BludgerTrack: 54.0-46.0 to Labor

A solid bump to Labor on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate after particularly dire result for the government from Newspoll and ReachTEL.

A big week of polling, with the weekly Essential, fortnightly Newspoll and YouGov and monthly ReachTEL landing all at once, and their combined effect is to shake the BludgerTrack aggregate out of its lethargy with a solid move to Labor. The two contributors to this were Newspoll, whose 53-47 to 54-46 movement this fortnight is almost precisely replicated by BludgerTrack, but also by ReachTEL, whose primary vote numbers were a lot worse for the Coalition than the 52-48 two-party headline suggested. All of which causes Labor to gain four on the seat projection, including one apiece in each of the four largest states. The Coalition has taken a particularly heavy hit on the primary vote, but it’s One Nation rather than Labor that has yielded the advantage. A new set of leadership numbers from Newspoll sends both leaders downwards on the net satisfaction trend, with Bill Shorten gaining fractionally on preferred prime minister.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,253 comments on “BludgerTrack: 54.0-46.0 to Labor”

  1. grimace @ #1242 Tuesday, August 29th, 2017 – 3:07 pm

    The LCoE for this brain fart, even assuming 100% utilisation, is going to make it cost prohibitive and both the taxpayer & energy consumers are going to be on the hook for decades so that Brian Trumble can be PM for a few more weeks.

    The LCoS for pumped hydro is among the lowest of all storage technologies. And the LCoS of Snowy 2.0 will be lower than the average for pumped hydro installations.

    It doesn’t really make sense to talk about LCoE of storage schemes, but it you did then pumped hydro would be among the lowest for that as well, assuming the cost of the “E” is the same across all storage technologies. The LCoS of pumped hydro is so low that this would still be true even if you add in round trip losses and transmission losses.

    If this government can’t sell Snowy 2.0, it will be because they are a pack of incompetents who don’t really believe in anything other than burning coal, and not because Snowy 2.0 is intrinsically inefficient.

  2. Zoom…..SS in the US is not a right pertaining to citizenship. It is a savings account. Even if Hinch had been a US citizen and had renounced, he would still be eligible to receive payments from his savings account.

    SS monies do not come from the Treasury. They are personal funds.

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