BludgerTrack: 51.9-48.1 to Coalition

The only new poll this week was a strong result for the Coalition, resulting in a minor shift in their favour on what currently passes for the BludgerTrack poll aggregate.

The BludgerTrack poll aggregate is in a state of flux at the moment, as I’m treating the Liberal leadership change as the starting point for a new series, but don’t yet have enough data points to generate a meaningful trend result. As such, the results shown on the sidebar are simply a weighted average of the six available Turnbull-era poll results, with the one poll result this week (from Essential Research, which was a bad one for Labor) having no more bearing on the total than last week’s. It’s still been enough to knock the Coalition’s two-party reading up 0.4%, and to credit them with gains on the seat projection from New South Wales, Victoria and Queensland. I’ve also neglected to update the graphs since last week, and there wasn’t anything new this week in the way of leadership ratings.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,171 comments on “BludgerTrack: 51.9-48.1 to Coalition”

Comments Page 41 of 44
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  3. [Bridget O’Flynn
    Bridget O’Flynn – ‏@BridgetOFlynn

    Just watched Turnbull’s presser. Excruciating.
    Whoever says he’s a great communicator has rocks in their head.
    6:36 PM – 4 Oct 2015
    4 RETWEETS2 FAVORITES]

  6. Jesus wept, I have seen this, and recently:

    [I was once told by the HR manager for a large company that they specifically did NOT recruit HR staff who “liked” people or had good “people skills”.

    This is because the major work for any HR department is not to hire people – everyone uses recruitment agencies for that these days – it is to fire people as and when required with the minimal amount of fuss and bother (by which they really mean cost to the company).

    Any HR person who becomes too sympathetic to the staff is quietly moved on. ]

    Especially the “quietly moved on” bit.

    Hr people need to be able to look into an employee’s eye and say black is white.

    HR can stuff up, HR can delay and obfuscate for months, even years, HR can break all their promises, abandon their processes, intimidate, bully and harass, but just let the poor sod of an employee take one step off the beaten path, or even look they might, or even once complain the path leads nowhere, and they’ll be crucified.

    1st Rule of HR: you have to be a psychopath.

    2nd Rule of HR: It helps to be total hypocrite, especially when it comes to “empowering”, “celebrating” and “educating” staff.

    3rd Rule of HR: whatever mistakes you accuse the employee of doing, yours will be three times as bad, your grammar will be at primary school level and your spelling would embarrass a dyslexic echidna.

    4th Rule of HR: You are always scrupulously fair and impartial (because it says so in your policy document).

    5th Rule of HR: You are never, ever wrong.

  9. 3rd Rule of HR: whatever mistakes you accuse the employee of doing, yours will be three times as bad, your grammar will be at primary school level and your spelling would embarrass a dyslexic echidna.

    ———————————————————-

    Before anyone gets any ideas, I have never worked in H.R 🙂

  11. Erasmus

    That was a shocking read. Thank you for posting. I wonder how many pollies who help to impose these harsh conditions have a clue about the results of their decisions. These extra tortures have nothing to do with “stopping the boats”, just cruel punishment for daring to choose Australia.

    These developments have to be sheeted home to the Abbott government, which has alienated so much of our society. How much future mental illness will we have to cope with because of these treatments – another example of Abbott costing us money.

  12. The 15 Year old Islamic terrorist that murdered the police officer has a sister who is on the run from authorities.

    Apparently she left the country shortly after the terrorist attack and is headed to the middle east… probably to join ISIS. This is a failure of our border security staff to allow terrorist family members to leave the country.

  13. l@1petermartin: RT @DrRimmer: The political reality is that the US #biologics #TPP proposal would not be implemented by the Australian Senate. #auspol

  14. TBA

    At it again I see. How good of you to have psychic gifts to share what the AFP do not know and the rest of us have even less idea.

  16. TrueBlueAussie@2012

    The 15 Year old Islamic terrorist that murdered the police officer has a sister who is on the run from authorities.

    Apparently she left the country shortly after the terrorist attack and is headed to the middle east… probably to join ISIS. This is a failure of our border security staff to allow terrorist family members to leave the country.

    Yeah, Border Farce and all the ranting about ‘Death Cults’ is a big fail.

    Time to try something sensible and more effective.

  18. TotalBlitheringArsehat

    [ This is a failure of our border security staff to allow terrorist family members to leave the country. ]

    You are an utter moron. She left BEFORE her brother became a so-called “terrorist”.

  19. TBA

    Apart from your other mistakes, the identity of the dead youngster took some time to be established, which probably left the sister time to flee.

  20. Bushfire

    One for the HR tales.

    The place I worked was a medium sized outfit that was seen as a stepping stone for ambitious HR types so we had a few pass through.

    One year our enterprise bargaining talks disintegrated into chaos thanks to a very antagonistic HR manager. When he was removed from the talks ( along without union rep to be fair) it was sorted out smartly.

    My son had this chat with a mate

    So your dad works at such and such? Yep.

    My brother is the HR manager there, he is a ….

    I related that tale at work, nobody disagreed with the brother’s assessment.

    The HR man moved on soon after.

  23. mexicanbeemer@1988

    Except the workplace agreement is administrated by H.R or its suppose to be. You could argue that its a finance function.

    There is a big difference between writing a contract of employment processing payroll. I’ll explain as most people have never been involved past the signing of the contract.

    Once the contract of employment has been signed, there is background interpretation of the costs associated with the contract: paid absences, superannuation, payroll tax, workers compensation etc. All of these run though clearing accounts.

    Many businesses also have job costing, this involves processing the entire cost of employment (usually expressed per hour) from a salary clearing account to a cost centre or a job. In some organisations this process drives some or all of their revenue recognition.

    The impact of incompetence in this process is enormous and devastating.

  24. “@SkyNewsAust: #BREAKING: Nauru’s government says all asylum seekers are now free to move around the island at will under a new ‘open centre’ policy.”

    Does this mean media access for AS? Oops could be bad for LNP.

  25. So Turncoat continues to sell our country to the USA:

    ABC Business ‏@ABCBusinessNews 2m2 minutes ago

    #TPP : ’50/50′ chance of trade deal today as negotiators lock horns over medical patent protection http://ab.co/1Oe2N1P

  27. [“You are an utter moron. She left BEFORE her brother became a so-called “terrorist”.”]

    Yes apparently she left on the Thursday and the nutjob did his shooting on the Friday.

    But it’s still a failure.

    Hopefully she got picked up in Turkey where she was apparantly flying into.

  32. Rex.

    It is an improvement. The AS will still be in danger of being attacked by the locals as we have seen reports of.

    However that danger they can at least run away from unlike being locked in a cage with the guards and other detainees doing the attacking.

  34. [“Does this mean media access for AS? Oops could be bad for LNP.”]

    I fully support media access to Nauru.

    The left have been constantly spreading mis-truths about it trying to make out it is a deserted, bare, lifeless island full of rapists.

    The truth is it’s a tropical island with lush vegetation and has 9000 locals who live there peacefully and harmoniously.

    The claims of rape, torture or sexual abuse are unproven speculative here say that has never been tested in a court of law, only by trial by Sarah TwoNames and The Guardian. Those making the claims have never written their claims down in a statutory declaration to police because they are liars… and making false allegations to the police is a criminal offence even in Nauru.

    So please.. let the cameras go. Let the truth be known. Just to get you started, here is a trip someone posted driving around the island.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cXXwMwpHrBQ

    The lies must stop. The left don’t want any solution other than Australian Solution to the boatpeople problem.

  38. “@abcnews: #BREAKING Nauru’s government says it will process all remaining refugee claims “within the next week”.”

  40. [John Setka ‏@CFMEUJohnSetka · 8m8 minutes ago
    PM Turnbull ; “There will not be a military solution in Syria.” Then why the F&@K are we bombing them?? #auspol]

  42. [“Can you leave your religion out of PB, your boring us to hell.”]

    I don’t have a religion, get off the drugs mate.

    Nauru is a UNHCR Refugee Signatory nation. If the illegals don’t want to live there they have 2 options… go home, or go to Cambodia.

    If those 3 Options aren’t up to their standards, tough shit.

    Jumping on a boat doesn’t give you insta-rights to become an Australian, it just doesn’t. They are no more important than someone waiting patiently in a real refugee camp, in fact they are less so.

  44. @TBA/2042

    Yes UNCHR Refugee but it is our responsibility as part of “Refugee Signatory nation”.

    Piss off TBA.

    If you don’t have any responsibility you should piss off to Cambodia as you don’t care about your own health or those of others.

    Time to piss off the island.

  46. [“@JulianBurnside: Refugee boy attacked by Nauruan gang asks ‘what kind of people are these?’ – http://t.co/jnwpsYZ5BL“]

    Laughable. Another unproven allegation… AND I notice not a scratch or mark on his face.

    A grazed knee and hand.. sort of like.. uno.. someone.. falling off… a bike perhaps?

    Do the left ever THINK??!

  47. Did anyone see/hear Shorten on penalty rates before noon/ He’s copping a lot of flak on Twitter about having a ‘tin ear’.

  48. Remember all those other people you see in the news who are beaten up and they have no marks on their faces but their knees are grazed and they have gravel rash on their hands?

    This is the amount of lying the left are now going to

  49. The secrecy is unravelling. We will soon know what has happened as AS will get access to media. Witnesses to people smugglers being paid by Australian officials could be on Nauru.

    Same is happening in PNG but at a slower pace.

Comments Page 41 of 44
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