Rudd 57, Gillard 45

We have a new/old Labor leader and, presumably, a new/old prime minister. Soon, I fear, we will have a new election date. Developing …

We have a new/old Labor leader and, presumably, a new/old prime minister. Soon, I fear, we will have a new election date. Developing …

UPDATE: Prominent Gillard-ites Wayne Swan, Craig Emerson, Stephen Conroy, Greg Combet and Joe Ludwig have resigned from cabinet. Penny Wong has unanimously been chosen to replace Conroy as Senate leader, with Jacinta Collins replacing Wong as deputy. Anthony Albanese defeated Simon Crean 61-38 in a ballot for deputy in the House.

UPDATE 2: Greg Combet also resigns from cabinet, and Craig Emerson to go from parliament. Preselections loom for Lalor and Rankin.

UPDATE 3 (Morgan SMS poll): Morgan has sprung into action with a “snap” SMS poll of 2530 respondents, showing a Coalition lead of just 50.5-49.5 from primary votes of 38% for Labor, 43% for the Coalition and 8.5% for the Greens. For what it’s worth, a Morgan poll conducted by the same method on the day of the 2010 election turned in a highly accurate result.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,091 comments on “Rudd 57, Gillard 45”

Comments Page 2 of 62
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  1. [25
    BK
    Posted Wednesday, June 26, 2013 at 7:58 pm | PERMALINK
    We cannot allow a Puff Adder to become a minister. We must unite and make sure this does not happen.]
    That’s the spirit BK. I would have had the same attitude if Gillard had won.

    Now, I want Rudd to be magnanimous in victory and let’s not have any of the stupid champagne corks popping etc that accompanied Gillard’s victory.

  2. alias

    ‘A determination to unite, leave aside gloating, and get on with beating Abbott.’

    Not me. Sociopath and narcissist. Gimme the job or I’ll wreck the joint. Tweedledum and Tweedledee.

  3. [himi
    Posted Wednesday, June 26, 2013 at 8:07 pm | Permalink

    Now all we need is for Turnbull to roll Abbott and then /everyone/ can have their wet dreams come true.

    himi]

    I’ll French kiss Meguire Bob if this happens – I’ll be THAT happy.

  4. Rudd’s prospects will now depend on how vengeful some people are feeling ATM.

    It’s possible that some hitherto secret stuff about Rudd’s undermining might now emerge.

    Anyway, onwards and somewhere (not so sure about upwards). There are a lot of Cabinet vacancies emerging. Who will fill them?

  6. [Garrett must quit and leave parliament ]

    Let’s see The Oils reform and play benefit gigs across the country during the election campaign

  11. A win for Murduch. He gets a puppet no matter who wins the election. A win for Abbott. The only person to ever beat him at anything is gone. A win for men. They prevail again.

    Well, Libs, you won. I was wrong. I will leave this blog to you.

    May the sociopaths enjoy it.

  14. Knaves clowns and fools.

    The LNP will win the election now – KRudd has been in Murdoch’s sights since he was dumped and he’ll cop broadside after broadside which he has no hope of withstanding as he has nowhere near the courage and guts of JG.

    Look forward to the mother of all recessions. Anticipate Murdoch’s bullshit to go wall to wall. Enjoy it.

    All the Best!

  17. C009

    ‘So moving forward…lets unite behind the PM
    Welcome back Prime Minister!!’

    Not from me. Four years of white-anting, leaking during elections, backgrounding to Murdoch’s minions, treachery and general sucking oxygen out of a reasonable Labor Government.

    Forgeddabout it, pal. Why welcome a sociopath?

  19. Now we will see a new chapter in the potboiler, The Politics of Personal Destruction, in which the LNP sets out to assassinate its enemies.

  21. [26
    zoidlord
    Posted Wednesday, June 26, 2013 at 7:58 pm | PERMALINK
    samantha maiden ‏@samanthamaiden 19s

    Labor MP reports: Treasurer Wayne Swan, Craig Emerson, Joe Ludwig and Stephen Conroy have resigned.]
    Any other good news?

  25. the little twisted psychopath even wore a blue tie.

    way to keep the female vote.

    only hope for labor now is a massive loss so there is no thought of him staying leader after the election.

    out of the three most certifiable recent leaders on both sides latham now appears the most stable, then abbott then rudd.

    at least with abbott he is consistent.

  26. [Puff, the Magic Dragon.
    Posted Wednesday, June 26, 2013 at 8:11 pm | Permalink

    A win for Murduch. He gets a puppet no matter who wins the election. A win for Abbott. The only person to ever beat him at anything is gone. A win for men. They prevail again.

    Well, Libs, you won. I was wrong. I will leave this blog to you.

    May the sociopaths enjoy it.]

    That’s a bit harsh don’t you think? There are a couple of trolls here on both sides of the aisle but I’d hardly say anyone here has demonstrated sociopathic tendencies.

  28. meher baba@54


    Rudd’s prospects will now depend on how vengeful some people are feeling ATM.

    It’s possible that some hitherto secret stuff about Rudd’s undermining might now emerge.

    Anyway, onwards and somewhere (not so sure about upwards). There are a lot of Cabinet vacancies emerging. Who will fill them?

    Well hey, if Rudd gets a bit of termite debris on him it might well be called “karma”.

    himi

  29. [confessions
    Posted Wednesday, June 26, 2013 at 8:12 pm | PERMALINK
    So let’s hear from the Ratf*cker. He has to give a statement soon.]

    Thats your Labor Prime Minister you are talking about confessions.

    Weren’t you claiming it was sexist to not use the term “Prime Minister” when referring to Gillard, and yet look at how you refer to your new Prime Minister?????

  30. confessions
    [So let’s hear from the Ratf*cker. He has to give a statement soon.]

    Haven’t you received your new neck chip?

  33. the fallout is massive

    ministers for PM&C, Treasury, DBCDE, DAFF, DEEWR, Trade all gone

    no guarantee that Rudd will get the nod as PM from the GG, Abbott caretaker very likely IMHO

  36. [29
    liyana
    Posted Wednesday, June 26, 2013 at 7:59 pm | PERMALINK
    The country wasn’t ready for a female PM.]
    Rubbish. One particular female was not up to the job.

  39. “@David_Speers: Bruce Hawker says election date won’t be too far removed from Sep 14. There will be policy changes. He won’t be chief of staff”

  40. Gillard’s speech shortly:
    I am proud of … I am proud of … tears … I am proud of ..

    Rudd’s speech shortly:
    A good government lost its way; I will solve problem of illegal boats, the climate, the mining tax etc .. now gotta zip.

  43. David Speers ‏@David_Speers 46s

    Bruce Hawker says election date won’t be too far removed from Sep 14. There will be policy changes. He won’t be chief of staff

    samantha maiden ‏@samanthamaiden 42s

    Labor MP reports vote on Albo V Crean deputy Labor leader ballot still going but, unsurprisingly, Albo will “win comfortably”

  44. [ Every time anyone here gets tempted to undermine Rudd just picture PM Tony Abbott. Please. ]

    Rudd or Abbott. What does it matter? Both are destructive sociopaths.

  46. Interesting today at my office (one of the major banks) and the staff this afternoon were talking about the leadership issue. What was fascinating was the utter dislike for Abbott and how many couldn’t vote for him but had no choice given Gillard was the alternative. Will they vote for Rudd, highly likely was the response.

    It could be interesting if the Coalition over plays its hand and doesn’t discuss policies.

  47. PB “DEATH MATCH” Sweepstakes winner is…………. Come on Down Meher Baba who picked 58-43 . Meher baba can now strut , preen and lord it over psephology wannabes for the next 24 hours 🙂

  48. fess@65: Kev to give a statement soon? I’ll step outside and grab my bucket. Alternatively, although I’m not much of a Thugby League fan, I might switch to the State of Origin.

  50. OC

    ‘There is a rumour that Lachlan Murdoch had a coffee with Rob Oakeshott in Cafe 66 Clarence St PMcQ last week’

    Poor old Rob Oakeshott. He deserves better.

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