Same-sex marriage survey: 61.6 yes, 38.4 no

And the winner is …

So there you have it. Below is a tool for exploring the results at divisional level according to a range of electoral and demographic criteria. Take your pick from the drop down menu, and you will get divisional “yes” votes recorded on the vertical axis, and their results for the relevant indicator on the vertical axis. Most of these are self-explanatory, with the exception of “One Nation support index”. This equals the division’s 2016 Senate vote for One Nation divided by the party’s overall Senate vote in that state, multiplied by 100. So an electorate will score 100 if its One Nation vote is exactly equal to the state average; it will score 200 if it’s double; 50 if it’s half; and so forth. This is to prevent the party’s across-the-board high results in Queensland from spoiling the effect. “Finished school” is measured as a percent of the 15-plus population.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,326 comments on “Same-sex marriage survey: 61.6 yes, 38.4 no”

  1. zoomster @ #1194 Thursday, November 16th, 2017 – 5:55 pm

    ‘Australia has once again found itself languishing at the bottom of the global rankings on climate policy and action, not budging from its 2016 position of fifth-last, in the latest Climate Change Performance Index, published overnight by the Climate Action Network Europe and German NGO Germanwatch.

    No surprises there 🙁

  2. I believe the Bernadi abortions motion was specifically for terminations based on gender. Still indefensible but not a general ban.
    From ABC online earlier this week Bernadi :
    “asked the Senate to note that the Ottoman Empire’s siege of Vienna was broken in 1529 and Viennese coffee houses created croissants to celebrate the defeat of the so-called “army of the crescent”.

    It included a comment that despite the lifting of the siege, “violence and oppression against liberal-democracy and other faiths by Islamists has continued into our own time”.

    That motion called on all politicians to “enjoy a croissant with their coffee this week in solidarity with the defenders of liberalism and freedom“

  3. **I expect him to get us to the World Cup! Mission accomplished.**
    If that is ‘mission accomplished’ then Postecoglou would not have become coach in the first place.

  4. C@tmomma @ #1196 Thursday, November 16th, 2017 – 4:59 pm

    Add Michaelia Cash to the list of women (!) who voted with Cory Bernardi to have abortions taken off the Medicare Schedule of Benefits.

    Words fail me.

    Cat,
    She is the so called Minister for Women as well as the Minister for Employment.
    Words don’t escape me but my mother instilled a sense of decorum in me; so I won’t call her a …….

  5. C@tmomma @ #1189 Thursday, November 16th, 2017 – 4:48 pm

    I think it was a r yesterday who was questioning the benefit and effect of Labor’s ads in the Queensland election. Well, this came up on my Twitter feed from a respected Twit:

    David Marler‏
    @Qldaah
    21h21 hours ago
    For people outside Qld, @QLDLabor in top gear now. It’s full on anti Newman-Nicholls-Hanson ads across prime time TV. Punchy 15 sec ads, never seen anything like it. #qldvotes

    Yes indeed. Their description is apt, it’s certainly “full on anti Newman-Nicholls-Hanson”.

    My concern is that it’s all negative content. Not a word about what Labor actually plans to do post-election.

    May play well with the base, but I can’t see it winning back anyone who’s considering giving the LNP or PHON a chance.

  6. Words don’t escape me but my mother instilled a sense of decorum in me; so I won’t call her a …….

    I don’t think there’s a word low enough to describe her.

  7. Didn’t see it mentioned here, but the wage growth figures came out yesterday.
    The expected figure was 0.7% for the quarter, but the figure was 0.5%.

    The annualized figure is still 2%, budget forcast is 2.5%

    It looks like wage growth will continue flat, and in real terms negative. Though the is expected to fall due to a ‘rebalancing ‘ of the measures used to calculate it.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-11-15/wage-price-index-november-2017/9151986

  8. terminations based on gender

    Since she’s Minister for Women (has she spoken to any recently?) perhaps she was thinking of male abortions (yes, I know).

    She’s so unfeeling she would make a good apprentice to Mesma.

  9. That ignorant peasant Canavan just said in the Senate “It is the case that all the polls show that the majority of Australians do want to see strong protections for religion and human rights, and also for parental choice as well.”
    If he wants to rely on polls then why did he and his nutter mates need a survey?
    Pathetic!

  10. ​The court disqualified Ms Hughes under section 44 of the constitution because she held an “office for profit under the crown”: a government-paid part-time job with the Administrative Appeals Tribunal, which she took up after last year’s election.

    Constitutional experts said the hardline ruling put Senator Bartlett and and Mr Martin – both of whom were themselves replacing senators ruled out by dual citizenship – under a new cloud of uncertainty. Senator Bartlett was employed by the Australian National University at election time and Mr Martin was the mayor of Devonport, in Tasmania.

    http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/green-andrew-bartlett-under-eligibility-cloud-after-just-four-days-in-the-senate-20171116-gzmjre.html

  11. Thank you, John Reidy for the clarification. Still!…

    One would think that the Code of Ethics For Medical Practitioners forbade them from doing gender-based abortions anyway. So what was the real point?

  12. The bigoted fool Canavan also wants Christian Rock bands to be able to turn down Same Sex Weddings.

    Enshrined in law!

    It doesn’t need to be enshrined in law, gays have got more taste than that!

  13. Oh and we were talking earlier that casual teachers wouldn’t be hit by s44 under this HC?

    The court disqualified Ms Hughes under section 44 of the constitution because she held an “office for profit under the crown”: a government-paid part-time job with the Administrative Appeals Tribunal, which she took up after last year’s election.

    All we learnt from Sykes was that it extended to full time teachers (Cleary) AT LEAST. Now it’s clear that you don’t even need to have a full time job. I don’t see this HC (or any tbf) making any distinction at all between a permanent part time position and a casual position.

    Sorry zoomster, I reckon you’re out 😉

  14. What proportion of wage earners would be getting falls in real wages? Any idea? Most?

    I don’t know what the proportion is, but I reckon it’s a pretty safe bet to start at the bottom of the wage distribution and work up past the median. How far past is the question.

  15. If it’s any help to anyone, I’ve always refused casual teaching work during election campaigns, and I’m not intending to run for the Senate, so I’m safe atm.

  16. ratsak @ #1221 Thursday, November 16th, 2017 – 6:42 pm

    Oh and we were talking earlier that casual teachers wouldn’t be hit by s44 under this HC?

    The court disqualified Ms Hughes under section 44 of the constitution because she held an “office for profit under the crown”: a government-paid part-time job with the Administrative Appeals Tribunal, which she took up after last year’s election.

    All we learnt from Sykes was that it extended to full time teachers (Cleary) AT LEAST. Now it’s clear that you don’t even need to have a full time job. I don’t see this HC (or any tbf) making any distinction at all between a permanent part time position and a casual position.

    Sorry zoomster, I reckon you’re out 😉

    As I said yesterday, the HC is sending a message to the Pollies in Canberra that they can only interpret the law as she is. They have the Legislative responsibility to remedy the farce!

  17. Greensborough Growler @ #1212 Thursday, November 16th, 2017 – 6:30 pm

    Simon Katich @ #1203 Thursday, November 16th, 2017 – 6:08 pm

    **I expect him to get us to the World Cup! Mission accomplished.**
    If that is ‘mission accomplished’ then Postecoglou would not have become coach in the first place.

    They picked the best guy for the job and he delivered.

    That you can only whinge incessantly is just you playing to form!

    Yeah can’t understand the Postecoglou dislike. He says what he thinks and doesn’t give a shit about the media, which you have to admire.

  18. The primary reason for gender based terminations, at least in the public health system in Victoria,is gender based genetically transmitted serious to profound disorders. This would occur after genetic counselling addressing the risk of transmission, including the results of tests for same.

  19. Boerwar
    It took several attempts as some how the format for submitting posts has changed. Very puzzling.
    It certainly made the Bernardi move look extremely ill-informed.

  20. Boerwar
    I certainly wouldn’t exclude vicious, but stupidly ill-informed and ideologically driven to the exclusion of evidence is right up there.

  21. The gender abortion motion is a Trojan horse to force women to give a reason as to why they are seeking an abortion.

    Next step is counselling before they proceed including colour photos of foetuses to view then waiting periods after this before they can proceed.

    Next is approval from psychiatrist and independent doctor.

    Cory was testing the waters

  22. Bernardi is trying the Tea Party tactics he went to the US to learn. The problem for him and his supporters is that the Marriage Equality plebithingy went so spectacularly wrong for them. Despite our flaws, this is not the US. Thankfully.

  23. What’s really clear is that the right is deeply divisive and the more the likes of Bernardi and Phon, if they don’t as usual implode, wreak havoc, the more likely Turnbull will be turfed. If they put in someone like Dutton, they’re toast. He’s repulsive.

  24. I really can’t see why the RWNJs are getting so exercised about the SSM bill affecting freedom of religion.

    Even if it did do so (which it won’t), any restriction of freedom of religion would be invalid in terms of Section 116 of the Constitution:
    116. Commonwealth not to legislate in respect of religion
    The Commonwealth shall not make any law for establishing any religion, or for imposing any religious observance, or for prohibiting the free exercise of any religion, and no religious test shall be required as a qualification for any office or public trust under the Commonwealth.

    Therefore the only possible explanation for all their goings on is a cover to gut anti-discrimination laws.

  25. Can I argue that legislating to allow businesses to discriminate against gay customers amounts to making a law that imposes a religious observance and is therefore Unconstitutional?

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