ReachTEL has leapt into the post-budget field on behalf of the Seven Network, with an automated phone poll conducted last night from 3180 respondents. It records a slight improvement for the Coalition compared with the pollster’s earlier holding pattern, with the Coalition primary vote on 41.1% (up 1.3%), Labor on 38.3% (down 1.0%), the Greens on 12.1% (up 0.2%) and Palmer United on 2.2% (steady). Interestingly, the poll provides breakdowns by respondents’ employment status, which I might take a closer look at later in comparison with past post-election survey data. The budget doesn’t get a huge endorsement, with 16.4% rating they will be better off, 30.3% worse off and 53.3% about the same.
Contrary to other recent polling, this result gives Bill Shorten a clear lead on preferred prime minister of 57.2-42.8, with the important methodological distinction that respondents to this poll were not allowed an “uncommitted” option. Questions on leadership approval provide more evidence of Tony Abbott’s ongoing improvement, while Bill Shorten’s “satisfactory” result is up at the expense of both favourable and unfavourable responses. A three-way question on who has done the best job promoting the budget finds only 11.7% favouring Tony Abbott, with the rest divided between Joe Hockey (44.8%) and Scott Morrison (43.4%). Full results here.
fess
Uni students?
Go Billy lookn good
Both Bishops looking unhappy. 🙂 They really dont like just having to sit there and listen attentively as Shorten calls them on their crap.
Glad Shorten used the word spitefulness
[Peter van Onselen @vanOnselenP 35s36 seconds ago
It is only rhetoric of course, but so far Shorten’s reply is powerful and surprisingly similar to last year’s, with passion.]
Shorten is making a big claim to h
Shorten is making a big claim to representing superior values.
I’ve openly admitted I’m not the biggest Shorten advocate… he’s nailing this.
mikeh:
Is it? I don’t know.
Bill doing well. For all the criticism over the last couple of years its good to have someone on our side that can stick the knife into the Libs and twist it like this. These are fairly uncompromising fighting words.
abbott is sitting there – utterly seething!
🙂
[Peter van Onselen @vanOnselenP 46s46 seconds ago
Shorten is doing a good (political) job of turning this year’s budget into an equally unpopular effort. I wonder if it will take on.]
Jeebus, what a bunch of muppets on moonshine.
http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2015/may/14/paid-parental-leave-policy-under-fire-as-frydenberg-admits-using-two-schemes
dave
They don’t like it up ’em!
Damn. i have to go out in a few minutes and am going to miss the end. 🙁
The Gallery is keeping the LNP quiet
Would love to know who’s in the gallery.
After a couple of glimpses of the look on Tones’ dial I wish they had a small picture in picture with Abbott’s face during the speech.
Shorten has the Liberals wandering around in the political killing fields.
Deadly stuff.
Shorten is really turning the knife!
Shorten’s ticking off LNP members, with promises of being bipartisanship.
Great speech by Shorten! Hope this is the start of a more assertive ALP.
Ha. Outdoes the LNP on tax cut that will hurt 👿
Shorten’s ticking off LNP members with promises with bipartisanship.
Nice partisan gallery, Bronny starting to fume.
Bill doing well, nicely building to a crescendo here.
Nice watching Abbott and co having to digest a shit sandwich.
Tanya getting voluble too.
Several times.
The mogadon is keeping Abbott quiet.
Shorten has them by the short hairs.
And it all fits in sooooooooooooo well with the Libs Tax White Paper process doesn’t it??
Optimism justified. He has slapped the Libs in the face with a challenge they are temperamentally unsuited to face.
And i think we have heard the last of “small target” strategy. 🙂
Yes, compare this speech with that of Hockey’s! Hockey nothing more than a blustering windbag.
Now there is a slogan.
[Australians must get smarter or we will get poorer]
Did I hear right that Labor will reduce small business tax from 30 to 25%?
Going straight for the heart of the Lib voter.
[ Yes, compare this speech with that of Hockey’s! Hockey nothing more than a blustering windbag. ]
Lol! Compare with some of Abbotts budget in reply efforts. 🙂
Going to be late. dont care. 🙂
Yay! Money for research and development!
Nice linking of IT with jobs, via the success of SEEK.
guytaur
Orrr “Australians must get smarter or we will elect another Abbott.”
Has Billy been sneakily hiding his light under a bushel between budget speeches? 🙂
the coalition look dubmfounded – what Shorten is saying is beyond them, no it is more than that it is better than them!
“…Labor will $500 million smart investment fund to back great ideas and to promote entrepreneurship…”
Is it just me or has Bill Shorten sounding like Menzies?
[ Has Billy been sneakily hiding his light under a bushel between budget speeches? 🙂 ]
He took a little while to get going tonight, but is right in the zone well before the halfway mark. 🙂
Write off the HECS debt of science students! Amazing!
This is a future looking, truly aspirational budget reply. Compared with the actual budget speech, which was narrow, scared, desperate and defined by self interest.
“@latikambourke: Write off HECS for 100k maths/science students, promises OL Bill Shorten. We’ll encourage more women to study in these fields.”
Here we go with have a go. 🙂
Have a go at apologising for the last budget! LOL!!
Nice speech!
This is a fun speech.
Bill slays them. Good to see. Have a go at and election any time. 🙂
[Write off the HECS debt of science students]
Mmmm, not sure about that one.
Yes I like the science students HECS write off. Wonder if do a science degree part time under this policy.
Great stuff labor, now follow this evening’s effort and ram these points home.
Expect Paul Murray on sky to be apoplectic later…
And contrast with Abbott still hanging onto that blue tie, years after wearing it repeatedly wore out as some kind of statement to like-minded men.