Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor

Malcolm Turnbull records an eight-point deterioration in his net approval rating, as Labor’s lead on voting intention widens still further.

Newspoll breaks out of its 53-47 straitjacket to record a 54-46 lead for Labor, from primary vote of Coalition 35% (down one), Labor 38% (up two), Greens 9% (down two) and One Nation 9% (up one). Leadership ratings also record substantial change for the first time a while, with Malcolm Turnbull down three on approval to 35% and up five on disapproval to 55%, and Bill Shorten down two to 34% and up three to 54%. Malcolm Turnbull leads 43-33 as preferred prime minister, down from 46-31 last time. The poll was conducted from a sample of 1675 from Thursday to Sunday. The Australian’s paywalled report here.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

920 comments on “Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor”

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  1. Agree Ides. Aside from the non-disclosure debacle, Shorten has been reasonably good overall but you’re right: he is not a natural born communicator.

  2. Shorten is doing an excellent job of demonstrating that policy is a complex business.
    Of course this confuses the rabid right.

  3. Yes BK, Shorten has demonstrated tonight just how bare the coalition policy cupboard is. The govt gives us none of this kind of detail about anything!

  4. Shorten is not polished. He really had a chance to excel tonight and hasnt met it. I say this as someone that would prefer Labor over the Coalition.

  5. He’s trying to avoid the kind of empty shallow rhetoric that many here criticise political leaders for . Seems you can’t win either way with some people.

  6. I like Shorten’s style. He is talking with people instead of at them. I think we are so used to three-word slogans, blustering over the top harangues, and motor-mouth delivery that we have lost the ability to appreciate someone who is just having a discussion.
    Shorten is talking to people, not triumphing over opponents. He comes over as someone who is taking his time to explain things.

  7. Bill’s been ok but he seems a little concerned with getting his talking points across, at the expense of succinctly answering the question.
    Not really liking his response to the question of the NBN.
    Simple answer – fibre to the premises wherever possible.

  8. I don’t think Shorten is doing too badly.


    Shorten’s answer on the NBN was very disappointing. And perhaps politically ill advised.

    There is no way Labor is going to avoid having to write down the FTTN parts of the network and the replacement of FTTN with FTTP. If they don’t it will become an increasingly hot political issue for Labor. I expect him to say “yes, we have a plan to replace it and we’ll figure that out”.

  9. Why haven’t we had a referendum on recognising indigenous Australians in the Constitution? I thought that was coalition policy at both the 2013 and 2016 elections.

  10. Ides of March @ #799 Monday, August 21st, 2017 – 10:19 pm

    I appreciate Shorten is trying to not give one liners and empty slogans but I still would like to see him give some clearer answers.

    I want to see him motivate and inspire. Mainly he’s just explaining. Which is fine, but not terribly effective at changing any minds. It puts him in a similar basket as Hillary Clinton. Though without the handicap of also being a woman.

  11. Re the NBN, Bill said he couldn’t unscramble the egg and I think he’s right. He can’t go back to 2013, he’ll have to start with the mess the Coalition leave Labor after 5 years of L/NP vandalism. That’s the shit sandwich we face.

    P.S. I didn’t know the L/NP has also buggered up the National Basketball Association (NBA).

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