Known prior to 1983 as Wilmot, Lyons covers what’s left over of Tasmania after the north-west coast (Braddon), north-east coast (Bass), central Hobart (Denison) and Hobart’s outskirts (Franklin) are ordered into natural communities of interest. It thus includes small towns on either side of Tasmania’s pronounced north-south divide, including New Norfolk outside Hobart and the southern outskirts of Launceston, along with fishing towns and tourist centres on the east coast and rural territory in between, together with a short stretch of the northern coast between Braddon and Bass at Port Sorell. According to the 2011 census, Lyons has the lowest proportion of non-English speakers of any electorate in the country, along with the second lowest proportion of people who finished high school and the sixth lowest median family income. The Liberals gained the seat in 2013 on the back of the election’s biggest swing, which converted an existing Labor margin of 11.9% into a Liberal margin of 1.2%.
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| Blue and red numbers respectively indicate size of two-party majorities for Liberal and Labor. Click for larger image. Map boundaries courtesy of Ben Raue at The Tally Room. |
Wilmot was in conservative hands from 1901 to 1929, when it was won for Labor by the man whose name it now bears. Joseph Lyons had been Tasmania’s Premier until the defeat of his minority government in 1928, and upon entering federal parliament he assumed the position of Postmaster-General in the newly elected government of Jim Scullin. However, Lyons and his followers split from Labor in 1931 after a dispute over economic policy in response to the Depression. Joining with the opposition to become the leader of the new conservative United Australia Party, Lyons became Prime Minister after a landslide win at the election held the following December, retaining the position through two further election victories until his death in 1939.
Labor briefly resumed its hold on Wilmot after the by-election that followed Lyons’ death, but Allan Guy recovered it for the United Australia Party at the general election of 1940. It next changed hands at the 1946 election when Labor’s Gil Duthie unseated Guy against the trend of a national swing to the newly formed Liberal Party. Duthie went on to hold the seat for nearly three decades, until all five Tasmanian seats went from Labor to Liberal in 1975. The 9.9% swing that delivered the seat to Max Burr in 1975 was cemented by an 8.0% swing at the next election in 1977, and the Franklin dam issue ensured the entire state remained on side with the Liberals in 1983 and 1984. The realignment when Burr retired at the 1993 election, when the loss of Burr’s personal vote combined with the statewide backlash against John Hewson’s proposed goods and services tax delivered a decisive 5.6% swing to Labor.
Labor’s member for the next two decades was Dick Adams, a former state government minister who had lost his seat in 1982. Adams survived a swing in 1996 before piling 9.3% on to his margin in 1998, enough of a buffer to survive a small swing in 2001 and a large one in 2004, as northern Tasmania reacted against Labor forestry policies which Adams had bitterly opposed. Strong successive performances in 2007 and 2010 left Adams with what appeared to be a secure buffer, but this proved illusory in the face of a swing in 2013 that reached double figures in all but a handful of the electorate’s booths, and in several cases topped 20%. The victorious Liberal candidate was Eric Hutchinson, a wool marketer with Tasmanian agribusiness company Roberts Limited, who had also run in 2010.
Now everything makes sense 😀
[Rhys Muldoon
Peta Credlin isn’t WORKING for Tony Abbott. She IS Tony Abbott. #auspol]
Sydney have gone whooshka. They have zipped to a 70 point lead at 3/4 time.
I changed it over from the NRL 2 times it was that boring.
Storm v Bulldogs are always yawnment!
zoomster@345
Nice piece of verbaling there zoomster. Shows how threadbare your arguments are.
She loathed those who expected special treatment because of their sex.
We have already been over why few, if any, men would want a special men’s conference.
ruawake 280
How amusing.
[The butcher had taken all the premium cuts from the carcass in his package of bones and flaps with a couple of legs.]
So reminds me of the Budget.
bemused
because they don’t need one.
It’s a bit like kids asking on Mother’s Day why there isn’t a Kid’s Day.
Good stuff.
Zoomster.
zoomster@355
And if they tried to hold a conference from which women were excluded, the sisterhood would go bonkers.
confessions @b304
[Therefore, once the price is abolished, how will those people know their unit price of electricity has gone down the 2+ whatever cents per unit it currently is with the ‘tax’?]
The irony is that my supplier details the CT rate and cost on bills even though being hydro power it’s not charged.
bemused
“Nice piece of verbaling there zoomster. Shows how threadbare your arguments are”
What the hell are you talking about? Both of zoomster’s points were entirely reasonable and politely-put, where exactly you got the impression she was ‘verbaling’ you is beyond me.
Let’s not forget it was you who thought it appropriate to piss on her good news by calling her a misandrist. Seriously, step away from the keyboard, you’re thoroughly embarrassing yourself.
Rossmore:
I assume PB’s resident misogynist is commenting, that’s why!
zoomster
When was a kid I asked my Mum why there wasn’t a kids day she said it’s kids day everyday.
slothy:
Eek.
absolutetwaddle@359
The verbaling was in her second point where she had quoted me selectively to entirely distort what I said. It is just totally dishonest to do so.
And see my post at 285 where I congratulated zoomster on being selected to attend the conference.
[And see my post at 285 where I congratulated zoomster on being selected to attend the conference.]
Wanker.
Bemused is disappointed he wasn’t invited. Thats why he is so upset.
Currency debaasement has been more than I thought…
[In the end, the economic argument won the day and the motion was carried.
Which economic argument/ The one that has the coin costing 6c to make? or the one that will provide a financial windfall to businesses as they round upwards?]
1c at the time of the introduction of decimal currency would be about 12c today, inflated by the CPI
crikey whitey 1180
Posted Friday, July 11, 2014 at 10:11 pm | Permalink
[And there is Tony Wright on The Drum, along with Kate Carnell, decrying Clive for being a ‘wrecker’ and expressing horror that he would walk away from an interview.
Can they not hear themselves?
At least Tony Abbott stayed the course on a single occasion, they may have said.
Noddy and the Long Goodbye.]
Just wanting to follow up on my post.
The near end of The Drum addressed Abbott crap on Japanese ‘honour.’
Bruce Haigh went ballistic, as did Tony Wright. I seem to recollect that Wright’s dad was a POW. Think that Wright has written a book or some such on that.
Tony Wright said wtte that is was akin to the unimaginable idea of praising the Japs for the bravery at Pearl Harbor.
The Jerk Marionette, as she so increasingly presents, fatally lauded the Abe/Abbott Show. Merely taking exception to the use of the word ‘honour.’
‘Taking exception’ is a bit strong, actually. One would be forgiven for believing she had not even given it a thought.
William Bowe@364
So personal abuse is now approved on PB?
Roger Miller@365
You could be on to something there RM, I enjoy the company of women. 😛
There has never been any policy on this site prohibiting wankers from being described as such. Where I disallow personal abuse, I do so because it is disproportionate or unfair.
William Bowe@370
Oh, OK wanker.
Adding what I intended to say.
Tony Wright said wtte that is was akin to the unimaginable idea of OBAMA praising the Japs for the bravery at Pearl Harbor.
Oh dear, what has happened since I been busy? what has PB become?
crikey whitey@372
I met a Chinese friend this afternoon and he was talking about Abbott’s comment and saying how it would go over in the Chinese community. Not very well. Members of my friend’s family had fought the Japanese in China and others had been killed.
It kinda gives some insight as to how it was received by the comrades in Beijing.
So they’re going to scrap the little 5 cent pieces?
Obviously if the price of something ends in a 1, 2, 3 or 4 cents, the price rounds down and if something is 6, 7, 8, or 9 cents, the price rounds up.
The question is where do you round if it ends in 5 cents?
I would say that if something is 15, 25, 35 or 45 cents, it rounds down and if it is 55, 65, 75, 85 or 95 cents, it rounds up.
Of course, my rounding skills as observed here at PB are nothing short of world class 😈
Cheer, cheer the red and the white (in the background) hehe
Centre@375
I want to see the introduction of the 99 cent coin. It will be much more useful – just check the prices anywhere.
Certainly, Bemused.
Nothing like patriotism to raise hackles.
Zoidlord.
It seems okay, apart from the odd squabble.
I’d like to think we would elevate the tone.
crikey whitey@377
The guys eyes lit up and he got quite animated.
It was not patriotism so much as a sense of it being personal through loss of relatives.
I am rather conflicted by all this as all the Japanese people I have ever met have been nice.
@crikey/378
I suppose it’s bit like a married couple then 😛
Crikey,
how are you?
[280
ruawake
>Just as well I got my share before Teh Evul Caborn Tix made lamb roasts an ultra-luxury item.
I remember many years ago a butcher in the Tuggeranong Hyperdome in the ACT has sides of lamb $3 a kilo.]
I learned early in life, on the family farm, that I was not a vegetarian, after seeing innocent little spring lambs being shot, butchered, cooked, and served in front of me. I never had a problem woofing down those tasty tender chunks, and going back for seconds. Still don’t.
Long as it is done humanely and sustainably, I’m okay with meat.
Centre@375
Actually, you appear to have a complete absence of rounding skills if that is what you think it means.
Bemused
I think the next stage may be that prices are displayed to one decimal place if more than a $1.
The retailers will love that 🙁
[ Oh dear, what has happened since I been busy? what has PB become? ]
I suspect that bemused has again failed to ask itself..why?? 🙁
Bemused what are you on about? @ 383
Paddy2. Tut Tut.
I replied last night to your kind inquiry.
Didn’t you see it?
I am good. Enough. That is. Dealing with the harrowing crap.
I will overcome!
Centre@386
You seem to have no idea of the proper method of rounding.
Prime Minister Tony Abbott faces a fresh threat to the abolition of the carbon tax, with two key crossbenchers warning that if the government continues to pander to Clive Palmer it risks losing their support.
NSW senator David Leyonhjelm and South Australia’s Bob Day issued the stern warning on Saturday, saying they were concerned that ”severe compliance” obligations placed on business by Palmer United Party amendments to the carbon tax repeal bills could be ”worse than the tax itself”.
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/abbott-faces-new-threat-to-carbon-tax-repeal-bill-20140712-3btzf.html#ixzz37FzaEV00
Bemused.
I would have thought that Tony Wright would be incensed enough to do an article on the subject.
Maybe it’s either too personal or he is wrestling with the difficulty of describing Abbott as a treasonous latter day Lord Ha Ha.
Bemused @ 388
Get off the computer and go have a beer, you’re having a shocker 😉
imacca@385
I think that would be enough for William to allow me to refer to you as a wanker.
[365
Roger Miller
Bemused is disappointed he wasn’t invited. Thats why he is so upset.]
Well, that’s the entitlement culture for you.
Joe did warn us.
Crikey,
Probably fell asleep my apologies
Just finished reading Shanahan’s rave that BB linked to earlier. “Budget needs a little retail therapy”
Shanahan clearly lives in a parallel universe or something.
Image of tonight’s super moon from Perth.
https://twitter.com/newkstar/status/487922467319447553/photo/1
Alas too much cloud cover here to really appreciate it.
Clive will win this, Victoria.
I have entertained since Thursday the idea that the Pups will be persuaded to leave the Carbon Tax in place.
It is most unlikely that Clive will pass up the opportunity to stuff the Government in the House of Reps.
Fascinating, the alliances Clive is collecting.
Interesting just on rounding, when they used to time horse races here in NSW to one decimal place, they always rounded down.
So if a horse ran 1200m in say, 1:09.67, it would officially record 1:09.6.
Back to politics 😐
crikey whitey
We shall know soon enough how this will play out. 🙂
Super moon?
The Greens are probably howling 😀