Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings bounce back from recent lows, amid an otherwise stable set of readings from Newspoll.

Via James J, tomorrow’s Australian brings us another result showing Labor leading 53-47 on two-party preferred, from primary votes of Coalition 38% (down one), Labor 38% (steady) and Greens 10% (steady). For some reason, Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings have recorded an uptick, with approval up four to 34% and disapproval down four to 54%, but lead as preferred prime minister is unchanged, shifting from 42-32 to 43-33. Bill Shorten’s ratings are unchanged at 36% approval and 51% disapproval. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1846.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,599 thoughts on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

  1. Fulvio
    You can log in? Loooxury. I have to translate my words into Gerbil code and hand deliver them to Crikey the day before I write them.

  2. Now that I can finally post again, I think I might have some problem similar to that BK was having? I could post but it would never appear. Then when I tried to post it again I would get an error message saying I had already posted that.

  3. R
    Strictly speaking, Labor is ahead of the Liberals on primary vote. The Nats make up the difference so the Coalition and Labor primary votes are level pegging.

  4. Dan Gulberry
    Thanks Dan ,I could see that but the actual tweet was today as I pointed out, I can’t be bothered arguing anymore witb bemused

  5. C@tmomma
    Monday, November 21, 2016 at 7:46 pm

    Here’s Rod Culleton’s Submission to the High Court in it’s entirety. It truly is weird

    How bizarre.

  6. Looks like the X Senators and the Headline have been snowed by one of the oldest tricks in the book – the promise of a “process” to extend strong whistleblower protections to the corporate and government sectors.

    On the other hand, who would be truly fooled by such transparent dishonesty? They must have been bought off somehow.

  7. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll/newspoll-another-labor-win-as-turnbull-loses-his-economic-touch/news-story/c587b4df4a3f655feb96eeecffa3a0a2

    Newspoll: Another Labor win as Turnbull loses his economic touch
    The Australian 10:30PM November 21, 2016
    Phillip Hudson Bureau Chief Canberra

    Confidence in Malcolm Turnbull as the best leader to manage the economy has dropped below 50 per cent for the first time since he became Prime Minister, as Labor chalks up its fifth consecutive Newspoll lead over the Coalition.

    …………..

    As Mr Turnbull returns to Canberra today after a three-day trip to Peru to attend the Asia-Pacific Economic Co-operation leaders summit, Newspoll shows 48 per cent of voters believe he is more capable of handling the economy compared with 32 per cent who nominate Bill Shorten as best.

    This represents a seven-point fall for Mr Turnbull from mid-May when the question was last asked and 55 per cent of voters said he was best to manage the economy in the wake of the first budget under his leadership. Since the start of the year, Mr Turnbull’s rating as most capable to handle the economy has tumbled by 10 points.

    Support for Mr Shorten as best to handle the economy is up three points from May and has jumped 12 points since March as he has more than halved the Prime Minister’s lead from 34 points to 16 points as the better economic manager.

  8. Even if the ABCC and the RO bill gets through it wont win any votes with the public.The MSM will laud it as a great victory for Captain Disappointment etc etc, but it wont budge the polls.

  9. Briefly, it’s not all that unusual.
    Many of the Looney Right argue Magna Carta, habeas corpus, the Zionist Conspiracy, New World Order, the Old Testament and the Freemasons just to get out of parking tickets.
    Just log on to Austlii and search Magna Carta for examples

  10. Confidence in Malcolm Turnbull as the best leader to manage the economy has dropped below 50 per cent for the first time since he became Prime Minister

    Morrison was never going to cut it as treasurer.

  11. leroy lynch @ #19 Monday, November 21, 2016 at 10:31 pm

    The Newspoll interactive chart thingy has now been updated with the new 53-47 result
    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll
    Check it out, its not paywalled

    Since September 2015, the coalition primary vote has declined from 44% to 38%, Labor is up from 35% to 38%, the Greens are down from 11% to 10% and “Others” have gone from 10% to 14%. Interesting that Greens+Others is only up a net 3%, so hardly a headlong rush to the minor parties – more like a bit of a drift. Labor may have a challenge, but the coalition looks pretty stuffed, with the total “hard left” vote (Labor + Greens) now at 48% it only needs a few of those “Others” to send their preferences Labor’s way. And the only way the coalition can go is down if they keep up the current performance.

  12. That economic leadership figure is significant.
    Labor does best when it dominates the economic narrative, this has been the case for a while and is now reflected in Newspoll.
    A second 53-47 poll is also significant.
    I agree if the ABCC leglislation passes I don’t think it will move the polls.
    The government mak think it should be rewarded for simply doing it’s job.

  13. cupidstunt @ #55 Monday, November 21, 2016 at 10:44 pm

    Even if the ABCC and the RO bill gets through it wont win any votes with the public.The MSM will laud it as a great victory for Captain Disappointment etc etc, but it wont budge the polls.

    I doubt if it will hurt the unions much, apart from imposing extra compliance cost with reporting and so on. I suspect that there isn’t much rotting going on in the unions anyway, and if there is, there’s a whole industry out there they can hire to fudge the figures (the same ones that the corporate sector has used for ages to fool the ATO and ASIC).

  14. Of course ABCC will not move the polls.

    It will prove a strong motivating force for the Union movement in the lead up to the next federal election.

    In the end it will be a millstone around the LNP neck.

  15. Previous post related to the RO Bill – I think the ABCC Bill would be quite harmful but I suspect it won’t get nearly as easy a passage.

  16. Abetz getting a good pizzling from all sides, including the audience.

    Yes, Eric has really been sat back on his haunches by Naakiah Lui and Benjamin Law. Terri Butler has been more of a perfumed steamroller.

    Greg Sheridan even got a bolloxing from Lui for Mansplaining. : )

    An entertaining Qanda. Until they started on 18C.

  17. Captain D was pissed off when he found out the CFMEU had negotiated a 20% pay rise for its members. He probably thinks that CEOs only deserve that type of pay rise.

  18. Terri Butler wouldn’t have looked out of place with a schooner in hand.

    She just let two quite brilliant young figures dominate the arguments of the night. Seeing no reason to heavily involve herself. Seems to be a reflection of the modern Shorten Labor approach.

    Sheridan knew he was copping a hiding, that is why he was itching for a fight with Butler towards the end. Smartly, she didn’t take the bait.

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