There’s been a fair bit of polling in the past week, from Newspoll, ReachTEL and Essential Research on voting intention, plus a leadership ratings phone poll from Morgan. Pretty much all of it has been good news for the Coalition, and especially for Malcolm Turnbull. The BludgerTrack poll aggregate accordingly finds the Coalition lead picking up yet further, by 0.9% on two-party preferred and four on the national seat projection, which includes two from Queensland and one each from Victoria and Western Australia. However, this is small beer compared with the movement on leadership ratings, with Turnbull recording roughly double-digit improvements in his already commanding position on both net approval and preferred prime minister – a result of very strong numbers from Newspoll, and positively spectacular ones from Roy Morgan.
Other news:
• Two state by-elections will be held on Saturday in Victoria, which you can read about here, and December 5 has been set for the federal by-election to replace Joe Hockey in North Sydney, which you can read about here. All are Liberal seats that stand to be uncontested by Labor.
• Calla Wahlquist of The Guardian reports three candidates have come forward for Labor preselection in the newly created seat of Burt in Perth’s south-eastern suburbs, which as conceived in the recent draft redistribution has a notional Liberal margin of 4.8%. The presumed front-runner is Matt Keogh, the Right-backed lawyer who ran unsuccessfully at the Canning by-election on September 18. However, he will face opposition from Gosnells councillor Pierre Yang – who will have the backing of the Left, according to a report from Joe Spagnolo of the Sunday Times – and Lisa Griffiths, a medical scientist at Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital who ran in the nearby seat of Darling Range at the 2008 state election.
• A Nationals preselection to choose a successor to Bruce Scott in the safe pastoral Queensland seat of Maranoa has been won by David Littleproud, manager of a Suncorp bank branch in Warwick and the son of Brian Littleproud, a Nationals member of state parliament from 1983 to 2001. Other candidates were Cameron O’Neil, a Maranoa councillor who works for the Queensland Disaster Management Committee, and had been spoken of as Littleproud’s strongest rival; Lachlan Douglas, southern Queensland regional manager for Rabobank; Alison Krieg, a grazier from Blackall; and Rick Gurnett, a grazier from Charleville.
• The ABC reports candidates for Liberal Senate preselection in Tasmania include Jonathan Duniam, chief-of-staff to Premier Will Hodgman, and Sally Chandler, an employee of the Tasmanian Chamber of Commerce and Industry. They will compete for positions with the number one and number two candidates from 2010, Eric Abetz and Stephen Parry.
• Adam Carr at Psephos now has complete historical state election results for Victoria on his site, going back to the very first elections for positions on the Legislative Council in 1843. As a resource for electorate-level results extending deep into the mists of history, it joins David Barry’s highly sophisticated federal election results site; the complete historical New South Wales state election results archive developed by Antony Green and maintained by the state parliament website; Tasmanian historical results back to 1909 on the state parliament website; and electorate-level results for Queensland going back to 1932 on Wikipedia. However, things are very barren in the case of Western Australia and South Australia, for which the best thing is Psephos’s electorate results going back to the mid-1990s. UPDATE: Kirsdarke in comments notes the Wikipedia oompa-loompas have also worked their way back to 1956 in Western Australia and 1950 in South Australia, without me having noticed.
WWP
You have been saying it quite visibly over the last couple of days. Previous comments appear to have gone relatively unnoticed.
I know they have by me before these last couple of days.
This Government’s attacks on Industry Super simply confirms the Libs’ longstanding opposition to the entire concept of compulsory superannuation.
Howard/Costello knew it was too popular to wind back so instead they converted into from a pension-replacement scheme to a high-income tax haven.
The current government is doing its best to ensure it remains a huge money-spinner for the private wealth management industry.
Two ways for them to make the best of what they regard as a bad policy.
Crank:
[The CPRS/ETS/CO2 tax were designed to reduce economic activity in order to reduce CO2 output.]
Dishonest dribble.
The so-called carbon-tax was a tax on pollution and had almost no measurable effect on economic activity over the approximately two years it was in operation. It did have a large measurable effect on emissions so your statement is proven nonsense.
kakuru @2038 – Fraser/Howard 75-83 (Howard treasurer 77 onwards)
Um….
That’s like over 30 years ago – exactly how are we still recovering? You still upset about 11/11/75?
I do not consider it is called being a the Disability Support Pension a ‘burden’. As an Australian, it is something I am proud of, and am happy to fund through taxation.
It is called ‘being a civilised society.’
Well Said Puff
guytaur
[ Metadata retention is law. That is legislation. Entirely relevant. I do not see how you view it as irrelevant. ]
Yes, it is legislation. So what? It is legislation that makes no significant difference to the situation as it existed prior to the legislation.
The legislation makes no difference to your privacy, other than (as zoomster has pointed out) perhaps improving it slightly.
You are getting hung up on irrelevancies and missing the main point (the part in italics in the first paragraph) – presumably, because you lost that argument what seems like a hundred posts ago and have nothing more to add.
P1
We are talking about the role of government. Not the role of corporations that get penalties for revealing confidential personal information.
That is why its relevant. Corporations are not and hopefully never will be government.
@P1/2057
How is the metadata retention ‘improved’? when we know nothing has ‘improved’, certainly not the residence of USA.
P1
As for your arguments about privacy trying to pretend the horse has bolted and its too late to shut the door is just more BS.
Government can change its legislation to increase privacy even when no such privacy existed see EU changes to laws to fix its privacy problems after faults found in surveillance legislation,.
zoidy @2039 – to say the ATO has done nothing about it just demonstrates your ignorance on the issues of taxation of international companies – let alone transfer pricing and how it is dealt with. Neither the LNP, ALP or other countries have the silver bullet. A large amount of time and effort both in Australia and internationally is going into improving the domestic and global taxation regimes.
If you want to play point scoring on it – why didn’t the ALP fix it? They had six years and three PM’s.
Crank
Multinationals tax havens is one area I give Hockey credit. He at the minimum paid lip service to the issue but did put it on the G20 agenda.
Its still there. Credit where its due.
zoidlord
[ Qld police want new powers to access cloud-based evidence: Call for modernisation of ten-year-old laws.
http://www.itnews.com.au/news/qld-police-want-new-powers-to-access-cloud-based-evidence-411290?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=itnews_autopost …
There for the argument put forward by P1, is invalid. ]
Thank you for proving my case. The data already exists. It is out there. You have no privacy.
From your article (my bold):
[ Queensland law enforcement agencies are lobbying the state government to change search warrant legislation to make it easier for them to access evidence stored using offsite cloud services. ]
[I know they have by me before these last couple of days.]
Well to summarise for you I have been advocating (i would guess a year it might be longer) to a hostile and disinterested audience here that shorten should:
* go to 12.5% gst (I may have initially been open to base expansion I’m not now)
* remove 50% cgt discount (but don’t bother with negative gearing)
* reform all retirement incomes policy including super to save a fortune
@Cranky/2061
LOL attacking me RE: “ignorance” which shows you have no evidence to back that up with.
Your post is a whole lot of words, with no action.
$8B a year, while they are attacking those on Disability Pension.
You don’t need global help, that is a pathetic excuse.
Delimiter @delimiterau 2m2 minutes ago
Turnbull’s NBN blowout caused by MTM, says Quigley: http://j.mp/1RIm2jT
[2033
Compact Crank
The CPRS/ETS/CO2 tax were designed to reduce economic activity in order to reduce CO2 output.]
This is a complete fabrication. The ETS is designed to change the composition of energy supply, to favour nil-emissions technologies, while still supplying the energy required.
The reason we have to do this is to avert the capital destruction that high CO2 emissions is causing.
Guytaur,
Thank you I consider that to be the only decent response to such a dreadful headline.
Something to ponder
[Zac Spitzer
Zac Spitzer – @zackster
What was the now disowned GST story softening us up for? #auspol ]
zoidlord@2059
It is now better regulated who (at least in Australia) can legally access your metadata. Previously, it seems to have been “anyone who could do so”
guytaur@2060
See my post at 2063
WWP @2043
How much of the GST revenue does the Federal Government get to spend?
All the GST Revenue goes to the States for the States to spend – it is a Tax for the States.
WWP
😆
I see you could not resist another go at your points.
I disagree with you totally.
The GST is very not Labor values. None of the compensation given to the poor lasts. See cuts to social security.
To the LNP its shell game of put a bit of money up front in compensation as sugar to get the GST medicine to go down. Then cut social security later taking away the compensation leaving the poor worse off.
We have seen it here and in the UK. For this reason Labor will oppose quite rightly these speculative efforts to punish the poor.
P1
Wrong. Legislation can be reviewed to put safeguards into place.
Queensland police should be required to get a warrant. Just as they would seeking information in someone’s house.
That minimum of a safeguard not being in the legislation shows why it is of the police state style legislation.
@P1/2070
LOL.
“It is now better regulated who”
Once again, you have given faith to the liberals, especially their track record on personal information (Asylum Seeker data breach for example), and FOI rollback, the attacks on Triggs (Human Rights Commissioner) and so forth.
Sorry, but your posts don’t stack up with all the evidence.
guytaur
[ Wrong. Legislation can be reviewed to put safeguards into place. ]
Who cares? This is a completely different argument than the one you started out with, which you lost comprehensively.
Go have this particular argument with someone else.
Talking about Tax avoidance btw:
http://www.perthnow.com.au/business/companies/ikea-boss-ingvar-kamprad-pays-first-income-tax-in-sweden-since-1973/news-story/68b64fffa9dd3fecdddb0c4dcab56369?nk=ba50cab41ca3189b5138aa954610fbfc-1446435610
P1
Its the same argument. Its called civill liberties and protecting a citizens rights to privacy.
The fact that governments are not corporations and thus your arguments have failed is entirely your own fault for trying to argue that corporations are the same as government and that means we should ignore the government laws when talking about privacy just means you have been pedalling a load of BS.
zoidlord
[ Once again, you have given faith to the liberals, ]
No, actually, I was relying on zoomster for this one.
Is she a liberal?
@ Compact Crank – GST “is a Tax for the States..”
This is a meaningless statement. GST is a Cth tax collected by the Cth and goes into consolidated Commonwealth revenue and rolled into State grants paid according to a formula drawn up by the Commonwealth Grants Commission. Ask WA if it gets to collect and keep GST from WA.
The same could be said about income tax. It is “for the States” in the same way as GST, meaning it is a Cth tax collected by the Cth and distributed in accordance with Cth guidelines.
The same could be said about Company tax… etc.
guytaur
[ The fact that governments are not corporations and thus your arguments have failed is entirely your own fault for trying to argue that corporations are the same as government and that means we should ignore the government laws when talking about privacy just means you have been pedalling a load of BS. ]
I am not responsible for the arguments you appear to be having with the voices inside your head. If you want to respond to the arguments I actually put forward in my posts, I will be happy to continue.
[I see you could not resist another go at your points.
I disagree with you totally.
]
So you support the CGT discount and you are quite happy to waste billions on tax breaks for the very wealthy thereby putting extraordinary downwards pressure in already meager pensions. That I admit comes as quite the surprise to me.
P1
Also on the corporation privacy front the Law Council has recommended a privacy tort to start addressing some of the privacy issues
@P1/2078
Excuses, the legislation is put forward by liberals.
Player One
Yeah rather than admit you are wrong go the personal attack. Try and make out someone concerned about civil liberties is crazy.
Player One
You said legislation was irrelevant. You said privacy was gone already so don’t bother. You said corporations had made this so.
All because you cannot admit you are wrong on this one.
shea @2026 – Here you go petal:
[Issues that protect the rich and line their pockets are ‘off agenda’.
Some examples:
novated car leases – plenty of average teachers, nurses, coppers, ambos and firies all utilise these – what have you got against them?
negative gearing – there is nothing illegal or wrong with claiming a legal tax deduction. plenty of average people have negatively geared investments.
subsidised super – super is not subsidised. It has always been taxed differently to income tax rates because it is not normal income. The claim that their are subsidies is class warfare parsing.
family trusts – are completely legal.
Cayman Islands – nice place to go diving. Most Australians have some exposure to them as investment location through their Superannuation Funds – even Bill Shorten has. What is wring with the Cayman Islands?
ignoring corparate banking and super funds rorting and fraud – nup – you got me here – can’t work out what you are banging on about.
But getting prominent ‘discussion’ are proposals that will cut the incomes and wealth of those who are not rich.
Some examples;
Cutting penalty rates – generally this argument is targeted at the casual workers in retail and hospitality. While at the individual level there would be some initial pain, the net benefit to society through more jobs and increased expenditure should outweigh the individual initial loss. Paying someone $40 an hour to serve a cup of coffee really does seem a bit steep, don’t you think? Nurses, Ambos and Police are not the targets of these potential reforms.
Increasing the regressive GST – and then increasing welfare transfers and giving tax cuts to compensate for the changes – who would of thought they could do that?
increasing education costs … and health – that is a natural process and seeing the lower end of the socioeconomic spectrum generally are covered by free health and education I’m not sure what your beef is.
attacking industry super funds
And now attacking persons with disabilities. – um, no person has been attacked. The system has to be sustainable to ensure we are able to support those that need this safety net.
All in a long term context where the real wage is static to possibly decreasing – a result of the fall in the terms of trade and demand for our resources, poverty and inequality in the ‘lucky country’ are increasing dramatically – um, no they are not , share of income from increased wage productivity going to workers is decreasing… um, no, it’s not – Profit share of GDP has fallen from 29% in Jun 2010 to 26% in Jun 2015. Wages share of GDP has increased from52% to 53.25 in the same period.]
CompactCrank @1949
In fact NZ tax revenue as % of GDP is quite a bit higher than that of Australia
The OECD has a nice tool at:
http://www.oecd.org/newsroom/tax-revenues-continue-to-rise-across-the-oecd.htm
guytaur
[ Try and make out someone concerned about civil liberties is crazy. ]
Another irrelevancy. What is it with you?
TB @2053 The GFC had the largest impact on emission.
WWP
No. I oppose the GST. There are other fairer fund raising methods.
The GST is regressive and compensation is taken back so even that is only a fig leaf to pretend its not the regressive tax it is.
[How much of the GST revenue does the Federal Government get to spend?]
The Federal Government raises every single dollar of GST, and disburses them as it does with other taxes. It is a really stupid lie you are repeating that undermines everything else you say.
P1
Go back and read your post. “Voices in head” is slang for crazy.
[2089
Compact Crank
TB @2053 The GFC had the largest impact on emission.]
Well the ETS did not exist at that time!!
@smh: House prices grind to a halt in October, with even an interest rate cut unlikely to revive momentum, experts say. https://t.co/fe6JKXCme0
guytaur @2090 Um, what compensation is taken back??
[41.WWP
No. I oppose the GST. There are other fairer fund raising methods.
The GST is regressive and compensation is taken back so even that is only a fig leaf to pretend its not the regressive tax it is.
]
So when you said you disagreed totally to all my points you meant you agreed with most of them! I’m off to do some punching!
Crank
See cuts to Social Security. Thats the compensation being taken back.
Anyone on a fixed income is always punished with a regressive tax. This after the person is labelled a leaner
WWP
I totally disagree with you. Your solution is GST. Mine is other fund raising methods like but not just taxing multinationals more so Singapore does not get the tax instead of us.
guytaur
[ Go back and read your post. “Voices in head” is slang for crazy. ]
Well, it’s been fun. Let’s chat again next time you visit our planet.
“@SkyNewsAust: Superannuation tax concessions should be on the agenda before a GST on things like fresh food says @sarahinthesen8”