This was one of those alternating weeks where all we get in the way of a new poll is Essential Research, and there being nothing remarkable about that result one way or another, BludgerTrack records only the tiniest of changes this week. Such movement as there is favours the Coalition, which is as much to do with the trend momentum created by last week’s Newspoll and ReachTEL results as the very slight shift to the Coalition in Essential. This causes the seat projection to tick over another seat in the Coalition’s favour, the gain coming in New South Wales. Nothing new this week for the leadership numbers.
Speaking of Newspoll, conspiracy theory pre-emption time: I can state with confidence that there will be no poll this weekend, based on the gap that appears in the pollster’s national phone polling schedule. This reflects the Labour Day holiday on Monday in New South Wales, Queensland, South Australia and the ACT. No, Newspoll doesn’t always let public holidays in a few states stop it, but this time it is, on the basis of a decision made quite a long time ago.
The Australian has been tiding us over with a few state polls, so far coming out with quarterly figures for Queensland and South Australia. Early next week, it will presumably follow with a result for Western Australia – a big occasion, WA being the state that polling forgot – and the July-to-September quarterly aggregates of federal polling broken down by state, age and gender. The latter is also eagerly awaited by myself, as the state breakdowns in BludgerTrack are in an unusually unreliable place at present, it being three months since they were last fed with any Newspoll data.
UPDATE (3/10): Roy Morgan has published one of its occasional telephone polls gauging leadership ratings, this one being a survey of 503 respondents conducted from Tuesday to Thursday. The findings concur with other recent polling in showing Tony Abbott’s standing having substantially improved since the last poll in early June, his approval rating up ten to 44% and disapproval down twelve to 47%. Bill Shorten’s ratings are also slightly improved, his approval up two to 37% and disapproval down three to 42%. However, Abbott has taken a 44-37 lead on preferred prime minister after trailing 43-38 last time.
The poll also inquires about preferred Liberal and Labor leaders, finding a big lift in support for Julie Bishop since June (up nine points to 16%), Tony Abbott (up four to 19%) gaining ground on the still-favoured Malcolm Turnbull (down six to 38%), and Joe Hockey down five points to 6%. There is only slight change for Labor, with Bill Shorten down a point to 21%, Tanya Plibersek up two to 18% and Anthony Albanese steady on 15%.
[ No Lateline cut ]
Not the point I’m making.
Is this a scam? (I haven’t responded)
I received it within hours of sending a message to a hotmail user (which inevitably results in spamming for a day).
[Dear BigPond User,
As you probably know by now, Telstra customers will have to update their billing details and information with us due to the introduction of the next generation of 4G services on the 700MHz spectrum and switch on ultra-fast 4G Advanced technology.
For the first 100 clients that will update the information we have a very special gift, the new Iphone 6 Plus. We are also giving away 1000 contracts for one year with free talknights, weekends and unlimited text messages.
Just enter your details right now by following the link below,it only takes 5 minutes.
http://myacct.bigpond.com/accountManagement?execution=login
The winners will be anounced October 10 2014 on our website.
Thanks for your co-operation.
Telstra
Billing Department]
I wouldn’t be touching it Lizzie.
Lizzie
The golden rule. Never open a link in an email you are not sure of. Especially when that link is asking for personal details like address.
Double especially when its a company like Telstra where you can go to the website directly and do so.
A rather brilliant explainer from a UK newspaper (sorry don’t have a link, I re-typed it from a photograph).
[Are you confused by what is going on in the Middle East? Let me explain.
We support the Iraqi government in the fight against the Islamic State. We don’t ike IS, but IS is supported by Saudi Arabia, whom we DO like.
We don’t like President Assad in Syria. We support the fight against him, but not IS, which is also fighting against him.
We don’t like Iran, but Iran supports the Iraqi government against IS. So, some of our friends support our enemies and some of our enemies are our friends, and some of our enemies are fighting against our other enemies, whom we don’t want to lose, but we don’t want our enemies who are fighting our enemies to win.
If the people we want to defeat are defeated, they might be replaced by people we like even less. And all this was started by us invading a country to drive out terrorists who weren’t actually there until we went in to drive them out.
Do you understand now?]
lizzie@52
I would bet on it being a scam.
[Abbott on terrorism “Australia can’t change the world, but we can make a difference” Oh, if he had this view on climate action]
Thanks everyone. Just thought I’d post it. I’m as careful not to go near suspicious emails as you all recommend. Especially after a hotmail message.
But what’s this bullshit about 4G etc? Is it just to fool the unwary?
[52
lizzie
Is this a scam? (I haven’t responded)
Dear BigPond User,
As you probably know by now, Telstra customers will have to update their billing details and information with us…]
Any email that asks you to update your billing info is almost 100% certainly a scam.
Briefly
I noted your excursion into scatology toward the end of the previous thread.
It says far more about you than it does me.
briefly
I have even received similar messages from banks I have no account with. I suppose they hope for a 5% response from the naive to make their profits. 😉
😆
[The 10,000 pigeons released in a ceremony for China’s National Day underwent unusual scrutiny, each having its feathers and anus checked for dangerous materials, State-run media reports say.]
https://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/latest/a/25157277/china-body-searched-10-000-pigeons/
Re Lizzie @52: it looks dodgy as all get-out. I’d report it.
[Bushfire Bill
Posted Thursday, October 2, 2014 at 10:01 am | PERMALINK
A rather brilliant explainer from a UK newspaper (sorry don’t have a link, I re-typed it from a photograph).
Are you confused by what is going on in the Middle East? Let me explain.
]
Think of goodies and baddies in Abbottspeak.
In the good old days of the wild west it was simple to tell a goodie (white hat) from a baddie (black hat). Once a goodie, always a goodie. Similarly for baddies.
Unfortunately the simplicy of Abbottspeak cannot adequately encompass the more complicated wild (middle) east. That’s partly because their headgear is not simple white and black hats.
So my solution is to eliminate the category of goodie in the middle east and assume that everyone is a baddie. That makes it much easier to go to war with all and sundry, without the need for careful analysis of who might really be your friend or enemy. Just tell the Australian people that you are fighting for “truth, justice and the American (sorry, Australian) way”.
Team Australia, being the leading light of the goodies, is against baddies everywhere. That includes women who wear the burqa, men with bushy beards and anyone who believes in climate change.
For anyone interested in Victorian future leaders. It worries me that Guy does not seem to be able to resist developers’ blandishments.
http://www.news.com.au/national/the-circling-has-started-as-libs-look-at-leaders/story-e6frfkp9-1227077048175
Telstra itself is occasionally a scam
[So my solution is to eliminate the category of goodie in the middle east and assume that everyone is a baddie.]
pretty much the position of the original crusaders who spent much of their effort slaughtering local christians on arrival in the holy land
Here’s the place to report spam / fraudulent emails with the ACMA: http://www.acma.gov.au/theACMA/spam-complaint-form-email
steve777
Thank you. I tried to forward the message as instructed, but email rejected the address. Perhaps it thought I was the spammer!!
Kevin Andrews spending more time attacking Mr Shorten than explaining what he is doing at presser
[60
bemused
Briefly
I noted your excursion into scatology toward the end of the previous thread.
It says far more about you than it does me.]
Yeah, you’re right. I have not said enough about you. On the pretext of welcoming the return of Puff to PB, you indulge in some new Puff-baiting, being the conduct that sent her away in the first place.
When will you learn to resist the temptation to be gratuitously rude? Why are you obtuse? In short, will you always have shit for brains?
Lizzie @ 41
It’s “Save Denis Napthine Day”.
Tony Abbott flew down to Melbourne late last night, to join an early morning cheer squad for the East West Link.
The notion that Abbott’s presence in Melbourne would give Napthine a poll boost is faintly ludicrous.
Left the front door open last night and a large python was trying to pay a visit. The cat was hissing.
Python about 6-8 feet and at least 6 in in diameter. It took residence in the shoe rack. Shut door and went out for dinner. Came home- door open.
Where is python?????
I am keeping a look out. However cat is not jumpy so I assume python has moved on. I hope!!!!!!!
@annajhenderson: Allegations about voting irregularities in Indi have been referred to the AFP @auspol @abcnews
briefly@71
Your scatology obsession is putting you on a par with GG.
I have the greatest of respect for Puff as she is a very smart person. She used to have me in stitches with some of her posts on the nutter trucker website.
I agree with her revulsion about domestic violence.
I strongly object to her scatter-gun approach which tends to blame all men.
Beyond your comprehension? Perhaps there is something wrong with the composition of your brain.
[ABC News 24
Kevin Andrews: We need to encourage people to work rather than be condemned to years on welfare #auspol]
There’s a flaw in this statement but I suppose Andrews can’t see it.
“@KnottMatthew: Frontbencher Kevin Andrews just told me at a presser he thinks the burqa is medieval and demeaning to women but shouldn’t be banned #auspol”
Corio@72
Absolutely!
If Napthine is so desperate he will grasp at an Abbott visit for salvation then he is gone. Drowning man clutching at straws.
[Australia has made big gains in the latest world university rankings, with one new entrant joining the world’s top 200, and most of Australia’s top universities moving up the rankings.
The Times Higher Education magazine releases its 11th annual World University Rankings today in London…
The magazine report describes Australia’s university sector as a “world-class system”.
But it also raised questions about the Federal Government’s proposed tertiary education reforms.
“The big question, as Australia moves into a period of radical reform with the full deregulation of tuition fees, is whether this admirable strength-in-depth can be maintained,” it said.
“The reforms may help a small Australian elite protect or even improve their global standing, but what about the rest?
“Are we going to see a greater polarisation in Australia between a global super-elite and a large number of also-rans declining?”]
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-10-02/australian-universities-rise-in-world-rankings/5783962
daretotread@73
At least the cat wasn’t missing. 😉
Lambie verbatim on Sunrise.
[Senator Lambie said: “I’d like to see the ladies’ faces, I cannot see who’s under that clothing, I can’t tell if that’s a woman or a man.”
“You have beautiful faces and it would be nice to be able see them but it still comes back to a national security issue,” insisted Senator Lambie.
“Explain to me how is that a national issue, please?” replied Ms Abdo.
“Because we can’t see your faces and I need to see who is under the clothing?” said Senator Lambie. Ms Abdo was seen visibly laughing at the senator’s response.]
In defence of Lambie (!) there was, I believe, one occasion when a “terrorist” wore burqa to conceal explosives.
But, as one cartoonist has pointed out, backpacks are more common and have proved more dangerous.
[ @BernardKeane: I can’t think of a better person than Kevin Andrews to know what’s medieval and demeaning to women.]
[75
bemused
I have the greatest of respect for Puff ….]
Now I get it. “Respect” explains why you pay so little attention to what she actually says, but use her posts as an opportunity to parade your prejudice. Now that you’ve exonerated yourself, feel free to continue being as obnoxious as possible.
DTT
A neighbour across road found a red bellied black snack in his back yard a couple of days ago – said he is longer than two metres.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/new-christmas-island-chief-barry-haase-to-asylum-seekers-its-your-own-fault-20141001-10ot16.html
Apologies if already posted!
He is I would assume is getting a very large amount of money from the Government for this appointment – pity he has no empathy.
[Barry Tucker @btckr
Oz urged to send doctors, not money, to combat Ebola. Govt replies by doubling its cash donation. ABC News]
briefly@83
I leave the “obnoxious” to you.
It is in safe hands.
Hird lodges an appeal and dares Essendon to sack him.
Liberal MP accuses Abbott of using a two word slogan:
[A government MP has called Prime Minister Tony Abbott’s “Team Australia” phrase a “two-word slogan” and labelled the burqa debate an “unhelpful response” to a “significant undercurrent of anti-Muslim sentiment” .
Queensland Liberal Andrew Laming says he has intervened in the debate because of a “need for a moderating voice” following comments made by some his colleaguesover the burqa.]
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/liberal-mp-andrew-laming-dismisses-tony-abbotts-team-australia-slogan-as-unsophisticated-20141002-10p18h.html#ixzz3EwpquIO8
It seems the LNP are more concerned with internal bickering over trivial issues than governing for the benefit of all Australians.
27 voters in Indi referred to the AFP for investigation —
http://www.aec.gov.au/media/media-releases/2014/10-02.htm
I suppose their man cuddle outside the Federal Court is unlikely to be replicated
[Bombers chairman Paul Little is believed to have met Hird in one of his South Yarra offices…]
Read more: http://www.theage.com.au/afl/afl-news/james-hird-removed-as-essendon-coach-20141002-10p3bn.html#ixzz3EwrV9R38
[zoomster
Posted Thursday, October 2, 2014 at 11:49 am | PERMALINK
27 voters in Indi referred to the AFP for investigation –
http://www.aec.gov.au/media/media-releases/2014/10-02.htm%5D
Is this some new ‘get tough’ approach by the AEC?
I wonder who these allegedly dodgy people voted for?
Diogs,
Hird knows an earner when he sees one.
Esseendon have already paid him $1mill for a year off and sacking him now will cost another $1.5mill.
There is also the extra cost of having Thompson as coach this year and the next two years (potentially), the loss of draft picks and the million dollar fine to the club.
They also paid out Matthew Knight (his predecessor at a huge cost).
There is no I in Team Essendon. But there are quite a few in “Hird, selfish prick”.
dave@48
The ABC is being quietly complicit in its own destruction.
I’d hazard a guess that the reason the “personalities” (can’t call them journalists) that couldn’t get a job with the Guardian Oz or some other independent news organization are keeping quiet about it now is that they are hoping to land a job at Limited News as a last resort.
Well, I’d say they have a snowflakes chance … but stranger things have happened!
[ Oz urged to send doctors, not money, to combat Ebola. Govt replies by doubling its cash donation. ABC News ]
This is something that i find absolutely disgusting. We can send F18F’s to Iraq, along with a tanker, C17’s and Hercs, a VERY serious set transport assets that are so massively useful for actual humanitarian support!!
Yet our idiot FM claims that we cant support or evacuate anyone going to West Africa to help out with what could be the most serious epidemic in living memory?
This is FAR more important to Australia than some tokenistic contribution to a “humanitarian” bombing campaign.
Hey, maybe if we link it to terrorism it would be fashionable enough for Bishop the Younger to notice??
Have they considered just how easy it would be for a mob like Daash to send some of their nutbaggers to West Africa, get them infected, and then disperse them to Western countries during the 14-21 day incubation period??
Coordinated cases popping up in the US, UK, Europe, Australia at the same time?? Hows that for a REAL terror strike even if its actually something our health system would probably cope with pretty easily once recognised??
Even if they tried and failed, just the notion that they HAVE tried it would be enough to terrorise people.
This Govt are fwarking idiots on nasty pills with seriously warped priorities and a very narrow world view.
Civilisation fail.
[Earth has lost half of its wildlife in the past 40 years, says WWF]
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/sep/29/earth-lost-50-wildlife-in-40-years-wwf?CMP=fb_gu
Our political and economic systems are massive,monstrous failures, in ways we can barely yet conceive of: so primitive are we.
citizen@92
IIRC, 27 is nowhere near enough to have changed the outcome.
I expect this to fizzle out fairly soon.
GG
Bomber has said hell stay on as senior coach if they sack Hird. I think the fat lady is going to sing pretty soon.
I find the Burqua-fears of Andrews and Abbott rather interesting. Apart from the face veil, a Burqua is astonishingly similar in appearance and function to the garb routinely worn by Catholic nuns until the late 60s/early 70s. Make of that what you will….
Outsider@99
Quite likely, that’s exactly what scares them sh*tless.