ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor

After a fortnight in which Nielsen found the Coalition back in front and Newspoll found Labor further ahead than ever, the monthly result from ReachTEL has Labor maintaining the lead it recorded in the previous poll a month ago.

GhostWhoVotes relates that a ReachTEL poll, which I take to be its monthly poll for the Seven Network, has Labor’s lead unchanged on a month ago at 53-47, from primary votes of 40.3% for the Coalition, 39.2% for Labor and 10.5% for the Greens. The poll also finds Malcolm Turnbull to be favoured over Tony Abbott by 53.2% of respondents with only 27.7% opting for Abbott (and 19.1% for Joe Hockey), but this is down to a massive disparity between Coalition supporters, 58.6% of whom favour Abbott versus 27.6% for Turnbull and 13.8% for Hockey, and Labor supporters, of whom 76.5% favour Turnbull, 17.9% favour Hockey, and only 5.6% favour Abbott.

UPDATE: Essential Research has the Coalition up 51-49, reversing the result from last time. The Coalition is up two on the primary vote to 44%, with Labor and the Greens each down a point to 38% and 8%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,525 comments on “ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor”

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  1. Boerwar

    The WA story brought up by confessions @792 occurred at 9.00 am EDST (over 8 hours ago).

    Sadly you have failed to check the discussion as it developed with Ctari, poroti, fess again, WeWantPaul, fess again, MTBW, guytaur, adrian, dave and then g. growler at 900 where brief mention was made of Burma and early Syria.

    You responded in your usual way with great exageration, at 909 which naturally led to further replies.

    In the main until you had your say it was PB’rs sticking the boot into Rudd. That’s obviously ok by you but when Bemused and T.Paine defend him you give them an almighty serve too.

    We’ve seen it on here so many times with your superior attitude to those you disagree with.

    Wake up to the real problem this country faces – Abbott. Your stuff simply dismays many of the more reasonable posters here.

    Bye the way are you by any chance a pensioner?

    If yes, then maybe like you accused Rudd of, you also go “traipsing around on the taxpayer’s dollar”.

  2. and this comment to an ABC article

    lopalong

    12:52 PM on 05/03/2014

    [For Christ’s sake – Rudd is a senior fellow at the Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government. And no doubt he is following the requests of that organisation to visit those countries (even before the strife blew up) as part of a programme.

    This obsession with Rudd goes to show how bloody petty-minded some Australians are!]

  3. It’s hard to believe that Morrison has a higher approval rating than Gillard. It’s good to see that keeping brown people out of our country nets you more brownie points than designing multiple pieces of legislation that will fundamentally change our country for the better.

  4. [Stephen Koukoulas ‏@TheKouk 5h
    Treasury were browbeaten in to taking Hockey’s office MYEFO forecasts. They were a con to make the budget look bad.]

    I have been so distracted by the catfight that I don’t know whether I’ve already posted this.

    The comment I wish to make is that Hockey is a very bland liar, rather in the mode of the PM. But Hockey’s bullying and mocking tone is of a different kind. I don’t trust him and wish that the msm would stop calling him friendly. He’s friendly like a snake.

  5. No response (as yet and unlikely given past history) from the PM’s office re Nash censure.

    Peta will no doubt make a frank and fearless phone call to said Senator later this evening…

  6. [Locals priced out of property by chinese property splurge]

    Funny how when you read the article, it proves they are not. 🙁

  7. Agree Lizzie @ 1113

    Besides Hockey has a very poor grasp of basic economic philosophy… maybe he needs to consult Brandis’ bookshelves…

  8. Steven Grant Haby@1114

    No response (as yet and unlikely given past history) from the PM’s office re Nash censure.

    Its an interesting tactic, almost out of abbott’s own playbook.

    Why not make use of the Senate in this way more frequently – particularly when abbott tries to shutdown particular issues where he is on the ropes or potentially so.

    Give the media some competing ‘colour’.

    BTW – what was ‘Clives’ question today in the HoR ?

  9. QANTAS problems seem to be a mix of two-thirds management following a flawed strategy and looking to others to sort out their mess and politicians getting involved in a market situation when they gave up that right in the early 90’s.

    The Libs sent out so many mixed messages I think they can’t remembers what message they were trying to send although they may have eventually and accidently arrived at the right policy.

    Labor seems to be caught up in an idealogy web of their own making and don’t really know how to extract themselves.

    The Greens just oppose markets well … simply because markets are bad.

    PUP and KAP are simply stuck in a utopia that virtually became terminal in the 70’s and was killed off by Keating in the 80’s. They want to try and revive the corpse.

    All in all it’s a bit sad. The politicans are floundering about while management sends the Flying Kangaroo into a spin it may not recover from.

  10. Carbon price applies equally to all airlines.
    Domestic and international air traffic increases.
    Qantas market share falls.

    Conclusion, Qantas is under great management and it’s all the fault of the Carbon price.

  11. davidwh

    [management sends the Flying Kangaroo into a spin it may not recover from.]

    Not to worry there is always the Flying Koru 🙂

  12. I do worry at times Poroti. I used to be loyal to Skippy back in the days there was something to be loyal for. It’s getting really hard to be proud of something truely Australian these days. Perhaps we are all just Earthies these days.

  13. [Qantas could be given to North Korea as a peace offering, as long as they take Joyce too.]

    Too late we made him an Aussie.

  14. ‘No response (as yet and unlikely given past history) from the PM’s office re Nash censure.’

    Pretty unlikely given future history as well!

  15. [I still do QANTAS on domestic flights because ‘cancel’ is not usual.

    ‘Virgin’ cheap but not reliable.]

    Hear, Hear!

    Three of my last four flights on Virgin have been cancelled without explanation and without any apparent regret.

    Just, “This flight is cancelled.”

    Waited a total of 7 hours in airport terminals for replacement flights. In one case the replacement flight was cancelled.

    My last trip to Melbourne was for four hours of meetings.

    With the cancellations and delays on Virgin I got 50 minutes worth of chat and then had to head back to Sydney.

    I wouldn’t pi$$ in Virgin’s throat if they were dying of thirst (not to mix metaphors, or anything like that).

  16. [Will it turn into a raging inferno that sweeps across all of Australia?
    ]

    Sadly the spark seldom becomes an inferno these days DN.

  17. If Abbott succeeds in repealing s3 of the QSA he will split Qantas into 3 separate companies, something Joyce wants like a hole in the head.

    Qantas needs cheap financing, (like Virgin can get with its Govt backed airlines). Abbott deliberately confused this by stating they wanted a $3 billion unsecured loan.

    They do not, they want to be able to borrow at the Govts AAA rating not their junk bond rating. There is no chance of a default Qantas has too many assets.

    As always, Abbott has played the media cycle and done absolutely nothing to solve a problem. Kicking the can down the road only works for so long.

  18. Great powers have zones of interest
    ______________
    In a surprising statement the often very readable American Conservative mag..make the observation that great powers always regards the area of”near abroad”as part of their watch..whether it’s Haiti,or Cuba or The Crimea
    For some centuries the US has never failed to intervene in the affairs of the Caribbean sea.states.Cuba.Nicaragura,Haiti,Genada and other such small all nations

    In a sense the Russians see the Black Sea as a similar area.and great powers always do so…
    an interesting piece

    http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/putins-side-of-history/

  19. Bushfire Bill

    For a while there, 2006-2009 , I was sent hither and thither around Australia for work. Qantas seemed eternally late but the prospect of flying Virgin was horrifying. Apart from the cancellations their check ins over east were shockers. A caste of thousands and glacial movement.
    Qantas were definitely well ahead of the pack. Within Australia will still pay a bit more to fly with them.

  20. ausdavo

    In general, I did two things. The first was to outline the basic requirements for an honest broker role. The second was to debunk the so-called Rudd contributions to Syria, Libya and Burma. I added some details, the substantive of none of which have been questioned.

    Questioning Rudd’s contribution occasions reflex vicious personal hate posts, none of which actually addresses the substantive points.

    The substantive issue was, and is, the Scourge of the Ratf**ker’s contribution to foreign affairs while he was prime minister and foreign minister and then prime minister again.

    Instead of a discussion of my various personal failings you should feel free to join the substantive discussion and identify the positives of Rudd’s contribution to foreign affairs. None of the posters has bothered to even try to visit this apparently dry well. It is apparently easier to engage in vicious personal attacks.

    If you want to avoid joining the substantive discussion on the topic of Rudd’s contribution to Australian foreign affairs, I suggest you avoid jointing the nasty personal commentary and just use your scroll wheel.

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