YouGov-Fifty Acres: L-NP 36, ALP 33, Greens 12, One Nation 7

The second federal poll from YouGov goes against the grain in recording an uptick in support for the Coalition, while also finding a big majority in favour of legalising same-sex marriage.

The second fortnightly federal voting intention poll by YouGov for Fifty Acres records a three point increase in the Coalition primary vote, now at 36%, with Labor down one to 33%, the Greens steady on 12% and One Nation steady on 7%. The combined vote for all other parties is down two to 12%, making it slightly less unusual than that score than Newspoll and Essential Research, who respectively have it at 8% and 10%. However, what’s very unusual is a respondent-allocated two-party preferred result that gives the Coalition a lead of 52-48, the reverse of what the result would be if 2016 preference flows were used, as per the other pollsters. I don’t quite have the confidence to lead a post with “52-48 to Coalition” based such an unorthodox reading, so I’ll be using primary votes for my YouGov headlines for the time being.

The poll also found 60% support for same-sex marriage, with 28% opposed; health and hospitals were rated the most important election issue by 45%, followed by pensions on 33% and job security and unemployment on 31%; 56% supportive of a tax on companies that used robots to fund support for those who lost jobs as a result; and 54% expressing concern at indigenous languages falling into disuse, but only 33% believing the government should do anything about it. The poll was conducted online from Thursday to Tuesday, with a sample of a little over 1000.

UPDATE: The Australia Institute has published results of a poll conducted in South Australia by ReachTEL, which shows (after allocating the forced response question from the 7.1% undecided) federal voting intention in the state at 34.3% for the Liberals (down 0.8% on last year’s election), 32.1% for Labor (up 0.6%), 14.9% for the Nick Xenophon Team (down 6.4%), 6.6% for the Greens (up 0.4%), 4.6% for One Nation (didn’t field lower house candidates) and 3.9% for Australian Conservatives (unchanged on the Family First vote). There’s also a separate question on Senate voting intention, and while I have my doubts about such an exercise, it has the Liberals on 30.1% (down 2.5%), Labor on 26.1% (down 1.2%), the Nick Xenophon Team on 21.7% (unchanged), the Greens on 8.2% (up 2.3%), One Nation on 4.8% (up 1.8%) and Australian Conservatives on 5.2% (up 2.3% on the Family First vote, for the most encouraging poll result the party has yet received).

The poll also records strong support for the ABC, with 40.4% wanting its funding increased, 33.4% kept as is and only 17.5% reduced; 64.8% opposed to the government cutting funding to the ABC to get support on relaxed media ownership laws from One Nation, with 16.5% supportive; and 56.3% supportive of a strong online presence for the ABC “even if it effects the commercial viability of commercial media outlets”, with 16.4% opposed (the anti-ABC numbers across the three questions being notably similar). The automated phone poll was conducted from 1589 respondents on June 29.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,501 comments on “YouGov-Fifty Acres: L-NP 36, ALP 33, Greens 12, One Nation 7”

  1. Darn

    Absolutely. My life is testament to this; I have always regarded feminism as about equality for both sexes.

    Like most human beings, I sometimes fall short of my own expectations, but I try very hard not to.

  2. Am I also correct to presume that the Collier family is the same ones who are very wealthy as a result of the fact of owning this?

    Perth Real Estate – Colliers International

    Not that I’m aware of, no. Peter Collier hails from Kalgoorlie and was a teacher prior to entering politics. And I’m not sure about Mitchell Collier, but no mention of a wife or children in Peter’s first speech:$file/Inaug+Collier.pdf

  3. zoomster

    Most of us are in that boat. We are human with cultural biases we have learnt and despite our best efforts can be ingrained.

    eg A son and father were injured in a car accident. The son is on the operating table. The surgeon says I can’t operate on the son he is my child. Who is the surgeon?

    The answer is obvious but many cannot answer it correctly because they see the surgeon as a man by default.

  4. Jen..

    ..the list I gave ARE indeed journalists ..the Insider panel are best described as ‘gossipists’..

    ..trouble is, we’ve largely come to accept such ‘gossip’ as journalism. Stephen Long & Alan Kohler have both recently written long-form articles based on extensive research on a variety of issues. That’s journalism, not the ‘he said, she said’, un-sourced rubbish & puerile ‘gotcha’ ‘EXCLUSIVES’ dished out on a regular basis by the merchants of ‘fast-food reportage’..

    These ‘gossipists’ are charlatans, devouring themselves & their host news organisations like an infestation of parasitic worms. We, their audience, are powerless to do anything but watch their inevitable demise..

  5. MJS

    Some credit to Murphy she bucked the trend by outlining that Facts count. Even though Savva tried to say but.

    Also the essay she mentioned at the end linked to here previously was a good long form journalistic article. Farr has also done same. The problem is the format of the show does not allow in depth overview of context of issues just sporting who is winning discussion

  6. Guytaur
    My suggestion would be “Inside the Liberal Party”.
    Stephen Long is a journalist who specialises in business and finance.

  7. How many times has Canberra Press Gallery journalist Josh Taylor been on Insiders? Is he not on because he works for Crikey now and is moving to Buzzfeed soon?

  8. guytaur @ #1153 Sunday, July 16, 2017 at 10:59 am

    Most of us are in that boat. We are human with cultural biases we have learnt and despite our best efforts can be ingrained.
    eg A son and father were injured in a car accident. The son is on the operating table. The surgeon says I can’t operate on the son he is my child. Who is the surgeon?
    The answer is obvious but many cannot answer it correctly because they see the surgeon as a man by default.

    Many similar cases arise where the colour of the skin is involved.
    ☮ ✌ ♡

  9. Henderson does, indeed, write columns ..opinion columns know, like Amanda Vanstone, Van Badham, Kristina Keneally, David Marr, even Tony Abbott..

    ..none of them are journalists..

  10. Lizzie
    Sunday, July 16, 2017 at 10:59 am

    I think it is a question of ‘who has the power?’


    It’s a complex issue and power is certainly one aspect of it. But I prefer to focus on fairness, a spirit of good will and common decency. Without those things true equality – or as close as you can get to it – will never be attainable.

  11. Markjs

    I think you will find that it has long been the case opinion column writers have been journalists. I know with the quality we have now its easy to forget this.

    See MEAA definitions. My only problem is that the format does not let proper discussion happen.

    We have had panel shows that do in the past. Even now we have one occasionally. QandA when it is doing a special long form on one subject usually off politics is that format.

  12. markjs @ #1132 Sunday, July 16, 2017 at 10:41 am

    Rhetorical Q:
    Why does Insiders never have Paul Bongiorno ..or Greg Jericho ..or Stephen Koukoulas ..or Steven Long ..or Alan Kohler ..or Michael West ..or any of the excellent non-NewsLtd journos writing in Australia?
    Just for know ..BALANCE!!

    The reports that I’ve read suggest that News Ltd journos are on a very high income and are supported by their employer in appearing on various programs.

    Many of the others you mention, and those in the same class, often work freelance or for much smaller organisations and would expend all of their time and energy towards their own income and/or survival of the organisations they work for.

    When you have been freed from the constraints of having to dedicate the entirety of your time and energy towards your own income and/or that of the organisation you represent (i.e. all of the high profile News Ltd journos) then you’ve got a lot more time and energy to devote to to third party appearances in any media outlet that will indulge you and your ideological crusades.

  13. guytaur @ #1153 Sunday, July 16th, 2017 – 10:59 am

    eg A son and father were injured in a car accident. The son is on the operating table. The surgeon says I can’t operate on the son he is my child. Who is the surgeon?

    The answer is obvious but many cannot answer it correctly because they see the surgeon as a man by default.

    Thinking laterally also gives several possible alternatives:

    • The ‘father’ is only a father in the religious sense, and not in the biological sense.
    • The father is indeed someone’s father, and the son is of course someone’s son, but the two people in the car are unrelated to each other.
    • The father obtained that status via adoption, court order, or through marriage to the son’s mother, and the surgeon is the son’s biological parent.
    • As above, but with the surgeon as the legal/step/non-biological parent.
    • Any scenario involving sperm/egg donation or surrogacy, where the surgeon is the donor or the surrogate.

  14. Every day comes with another demonstration of what a malignant and stupid disease the Liberal Party is.

    The entire Qld conference has been an exercise in parading the most idiotic and destructive lunacy.

    And yet Pyne trumps them all with his call for weapons exports.

  15. Not sure we need to start a weapons export facility. Soubds like another taxpayer funded industry competing with other taxpayer funding groups overseas.

  16. I’m in WA and am watching Insiders. The panellists have just been discussing Jordon Steele-John as the (potential) replacement for Ludlam and made several references to his disability. I was really disappointed to hear the numerous references to Steele-John’s disability as if it made any difference to whether or not he was validly elected or whether he would be able to properly fulfil his (potential) role as a Senator.

  17. Ratsak

    Pyne trumps them all with his call for weapons exports.

    And into the effing Middle East and all !! A post politics job application by Mr Fix It ?

  18. And also:

    • The father is the surgeon; he was driving to work for ‘take your son to work day’, and the injuries sustained in the crash were purely superficial. They proceeded to the hospital as planned, and sometime later in the day the son collapsed for unrelated reasons and needed surgery, and was taken to his father as he was the on-duty surgeon at the time.

  19. C@Tmomma
    Sunday, July 16, 2017 at 10:51 am

    C@T…Colliers International is a UK-based agency. I doubt they have anything to do with the local Lib, Peter Collier.

    Collier was born in Kalgoorlie, Western Australia, to Beryl Lillian (née Davies) and Les Collier. He attended Eastern Goldfields Senior High School before going on to the University of Western Australia, where he studied teaching. After graduating, Collier taught at various high schools in the Perth metropolitan area, both public and private. He taught for periods at John Curtin Senior High School (1981–1983), Lesmurdie Senior High School (1985–1986), Presbyterian Ladies’ College (1987–1988), and Scotch College (1990–2005).Outside of his teaching career, Collier was also a professional tennis coach. He spent a season on the WTA Tour in 1989, coaching Jenny Byrne, Jo-Anne Faull, and Dianne Van Rensburg.

    Mitchell Collier seems to be a product of Queensland.

  20. Thanks for that link, Guytaur. I could find no definition of journalism but their code of conduct makes very interesting reading. With WB’s indulgence I print it out in full below:

    The MEAA Journalist Code of Ethics:

    Respect for truth and the public’s right to information are fundamental principles of journalism. Journalists search, disclose, record, question, entertain, comment and remember. They inform citizens and animate democracy. They scrutinise power, but also exercise it, and should be responsible and accountable.

    MEAA members engaged in journalism commit themselves to:

    Respect for the rights of others

    Journalists will educate themselves about ethics and apply the following standards:

    1) Report and interpret honestly, striving for accuracy, fairness and disclosure of all essential facts. Do not suppress relevant available facts, or give distorting emphasis. Do your utmost to give a fair opportunity for reply.

    2) Do not place unnecessary emphasis on personal characteristics, including race, ethnicity, nationality, gender, age, sexual orientation, family relationships, religious belief, or physical or intellectual disability.

    3) Aim to attribute information to its source. Where a source seeks anonymity, do not agree without first considering the source’s motives and any alternative attributable source. Where confidences are accepted, respect them in all circumstances.

    4) Do not allow personal interest, or any belief, commitment, payment, gift or benefit, to undermine your accuracy, fairness or independence.

    5) Disclose conflicts of interest that affect, or could be seen to affect, the accuracy, fairness or independence of your journalism. Do not improperly use a journalistic position for personal gain.

    6) Do not allow advertising or other commercial considerations to undermine accuracy, fairness or independence.

    7) Do your utmost to ensure disclosure of any direct or indirect payment made for interviews, pictures, information or stories.

    8) Use fair, responsible and honest means to obtain material. Identify yourself and your employer before obtaining any interview for publication or broadcast. Never exploit a person’s vulnerability or ignorance of media practice.

    9) Present pictures and sound which are true and accurate. Any manipulation likely to mislead should be disclosed.

    10) Do not plagiarise.

    11)Respect private grief and personal privacy. Journalists have the right to resist compulsion to intrude.

    12)Do your utmost to achieve fair correction of errors.

    Guidance Clause: Basic values often need interpretation and sometimes come into conflict. Ethical journalism requires conscientious decision-making in context. Only substantial advancement of the public interest or risk of substantial harm to people allows any standard to be overridden.

  21. Further to my above, if Steele-John has some form of barrier to full participation as a Senator, then it is the Parliament that needs to adjust in order to allow Mr Steele-John to fully participate in civic life and take up the position to which he was validly elected/appointed. It is intolerable in an advanced country and a democracy that a disability be used as a legitimate reason to deny someone the right to fully participate in civic life.

  22. greensborough growler @ #1149 Sunday, July 16, 2017 at 10:52 am

    zoomster @ #1118 Sunday, July 16th, 2017 – 10:13 am

    It’s interesting that (some) men who claim not to be sexist and say they recognise that sexism exists, don’t seem to be able to recognise a single example of sexism.

    I try not to be sexist. However, I do fall short from time to time. Sometimes we all engage our mouths before thinking. It’s just the way we are wired I suppose.

    Yep I’m guilty here too.

  23. MJS

    Its been a while since I looked. I thought they had defined a journalist. My bad.
    When you read that code of conduct its easy to see so many breaches.

  24. CTar1
    Sunday, July 16, 2017 at 11:05 am

    I don’t comment on WB’s adjucation.

    His blog, His rules.

    I was prompted by B’d response to WB. It goes without saying that WB will do as he sees fit. I’m very relaxed about that. I am less relaxed about the sledging of Confessions that B’d has developed into a fine art. He’s a serial prowler. He bullies. He provokes. He feigns. It could be malice. It could be a call for attention. In every case he insults the intelligence of all the bludgers. This has been going on since June 2012. That’s a long time to be sniping.

  25. Inside LibHQ:

    Truffles: “They keep talking about party disunity & ‘that gentleman’ who keeps undermining me ..what to do?!!..”

    Baldrick: “Send out Pyney to distract them with some rubbish about selling weapons, Sire..”

    Truffles: “BRILLIANT!!..”

  26. Darn

    You might be interested in this article. It’s not exactly similar, but near enough. Jane Caro.

    This urge to protect and venerate is sometimes called benevolent sexism. And while it might be – on one level – kindly meant, it is belittling and controlling.

    When the boxer, who was clearly a nice guy, called Milledge “darl”, he was patronising her. He would not have treated a male magistrate in the same way. He might have called a male magistrate “mate” (though I doubt it) but “mate” is equal to equal, peer to peer and doesn’t assume a false intimacy.

    “Darl”, “love”, “sweetie”, “dear” (I get a lot of that now I’m older) all associate women with love – with the personal – not with public and professional authority.

    These terms of endearment overstep a boundary between the professional and the personal. The boxer meant well. He may even have seen the exchange as respectful, but Milledge knew that it wasn’t and, to her credit, was quick to correct him.

    She didn’t want or need his protection. She wanted and demanded his respect. She was not his darling. She was Your Honour.

  27. Ratsak
    Pyne trumps them all with his call for weapons exports.

    The UK has been an arms supplier to the Gulf States for decades…the same Gulf States that make war on each other, that financed the civil war in Syria, and that finance terrorism and radicalisation in the UK, the EU and this country.

    Pyne by name….puny by nature.

  28. Its a pity that journalist code of conduxt is just the union code of conduct. It would be great to have it legislated into reality that Employers had to abide by too. Not just through award agreements

  29. markjs @ #1188 Sunday, July 16th, 2017 – 12:03 pm

    Inside LibHQ:

    Truffles: “They keep talking about party disunity & ‘that gentleman’ who keeps undermining me ..what to do?!!..”

    Baldrick: “Send out Pyney to distract them with some rubbish about selling weapons, Sire..”

    Truffles: “BRILLIANT!!..”

    They are going to need a bigger distraction if comments by Savva this morning are to be believed regarding a motion on SSM being debated at next week’s NSW Liberal Party meeting.

  30. Thanks for the heads-up from the Sandgropers re the Colliers and their connections to each other (not) and to the Real Estate business (computer says, ‘No’ again).

    However, there appears to be a relation to cane toads 😉

    Mitchell Collier seems to be a product of Queensland.

  31. EPA Victoria, Wyndham Council and the Metropolitan Fire Brigade inspected SKM Recycling’s Laverton North plant on Friday to “hold SKM to account” and assess potential fire hazards and stormwater contamination at the recycling centre in Gilbertson Road.

    Discoveries at the Friday inspection of a “backlog of unsorted waste” at the facility have led the EPA to serve SKM three notices, starting with demands for a temporary sorting line to clear the build-up of waste.

    The company is now required to provide the EPA with details of waste volumes it has accepted, processed and sold at Laverton North, and to verify claims it has made about market demand for sorted recycling materials.

    By submitting your email you are agreeing to Fairfax Media’s terms and conditions and privacy policy .

    The EPA has also demanded safety measures be installed to protect stormwater from runoff from unwashed rubbish.

  32. Lizzie:

    I use “love” mostly when Im riling a friend but its mostly sending up the term and its associations. However I deal with a lot of older blokes who use those those words as terms of endearment or generally out of respect. Its not intended as sexism or misogyny. Granted ive also dealt with those exact same people who use it shut up women. Generally speaking Id imagine its not always intended as a slight or a put down.

  33. ‘Generally speaking Id imagine its not always intended as a slight or a put down.’

    Of course not – as the (satirical) article posted here the other day pointed out, it’s common parlance.

    Calling negroes ‘boy’ was also not intended as a slight or a put down. But it was. The fact that is was unthinking didn’t lessen the impact.

    Most sexism/racism is unthinking and unintended, because it’s cultural. (You’re a good person. You wouldn’t offend anyone. You’re just using the language you’ve been brought up to use, without reflecting on its implications).

    I have a tendency to call women ‘girls’. I don’t intend it as a slight or a put down, it’s just the way I’ve been brought up to refer to women. But it is still a slight and a putdown (and I try very hard to avoid using it!)

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