The latest quarterly reading of Tasmanian state voting intention from EMRS records a slump in Labor support following its post-election recovery, down five points on the February poll to 29%. This helps make room for gains for both the Liberals, up four to 46%, and the Greens, up four to 19%. Will Hodgman’s lead over Bryan Green as preferred premier has increased from 48-26 to 52-24. The poll was conducted last Tuesday to Friday from a sample of 1000; I believe their method is live-interview phone polling.
http://kevinbonham.blogspot.com.au/2015/05/emrs-liberals-regain-ground-and-would.html
EMRS: Liberals Regain Ground And Would Be Returned
Their method is indeed live-interview phone polling; I was polled by them six months ago. I believe they’re landline-only but don’t know this for sure.
I also have other recent Tas articles re the Greens for those interested:
http://kevinbonham.blogspot.com.au/2015/05/what-happens-in-kim-booths-recount.html
What Happens In Kim Booth’s Recount?
and
http://kevinbonham.blogspot.com.au/2015/05/greens-change-leaders-and-replacing.html
Greens Change Leaders and Replacing Milne as Senator
And I have a Not-A-Poll on the sidebar where readers can say who should be the new Tas Greens Senator; Nick McKim has dominated all the various versions of the poll that I have run with various candidate mixes.
Is there much of an uptake of mobiles in Tassie?
I, for one, do not have a landline. Although EMRS did manage to poll me once while I visited my grandparents..
Also worth taking a look at this poll: http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/bill-shorten-faces-a-tasmania-wood-waste-wipe-out/story-fn59niix-1227370465630&memtype=anonymous
Or at least the voting intention part of it. Without seeing the question who knows about the other bit.
Even the voting intention part of that poll has problems until we get full details.
Here is my take on that polling:
http://kevinbonham.blogspot.com.au/2015/05/would-wood-waste-waste-seat-of-franklin.html
Would Wood Waste Waste The Seat Of Franklin?
I think the idea that Tasmanians in any electorate are going to remember what wood waste burning is, whether or not it is or isn’t in the RET, and which party was or wasn’t for it 18 months before they’re stood in the ballot box, is thoroughly fanciful.