Rudd 57, Gillard 45

We have a new/old Labor leader and, presumably, a new/old prime minister. Soon, I fear, we will have a new election date. Developing …

We have a new/old Labor leader and, presumably, a new/old prime minister. Soon, I fear, we will have a new election date. Developing …

UPDATE: Prominent Gillard-ites Wayne Swan, Craig Emerson, Stephen Conroy, Greg Combet and Joe Ludwig have resigned from cabinet. Penny Wong has unanimously been chosen to replace Conroy as Senate leader, with Jacinta Collins replacing Wong as deputy. Anthony Albanese defeated Simon Crean 61-38 in a ballot for deputy in the House.

UPDATE 2: Greg Combet also resigns from cabinet, and Craig Emerson to go from parliament. Preselections loom for Lalor and Rankin.

UPDATE 3 (Morgan SMS poll): Morgan has sprung into action with a “snap” SMS poll of 2530 respondents, showing a Coalition lead of just 50.5-49.5 from primary votes of 38% for Labor, 43% for the Coalition and 8.5% for the Greens. For what it’s worth, a Morgan poll conducted by the same method on the day of the 2010 election turned in a highly accurate result.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,091 comments on “Rudd 57, Gillard 45”

Comments Page 1 of 62
1 2 62
  1. [Nemspy
    Posted Wednesday, June 26, 2013 at 7:54 pm | PERMALINK
    57-45 – that looks suspiciously close to the last Newspoll…. Could it be a News Ltd conspiracy?? Discuss. ]

    Dont tell MB lol

  2. [rummel
    Posted Wednesday, June 26, 2013 at 7:55 pm | Permalink

    Nemspy
    Posted Wednesday, June 26, 2013 at 7:54 pm | PERMALINK
    57-45 – that looks suspiciously close to the last Newspoll…. Could it be a News Ltd conspiracy?? Discuss.

    Dont tell MB lol]

    I’m sure MB still thinks Gillard will lead Labor to a glorious victory.

  3. Meguire Bob prediction: Gillard to lead Labor to an election win

    What actually is going to happen: Rudd to lead Labor to election defeat, Gillard booted out of her own seat

  4. samantha maiden ‏@samanthamaiden 19s

    Labor MP reports: Treasurer Wayne Swan, Craig Emerson, Joe Ludwig and Stephen Conroy have resigned.

  5. [The Ruddstoration is complete. Let us unite and beat Tony Abbott.]
    No, let us unite and give Rudd the boot that we didn’t get to give him 2010

  6. Whilst I preferred Gillard as PM, it is know the duty of everyone on the left side of politics to take on the real enemy – Tony Abbott.

    It is now the time to talk policies – wonder what the Coalition is thinking?

  7. You have to wonder about some people. Bill Shorten – what sort of mindset does it take to have a press conference like that rather than go to the Caucus and await the outcome.

    As for people tweeting from inside a Caucus meeting (assuming they are) – what is the level of shallowness that would be. You would think mobile phones would be turned off for such an event. Feeding information to journalists has to be a breach of good behaviour.

  8. Bemused

    [ Been stuck in a meeting and just got the.good news. Any heads exploded on PB yet? ]

    No, but some votes lost. Here is my post from the last thread:

    [ Well, Kevin is being put in to “save the furniture”.

    Good luck to him, and I actually hope he wins – but he’ll have to do it without my vote. I cannot in all conscience support a party – either party for that matter – that shows such duplicity. ]

    What a shame that the ALP no longer appears to have the courage of its supposed convictions.

  9. So now the ALP has managed to boot out two sitting PMs in record time. Must be a record.

    Anyhow, MB must have swallowed his tongue with the result.. Just wonder what crap he is deluding over now.

  10. So now the ALP has managed to boot out two sitting PMs in record time. Must be a record.

    Anyhow, MB must have swallowed his tongue with the result.. Just wonder what crap he is deluding over now.

  11. the sweetest victory of them all. a victory over the factions and a great day for aust democracy. full ctedit to J Gillards achievements as well.

  12. Wakefield. My response to you was denied. Agreed though on both counts.

    Someone predicted the site would crash at 8pm.

  13. Policy before personalities.

    I’ll be voting for the best policies and at this stage the ALP have the best policies.

    I congratulate JG on a herculean effort. She is a hero in my eyes.

  14. [So Shorten’s 7 did it -well done factions.]

    This is a key observation.

    57-45 is really a vote in two parts

    50 votes for Rudd PLUS bill shorten’s block of 7.

  15. James Massola ‏@jamesmassola 4m

    Contest underway between Crean and Albanese for deputy.

    James Massola ‏@jamesmassola 3m

    Jacinta Collins and Kim Carr are vying for deputy senate leadership

Comments Page 1 of 62
1 2 62

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *