Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings bounce back from recent lows, amid an otherwise stable set of readings from Newspoll.

Via James J, tomorrow’s Australian brings us another result showing Labor leading 53-47 on two-party preferred, from primary votes of Coalition 38% (down one), Labor 38% (steady) and Greens 10% (steady). For some reason, Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings have recorded an uptick, with approval up four to 34% and disapproval down four to 54%, but lead as preferred prime minister is unchanged, shifting from 42-32 to 43-33. Bill Shorten’s ratings are unchanged at 36% approval and 51% disapproval. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1846.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,599 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

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  1. Really Kezza REALLY?
    Can William please point out to you that my account has ZERO connection to Bob aka John. I believe, as I run my own forum, [i will not spam it here] that the IP of my account/posts above and that of the afforementioned WILL NOT REMOTELY MATCH – unless of course Bob/John lives next door to me in ALICE SPRINGS FFS.
    OK, back to lurking modey.

  2. I understand your anger at him, Kezza, and I was pissed off at the time, both for you,and for PBers in general.
    But we are human, Kezza. We are all human.

  3. Kezza2,
    Why is everyone reacting to a John Smith?

    Because, in case you haven’t figured it out, ‘John Smith’ IS ‘Bob McBob’ and he has used the John Smith name, somehow, to get around his ban and come back to PB to apologise for his behaviour.

    Are you upset because you excused his behaviour and now he has come back and apologised for it, or something?

  4. Good evening all,

    Turnbull has promised that SA will get its full allocation during a discussion with the SA premier today.

    The trouble is Joyce has over the last few days directly and indirectly made different promises to farmers higher up the Murray and both the Victorian and NSW governments.

    What Joyce does now will be interesting. Does he now go back on his implied promises and risk the certain wrath of national voters, his party room and state governments or does he stand up to Turnbull and stick to his word.

    Rock and a hard place for both Turnbull and Joyce especially with One nation breathing down the necks of the two.


  5. Fulvio

    I don’t think I would have had the courage to make such an apology.

    But who’s actually making this apology.

    Some guy, John Smith, claims to have never commented, and never will again, and is suddenly backed up by a John Boy, who claims to be a lurker and also never commented, and you’re all lapping it up as if , I don’t know what, maybe the old stand-by, “there but the grace of god, go I,” bullshit.

    Get a grip, fellow travellers

  6. Turnbull is going to ensure there is no socio-economic impact from removing another 450 gigalitres by giving Barney a big bag of money to spend on the Murray Darling.

  7. “there but for the grace of god go I”
    There is more than a grain of truth in that.
    I post under my own name to resist the temptation.

  8. John Smith
    Thank you for your honesty and best wishes with your illness. I have had experience of a family member with a mental illness, so I really do sympathise. That being said, from experience, in those circumstances, anything you can do to keep away from alcohol will help you live a longer and happier life.

  9. Anton,

    Turnbull nay well hand out the cash but it will interesting to see how the up river irrigators respond.

    If it was only about extra cash I am sure Joyce would have handed it out already. However, this about a lot more. Water is gold to the farmers and promises, implied or not, have been made that the extra water will not be flowing to SA.

    Anyway, we shall see how it unfolds.


  10. Obviously Turnbull is going to wave his magic wand, say “abracadabra” and it will rain for 40 days and 40 nights over the MDB so everyone will have more than enough water.

  11. FFS, I was never angry with Bob McBob. And I said so.

    And now I’m supposed to be psychic that this John Smith is Bob McBob.

    It’s quite obvious I didn’t know who John Smith was. So I cop fire from Bushfire and Catmomma, like YOU’RE the sentries of good behaviour. Pffffffffft.

    So, anyway, Bob McBob, aka John Smith, as I said, you were right in your assessment of me, some of the time, but I’m not like that all the time.

    But, you know and I know you weren’t apologising to me, or you would have said so; you were apologising for a pretty crass thing you said, that others thought may or may not be, just run of the mill stuff between partners.

    So, if it’s you, I realise you have to hide behind a pseudonym, because you’ve been banned, but that’s it as far as I’m concerned.

    So, welcome back, John Smith.

  12. While our federal “government” may have all but given up on the very necessary task of trying to raise tax revenue, kudos to two state ministers who have not given up the fight.

    First NSW Planning Minister had the courage to point out the elephant in the room, negative gearing must be reined in, even if federal Liberals shut him down within minutes.

    Second, SA treasurer Tom Koutsantonis quite rightly asks why can’t we tax the gambling industry? It is a high harm, low employment industry that does nothing but exploit people. They will allege that taxes will only make them move elsewhere, but Tom’s idea defeats that. SA needs the money, and this is a socially beneficial way of getting it. Good idea Tom!

  13. Thanks C@t I’m going nowhere, but back to lurking.
    I was active under another psudenoym when Captain Phoney was at the helm, and up until he was rolled.
    Love this place – BK’s efforts and others when he nips off for a respite are what gets me going each morning.
    The true state of the Polls is shown here with Williams efforst and backed up by Kevins on his blog.
    I also enjoy the argy bargy.. mostly, on slow news days

  14. Quickly add, The Crikey Gerbils make for some frustrating times for lurkers and hence this account created – almost impossible to use/navigate this place when not logged in.

  15. Catmomma

    Yeah, I didn’t know John Smith was Bob McBob.

    Are you upset because you excused his behaviour and now he has come back and apologised for it, or something?

    I didn’t excuse his behaviour, at all. I just didn’t get upset with the way he spoke about me.

    So, when I finally made my way back here today, why should I think that some John Smith character who is apologising for some nebulous wrongdoings, is the same Bob McBob who had a rant the other night?

    To me, this John Smith was an interloper, if not a hacker, who posted a heartfelt apology.

    But why should I, or you, think that it was really Bob McBob?

  16. it will rain for 40 days and 40 nights over the MDB

    Something like that happened earlier in Spring, there’s plenty of water for the time being but who knows for how long. It was caused by a weather pattern involving frequent inland troughs, persistent Westerlies and cold fronts. I don’t thinked Malcolm waved a magic wand. If he has one it probably doesn’t work.

  17. John Smith

    as C@ said, many of us here have battled demons – or watched loved ones battle them.

    (I’ve been the heavy opiate path myself!)

    Appreciate the apology and the self awareness. Life is about making mistakes and learning from them.

    Don’t feel you have to be a stranger.

  18. Anyway, I’m going to listen to my new (old) Ry Cooder CD, ‘Borderline’, I think I need some laid back music to lay back to. : )

  19. Poroti,
    Mazzy Star are good. As are The Cowboy Junkies. : )

    I could go on and on but suffice to say that another CD I picked up from the garage sale last weekend was, ‘The Classic Aaron Neville, My Greatest Gift’. I saw him and Dr John at the NSW State Theatre last year. A real privilege.

  20. I don’t thinked Malcolm waved a magic wand. If he has one it probably doesn’t work.

    Like that ‘Cloud Seeding’ mate of Malcolm’s who made off like a bandit with $10 Million of Taxpayers’ hard-earned. Couldn’t make it rain.

  21. C@

    I hated oxycontin. Couldn’t get off it fast enough (and to think my doc was worried I’d get addicted…). I hated endone even more.

  22. Anyone else notice how Brandis shut down debate about his corrupt practices by saying, ‘The government doesn’t discuss litigation it was involved in”. !!!

    A quick-witted journalist should have said, “Mate, we’re not asking about the case per se, just about the way you dealt with it! And that should be a matter of public debate!”

    George Brandis has done this sort of thing before. Used the law as a shield against accountability.

    The man is corrupt. He should do the honourable thing and go.

    But he won’t because he is the human embodiment of a Queensland Cane Toad. Virtually unkillable.

  23. Zoom

    Who made you god?

    And why should I encourage John Boy to post? Are you getting a kickback?

    It was a simple request.

    You seem to have stymied that, What interest do you have? Why would you want to shut-down a discussion. Does John Boy have a family connection? Is he a relative? An illegal immigrant?

  24. C@Tmomma
    Truffles was an investment bankster so say no more. His first money making ventures were as a Sydney property speculator, say no more. So no surprise about the magic Русский rainmaker scam

    The Australian Rain Corporation presented research documents that were written in Russian, explained by a Russian researcher who spoke to a panel of Australian physicists, in Russian, without a translator. They learned nothing.

    Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull was Minister for the Environment in the Coalition Government of John Howard in 2007, he paid Eleven Million Dollars of taxpayer’s money for a trial of wire pyramids, that he claimed, would make rain from clear skies

  25. Who made you god?

    One could ask the same of you, kezza – you were the one demanding that someone answer your question.

    This is a site where people can be anonymous if they want to. There’s no earthly reason to demand that someone tell you who they are.

  26. As 1 Corinthians 8:6 says 😉

    But to us there is but one God, the Father, of whom are all things, and we in him; and one Lord William Bowe, by whom are all things, and we by him.

  27. Poroti,
    Thing is, Turnbull’s silky forked tongue had no one kicking up a stink about it. It was like, ‘Well, we are in drought, and Malcolm Turnbull wouldn’t lie to us. So fair enough, take the money my man!’

    No wonder it’s taken so long for the scales to fall off people’s eyes about that man, he inherited his aunt, Angela Lansbury’s acting genes! He reminds me of a Malevolent George Clooney. He thinks he just has to flash that million watt smile and people’s resistance to whatever it is that he’s pushing will just evaporate. Though it’s getting harder to get away with it now, as the picture of Dorian Turnbull catches up to him and makes that person less convincing by the day.

  28. Quick reply?? because I sat down 25 minutes prior to Johnbobs appology and logged in. By the time I’d caught up his post was there.
    I posted to him because, as many here have attested, his problem is FAR FROM an isolated one and most families will have known a relative with issues that impact negatively – including mine.
    Then BAM a minute later I refresh page and see your verbal spit at me for saying ‘respect’ FFS.
    As for Reveal myself? plueeease. I live in The Alice that’s all you’ll get.
    Zoom has saved me replying as I’d like.

    off topic, here’s one for Bemused.
    I had a lovely plate of BBQ chicken wings as I watched the cricket, on my couch, under a ceiling fan. 😉
    Cheers folks.

  29. Good evening all,

    Turnbull must have walked under a few ladders lately. His luck is just not in.
    It now seems a number of senior republicans are not happy at all with the AS agreement between Turnbull and Obama.

    They are asking serious questions and are not happy at all about the lack of transparency.

    Malcolm is in for a big few days but I am sure he will soar like a eagle !


  30. C@Tmomma

    Thing is, Turnbull’s silky forked tongue </blockquote.
    Thing is where the kfluk Truffles got the "silver tongue" meme. Maybe it is just me but his ( cough) oratory has always sounded like rambling waffling.

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