? Marry each other. Kind of an own goal for these more socially-conservative groups.

  26. Remember that Warringah returned a high Yes vote in the postal survey. Perhaps voters there were simply taking their cues from their local member.

    :large

  32. Has anyone mentioned that ‘Bakers Despair’ is a take-off of ‘Bakers Delight’? Who also happen to be a Coalition favourite, as they are behind the Penalty Rates undermining push.

  36. For whatever this is worth from Sky News.

    Sky News Australia
    19 mins ·
    #BREAKING: 60 per cent more likely to vote Labor, 12 per cent more likely to vote LNP, 10 per cent more likely to vote One Nation, 18 per cent undecided. #QldForum

  38. C@tmomma @ #1281 Thursday, November 16th, 2017 – 6:47 pm

    Has anyone mentioned that ‘Bakers Despair’ is a take-off of ‘Bakers Delight’? Who also happen to be a Coalition favourite, as they are behind the Penalty Rates undermining push.

    I don’t think that was deliberate. The emphasis would’ve been on the despair of the baker depicted.

    The fact that BD were involved in underpaying their staff was just a lucky coincidence.

    Nevertheless, as with all of Rowe’s works there’s enough in them that people can find different levels and meanings within.

  39. Dan Gulberry @ #1287 Thursday, November 16th, 2017 – 6:58 pm

    I don’t think that was deliberate. The emphasis would’ve been on the despair of the baker depicted.

    The fact that BD were involved in underpaying their staff was just a lucky coincidence.

    Nevertheless, as with all of Rowe’s works there’s enough in them that people can find different levels and meanings within.

    To clarify, I believe that Rowe would’ve used Baker’s Despair even if BDelight hadn’t been involved in pay scandals.

  40. Someone isn’t happy that the other guy got the job:

    Coalition MP Ian Macdonald called Senator Hanson-Young a “dill” in reply. He was asked to withdraw but refused the President’s ruling.

  48. Only 21 per cent of Queenslanders support a $1 billion loan for the Adani coal mine, new polling shows.

    The Australia Institute/Reachtel poll revealed that 63 per cent of Queenslanders think that the funding should go towards other projects.

    Six per cent believed that there should be no projects, while 10 per cent were unsure.

    There has been support for parties to veto the Adani loan, with 61 per cent of people saying they believe that Queensland Liberal leader Tim Nicholls should promise to stop the loan at the forum.

    Further to the Reachtel/Australia Institute poll posted by Ghost Who Votes, Sky has info on attitudes to a loan for Adani:

    Only 21 per cent of Queenslanders support a $1 billion loan for the Adani coal mine, new polling shows.

    The Australia Institute/Reachtel poll revealed that 63 per cent of Queenslanders think that the funding should go towards other projects.

    Six per cent believed that there should be no projects, while 10 per cent were unsure.

    There has been support for parties to veto the Adani loan, with 61 per cent of people saying they believe that Queensland Liberal leader Tim Nicholls should promise to stop the loan at the forum.

    http://www.skynews.com.au/news/politics/state/2017/11/16/polling-shows-unpopularity-of-adani.html

  50. Our Government likes to run the politico-legal fiction that the refugees on Manus Island and Nauru are the responsibility of the PNG and Nauran Governments respectively.

    Jacinda Ardern should call their bluff and go directly to the PNG Government and offer to take the Manus internees off their hands.

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