Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor

Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings deteriorate still further amid an otherwise stable result from Newspoll.

Newspoll retains its comatose form in its latest fortnightly result, with Labor steady on 37%, the Coalition down a point to 35%, the Greens steady on 10% and One Nation steady on 9%, and Labor’s two-party lead unchanged on 54-46. Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings have worsened, down one on approval to 31% and up three on disapproval to 59%, while Bill Shorten is respectively down one to 32% and up one to 56%, with Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister at 41-33. Poll courtesy of The Australian; numbers helpfully related by GhostWhoVotes.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

568 comments on “Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor”

  1. Did you guys read the indictments document against Manafort and Gates? Man, if they don’t cooperate, they will both die in jail. Manafort is up on two counts of bank fraud just for starters. Just those alone carry a penalty of up to 30 years in prison. It looks slam dunk to me. And it implicates Manafort’s daughter and son-in-law in one of the bank frauds. Mueller has everything – probably from the early morning raid a while back.

  2. Manafort indicted on conspiracy, money laundering charges: special counsel

    “The indictment contains 12 counts: conspiracy against the United States, conspiracy to launder money, unregistered agent of a foreign principal, false and misleading FARA statements, false statements, and seven counts of failure to file reports of foreign bank and financial accounts,” the statement said.

    http://www.politicususa.com/2017/10/30/manafort-indicted-conspiracy-money-laundering-charges-special-counsel.html

  3. Conspiracy Against the U.S.

    U.S. intelligence agencies say Russia interfered in the election to try to help Trump defeat Clinton, by hacking and releasing embarrassing emails and disseminating propaganda via social media to discredit her. The Kremlin has denied any meddling.

    The indictment contains counts of conspiracy against the United States, conspiracy to launder money, acting as unregistered agents of Ukraine’s government, false and misleading statements and failure to file reports of foreign bank and financial accounts, the special counsel said.

    The charge of conspiracy to commit money laundering carries a maximum 20-year prison sentence.

    http://www.politicususa.com/2017/10/30/conspiracy-u-s.html

  4. ‘If you think this is the worst day — think again’: GOP strategist taunts Trump fans with future indictments

    Trump fans upset about the indictment of former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort are hanging their hats on the fact that special counsel Robert Mueller’s indictment did not mention his work on Trump’s campaign in the charges.

    However, Republican strategist Rick Wilson taunted Trump’s supporters on Monday by explaining that the case against Trump and his 2016 presidential campaign is far from over — and that there are many more shoes yet to drop.

    In particular, Wilson zeroed in on the revelation that former Trump campaign aide George Papadopoulos reached out to Russian officials to arrange meetings with the Trump campaign — and even to help coordinate the release of what he believed were emails from Hillary Clinton’s private server.

    “We now have confessed collusion and a complex electronic trail from Pap to his fellow Trump campaign members,” Wilson wrote. “These are serious people running a serious investigation and you’re either a cooperating witness or a target.”

    https://www.rawstory.com/2017/10/if-you-think-this-is-the-worst-day-think-again-gop-strategist-taunts-trump-fans-with-future-indictments/

  5. Good morning all!

    Well Trumble has his instructions, do not go past Gympie.

    LNP’s message to PM: don’t cross the Gympie Line this Queenslan election campaign
    http://www.afr.com/news/lnps-message-to-pm-dont-cross-the-gympie-line-this-qld-election-campaign-20171029-gzant0?btis

    “But while Mr Shorten is expected to roam far and wide, including into so-called One Nation territory in north and central Queensland, the Prime Minister, who personally does not resonate well in these regions, is likely to be confined beneath what has been coined the Gympie Line.”

  6. This from JOURNALIST Jenna Price is damning of of our ‘Main Stream Media’…

    “What I’m about to write will be of zero interest to other journalists – they all know it’s happening. But maybe you, too, should know how politicians try to control a story by giving it to their preferred outlets first or by talking to journalists who won’t challenge them. It’s not illegal but this control of the narrative gets in the way of voters knowing the facts. As we all saw last week, it can be hard to ignore the drama of a raid on a union headquarters, even if the raid later proves to be unnecessary.

    A “drop” to a preferred outlet also ensures that, because reporters turn the story over quickly, they are more likely to respond to the story as it is first told – although, to be fair, not this time. This time, we’re all writing about the abuse of process and how we were all misled by Cash’s statements in estimates last week. (And, shockingly, by comments her staff made to reporters. Actual lies to reporters asking where the media leak came from. Furious emails from someone at the Fair Work Ombudsman’s office trying to stop the stories.)”

    Political ‘journalists’ in this country actively collude with politicians to not just keep the facts/truth from us ..but to mis-represent the facts/truth in order to assist the promulgation of falsehoods which help those politicians to get away with their blatant lies. This in a representative democracy is totally unacceptable & it’s high time our senior political journos put their corrupt house in order..

    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/awu-raid-wasnt-the-only-time-michaelia-cashs-office-manipulated-the-media-20171030-gzayyd.html

  7. Good morning

    More than 50% of Australians believe the national broadband network will fail to meet the country’s future internet needs, while almost 40% blame the Turnbull government for problems with the network, the latest Guardian Essential poll has found.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/oct/31/most-voters-believe-nbn-will-fail-to-meet-australias-needs-guardian-essential-poll?CMP=share_btn_tw
    While the Department of Finance is likely to write to the dumped MPs with a bill for salaries, allowances, superannuation and staff payments, they can easily apply to the government for a waiver.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/citizenship-five-paid-nearly-9-million-in-salaries-they-were-not-entitled-to-20171030-gzazka.html
    “It is an unwritten law of frequent flying that only the most boorish bogans, the most selfish suits, only the least sophisticated and uncivilised primates, only those lacking in any sense of empathy or who are, at best, simply inexperienced and pig-ignorant, recline a domestic economy class seat when someone’s behind them.”
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/comment-and-analysis/the-bingham-code-the-11-rules-frequent-flyers-need-to-abide-by-20171029-gzapa7.html
    The NBN is available to 6.2 million Australian premises but only 3 million of those have migrated to an NBN plan.
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/consumer-affairs/nbn-complaints-on-the-rise-as-consumers-opt-for-slower-internet-speeds-20171030-gzatw9.html
    “If politicians put a proposal to the Australian people that just made it easier for politicians to become members of parliament, I think the Australian people would rightly tell us to get stuffed,” Mr Clare said.
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-10-30/barnaby-joyce-wants-referendum-to-change-constitution-section-44/9098594
    According to Commsec, using data from the Australian Institute of Petroleum, the average price of unleaded petrol jumped by 9 cents to 136.4 cents per litre last week, the largest increase on record going back at least 13 years.
    https://www.businessinsider.com.au/australia-petrol-prices-2-year-high-2017-10
    The advice from senior silk Matt Collins, QC, and barrister Matt Albert says Mr Joyce’s and Ms Nash’s ministerial decisions are now at risk under section 64 of the constitution, which requires ministers to be members of Parliament..
    http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/barnaby-joyce-dares-labor-to-bring-legal-challenges-to-his-fiona-nashs-decisions-20171030-gzavg5.html

  8. The Productivity Commission has been scathing about the latest series of agreements, arguing that they grant legal rights to foreign investors not available to Australians, expose the government to potentially large unfunded liabilities and impose extra costs on businesses attempting to comply with them.
    http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/labor-to-open-free-trade-agreements-to-scrutiny-20171030-gzb4ym.html
    A Shorten Labor government would force Australian mining companies working overseas to disclose the taxes they are paying to foreign governments to extract their minerals.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/oct/31/labor-plans-to-force-australian-mining-companies-to-disclose-taxes-paid-overseas
    Politicians, of course, are wont to commemorate significant moments in military history for many reasons, not least to justify participation in contemporary conflicts.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/postcolonial-blog/2017/oct/30/beersheba-centenary-lets-remember-that-story-is-not-the-same-as-history
    The one-two punch delivered on Monday by special prosecutor Robert Mueller is designed to send a powerful message to everyone else caught up in the probe: the prosecutors aren’t bluffing.
    http://www.theage.com.au/world/robert-muellers-moves-send-message-to-other-potential-targets-beware-im-coming-20171030-gzbemj.html
    It is true that Manafort’s indictment makes no mention of Trump or Russian involvement in the election campaign.
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/oct/30/russia-inquiry-charges-trump-manafort-papadopoulos-gates
    Former prime minister Kevin Rudd has launched a scathing attack on Donald Trump, declaring the American president to be “nuts” and warning that China could step into a potential regional power vacuum.
    http://www.theage.com.au/entertainment/tv-and-radio/news-and-current-affairs/nuts-kevin-rudds-scathing-attack-on-us-president-donald-trump-20171030-gzbe47.html
    Trump first announced a ban on military service for transgender people in a series of tweets on 26 July. In August, he formally directed the secretary of defense and the secretary of homeland security to bar transgender recruits and to cease covering sex reassignment surgical procedures through military healthcare programs.
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/oct/30/trump-transgender-troops-ban-military-judge
    Of all the conspiracies, the one against JFK is the most appealing because the subject was so attractive.

  9. Of all the conspiracies, the one against JFK is the most appealing because the subject was so attractive.
    http://www.theage.com.au/comment/the-joy-of-jfk-conspiracy-theories–and-why-theyll-never-go-away-20171028-gza3s8.html
    A “top secret” document from 1975 reveals the CIA considered assassinating Sukarno during the Cold War.
    http://www.theage.com.au/world/cia-considered-assassinating-former-indonesian-president-sukarno-20171030-gzb4pf.html
    The western Victorian upper house MP wants a role for the patient’s GP, arguing that a decision on whether someone is mentally fit to request an assisted death, and is under no pressure from family members, should not be left to doctors who do not know them.
    http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/no-deal-crossbench-mp-wants-changes-to-assisted-dying-bill-before-he-backs-it-20171029-gzaq1h.html
    Australia’s Chief Medical Officer has stridently rejected claims a “budget” flu vaccine was partly responsible for this year’s horror flu season, as the academic quoted called the reports “inaccurate”.
    http://www.theage.com.au/national/health/experts-slam-utterly-false-claims-australians-given-budget-flu-vaccine-20171030-gzb3hv.html
    It’s not that the behaviour of various men in power is actually bad or inappropriate. It’s just that you don’t get it, ladies.
    http://www.theage.com.au/comment/women-dont-need-to-learn-to-take-a-joke–men-need-to-stop-acting-like-one-20171030-gzawlo.html
    Refugees are repairing and securing damaged barbed wire on the compound’s perimeter fences to protect them from possible attacks as confrontation between the men, locals and Papua New Guinea authorities looms.
    http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/manus-island-asylum-seekers-secure-fences-barricade-themselves-inside-processing-centre-as-closure-looms-20171030-gzb954.html
    Asylum seekers say removal of water and electricity breaches their constitutionally protected human rights
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/oct/31/manus-island-detainees-launch-legal-action-over-australian-centres-closure

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