ReachTEL has leapt into the post-budget field on behalf of the Seven Network, with an automated phone poll conducted last night from 3180 respondents. It records a slight improvement for the Coalition compared with the pollster’s earlier holding pattern, with the Coalition primary vote on 41.1% (up 1.3%), Labor on 38.3% (down 1.0%), the Greens on 12.1% (up 0.2%) and Palmer United on 2.2% (steady). Interestingly, the poll provides breakdowns by respondents’ employment status, which I might take a closer look at later in comparison with past post-election survey data. The budget doesn’t get a huge endorsement, with 16.4% rating they will be better off, 30.3% worse off and 53.3% about the same.
Contrary to other recent polling, this result gives Bill Shorten a clear lead on preferred prime minister of 57.2-42.8, with the important methodological distinction that respondents to this poll were not allowed an uncommitted option. Questions on leadership approval provide more evidence of Tony Abbott’s ongoing improvement, while Bill Shorten’s satisfactory result is up at the expense of both favourable and unfavourable responses. A three-way question on who has done the best job promoting the budget finds only 11.7% favouring Tony Abbott, with the rest divided between Joe Hockey (44.8%) and Scott Morrison (43.4%). Full results here.
1,059 comments on “ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor”
Expat Follower @ 1048 – “circumventing the system” is essentially the same kind of rhetoric as “queue jumping” to which I say there is no such thing as a “refugee queue”. Even if there were, with 15 million refugees in the world and less than 100,000 resettled annually worldwide, that “queue” would take 135 years for a refugee to get to the front. It is also NOT illegal under international law to seek refuge in another country, even if you are found not to be genuine.
As for the possibility of potential refugees disappearing into the community, that would a) be a matter for law enforcement and b) be a small price to pay for a truly humane way of processing refugee applications.
bold off I hope . Going to call it a night also. But thanks all for a constructive discussion in which i have learnt much
Expat follower do you think Rendition to Cambodia could be confused with with an old Kim Wild song?
BB King with Pavarotti!
how cool is that!
[I just went back to the earlier comments re bracket creep and found this from you which I don’t understand at all…
If you used ave weekly earnings then you could get the situation where someone with real wages growth above the CPI wouldn’t move up through the bands.
If the brackets were indexed correctly people with real wages growth would be the only ones to move up through the brackets.
The discussion was about indexing the tax brackets, the commentator before suggested you could use average wage growth (AWG) or the CPI.
I was arguing that you should use the CPI as only those who received real wage growth would be in danger of moving into a higher bracket as it should be.
If you used AWG this might not be the case depending on whether this was higher or lower than the CPI.
eg AWG is higher than the CPI.
If your wage growth is less than the AWG but greater than the CPI. You are experiencing real wage growth but you would never move to a higher bracket because the tax bracket is indexed to the higher AWG.
Looking at the opposite case, AWG less than the CPI.
If your wage growth is greater than the AWG but less than the CPI. You are not experiencing real wage growth yet it would be possible for you to move up to a higher bracket because the tax bracket is indexed to the lower AWG.
Hope that makes it clearer. 🙂
HAPPINESS IS A WARM GUN!
BANG, BANG, SHOOT, SHOOT!
Lots of misinformation everywhere about this small business accelerated depreciation. When in doubt go straight to the ATO website.
You can elect out of the small business concessions but not on an asset by asset basis. It is a one-in-all-in kind of deal. The big increase in depreciation this year could easily end up pushing you into a higher tax bracket next year (and the year after) if you don’t have the need and finance to buy another ute every year like some. This is all part of Joe’s bracket creep “credible path to surplus” bringing forward asset purchases to make the books look better for 2 years. This leaves Labor with the choice of either extending the measure beyond June 2017 or getting the blame if investment suddenly drops off soon after they are back in government. The coal party will be ready to whinge and attack either way.
Anyone borrowing to purchase a big asset now that they would not have otherwise bought is an idiot. And yes of course if you sell the asset after claiming the full amount as depreciation then every dollar of the sale price is included in taxable income as a balancing adjustment.
Also interesting to note that
This is not true, the example in the SMH article was an asset that cost more than $20,000, which is allocated to the general small business pool.
This is not true, if you go out of business then a balancing adjustment event occurs.