BludgerTrack: 51.5-48.5 to Labor

A reasonably good result for the Coalition in a Queensland-only poll from Galaxy makes the only difference worth mentioning to the BludgerTrack poll aggregate.

The only new national federal poll this week was the usual entry from Essential Research, and as you may have guessed, it’s done next to nothing to alter the reading on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate. However, we did get a federal poll of Queensland only for Galaxy, which gave the Coalition an above-par result in the most sensitive state in terms of marginal seats. That’s lifted them a notch on the seat tally, making an incremental contribution to the wearing away of Labor’s lead. Nothing new on leadership ratings this week, so that’s your lot.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,748 comments on “BludgerTrack: 51.5-48.5 to Labor”

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  3. 2597

    Presumably he has renounced his NZ Citizenship because of the ban on dual Citizenship for Commonwealth parliamentarians.

  4. Victoria @ 2582

    That was a brilliant interview. Dutton basically said that he would only answer the questions that he could answer with pre-prepared Labor-bashing answers. I find it unbelievable that the press continue to allow themselves to be treated like the hired help (although maybe because most of them are the hired help).

  11. [2605
    poroti

    briefly

    Curse those heathen proselytisers]

    There is a fairly strong positive correlation between religious affiliation and social deprivation. The way to cure the population of religion is to achieve greater affluence….or, conversely, the way to drive them to religion is first to impoverish them…

  12. [Curse those heathen proselytisers]

    Heathenism will only be a true religion when you work it as a tax dodge.

  14. Is this why the Greens are soft on Abbott’s dual citizenship?

    (Tin foil hat folded and placed back on pantry shelf)

  18. [KEVIN-ONE-SEVEN

    Posted Monday, June 1, 2015 at 8:09 pm | Permalink

    BOERWAR – Nobody beats you when it comes to literalness]

    Bluey thanks you. He was tickled pink with your compliment.

    I was defending the doughty Dutch against what is a somewhat unfortunate sometime Australian habit of claiming those they want from other countries, and trying to duck shove those who are not.

    Bolt is an Australian. It is certainly true that he derives some of his persona from Holland. But then again, he derives some of his persona from being born, growing up in, living, and working in Australia.

    There were certainly elements of Afrikaaner culture that had strong links to the Dutch culture.

    One of the Dutch National Parks still has a huge column with a statue of de Wet on the top. This is hardly surprising because the Dutch were mostly on the side of the Boers in the Boer War.

    But, equally, Holland has been one of the more socially liberal nations in the world for quite some time.

    These two strands of Dutch culture/society/polity are coming closer in response to Islamophobia.

  21. briefly

    In my link there is also a measure of social deprivation for each area. Definitely backs up your assertion.

  22. Bemused & Ratsak@2565: Anything but pork bacon is ‘fakon’. I spent 10 years in the Middle East avoiding vile beef bacon at all costs, though turkey bacon serves as a meagre substitute for the real thing. Fortunately, if you know where to look, there were places to get all sorts of pig-related products (in fact, my local supermarket in Abu Dhabi had a discreet door beyond which was a veritable pork wonderland; behind another was booze heaven…)

  23. v

    Yep. I am putting my reputation on the line. When do you think there will be a spill?

    ‘The Australian’ is full of the Cabinet leaks today.

    She’s on.

  24. 2621
    poroti

    Yes, I was reading them together. It’s a fascinating picture, considering the Dominion was basically founded by missionaries.

  26. [There is a fairly strong positive correlation between religious affiliation and social deprivation.]

    Yes, you can see that from that wonderful interactive map poroti linked to.

  27. Boerwar

    As per the ABC series to be shown on 9th June re the Rudd/Gillard years, it is titled
    “The Killing Season”. Gillard became PM around 24 June and Rudd reclaimed leadership around same time three years later. Therefore it does stand to reason that 24 June fits in quite nicely for Abbott to be dumped. 😀

  28. [If it is not from the Ghost who votes, its just someone trying to spook us.]

    JamesJ is pretty reliable from memory.

  30. Fantastic picture GG

    From memory David White another minister from the Cain/Kirner years played bass or lead guitar from that spot… Apparently he is quite the ax man!

  31. v

    I picked it because it is the second last day before the end of the current Sittings.

    If they don’t knock him off then they will have to wait until the end of August before everyone returns to the ACT.

  34. Steven,

    I posted the video a little earlier with David White.

    I remember watching the actual original on the ABC. It was an early production by the team from Working Dog.

  39. Listened to Radio National recently with the presenter interviewing an English gent who described as an ‘expert’ on climate change who was a denier. His parting question was do you think that this period of time will be remembered as a time when people believed the wrong thing ie climate change. If people actually still argue that the ABC is left leaning this sort of crap highlights it actually the opposite.

  41. [2636
    confessions

    victoria:

    I’ll be ecstatic if Abbott is replaced before the end of this month.]

    Abbott is an enemy of law, justice and dignity. He should be sacked.

  42. Boerwar

    Abbott’s demise has been predicted many times over the duration, and yet he is still standing. Sigh………

  43. Pell will return to face the RC.

    And.. he has stated that, with the full backing of Francis, he will arrange for copies of all Vatican documents pertaining to child sexual abuse by the clergy, and its cover ups by the Australian RCC, to be transmitted to the Royal Commission. The truth at last…

    Nah. Just kidding.

  44. If the new law is passed can the Minister of Immigration strip Tony Abbott of his citizenship?

  46. Thanks GG… just watched it now.

    Joan’s interpretation of Joan Jett’s classic was pretty good.

  47. [2644
    Greensborough Growler

    If the new law is passed can the Minister of Immigration strip Tony Abbott of his citizenship?]

    It will be enough for the people to strip him of power.

  50. GG re Turnbull

    Tend to agree.

    BTW Prissy Pyne was in full whine mode in QT today following the motion put up by Burke. Full on attack mode … defending the government’s record etc etc. Perhaps he knows something…

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