This week’s reading of the Essential Research fortnight rolling average has Labor’s two-party lead at 54-46, out from 53-47 last week, with primary vote numbers not available at this stage. Also featured are Essential’s monthly leadership ratings, which have Malcolm Turnbull up three on approval to 38% and steady on disapproval at 46%; Bill Shorten up one to 36% and up five to 47%; and Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister at 43-29, compared with 41-27 last time. Respondents were also asked if they favoured a series of measures on energy policy, which found strong support for regulating power prices, increasing investment in renewable energy and storage, reserving gas for domestic use, and a “clean-up of existing coal-fired power stations”, while lesser but still majority support for forcing energy companies to help their customers use less power and bringing privatised coal generators back into public ownership. Twenty-eight per cent rated Labor most likely to deliver lower power prices compared with 19% for the Coalition, with 35% for no difference and 18% for don’t know.
UPDATE: Full report here. Primary votes are Coalition steady on 36%, Labor steady on 37%, Greens steady on 10% and One Nation up a point to 9%.
daretotread @ #1638 Friday, September 15th, 2017 – 3:40 pm
I didn’t see anyone saying the Russians didn’t have some good (relatively) low cost heavy lift rocket motors. They undoubtedly do and also the rockets which use them.
But that is far from the whole story. There are other areas where the Russians are not so strong such as the electronic and guidance systems.
If the Russians were so far in front, why haven’t they had a moon landing?
daretotread @ #1641 Friday, September 15th, 2017 – 3:43 pm
I was totally unaware that Getup was part of the Labor Party.
bemused
They did try to make it look like they did IIRC.
CTar1
An interesting story. He is obsessed by the medicinal use of cannabis and sees himself as an advocate. Some might say that his actions are actually very deleterious for the campaign. In any case in the early 2000s he had not become controversial and persuaded the NSW government to licence him to grow 5 acres of low THC Hemp – I think on the basis of seeing if a hemp cloth industry was viable
Unfortunately when the Dept of Ag inspector turned up it appeared that some high THC plants had invaded the field – in fact they had completely overgrown the crop
The Russians had an undoutable advantage in the maths of non-linear control used in rocketry… in the 1960s. The west caught up by the 80s.
The LNP must be aware their hegemony is fragmenting. They face opponents on the left and the centre – Labor, the Gs, X, the various independents, and the non-Party outfits like Getup and the unions – as well as right-splinters like ON and the Cory mob.
As a colony of the IPA, reactionary clerics and a few private billionaires, they have no real idea how to respond to this. They are a shell.
Bemused
It will not matter if the LNP uses it to attack Labor – and pretty sure they will based on the rhetoric spouted by my contact
You know what, I often wonder if ‘Player One’ is daretotread’s sock puppet account, used to ‘fool the left’ with concern trolling.
Briefly
Eric Abetz has been carrying on for years about Get Up being a Labor party front. In fact the AEC gas conducted one more than one investgation to appease nutjob Abetz. His allegations were unfoubded.
Zeh
Lol!
daretotread @ #1658 Friday, September 15th, 2017 – 4:14 pm
They may well try but I don’t see it working.
Zeh @ #1659 Friday, September 15th, 2017 – 4:17 pm
Very unkind to DTT.
Conservatives like Abetz lack imagination. They have tunnel vision too.
Bemused
Try not to intervene out of contt. This discussion started with someone asking why the Japanese did not knock ou th NK missile.
YThen someone said that it was too hard or some such
i thnen notd that there were claims that the Russianshad taken out US Tornedos in Syria
Ctari then in his usual way said neh naeh that couldna to which I replied that they were pretty much the leaders in rocketry and that they supply the rockets engines for most US satellite launches.
Now I do not spend my time studying rocket technologies but found this one.
http://www.popularmechanics.com/military/weapons/a18331/russias-military-tech/
This may be a quite unwelcome development in the ME ‘spat’ should there be another change of monarch…
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/sep/14/saudi-crown-prince-consolidate-power-arrests-clerics-mohammed-bin-salman
dtt @ 4:29
Is this available in final form. What you’ve posted is to hard to interpret.
What is a US Tornado?
victoria
Briefly
Eric Abetz has been carrying on for years about Get Up being a Labor party front. In fact the AEC gas conducted one more than one investgation to appease nutjob Abetz. His allegations were unfounded.
Abetz is tilting at windmills, as usual.
A bit of trivia. You can venture a tiny way into North Korea by joining a tour from Seoul to the Panmunjeom Joint Security Area, the location where the UN facilitates occasional North/South meetings. Our daughter did this a few years ago and reported it is quite a scary experience with a list of “don’t do’s” lest you upset the trigger happy soldiers from either side.
Tourists can walk around the negotiating table which of course sits astride the border, so you can technically cross into North Korea before being hustled out of the room. Apparently tourists to North Korea are given a compulsory trip to this location from Pyongyang.
A photo of the facility by the South Korea tourism association:
Well it does appear that Senator Malcolm Roberts will get his day in court, and just to make ShellBell’s day, it looks like he will be cross examined by the Commonwealth next week
“Malcolm Roberts will be grilled by government lawyers in the High Court over his eligibility to remain in parliament.
The solicitor-general will cross-examine the One Nation senator in Brisbane next Thursday about his knowledge and ‘state of mind’ in relation to dual citizenship.
Lawyers for Senator Roberts will also seek to challenge expert evidence about the legality of the steps he took to renounce UK citizenship.
British citizenship expert Laurie Fransman QC’s appearance next week will be subject to availability, but Senator Roberts’ legal team have requested two hours to question him.
‘Goodness, you do have a lot to talk about,’ Chief Justice Susan Kiefel said on Friday.
They will also look to call their own expert on British law, barrister Adrian Berry, who often serves as a junior lawyer to the government’s pick.
The High Court, sitting as the Court of Disputed Returns, heard their arguments would hinge on whether it was sufficient for Senator Roberts to send an email to renounce his British citizenship.
Also in question were the legal ramifications of Senator Roberts not paying the usual renunciation fee.
The experts have been told to discuss the contradictions in their interpretations.
‘They shouldn’t have to walk very far,’ Chief Justice Kiefel said.
Senator Roberts’ team have been given until Tuesday to summarise the differences in a dot-point document.”
http://www.skynews.com.au/news/top-stories/2017/09/15/citizenship-cases-return-to-high-court.html
‘You DO relise I assume that the LNP will use the SAME anti foreigner approach to target Getup here in Australia because apparently some Democrat bigwigs fund it’
The very short lived Liberal website ‘The Fair Go’ ran a major article on this. GetUp! very promptly pointed out that this was totally untrue, and that every single donation they receive is listed on line promptly. They are supported by generally quite small donations from the general public.
‘The Fair Go’ mob then made right knobs of themselves by arguing back that GetUp! wasn’t answering their questions and this showed they had something to hide. GetUp! pointed out that it had answered all their questions and that everything was as transparent as it could be. The whole discussion quickly descended into total farce.
The Liberals can try this line at the next election if they want to, but if the trial on their website is anything to go by, they’ll just end up looking stupid(er).
Zoomster
And Get Up have been actively encouraging donations to be immediately transparent by our own politically parties. Wonder what Mr Abetz thinks of that
No survey form for me yet (lower North Shore, Sydney).
The LNP seem unable to resist political fighting. It is voter-repelling. The more they fight, the less will voters be drawn to them.
guytaur
Wow
Even Mark Latham gets it.
RealMarkLatham: What ever happened to forgiving sinners? Seems a strange way to support traditional marriage: kicking a man-woman ceremony out of the church twitter.com/michaelkoziol/…
Secondary boycott.
daretotread @ #1665 Friday, September 15th, 2017 – 4:29 pm
I wish you would write in English. Or heed your spell check.
PM says secondary boycotts are OK..’
http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/malcolm-turnbull-defends-right-of-church-to-refuse-to-marry-couples-who-support-gay-marriage-20170915-gyi0hm.html
Steve777
No survey? I thought you had it already. Maybe us northern sydney siders are being left behind.
grimace @ #1530 Friday, September 15th, 2017 – 12:17 pm
No, it’s Loy Yang A. It burns brown coal, and AGL has just reconfirmed the 2048 closure date.
I know what point I was making – i.e. that 75,000 MW of new renewable generation capacity will be required to replace all coal-fired power stations by around 2050. Again, this is not my figure, this is from AGL, who expect to retire their last coal-fired plant in 2048.
I am not really sure what point you are making.
ajm @ #1474 Friday, September 15th, 2017 – 10:27 am
There are plenty of constraints that apply to the growth of solar. The growth curve may look exponential in the early stages where the constraints are few – but it will end up as logistical growth, not exponential growth. Some relevant constraints are discussed in this article – https://www.theguardian.com/sustainable-business/2016/jan/31/solar-power-what-is-holding-back-growth-clean-energy
Here is their conclusion …
But since this is your attitude …
… I guess you will never know how wrong you were.
frednk
guytaur
Wow
Even Mark Latham gets it.
RealMarkLatham: What ever happened to forgiving sinners? Seems a strange way to support traditional marriage: kicking a man-woman ceremony out of the church twitter.com/michaelkoziol/…
Should this be seen as a misuse of discretion by an errant cleric? Or is it really just what we should expect from the deists? They purport to know best, not merely for themselves but for all mortals. Supposedly, the deists act on the basis of special knowledge. They are supremacists in their thinking and their coding.
At another level, of course, this goes to the very notion of sin….a notion that is both utterly archaic and is as cruel as it is confounding. We should know by now there is no such thing as sin. We have to abandon this framework and we have to disarm those who deploy the idea of sin against the rest of us.
Received my marriage postal survey today. Immediately voted ‘YES’ and posted it.
I do believe, in the eyes of the loony right, I have just committed a hate crime – evidence that both sides in this debate are the same! 😉
cracker of a response from Emma Alberici to the Newstroll!
What does Eric Abetz think of donations to the Institute of Public Affairs, which are not disclosed, in spite of being tax-deductible. And what about the links between that organisation and the Liberal Party which it helped found. Or the fact that it seems to share personnel with the Liberal Party, many of whom are various types of ‘fellows’ (senior, adjunct, whatever) in that organisation.
GG
Emma Alberici has been on fire on twitter as of late
Steve, Eric wouldn’t have a problem with them, they’re the “right” sort of people.
https://www.crikey.com.au/2017/09/15/guy-rundle-lionel-murphy-fought-for-equality/
Zeh @ #1658 Friday, September 15th, 2017 – 4:17 pm
No. Player One is of the left, but not the alt-left.
terrific ad from the UK. Something positive like this will be good for the Unions and the ALP.
https://twitter.com/PeoplesMomentum/status/908334446218301445
I saw this about Lionel Murphy when I was younger and disengaged politically, it got me thinking…
https://vimeo.com/ondemand/mrnealentitedbeagitator
Perhaps the amendment of the Marriage Act should go all the way in separation of church and state?
Make the signing and witnessing of the contract a purely administrative function, carried out by public servants in the offices of Births, Deaths and Marriages and if couples wish to have flamboyant ceremonies of whatever flavour, they are free to do so but they carry no legal weight.
So instead of the continued exponential growth that is modelled by the Oxford team, Qin predicts “moderate growth in solar could continue as seen in recent years, but the growth will flatten out, turning into an S curve”. This is backed by price forecasts of the UK government Climate Change Committee and the US Energy Information Agency.
Why will solar growth flatten out? There are several moving parts in this but there is also an iron law too. In the end, growth will favour the most efficient.
For any level of energy demand, competitive advantages will lie with supply sources that have the lowest costs (taking into account all the costs including the various financing & opportunity costs) and the best risk/return quotient.
The fossil-based technologies have very few opportunities left for cost reduction. Extraction, transport and combustion techniques have come a very long way since the 18th century and maybe a few more notches of efficiency can be wrung from them. But this is nothing compared with the gains available in renewables, where we are just beginning to realise all the possible efficiency gains.
The greatest advantage of renewables is that they are technically-produced. That is, we do not need to find and exploit natural endowments of gas or coal or oil. We can tap the energy that is everywhere to be found in the natural environment by the use of applied science and engineering. This liberates us from scarcity where dependence on fossil fuels is to perpetuate shortage.
Rational Leftist @ #1680 Friday, September 15th, 2017 – 5:14 pm
Me too. Of course, I will not be voting – but I was amused to see how the vote can easily be seen simply by holding the completed envelope up to the light. If anyone responsible for posting votes, or who works in the post office or ABS did want to quietly dispose of a few thousand votes of one persuasion or the other, it would be trivially easy to do.
At the very least, if anyone offers to post your vote for you, you should probably say no. I can imagine there will be nursing homes etc where the votes will mysteriously be either all ‘yes’ or all ‘no’.
steve777/IoM
Sydney’s northern suburbs no forms yet.
Have they decided you’re all going to vote no so they’ve saved a bit by not bothering to send you forms.
Player One
No. Player One is of the left, but not the alt-left.
There is no such thing as the alt-left. This is a fiction intended to create a false equivalence between the Reactionary right in its many incarnations and those they attack.
Player One @ #1690 Friday, September 15th, 2017 – 5:38 pm
Just another farce associated with the process.
fwiw, I tried to check to see if my survey response could be read from outside a sealed envelope. Nup. Not at all. This is furphy propagated by the NO voices.
Alberici with her arms crossed last night when Xenophon was on.
Very much ‘say your bullshit’ and let’s move on.
briefly
i checked my survey too. could not be read either. and envelope was able to be sealed properly as well
briefly @ #1695 Friday, September 15th, 2017 – 5:43 pm
No it isn’t. Just hold your envelope up to the light. It’s easy to see.
briefly @ #1694 Friday, September 15th, 2017 – 5:43 pm
The internet is replete with examples. But, facts aren’t going to stop you slagging off the Nosies is it!
Here’s another amusing one. My daughter lives in a rented unit, and she and several other people in the block have received votes for previous residents. Some have had several. Some people are opening them, filling them out and posting them back.